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Topic: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation

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ELA

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #14 on: July 31, 2025, 10:55:43 AM »


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ELA

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #15 on: July 31, 2025, 11:08:46 AM »
SEPTEMBER 7 POLL
  • OHIO STATE (2-0) 1
  • OREGON (2-0) 2
  • Georgia (2-0) 3
  • Notre Dame (1-0) 4
  • Texas (1-1) 5
  • PENN STATE (2-0) 6
  • Alabama (2-0) 7
  • Clemson (2-0) 8
  • ILLINOIS (2-0) 10
  • Texas A&M (2-0) 11
  • Tennessee (2-0) 12
  • Oklahoma (2-0) 22
  • LSU (1-1) 13
  • Ole Miss (2-0) 14
  • Miami (1-1) 15
  • South Carolina (2-0) 16
  • MICHIGAN (1-1) 9
  • Missouri (2-0) 18
  • SMU (2-0) 19
  • Florida (2-0) 20
  • Kansas State (3-0) 21
  • INDIANA (2-0) 23
  • Mississippi State (2-0) -
  • Boise State (2-0) 24
  • Arkansas (2-0) 25
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medinabuckeye1

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #16 on: July 31, 2025, 11:16:16 AM »
Bama has an eight week stretch where they play six teams projected to be ranked and a team that beat them last year.  That is rough.  

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jgvol

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #17 on: July 31, 2025, 12:00:06 PM »
Quote from: medinabuckeye1 on July 31, 2025, 11:16:16 AM
Bama has an eight week stretch where they play six teams projected to be ranked and a team that beat them last year.  That is rough. 



What a shame.  My heart hurts for them.
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SFBadger96

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #18 on: July 31, 2025, 12:03:01 PM »
And Wisconsin! Reading the beat reporters right now has convinced me Bama better not sleep on the new-look Badgers! :-)

/sarcasm (mostly)
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medinabuckeye1

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #19 on: July 31, 2025, 02:35:05 PM »
Quote from: jgvol on July 31, 2025, 12:00:06 PM
What a shame.  My heart hurts for them.
I'm sure you won't shed any tears for @OrangeAfroMan 's Gators either but this 5-week stretch is pretty rough as well:

It doesn't get much easier for them.  After that they get MissSt at home then a week off then #4 in the WLOCP, at UK, and at #15 OleMiss.  Then they host your #14 Volunteers.  
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medinabuckeye1

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #20 on: July 31, 2025, 02:40:20 PM »
I made this table based on @ELA 's projected preseason poll from above, if I missed anything please let me know and I'll add it:


One interesting thing that I noticed in putting this together is that the neutral site game in Dublin, Ireland on August 23 between Kansas State and Iowa State might be easy to overlook but it could have a major impact in determining which B12 team makes the playoffs.  The B12 only has three ranked teams:

  • #17 ASU
  • #21 KSU
  • #24 ISU
The top-2 do NOT play each other so the key games are KSU/ISU in Dublin in "week 0" and ASU/ISU in Ames on November 1. 
« Last Edit: July 31, 2025, 04:39:30 PM by medinabuckeye1 »
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847badgerfan

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #21 on: July 31, 2025, 02:41:48 PM »
Quote from: SFBadger96 on July 31, 2025, 12:03:01 PM
And Wisconsin! Reading the beat reporters right now has convinced me Bama better not sleep on the new-look Badgers! :-)

/sarcasm (mostly)
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SFBadger96

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #22 on: July 31, 2025, 06:26:52 PM »
4-0 headed into the first break.
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ELA

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #23 on: July 31, 2025, 07:52:39 PM »
Wow, didn't realize the cake walk Kansas State had to the Big XII Championship

I will say, the predictive metrics do love Texas Tech, so that might be the wrench
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Temp430

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #24 on: Today at 07:35:31 AM »
UCLA d. Utah?  What happened to Utah?
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FearlessF

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #25 on: Today at 08:43:51 AM »
well, UCLA is a Big Ten team now so, ..............the Bruins got way better by association

kinda like the SEC
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