Planned changes to tiers:
Michigan down to a new Tier-5:They won in Iowa City but offset that with a home loss to Iowa. They also have home losses to Indiana, Minnesota, and now Rutgers.
Ohio State down to Tier-4:
I really thought that the catastrophe last year would be the worst of the Holtmann era but he is now on pace to outdo himself. This year's Ohio State team looks worse than last year and at this point they are one of the worst two teams in the league.
Not sure what to do with Penn State:If you want to know why the Nittany Lions confuse me, just look at their last five games. They have three very good wins: Wisconsin was a good win because the Badgers are good and the other two are good wins because they were on the road in Piscataway and Bloomington. The other two games were very bad losses: Ohio State is a bad loss because Holtmann and Minnesota was a bad loss because it was at home.
Penn State now has one negative upset (home loss to Minnesota) and three positive upsets:
- Home win over UW
- Win in Piscataway
- Win in Bloomington
Sounds simple, we should just move them up, right? Well not so fast. All three of those would still be upsets even if we moved them up and their home loss to Northwestern would become an upset as well.
We could move them all the way up to Tier-2. That would eliminate the Wisconsin and Indiana upsets but do you really expect them to win upcoming home games against the Illini and Spartans? Also, assuming we move tOSU down, the road loss to the Buckeyes would become an upset.
