I have not been able to get a good feel for who is going to win this game. Early in the week, I was thinking PSU 20, Iowa 16. Yesterday I was thinking Iowa 20, PSU 6. Today I am thinking
Iowa 16, PSU 13
I do not expect PSU to turn the ball over as much as Iowa's opponents usually do, but this approach will limit PSU's scoring chances. So the key question is can Iowa's offense score on PSU's defense without making any mistakes. That seems doubtful too. So that suggests this game could be won with as little as 16 points.