Big game for OSU tonight. OSU has great metrics and a couple of good wins on the resume, but they just don't have enough wins overall yet to justify a tournament spot. If they can pull off winning all the home games (Maryland, Washington, Michigan, NW, & Nebraska) and pick up at least one road game (Nebraska, USC, UCLA, & IU), they would finish 19-12 and that would probably be enough to get them in.
If they drop this game tonight though, they will probably have to pull off at least 2 or 3 or the road games to make up for it.
At this point, MSU, Purdue, Michigan, UCLA, Wisconsin, and Maryland are likely tournament teams.
I'm starting to question Illinois though. The Arkansas and Oregon wins are starting to look not nearly as impressive as they were earlier in the season. The Missouri win is probably their best win so far. With games left @Minn, UCLA, MSU, @Wisc, Duke (N), Iowa, @Mich, & Purdue, I could see them dropping at least four of those games and finishing 19-12. Might get a little dicey at that point.