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Topic: In other news ...

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longhorn320

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #25830 on: August 11, 2023, 01:34:39 PM »
A few weeks ago @OrangeAfroMan made a comment that was not altogether atypical for him, but it got me thinking about something that I want to try running past this group.

Fro's comment was one of his usual tirades against religion and he scoffed at (I think it was directed at Christianity specifically but most religions agree on this) religious focus on sex.

I have little kids so it occurred to me that this might be analogous to the tale of Hansel and Gretl.

For the purpose of this discussion let's just set aside any religious beliefs that any of us may have and accept the atheistic premise that religion is totally false and no different from a Grimm Brothers Fairy Tale such as Hansel and Gretl. That way we are meeting Fro, @betarhoalphadelta and the rest on their terms.

The analogy:
In Hansel and Gretl the children wander into the forest where they are captured by a cannibalistic witch who intends to fatten them up and eat them.

Now we all know that there aren't ACTUALLY cannibalistic witches residing in the forest. That said, I don't want my young children wandering off into the forest anyway because despite the lack of witches, there ARE dangers lurking in the forest. Some of these dangers are even lethal. If my kids wandered into the forest they could get killed by a wild animal, drown in a pond, or simply die of exposure if not found soon enough.

The witch in the Grimm Brothers story effectively stands in for these actual dangers and the story was told in part to keep kids from wandering into the forest where they might suffer from the actual dangers that the witch is meant to represent.

In other words, even though the witch isn't real, I still don't want my kids wandering into the forest.

So now I'll bring it back to Fro's comment. Maybe the religious focus on sex was never actually about sex so much as it was about raising the next generation.

We all know that being from a single-parent background has a massive detrimental impact on expected outcomes. Kids from single parent households are VASTLY more likely to be criminals, victims of crime, unemployed, incarcerated, addicted, etc.

Maybe the focus of most religions on sex was a lot like the Grimm Brothers focus on the witch.

Maybe a whole lot of societies figured out that single parent households were terrible building blocks for a successful society so they came up with "fairy tales" that demonized premarital sex simply to avoid single parent households.

We've effectively done away with the religion and discovered that there isn't REALLY a witch but without stopping to think that maybe the witch was just a stand-in for REAL dangers that are out there.

For thousands of years the "sinfulness" of non-marital sex helped to minimize single-parent households in sucessful societies all over the globe.  Even if the "sinfulness" isn't real, there are still detrimental outcomes that we haven't come up with an alternative method to minimize.
There are many experts who attribute the challenges faced by minorities in this country to being raised by one parent

It appears to be the source of many problems
They won't let me give blood anymore. The burnt orange color scares the hell out of the doctors.

utee94

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #25831 on: August 11, 2023, 01:48:26 PM »
Excellent points and discussion, medina.  I, too, will take some time for a considered response.




medinabuckeye1

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #25832 on: August 11, 2023, 02:40:51 PM »
Whether God is real or not, I think the No Sex till Marriage is/was a huge warning, that we as a modern society choose to ignore. ...
But we moderns know so much more than those silly backwater peasants, we have birth control and condoms.
And yet the percentage of people have abortions or having kids as a single parent has never been higher.
I think if you got in a DeLorean, travelled back to 1955, and told an adult (like my grandparent's generation, born 1900-1910) that in 20 years time abortion would be legal nationally, condoms would be much more effective and readily available, and there would be a magical pill that women could take that would be almost 100% effective at preventing pregnancy, that person would naturally assume that by the middle-1970's there would be almost zero out-of-wedlock births.  Instead, as you pointed out, the percentage of people having kids as a single parent has never been higher.  

This is something that has long fascinated me for multiple reasons.  

Condoms have been around for a while but their effectiveness has gotten better over time.  The pill didn't become widely available until the middle-60's depending on where you lived.  Prior to Roe, Abortion was gradually being legalized again depending on where you lived and was the law of the land from 1973 until very recently.  

That may sound like ancient history but it isn't.  That is all within the lifetimes of some of our posters and others that we know.  

My dad was born in 1940 so when he was a teenager and then a young Marine from 1953-1961 there were no birth control pills and abortion was totally illegal in most of the country.  For the men and women of that generation (and every generation prior) having sex led to a VERY high probability of becoming a parent.  

A couple thoughts about it:
First, I think generally what happened is that the cultural changes brought about by the pill and legal abortion swamped the functional changes.  Ie, yes people have that choice now but instead of the choice leading to less single-parent births it led to VASTLY more single sex and that overwhelmed the reduction.  

Second, this is terrible for society not only because coming from a single-parent household has a terrible impact in average outcomes but also because it has exacerbated a massive divide between the haves and the have nots.  Today nearly half of first time mothers are unmarried.  I think most people just assume that this is relatively equal across society.  I used to think so, but it most definitely is NOT.  Among white college graduates more than 90% of first time mothers are married.  The percentages aren't that much lower for non-white college graduates.  The divide is less racial than class-based.  Among the lower classes the percentages are almost completely reversed.  

Functionally what this means is that there are basically two types of children born today: 
  • Children born to two college educated parents, and
  • Children born to a HS educated (at best) mother with no father in the picture.  

Even if we assumed that the children had equal average intelligence (they don't because the college educated parents are smarter on average and that is at least partially heritable), but even if they did, the children in group #1 have a VASTLY better support network than those born in group #2.  

Worse, this has been going on for several generations now so the difference is actually even bigger than it seems at first.  In addition to having two college educated parents rather than one non-college parent, the kids in group #1 are also much more likely to have college educated grandparents, aunts, uncles, etc.  

longhorn320

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #25833 on: August 11, 2023, 02:53:50 PM »
I think if you got in a DeLorean, travelled back to 1955, and told an adult (like my grandparent's generation, born 1900-1910) that in 20 years time abortion would be legal nationally, condoms would be much more effective and readily available, and there would be a magical pill that women could take that would be almost 100% effective at preventing pregnancy, that person would naturally assume that by the middle-1970's there would be almost zero out-of-wedlock births.  Instead, as you pointed out, the percentage of people having kids as a single parent has never been higher. 

This is something that has long fascinated me for multiple reasons. 

Condoms have been around for a while but their effectiveness has gotten better over time.  The pill didn't become widely available until the middle-60's depending on where you lived.  Prior to Roe, Abortion was gradually being legalized again depending on where you lived and was the law of the land from 1973 until very recently. 

That may sound like ancient history but it isn't.  That is all within the lifetimes of some of our posters and others that we know. 

My dad was born in 1940 so when he was a teenager and then a young Marine from 1953-1961 there were no birth control pills and abortion was totally illegal in most of the country.  For the men and women of that generation (and every generation prior) having sex led to a VERY high probability of becoming a parent. 

A couple thoughts about it:
First, I think generally what happened is that the cultural changes brought about by the pill and legal abortion swamped the functional changes.  Ie, yes people have that choice now but instead of the choice leading to less single-parent births it led to VASTLY more single sex and that overwhelmed the reduction. 

Second, this is terrible for society not only because coming from a single-parent household has a terrible impact in average outcomes but also because it has exacerbated a massive divide between the haves and the have nots.  Today nearly half of first time mothers are unmarried.  I think most people just assume that this is relatively equal across society.  I used to think so, but it most definitely is NOT.  Among white college graduates more than 90% of first time mothers are married.  The percentages aren't that much lower for non-white college graduates.  The divide is less racial than class-based.  Among the lower classes the percentages are almost completely reversed. 

Functionally what this means is that there are basically two types of children born today:
  • Children born to two college educated parents, and
  • Children born to a HS educated (at best) mother with no father in the picture. 

Even if we assumed that the children had equal average intelligence (they don't because the college educated parents are smarter on average and that is at least partially heritable), but even if they did, the children in group #1 have a VASTLY better support network than those born in group #2. 

Worse, this has been going on for several generations now so the difference is actually even bigger than it seems at first.  In addition to having two college educated parents rather than one non-college parent, the kids in group #1 are also much more likely to have college educated grandparents, aunts, uncles, etc. 

well said

Its unfortunate that we as a country dont put funds toward solving this issue instead of the bone head stuff we do spend money on
They won't let me give blood anymore. The burnt orange color scares the hell out of the doctors.

FearlessF

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #25834 on: August 11, 2023, 03:06:23 PM »
the question is, how do you fix the issue?

throwing money at an issue rarely resolves said issue

do we support Christianity and therefore the Catholic church?
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

medinabuckeye1

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #25835 on: August 11, 2023, 03:31:10 PM »
the question is, how do you fix the issue?

throwing money at an issue rarely resolves said issue

do we support Christianity and therefore the Catholic church?
That really is the question but unfortunately I think a lot of these things are like trying to put the toothpaste back in the tube. 

longhorn320

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #25836 on: August 11, 2023, 03:42:33 PM »
the question is, how do you fix the issue?

throwing money at an issue rarely resolves said issue

do we support Christianity and therefore the Catholic church?
its not a question of religion but more of a question of government money making it too convienent to be an unmarried mother

there should be more government promotion for a two parent family

I really need to think more on the subject to make any actual solutions
They won't let me give blood anymore. The burnt orange color scares the hell out of the doctors.

FearlessF

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #25837 on: August 11, 2023, 04:11:13 PM »
its not a question of religion but more of a question of government money making it too convienent to be an unmarried mother

there should be more government promotion for a two parent family

I really need to think more on the subject to make any actual solutions
I'm not sure how out of hand the single mother on welfare issue is today.  It may be a little overblown or not.
The old stories of mothers getting pregnant and having many children to make more money are obviously based in some truth.

so, filing jointly with children should be rewarded monetarily?

I'm not sure taking money from one group and giving it to another group is the answer but it would provide some motivation and incentive.

Obviously, many fathers split the scene because they don't want the responsibility, financially and otherwise. I'm not convinced you can pay them enough to take on the rest of the responsibility.  (maybe)
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

longhorn320

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #25838 on: August 11, 2023, 04:17:17 PM »
I'm not sure how out of hand the single mother on welfare issue is today.  It may be a little overblown or not.
The old stories of mothers getting pregnant and having many children to make more money are obviously based in some truth.

so, filing jointly with children should be rewarded monetarily?

I'm not sure taking money from one group and giving it to another group is the answer but it would provide some motivation and incentive.

Obviously, many fathers split the scene because they don't want the responsibility, financially and otherwise. I'm not convinced you can pay them enough to take on the rest of the responsibility.  (maybe)
The key question is why is this more of a problem for the Black community?  Is it the fact that many times they live in an economically depressed area? Is it a big city vs small town issue?
They won't let me give blood anymore. The burnt orange color scares the hell out of the doctors.

medinabuckeye1

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #25839 on: August 11, 2023, 04:27:52 PM »
I'm not sure how out of hand the single mother on welfare issue is today.  It may be a little overblown or not.
The old stories of mothers getting pregnant and having many children to make more money are obviously based in some truth.

so, filing jointly with children should be rewarded monetarily?

I'm not sure taking money from one group and giving it to another group is the answer but it would provide some motivation and incentive.

Obviously, many fathers split the scene because they don't want the responsibility, financially and otherwise. I'm not convinced you can pay them enough to take on the rest of the responsibility.  (maybe)
its not a question of religion but more of a question of government money making it too convienent to be an unmarried mother

there should be more government promotion for a two parent family

I really need to think more on the subject to make any actual solutions
Here is an example . . . and then why I'm not really sure that it makes any difference.  

My wife works for a school so she is off in the summer.  When she is at work we have three kids (4, 2, 1) in daycare.  Here in Ohio that was costing me $650/week.  

The Federal Tax Code has some help for me!  If your employer provides for it you can set up a childcare account and have some money deducted from your paycheck pre-tax to use to pay daycare.  That is great.  The problem is that it is capped at $5,000 per year.  I mentioned that my daycare bill is $650/week.  I go through $5,000 before the end of March so that cap could be a lot higher.  My annual daycare bill (even with summer off) is on the order of $25K.  

So the Feds could increase the cap on childcare accounts to $25K.  That would be GREAT for me because it would reduce my taxable income by an additional $20K.  That is a tax preference for families, right.  

Well, here is the thing.  I and nearly every other parent who would benefit from this in any meaningful way are ALREADY married.  That change in the tax code would reward me for doing that but it wouldn't functionally encourage me because I ALREADY did.  

Nearly all of the non-married parents are non-College graduates and with only a few exceptions most of them don't make enough money for tax issues like that to be all that big of a deal.  

As I noted above, this is much more of a class than a racial issue.  The higher earning people of all races are mostly married when they have kids and the lower earning people of all races mostly aren't.  You can't encourage low earners with changes to the tax code because they simply aren't paying enough in taxes to even notice let alone care or plan things around it.  

medinabuckeye1

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #25840 on: August 11, 2023, 04:31:58 PM »
The key question is why is this more of a problem for the Black community?  Is it the fact that many times they live in an economically depressed area? Is it a big city vs small town issue?
The differences between races at the same income are nowhere near as large as the differences between income brackets within the races so I think that most of it is simply because a higher percentage of the black community is in the lower income brackets.  

As a practical matter, across races, marriage has become a luxury that only the relatively rich manage to avail themselves of.  Lower class women no matter their race generally have children without being married.  

betarhoalphadelta

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #25841 on: August 11, 2023, 04:57:06 PM »
A few weeks ago @OrangeAfroMan made a comment that was not altogether atypical for him, but it got me thinking about something that I want to try running past this group.

Fro's comment was one of his usual tirades against religion and he scoffed at (I think it was directed at Christianity specifically but most religions agree on this) religious focus on sex.

I have little kids so it occurred to me that this might be analogous to the tale of Hansel and Gretl.

For the purpose of this discussion let's just set aside any religious beliefs that any of us may have and accept the atheistic premise that religion is totally false and no different from a Grimm Brothers Fairy Tale such as Hansel and Gretl. That way we are meeting Fro, @betarhoalphadelta and the rest on their terms.

The analogy:
In Hansel and Gretl the children wander into the forest where they are captured by a cannibalistic witch who intends to fatten them up and eat them.

Now we all know that there aren't ACTUALLY cannibalistic witches residing in the forest. That said, I don't want my young children wandering off into the forest anyway because despite the lack of witches, there ARE dangers lurking in the forest. Some of these dangers are even lethal. If my kids wandered into the forest they could get killed by a wild animal, drown in a pond, or simply die of exposure if not found soon enough.

The witch in the Grimm Brothers story effectively stands in for these actual dangers and the story was told in part to keep kids from wandering into the forest where they might suffer from the actual dangers that the witch is meant to represent.

In other words, even though the witch isn't real, I still don't want my kids wandering into the forest.

So now I'll bring it back to Fro's comment. Maybe the religious focus on sex was never actually about sex so much as it was about raising the next generation.

We all know that being from a single-parent background has a massive detrimental impact on expected outcomes. Kids from single parent households are VASTLY more likely to be criminals, victims of crime, unemployed, incarcerated, addicted, etc.

Maybe the focus of most religions on sex was a lot like the Grimm Brothers focus on the witch.

Maybe a whole lot of societies figured out that single parent households were terrible building blocks for a successful society so they came up with "fairy tales" that demonized premarital sex simply to avoid single parent households.

We've effectively done away with the religion and discovered that there isn't REALLY a witch but without stopping to think that maybe the witch was just a stand-in for REAL dangers that are out there.

For thousands of years the "sinfulness" of non-marital sex helped to minimize single-parent households in sucessful societies all over the globe.  Even if the "sinfulness" isn't real, there are still detrimental outcomes that we haven't come up with an alternative method to minimize.

Okay... There might be a lot to unpack here. Note that a lot of this was based on thoughts I had inklings of, but were really crystallized by Yuval Harari's book Sapiens. If you have not read that book, I absolutely recommend it. I can't say that more strongly. Read the book!

One of its key points is that underpinning modern society is humanity's ability to coalesce around shared myths. There are many of these myths. Human rights / civil rights. Money. Government. The Social Contract. Political parties. And, yes, religion. 

Note that when I call religion a myth, it's akin to what I think CD always says: "All models are wrong. Some of them are useful." The word "myth" is triggering for some, because they think myths are false. But that's not true. Government exists. Money exists. But their power is only supported by the shared belief in the myth. Generally when those myths break down, things are bad. WRT money, think Weimar republic or Zimbabwe. Money is incredibly valuable and useful, until people don't believe it. Then it's worthless. 

Also note that when I call religion a myth, that is NOT a statement on the existence or nonexistence of any supreme being we might call "God". Obviously you all know I don't believe in such a being. But I also can't definitively prove or disprove that. And in the end, it's irrelevant. And I mean that; it's irrelevant. The value of the myth is just as powerful whether there is a God or not. As long as enough people BELIEVE in the God and the myth, it can fulfill its intended purpose. 

So let's think about the purpose. And this goes straight to your point about non-marital sex. Whether there's a God or not, religion has historically served a very critical purpose as it relates to setting the rules of a functional society. Like the Patton Oswalt example, the state of nature is that the biggest and the strongest can take whatever they want. You can't have a functional complex society if that is the governing myth. So we needed something else. It was a set of rules where most people kinda realized "if we all agree to do this, society works." And if you can enforce that with the reward of eternal bliss for conformity, and the threat of eternal damnation for non-conformity, well, that's a pretty powerful carrot and stick. 

So, yes, I absolutely believe that a lot of what religion has to say about sex is trying to create rules that align with a successful and functional society. As you point out, there are MANY problems caused by single-parent households, and so religion would have an incentive to have rules that discourage that.

But, there can be some major problems when you involve humans who can shape that myth. Religion, corrupted by humans, is a way to make people rich and powerful. With religion, converting adults is hard. But indoctrinating youth is easy. So religion is a numbers game--if you can't convert others, might as well out-breed them. So anything that supports breeding is good; anything that gets in the way is bad.

So you have a conundrum trying to apply this in modern society. Single parents are bad, so you're against non-marital sex. But breeding is good, so you're against abortion (or anything similar, like publicly mandating insurance funding of birth control, as we see with the fights over Obamacare). It's a cognitive dissonance problem; someone shouldn't have gotten pregnant in the first place, but now, she HAS to have the baby. 

It gets messy. And given that the social order exists because of the myth, anything that threatens the myth is a threat to the social order and must be opposed. Gays and lesbians are non-conforming because they don't breed, so we have to do everything we can to discourage them. I think the whole issue with trans right now is almost that nobody knows what to do with them, but they are an even more extreme non-conformance, so they they are a threat to the social order and must be opposed. 

The myth doesn't deal well with non-conformity. So the myth has to have built-in ways to discourage it. And we see that with religion, IMHO. 

But the fact is that we can adjust the myths. We're adaptable. We can create new myths as we see fit. Or we can tweak or ignore old myths. But that's hard for people who are emotionally invested in the old myths, or those who are incentivized or benefity from the old myths. As it relates to religion, religion/myth is a core portion of most peoples identity. When you threaten their religion/myth, you threaten their identity, and that is going to get a visceral and angry reaction. Which is, of course, what we see. 

Human society exists because we've coalesced around shared myths. But it also creates dysfunction because people become attached to those myths and so change and conflict between competing myths causes discord. 

And so we are where we are.

847badgerfan

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #25842 on: August 11, 2023, 05:09:19 PM »
See ya on Monday?

Whether God is real or not, I think the No Sex till Marriage is/was a huge warning, that we as a modern society choose to ignore. ...
But we moderns know so much more than those silly backwater peasants, we have birth control and condoms.
And yet the percentage of people have abortions or having kids as a single parent has never been higher.
With all of our intelligence, we have lost our wisdom.


You can say that again.
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

847badgerfan

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #25843 on: August 11, 2023, 05:12:15 PM »
Ya know, we have some really thoughtful and smart people here.

I'm impressed.
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

 

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