The other P5 CG's based on ELA's predictions:
ACC:
Florida State has clinched the Atlantic Division.
The Coastal Division is MUCH more complicated:
- Miami (FL) has the inside track at 6-1 but they travel to Pittsburgh to play the Panthers in the last week.
- If Miami wins, they face FSU in the ACCCG.
- If Miami loses they, Pitt, and GaTech will all finish 6-2. Additionally, VaTech will also finish 6-2 if they beat Virginia (should be easy). Thus, if Miami loses there will be either a three-way or a four-way tie atop the ACC-Coastal. The first tiebreaker is H2H2H (or H2H2H2H) as the case may be. In the four-way tie Miami would be 2-1 (wins over GaTech and VaTech, loss to Pitt). I didn't check the rest.
Big12:
There are no divisions in the Big12, instead the top two teams go to the CG. Oklahoma State would already have clinched as they could do no worse than a tie for first. Kansas State would already have clinched the second spot because they could do no worse than a tie for second with Oklahoma at 7-2 and back in week-8 ELA predicted that Kansas State would beat Oklahoma.
PAC 12:
North:
Stanford would already have clinched because they could do no worse than a tie with WSU and ELA predicted that Stanford would beat WSU.
South:
Colorado would already have clinched because they could do no worse than a tie with USC and ELA predicted that Colorado would beat USC.
SEC:
East:
Florida would already have clinched.
West:
Alabama and Auburn would be playing for the SEC-W berth in the SECCG. This could get really interesting because if Bama were to lose to Auburn they would be in a similar situation to what Ohio State was in last year. They would finish 11-1 and a co-Division Champion but with no CG. They would also have a win over an ACC Divisional Champion and potential ACC Champ (FSU) much like Ohio State, last year, had a win over a P5 Champion (Oklahoma). Additionally, if Bama were to lose to Auburn it would be on the road and, like Penn State last year, the Tigers would have both an OOC loss (@Clemson) and a conference loss (@LSU).
The CFP implications get really interesting:
Alabama (@Auburn) and Florida (vFSU) would essentially be playing 1/8th finals for the NC because for either of them the path to the NC is very clear:
- Beat rival (Auburn/FSU) "1/8th final"
- Win SECCG "quarterfinal"
- Win CFP semi-final
- Win CFP Championship
However, if Florida and Bama were both to lose the SEC's playoff hopes would be somewhat tenuous. Alabama would finish with the best record (11-1/7-1) but the Florida/Auburn winner would be the SEC Champion with a record of 11-2. Meanwhile, the Seminoles picking up a HUGE quality win on the road against the Gators would bolster their chances but they'd still be a two-loss team.