Perhaps the BEST B1G Forum anywhere, here at College Football Fan Site, CFB51!!!

I will limit this discussion to the three 1-loss B1G teams:  Michigan, Ohio State, and Iowa.  The two-loss teams (UW and PSU) have a theoretical shot but it would require chaos because there would need to be a whole bunch of upsets nationally before a 2-loss B1G Champion got in and, in Penn State's case, they would need a whole lot of upsets just to get into their divisional race.  

#5, 7-1 Michigan:
The Wolverines clearly have the best CFP chance of the B1G teams.  We had a discussion last week about whether or not they control their own destiny.  I'm still not 100% convinced that they do and Ohio State's blowout loss to Purdue didn't help the Wolverines on that front.  In theory, I could see a 12-1 Michigan them finishing behind a 12-1 or 11-1 non-champion Bama along with ND and the SEC and ACC Champions.  

#11, 7-1 Ohio State: 
IMHO, Ohio State's playoff chances are MUCH worse than Michigan's because the chances of a 12-1 Ohio State being behind a 12-1 or 11-1 non-champion Bama are much greater.  Additionally, a 12-1 Ohio State would probably finish behind a 12-1 Texas or Oklahoma as well.  

#18, 6-1 Iowa:  
Iowa's loss is obviously better than Ohio State's, but the major problem for the Hawkeyes is that they do not control their own destiny even in the B1G-W.  Iowa's chances of getting in at 11-1 are somewhere between slim and none so they basically are not in the discussion unless/until Wisconsin loses another game.  

Would the optics of a win over Purdue in the Big Ten Ccg be OSU's best bet?

ND in the Big Wrinkle in the Porridge obviously.

Remaining opponents:  Navy @ NW, FSU, Syracuse, @ USC.

NW and USC are 4-3.  An upset by USC on the final week would of course knock them out with no chance to recover.

Their best wins are UM of course and Stanford, who doesn't look that great.

I think a 12-1 Michigan gets in over a 1 loss pac or big 12 champ. I think 12-1 Oklahoma would be close, but currently I think they’d get in over those 2 conferences. They’d also get in over a 12-1 Clemson acc champ if the tigers tripped up somehow in the regular season.

Every contender should root for bama to win out, because if bama gets tripped up somewhere but dominates in their other 11 games I think they’d get in, even over a 12-1 Michigan team.

I agree.  Only chance of a 1 loss Michigan being left out is undefeated Clemson and undefeated Notre Dame, LSU beats Bama close at home, and both teams otherwise win out, Alabama in dominating fashion.  Would be an interesting test because we'd basically be looking at Alabama's MOV over what would be a very weak schedule.  I still think the Committee wants to avoid that headache, and would still put Michigan in over them, but that's the ONLY way I would give even a slight chance of a 12-1 Michigan being left out.

Michigan wins out, their in. They control their own destiny.

The Texas loss potentially hurts Oklahoma (and helps Michigan).  

An ND loss would clear matters up to some extent, but I don't expect one.  NW?

If UGA beats UK next week, they win the SEC East.  They could lose to Auburn the following week and have the H2H tie breakers on any other 2 loss teams as they would be undefeated in East play.

UK would also win the East if they beat UGA.  

Great points K60,haven't followed 'Cuse and that game has the makings of an upset