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Topic: 2023 Recruiting or How I learned to stop worrying & love the portal

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medinabuckeye1

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Re: 2023 Recruiting or How I learned to stop worrying & love the portal
« Reply #266 on: August 18, 2022, 10:51:21 PM »
Anywho, I understand the disinterest in a system that can't be precise, and no system in CFB will be precise in that way, so is what it is. I begrudgingly came to see it's effective in a certain ways. It's not perfect, and the inputs are oft fuzzy, but also probably based on more logical things than the high-end skeptics would admit.
Agree.

Years ago, for a short while I followed recruiting intently back in the early 2000's. Eventually I figured out that it was silly to get overly excited about individual recruits that my school got or didn't get because there are plenty of high-end 5* HS seniors that you never hear of again and plenty of no-name 3* HS seniors who end up as superstars.

That said, hoping that your favorite team is just REALLY good at identifying "diamonds in the rough" and that your class full of 3* will end up being better than your rivals' classes of 5* is a recipe for disappointment.

5* guys are absolutely better than 3* guys on average. There are certainly exceptions so finding an individual 3* who ended up better than an individual 5* is easy but as the numbers grow this becomes increasingly difficult and eventually impossible.

Now the main thing I look at is the final average star rating and even there I understand that small differences are largely irrelevant. If Ohio State and Michigan end up fairly close that is effectively even because one 5* bust for the leader or 3* all-American for the team behind flips the script but if the gap is large it is a VERY safe bet that the leader has a better class.

Mdot21

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Re: 2023 Recruiting or How I learned to stop worrying & love the portal
« Reply #267 on: August 19, 2022, 12:06:21 AM »
I used to follow this stuff really closely. Not so much anymore. Seems like Michigan has had a ton of really bad luck with the 5* types before Harbaugh. Their 5* types seem to hit at much better rate as of late.

ELA

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Re: 2023 Recruiting or How I learned to stop worrying & love the portal
« Reply #268 on: August 22, 2022, 09:39:35 PM »
MSU adds 4* in state DE Jalen Thompson.  Weird recruitment.  He's a 3.9 student, taking college engineering classes already.  He was a can't miss guy a couple years ago, but he dropped a bit.  Sounds like OSU was his dream school, but he didn't have a committable offer.  He had one from UM, but hated Harbaugh.  Wanted to announce on CBS, so he needed a top 5, so included PSU and Pitt, but didn't actually have either hat on the table.  So he announced a top 5.  2 were clearly not in the running, one didn't give him a committable offer, so MSU it is.

If MSU is the beneficiary of a 4* DE with a 3.9 taking college engineering courses, because OSU is on the fence, I'll take him

ELA

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Re: 2023 Recruiting or How I learned to stop worrying & love the portal
« Reply #269 on: August 23, 2022, 09:39:40 PM »
WR Demitrius Bell was one of all 7 Top 250 MSU commits to drop in the recent rerank.  But he was the only one to fall lit completely.  He got an Alabama offer, and has now decomitted.  Let's see what happens

FearlessF

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Re: 2023 Recruiting or How I learned to stop worrying & love the portal
« Reply #270 on: August 25, 2022, 06:49:06 PM »
Cameron Lenhardt’s journey will take him to Nebraska.

After starting his prep career off at New Jersey’s Don Bosco Prep and electing to finish it off at the national powerhouse that is Florida’s IMG Academy, the New York native announced a verbal commitment to Scott Frost and the Cornhuskers on Thursday night, less than 24 hours before the first official game of his senior season.

Lenhardt picked Nebraska over his two other finalists: Michigan State and Penn State. Auburn had also expressed interest in recent weeks while dozens of other Power Five programs around the country were keeping tabs as the nation’s No. 33-ranked edge player per 247Sports.
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

Mdot21

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Re: 2023 Recruiting or How I learned to stop worrying & love the portal
« Reply #271 on: August 31, 2022, 01:54:05 PM »
5* EDGE Nyckoles Harbor (6-5, 225) seriously looking at Michigan. Schedules an OV. From DC, has connections to Michigan. Not often a freaking defensive end is an elite track star....he runs 10.28 verified in the 100m. At 6'5, 225. Crazy. 

Michigan has done about as well as any program in terms of putting edge players into the NFL draft the last 5 years or so. Chris Wormley (3rd rd), Chase Winovich (3rd rd), Josh Uche (2nd rd), Rashan Gary (1st rd), Kwity Paye (1st rd), Aidan Hutchinson (1st rd), David Ojabo (woulda been 1st rd if not for injury at pro day).

FearlessF

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Re: 2023 Recruiting or How I learned to stop worrying & love the portal
« Reply #272 on: September 26, 2022, 10:36:56 PM »
May be an image of 2 people and text that says '10 BOISE STATE 19 STHE ? 247 SPORTS 247Sports @247Sports Boise State QB Hank Bachmeier to enter NCAA transfer portal, per @jordankaye_23:'
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bayareabadger

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Re: 2023 Recruiting or How I learned to stop worrying & love the portal
« Reply #273 on: September 27, 2022, 12:24:39 AM »
I really thought that kid had been better than he's been. 

Temp430

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Re: 2023 Recruiting or How I learned to stop worrying & love the portal
« Reply #274 on: September 27, 2022, 08:54:02 AM »
Live and die by the portal should be Mel Tucker's motto.
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Brutus Buckeye

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Mdot21

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Re: 2023 Recruiting or How I learned to stop worrying & love the portal
« Reply #276 on: September 28, 2022, 06:06:27 PM »
5*, #1 DT, and top 10 player David Hicks (6'4, 270) commits to Texas A&M. How they continue to get 5* elite kids is beyond me. Guess they all want to sign up for losing to App State and being 4th place in the SEC West every year.

MrNubbz

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Re: 2023 Recruiting or How I learned to stop worrying & love the portal
« Reply #277 on: September 28, 2022, 08:23:39 PM »
who was that Ole Miss a few yrs back who were landing 4-5 stars left & right.You accused them of cheating......and were right
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Mdot21

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Re: 2023 Recruiting or How I learned to stop worrying & love the portal
« Reply #278 on: September 28, 2022, 09:01:04 PM »
who was that Ole Miss a few yrs back who were landing 4-5 stars left & right.You accused them of cheating......and were right


 

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