I didn't think Mullen would get fired, and probably still don't, but it wouldn't shock me now. They fired some assisstants, which was obvious, but it appears bigger changes are needed, and Mullen may not be the guy to do it.
I'd put it at 60% he gets another year. I'd put it at 90% for Harbaugh. I had thought Mullen was a really good coach at the start of the year.