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Topic: In other news ...

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847badgerfan

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #29610 on: March 21, 2024, 10:44:30 AM »
Yeah, OK. I'm on it.
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

GopherRock

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #29611 on: March 21, 2024, 04:10:21 PM »
Ya as long as get seriuos doesn't mean "we" foot the freight
Which makes it even more important for the Ukrainians to get the armaments they need from the US stockpile to clean the Russians out, sooner than later. 

FearlessF

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #29612 on: March 21, 2024, 04:10:39 PM »
For the first time since late last year, prices at the pump are now higher on a year-over-year basis. It's a trend that industry experts expect to continue in the coming weeks and months, especially if Russian oil facilities continue to get hit by drone attacks.

This is an unwanted development for consumers heading into the spring. It's also a problem for White House and Federal Reserve officials hoping to declare victory over inflation.

The recent jump in gas prices is already causing headaches on the inflation front. Gas was the main culprit behind last week's hotter-than-expected consumer price index and a disappointing wholesale inflation report.


All of this is casting doubt on when the Fed will be able to start cutting interest rates. Hopes for a March rate cut have faded, and investors are now betting on June or July.

"Gas prices are going to keep going up," said Andy Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates. "This is going to cost the consumer more money. And that of course is not good for the administration."

The national average price for regular gas climbed to $3.47 a gallon on Monday, according to AAA. That's up from $3.45 a year ago and the highest price since Halloween.


The last time gas prices were up on a year-over-year basis was late December 2023, according to AAA.

The highest recorded price for unleaded gas was in June of 2022, when a gallon averaged $5.02, according to AAA.

The national average has jumped by seven cents in the past week and 19 cents over the past month. Gas prices are up by 40 cents since mid-January.
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

847badgerfan

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #29613 on: March 21, 2024, 04:44:12 PM »
Which makes it even more important for the Ukrainians to get the armaments they need from the US stockpile to clean the Russians out, sooner than later.
We might need that stockpile.

If France really does go into Ukraine with troops, all hell will break loose.

Then China goes after Taiwan and we have two fronts.
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

FearlessF

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #29614 on: March 21, 2024, 04:45:07 PM »
we can make more
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

betarhoalphadelta

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #29615 on: March 21, 2024, 04:47:14 PM »
we can make more
If China tries to take Taiwan, and Taiwan sabotages TSMC so that China can't get their hands on it, we can't make shit. 

Global economic collapse if TSMC dies. They're trying to diversify to other regions, but in the semiconductor game those aren't facilities that you stand up in 6 months. It's measured in years. 

FearlessF

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #29616 on: March 21, 2024, 04:50:43 PM »
some armaments don't require semiconductors
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

utee94

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #29617 on: March 21, 2024, 04:52:41 PM »
The industry never should have allowed consolidation into one region like that.   Even if there were no geopolitical issues, from a purely geographic standpoint, it's an example of terrible risk mitigation.


847badgerfan

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #29618 on: March 21, 2024, 04:56:26 PM »
This isn't 1945. We can't do two fronts right now. Russia ain't gonna help out this time either. They are out to take us down.

Hell, we cannot even manage a pullout from a third-world country to get out of a war that should have never happened in the first place.

Our military is not competent. Nobody wants to join it anymore. Our allies are not strong.

If Russia goes all out on NATO and China goes all out on Taiwan and the Philippines, we are f*cked.
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

utee94

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #29619 on: March 21, 2024, 04:58:38 PM »
We might need that stockpile.

If France really does go into Ukraine with troops, all hell will break loose.

Then China goes after Taiwan and we have two fronts.
The stockpiles we've been sending to Ukraine are mostly old stuff that was set to be decommissioned anyway.  And that was going to cost the US taxpayers billions to dismantle and dispose of them safely.  Instead of that, those bombs are being sent overseas to do exactly what they were designed to do.  Kill Russians.

Meanwhile, we've kept the good stuff at home.

And finally, China doesn't have the capability for physical occupation of Taiwan, it'd be an absolute bloodbath and not even China has enough men to throw at it.  All they could do is bomb the island, but then they'd completely screw their own manufacturing supply chains if they did so.

utee94

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #29620 on: March 21, 2024, 05:02:36 PM »
This isn't 1945. We can't do two fronts right now. Russia ain't gonna help out this time either. They are out to take us down.

Hell, we cannot even manage a pullout from a third-world country to get out of a war that should have never happened in the first place.

Our military is not competent. Nobody wants to join it anymore. Our allies are not strong.

If Russia goes all out on NATO and China goes all out on Taiwan and the Philippines, we are f*cked.

Get a hold of yourself, man.  Ukraine has stalemated Russia's "Second Army of the World" for 2 years using NATO's 3-generations-old technology strung together with clothes pins and bailing wire.  By itself Poland could take what little is left of the Russian army, and you better believe they're itching to do so.

And China won't make a move on Taiwan because they can't.  They can't get their forces across the ocean to occupy it, they'd be sitting ducks.  

betarhoalphadelta

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #29621 on: March 21, 2024, 05:06:07 PM »
The industry never should have allowed consolidation into one region like that.  Even if there were no geopolitical issues, from a purely geographic standpoint, it's an example of terrible risk mitigation.
Yep. But you know as well as I do that it was never anyone's intent. Truth is that they were the best. If you're a fabless semi company and you need a fab, who do you go with? To update the old saw, "Nobody ever got fired for buying TSMC."

I think the world started to wise up to the risk a while back, which is why Samsung got into the foundry business and Intel is trying. The world is trying to diversify...

...which incidentally could spur China to act sooner rather than later because of how much it would damage the West economically. It'll screw themselves too, but they might believe that post-reset their domestic capability can more effectively compete.

utee94

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #29622 on: March 21, 2024, 05:10:27 PM »
Yep. But you know as well as I do that it was never anyone's intent. Truth is that they were the best. If you're a fabless semi company and you need a fab, who do you go with? To update the old saw, "Nobody ever got fired for buying TSMC."

I think the world started to wise up to the risk a while back, which is why Samsung got into the foundry business and Intel is trying. The world is trying to diversify...

...which incidentally could spur China to act sooner rather than later because of how much it would damage the West economically. It'll screw themselves too, but they might believe that post-reset their domestic capability can more effectively compete.

I might have agreed with this a couple or three years ago, but China's got about 4 different domestic economic crises crashing in on it at the same time.  If they take out TSMC, they're effectively finished as a world technology manufacturer.  Everyone will rebuild outside of any footprint that could fall under Chinese influence, and China's only options for export will be the other pariah states of the world like Russia, Iran, and North Korea.  

betarhoalphadelta

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #29623 on: March 21, 2024, 05:23:35 PM »
I might have agreed with this a couple or three years ago, but China's got about 4 different domestic economic crises crashing in on it at the same time.  If they take out TSMC, they're effectively finished as a world technology manufacturer.  Everyone will rebuild outside of any footprint that could fall under Chinese influence, and China's only options for export will be the other pariah states of the world like Russia, Iran, and North Korea. 
Probably agree with this... The question is whether this makes them desperate enough to do something, though? 

I don't know what sort of propaganda is thrown around inside China. My current exposure to the entirety of China is people I work with, and some work trips I made over there in the mid-2010s. 

Standard playbook of any authoritarian state is to define (or invent) an enemy to blame your problems on, so your people don't blame them on you. Are they / have they been ramping that up re: the west over the last decade? Are their people insulated enough from opposing messages to buy it? 

I'm honestly and sincerely asking--I don't really know the situation on the ground over there...

 

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