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Topic: BBT's Penn State Preview

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Big Beef Tacosupreme

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BBT's Penn State Preview
« on: August 11, 2019, 06:55:05 PM »
This off season Penn State was hit with more transfers than perhaps any other team in the nation.  They lost an all time great at QB, and the second RB picked in the draft.  Further, their best offensive lineman left early for the NFL.  The schedule is tough, with a night game against Iowa at their house on a "gold out," and a brutal stretch of games right in the middle.  Crossover games against Purdue and Minnesota are no longer easy games.

This SHOULD be a bit of a rebuilding year then.  However, Penn State's situation may not be as challenging as it first appears. 

Special Teams:

Penn State should see some pretty major upgrades here.  Everyone of note returns, they picked up one of the nation's best kickoff specialists from Virginia Tech, and increased depth should allow for stronger special team play.  By all accounts this unit should be improved over last season, and special teams last season were pretty good.

Offense:

Wide receivers- Last year, Penn State's one year experiment with having a RB coach in charge didn't work out.  The deep and senior-laden wide receiving core suddenly became unreliable, and seemed to drop nearly as many passes as they caught.  Franklin fired the guy, and got himself a true wide receiver coach.  Towards the end of the season, the senior wide receivers saw less and less time, eventually supplanted by young guys like KJ Hamler and Jahan Dotson.  This summer, after losing his starting job, Juwan Johnson transferred to Oregon.  He was supposed to be the best wide receiver on the roster just one year ago.  This is a young unit, but should be an improvement over the previous year. 

Tight Ends:

This should be the strength of the offense.  I think everyone knows about freshman All-American Pat Freiermuth by now, but there are VERY good players behind him.  Expect to see a lot of two TE sets.
This will be the best TE unit in the B1G.

Offensive Line: 

The departure of Connor McGovern early to the NFL huts in a big way.  If he had stayed, this would undoubtedly be one of the better lines in the B1G.  Fortunately, Penn State has recruited well over the last few seasons, and, for the first time under Franklin, will have an actual 2 deep across the board.  It's strange to think that the NCAA sanctions effected this unit until 2019, but they did.  Overall, I expect the line to remain middle of the road in the B1G.  I think they take a step back, mostly due to the ability of Trace McSorely to move in the pocket.

QB:

Sean Clifford is a fan favorite, mostly due to his absurd 399.7 QB rating from 2018.  Although he is more of a pocket passer, he also has the ability to run if needed.  Franklin even mentioned that Clifford beat McSorely's 40 time this summer.   Most seem to agree he is a much more accurate passer than Trace, but he doesn't have the pocket presence and awareness that Trace had.  I expect a step back here, but not as much as some think.

Note:  This is technically still an open QB competition with Will Levis, and the BTN guys said that both guys looked good and neither one seemed ahead of the other.  There is a slim possibility that Will Levis will start.  I can't say much about him since he is fairly unknown.  He is a gargantuan man and looks like a linebacker.

Defense will come later...

Temp430

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Re: BBT's Penn State Preview
« Reply #1 on: August 12, 2019, 08:07:03 AM »
Penn State has a very good defense.  Clifford is a solid QB but they will miss McSorely's scrambling and make something happen out of a busted play ability and other intangibles such as toughness and fantastic luck.  Penn State should win most of their games.  I mean, they're a bit better than 7-5 I've seen in some pre-season guesstimates.  Looking forward to the rumored white out on October 19th.
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Anonymous Coward

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Re: BBT's Penn State Preview
« Reply #2 on: August 12, 2019, 10:37:17 AM »
Penn State has a very good defense.  Clifford is a solid QB but they will miss McSorely's scrambling and make something happen out of a busted play ability and other intangibles such as toughness and fantastic luck.  Penn State should win most of their games.  I mean, they're a bit better than 7-5 I've seen in some pre-season guesstimates.  Looking forward to the rumored white out on October 19th.
Is it rumored? I thought it was announced.

Big Beef Tacosupreme

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Re: BBT's Penn State Preview
« Reply #3 on: August 12, 2019, 01:53:06 PM »
Is it rumored? I thought it was announced.
It is indeed announced.  It is even on the tickets.

Big Beef Tacosupreme

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Re: BBT's Penn State Preview
« Reply #4 on: August 12, 2019, 02:02:21 PM »
Penn State Running backs:

Penn State will likely split running back duties between:

1.  Ricky Slade, who averaged 5.7 YPC last season and is a smaller, shifty back.
2.  Journey Brown, a speedster who played sparingly last year.
3.  Or two true highly touted freshman.

The running back position should be a strength again for this team, although perhaps not to the level of a Miles Sanders.   As far as quality and depth goes, it is telling that former 4 star and Notre Dame transfer CJ Holmes made the transition to safety this off season.

Big Beef Tacosupreme

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Re: BBT's Penn State Preview
« Reply #5 on: August 12, 2019, 02:44:01 PM »
The Penn State defense should be very much improved from last season.

Defensive Ends:  This group of defensive ends will make a strong case to be the best in the B1G.  Yes, I know there is a lot of ridiculous talent in the B1G this year.  Penn State led the B1G in sacks last season, and this group is even more talented this year.  Gross-Matos was voted first team All-Big Ten in just his sophomore season.  However, behind him there are 5 extremely talented players. 

Jayson Oweh - A freak of an athlete and one of the fastest players on the team.  He ran a 4.33 forty yard dash this summer.  Did I mention he is 6'5 and 250 pounds?  He had two sacks in 4 games as a true freshman, and was picked by most of the team to be the break out player.

Shaka Toney / Shareef Miller- Played in all 13 games last year, both tied for 12th in the B1G with 0.44 sacks per game.  Shareef was constantly in the backfield of the opponents, and ended with 9 tackles for loss in B1G play.  

Shane Simmons - An all world recruit that spent most of his redshirt freshman season injured.  By all accounts he is healthy and he and Toney specifically singled out by James Franklin for praise.

Keep in mind that Penn State likes to rotate their guys, so all of these players should be a significant factor in 2019.  The unit will be an improvement over 2018.

Defensive Tackles:

Penn State has two very good defensive tackles, but not a lot of proven depth behind them.  True freshman PJ Mustipher was so talented that he played in all 12 games last season.  He has drawn rave reviews so far this year.  James Franklin remarked that he was a bit worried about the DT position, but now he isn't worried any more.  PJ is the reason Franklin can relax a little bit. 

Robert Windsor was a second team all B1G selection in 2018.  He's a dang good player and should be one of the best DTs in the B1G again this year.

My concern is depth.  Although Penn State has recruited well, I haven't heard much about anyone other than Windsor and Mustipher.  No news is probably bad news.  I think this unit takes a small step back in 2019.

More to come

Big Beef Tacosupreme

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Re: BBT's Penn State Preview
« Reply #6 on: August 12, 2019, 03:58:20 PM »
Cornerbacks:

This unit should also be among the best in the B1G.  It is deep, and it is talented.  John Reid was  honorable All-B1G last season, despite still recovering from a significant injury in 2017.  James Franklin says that he is finally back to his 2016 form.  In fact, Franklin says he looks much better than 2016.

Tariq Castro-Fields actually was the better player last season, but hasn't gotten the accolades John Reid has.  Perhaps it is because teams rarely throw in his direction.

A newcomer to watch is Keaton Ellis.  Apparently he is the best player from Penn State's highly regarded freshman recruiting class.  This unit should be better than the 2018 version.


Big Beef Tacosupreme

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Re: BBT's Penn State Preview
« Reply #7 on: August 12, 2019, 04:26:52 PM »
Linebackers:

I don't know what most observers would think of the 2018 squad, but I felt the linebackers were the weakest part of the defense.  Even freak athlete, Micah Parsons, seemed to always be tackling people 7 yards downfield.  However, the unit did improve over the course of the year, and return everyone.  I expect this to be the most improved unit on the team, but perhaps not as dominating as most of the press is predicting. 

Safeties:

Another deep unit in which a senior transferred for playing time elsewhere.  One of the starters is Garrett Taylor, who was tagged as an honorable mention All B1G safety in 2018.  The other safety position is up for grabs, but it should be between 2018 starter Lamont Wade and an incoming transfer, Jaquan Brisker.  It is considered the most the most competitive position on the team.  I expect this unit to be improved in 2019.

So, overall ranking compared to 2018:

Linebackers: ++
Safeties: +
Defensive End: +
Defensive Tackle: -
Wide receivers: ++
Tight Ends:  +
Running Backs: -
Offensive Line:  =
Quarterback: -
Special Teams:  +


MrNubbz

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Re: BBT's Penn State Preview
« Reply #8 on: August 12, 2019, 04:36:42 PM »
nice write ups,didn't know PSU lead the Conf. in Sacks
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Anonymous Coward

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Re: BBT's Penn State Preview
« Reply #9 on: August 12, 2019, 04:48:11 PM »
BBTZ, how long do you think Franklin will last: as long as he wants, or less?

Big Beef Tacosupreme

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Re: BBT's Penn State Preview
« Reply #10 on: August 12, 2019, 07:14:12 PM »
BBTZ, how long do you think Franklin will last: as long as he wants, or less?
If I recall, you are a Michigan fan, so I will put this in a Michigan context.

As far as coaching hot seats go, Franklin's seat is practically frozen compared to Harbaugh.   I think most Michigan fans are happy with Harbaugh.

Franklin is well liked by most people associated with PSU.

Cincydawg

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Re: BBT's Penn State Preview
« Reply #11 on: August 13, 2019, 08:00:22 AM »
It starts with expectations.  You could imagine what would happen to the coach who replaced Saban if the Tide had records of say 10-3, 11-2, 10-3 ....

... if you managed that at Iowa they'd name streets after you.

Mark Richt was 10-3 in his last two seasons.  (One bowl win in that last year is technically not his.)

I think JH needs to make the playoff this season.  If UM doesn't THIS year, when would they in the future?  I suspect expectations at PSU are more rational, they can be 10-3 on average and JF will be in decent shape.

Big Beef Tacosupreme

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Re: BBT's Penn State Preview
« Reply #12 on: August 13, 2019, 09:05:56 AM »
It starts with expectations.  You could imagine what would happen to the coach who replaced Saban if the Tide had records of say 10-3, 11-2, 10-3 ....

... if you managed that at Iowa they'd name streets after you.

Mark Richt was 10-3 in his last two seasons.  (One bowl win in that last year is technically not his.)

I think JH needs to make the playoff this season.  If UM doesn't THIS year, when would they in the future?  I suspect expectations at PSU are more rational, they can be 10-3 on average and JF will be in decent shape.
Historically, Penn State has had a big run about every 3 years.  Under Franklin there seems to be more of a consistency from year to year.  Penn State has been ranked for 40 straight weeks, which is something like 5th in the nation.

Temp430

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Re: BBT's Penn State Preview
« Reply #13 on: August 13, 2019, 09:12:26 AM »
Not time given on the Nitts'
It is indeed announced.  It is even on the tickets.

No time or other indication given on the Nitts' schedule.

https://gopsusports.com/schedule.aspx?schedule=516
A decade of Victory over Penn State.

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