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Topic: In other news ...

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847badgerfan

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #17486 on: June 21, 2022, 09:27:37 AM »
My property taxes went DOWN last year. That has never happened to me in my life.

The value of this home has shot up like I've never seen too.
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

longhorn320

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #17487 on: June 21, 2022, 09:32:19 AM »
It's like you need to be spoon-fed your mushed peas, with airplane noises.

GOGGLE IT.
I did and found nothing new

He will win by at least 20 points so I guess you have nothing new

just jibber jabber


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aNmVy-FnAJ8
They won't let me give blood anymore. The burnt orange color scares the hell out of the doctors.

847badgerfan

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #17488 on: June 21, 2022, 09:32:56 AM »
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

Cincydawg

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #17489 on: June 21, 2022, 09:35:19 AM »
Current polls show Walker tied with Warnock, I doubt he wins by 20 points, or anything close to that.  He might edge Warnock, or not, I don't know of course.

I noted before how many negative ads are showing up now on our TV, even during the ball game.  I may ask my wife not to watch the news when I'm around.

Local news is so predictable.

longhorn320

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #17490 on: June 21, 2022, 09:46:55 AM »
One of Walker's cornerstones is that all of society's ills are the fault of absentee fathers. Last week, it was discovered that Walker is an absentee father of another child that was not known, in addition to two more that he just acknowledged.

Based on the current crop of Republican candidates, flagrant hypocrisy is a requirement, not a crippling liability.
He has paid support for all 4 children and when asked has always acknowledged them

The fact that he has four children has been known for years contrary to what some media outlets have reported

There is nothing new here

This is just a failed attempt to bring him down in the voters eyes
They won't let me give blood anymore. The burnt orange color scares the hell out of the doctors.

longhorn320

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #17491 on: June 21, 2022, 09:47:50 AM »
Current polls show Walker tied with Warnock, I doubt he wins by 20 points, or anything close to that.  He might edge Warnock, or not, I don't know of course.

I noted before how many negative ads are showing up now on our TV, even during the ball game.  I may ask my wife not to watch the news when I'm around.

Local news is so predictable.
The polls are way wrong
They won't let me give blood anymore. The burnt orange color scares the hell out of the doctors.

Cincydawg

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #17492 on: June 21, 2022, 09:54:19 AM »
Polls are very rarely "way wrong", especially when one looks at a variety of different polls.  In my experience, they are pretty good overall.

I see this as a close race, I have no data to suggest otherwise.  

longhorn320

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #17493 on: June 21, 2022, 10:00:31 AM »
Polls are very rarely "way wrong", especially when one looks at a variety of different polls.  In my experience, they are pretty good overall.

I see this as a close race, I have no data to suggest otherwise. 
The polls underestimated GOP in 2016, 2018, 2020 and they are doing it again for the midterms

Some folks just never learn

you can take most of the polls and would have to add 2 to 4 points to the GOP candidate to see the real picture

No walker wont win by 20 pts but he will win by 4 to 8 pts

it wont even be close
They won't let me give blood anymore. The burnt orange color scares the hell out of the doctors.

Cincydawg

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #17494 on: June 21, 2022, 10:13:38 AM »
I personally think polls collectively are pretty good, with a few exceptions usually caused by a very late shift, or poor polling techniques.  It also is worth noting that the margin for error is usually 3-5% as stated in polls.  I really do not think they are off by 8 points, that miss is very very rare.

I think this one will be very close, probably within 2% either way unless something major changes by November (which is very possible, Walker is not used to answering questions in a political spotlight).  We'll see more polls of course and perhaps will be able to spot a trend in them.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Georgia Senate - Walker vs. Warnock

Honestbuckeye

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #17495 on: June 21, 2022, 10:22:19 AM »
Hypocrisy seems to be a trait common to most politicians.
Amen brother. 

Joe Burden ran on:

- “I will take responsibility and not pass the buck”.  He has blamed everything on someone or something else.  Everything. 

-“ I will be a moderate, not progressive. “
  This is too humorous to even react to.

-my personal favorite- “ I will be a uniter,  not a divider”.
Everything that moron spews is extremely divisive.  He can’t speak in any topic without insulting the 75 million people who did not vote for him.  
Get your facts first, then you can distort them as you please.
-Mark Twain

longhorn320

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #17496 on: June 21, 2022, 10:26:22 AM »
I personally think polls collectively are pretty good, with a few exceptions usually caused by a very late shift, or poor polling techniques.  It also is worth noting that the margin for error is usually 3-5% as stated in polls.  I really do not think they are off by 8 points, that miss is very very rare.

I think this one will be very close, probably within 2% either way unless something major changes by November (which is very possible, Walker is not used to answering questions in a political spotlight).  We'll see more polls of course and perhaps will be able to spot a trend in them.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Georgia Senate - Walker vs. Warnock
The problem is not that polls are off

Its that they are mostly off in one direction

your 2% either way comment is just ignoring reality

as far as answering questions is concerned we have a Pres now that wont even attempt to answer

They won't let me give blood anymore. The burnt orange color scares the hell out of the doctors.

Cincydawg

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #17497 on: June 21, 2022, 10:29:53 AM »
I often track polls in key races pretty closely, and in my experience, they are close to the final result with some exceptions that show no political bias.  But that is my experience of course.  They get more sketchy at times with poor polling operations that appear and disappear, and when not enough polling is done in a locality to pick up late swings.  The major polls stay in business only because they provide useful data, if they didn't folks would ignore them.


longhorn320

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #17498 on: June 21, 2022, 10:41:48 AM »
I often track polls in key races pretty closely, and in my experience, they are close to the final result with some exceptions that show no political bias.  But that is my experience of course.  They get more sketchy at times with poor polling operations that appear and disappear, and when not enough polling is done in a locality to pick up late swings.  The major polls stay in business only because they provide useful data, if they didn't folks would ignore them.


https://www.forbes.com/sites/jemimamcevoy/2021/07/19/2020-election-polls-were-the-least-accurate-in-decades-mostly-for-underestimating-trump-report-finds/?sh=4fc44e256318
They won't let me give blood anymore. The burnt orange color scares the hell out of the doctors.

Cincydawg

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #17499 on: June 21, 2022, 10:43:02 AM »
Sure, that group was "least accurate in decades", I'm not talking about one set of polling data.

These errors of “unusual magnitude” resulted in the worst performance of national polls in 40 years; state polls were their least accurate in 20 years (as far back as records go). 


 

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