header pic

Perhaps the BEST B1G Forum anywhere, here at College Football Fan Site, CFB51!!!

The 'Old' CFN/Scout Crowd- Enjoy Civil discussion, game analytics, in depth player and coaching 'takes' and discussing topics surrounding the game. You can even have your own free board, all you have to do is ask!!!

Anyone is welcomed and encouraged to join our FREE site and to take part in our community- a community with you- the user, the fan, -and the person- will be protected from intrusive actions and with a clean place to interact.


Author

Topic: In an even-money bet...

 (Read 748 times)

Brutus Buckeye

  • Legend
  • ****
  • Posts: 8654
  • Liked:
Re: In an even-money bet...
« Reply #42 on: April 14, 2021, 03:36:26 PM »
1919, 20, 21, 28, 29, 31, 34, 35, 36, 37, 42, 44
WWH: 1952, 54, 55, 57, 58, 60, 61, 62, 63, 65, 67, 68, 70, 72, 74, 75
1979, 81, 82, 84, 87, 94, 98
2001, 02, 04, 05, 06, 07, 08, 09, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19

OrangeAfroMan

  • Stats Porn
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 12291
  • Liked:
Re: In an even-money bet...
« Reply #43 on: April 14, 2021, 03:49:54 PM »
Ugh, why would you want to???  That is NOT a pick 'em bet.
.
But I guarantee you my 17 year old self could've eaten that and more.  
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Cincydawg

  • Ombudsman for the Secret Order of the Odd Fellows
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 43608
  • Liked:
Re: In an even-money bet...
« Reply #44 on: April 14, 2021, 04:51:24 PM »
Assume that a casino gives you $1,000 with the caveat that you HAVE TO bet their $1,000 gift on either:
  • Bama and Clemson to win >5 NC's in the next 10 years or
  • Bama/Clemson to win <5 NC's in the next 10 years.
I'd take 2, barely, it's close.

OrangeAfroMan

  • Stats Porn
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 12291
  • Liked:
Re: In an even-money bet...
« Reply #45 on: April 14, 2021, 05:03:28 PM »
The answer to these questions is always the field.....but it doesn't mean you'll always win.  

The one people always went overboard on was Tiger Woods vs the field.  No matter how good he was, the right answer was the field, even if he won x-consecutive majors.  
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Cincydawg

  • Ombudsman for the Secret Order of the Odd Fellows
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 43608
  • Liked:
Re: In an even-money bet...
« Reply #46 on: April 15, 2021, 09:54:35 AM »
A thing about the playoff is whoever has to win twice against top flight competition.  A very good team might have a 70% chance of winning one game, but times 2, the odds shrink to below 50% (barely).

FearlessF

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 20514
  • Liked:
Re: In an even-money bet...
« Reply #47 on: April 22, 2021, 12:11:04 PM »
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

OrangeAfroMan

  • Stats Porn
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 12291
  • Liked:
Re: In an even-money bet...
« Reply #48 on: April 22, 2021, 01:24:23 PM »
The ESPN mimicked the soccer thing and made a 15-team super-conference.  Old guard kings Nebraska and Tennessee are OUT.
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

FearlessF

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 20514
  • Liked:
Re: In an even-money bet...
« Reply #49 on: April 22, 2021, 02:10:53 PM »
as stated in Shatel's article above the 15-team super conference would never happen

Saban wouldn't allow it
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

OrangeAfroMan

  • Stats Porn
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 12291
  • Liked:
Re: In an even-money bet...
« Reply #50 on: April 22, 2021, 02:43:19 PM »
Saban is temporary.  
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

FearlessF

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 20514
  • Liked:
Re: In an even-money bet...
« Reply #51 on: April 22, 2021, 02:58:38 PM »
when Saban is gone, the nest coach at Bama won't want a schedule with no gimmees

neither will Ohio St., Clemson, Florida, Oklahomo, Texas, Notre Dame or any of the other top 15 programs

none of them want to go 8-4
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

utee94

  • Global Moderator
  • Legend
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 9049
  • Liked:
Re: In an even-money bet...
« Reply #52 on: April 22, 2021, 04:15:14 PM »
when Saban is gone, the nest coach at Bama won't want a schedule with no gimmees

neither will Ohio St., Clemson, Florida, Oklahomo, Texas, Notre Dame or any of the other top 15 programs

none of them want to go 8-4
Not just that, but the heart of college football is regionalism.  A "super league" would almost entirely eliminate that, and a sport that is already losing fans at an increasing rate, would be completely lost in short order. 

College football just doesn't translate to an all-TV league in the same way the NFL can and does.

Cincydawg

  • Ombudsman for the Secret Order of the Odd Fellows
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 43608
  • Liked:
Re: In an even-money bet...
« Reply #53 on: April 22, 2021, 08:05:43 PM »
UGA in a few years has three P5 teams slated, Clemson, Ohio state, Texas, etc, and one pastry.

Well, and Tech.

OrangeAfroMan

  • Stats Porn
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 12291
  • Liked:
Re: In an even-money bet...
« Reply #54 on: April 22, 2021, 11:25:59 PM »
When Tech ditched the option, I feel like everyone they play had a sigh of relief.  
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Cincydawg

  • Ombudsman for the Secret Order of the Odd Fellows
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 43608
  • Liked:
Re: In an even-money bet...
« Reply #55 on: April 24, 2021, 08:15:01 AM »
When Tech ditched the option, I feel like everyone they play had a sigh of relief. 
I certainly did, obviously mostly because of the cut blocking they did, and also because it was tough to defend with one week of practice.

They can't recruit enough to play straight up football though, they are like the academies.  The campus is a LOT nicer than it used to be.

As noted above, we've had periods of dominance by 2-3 teams often, and it never/rarely lasts more than 5-6 seasons (in recent memory).  Bama has exceeded that.  Teams that fairly recently seemed to be on a dominant run include Nebraska, Miami, Texas, USC ..., all of whom are down now.  Will Bama/Clemson hit the skids like  that?

Ohio State is the most consistently good program over time out there.

 

Support the Site!
Purchase of every item listed here DIRECTLY supports the site.