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Topic: 2022 SP+/FPI Game by Game simulation

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Cincydawg

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Re: 2022 SP+/FPI Game by Game simulation
« Reply #154 on: August 30, 2022, 01:28:30 PM »
If this is what happened, would you be:

1.  Thrilled
2.  Satisfied
3.  So so
4.  Disappointed
5.  ranting


ELA

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Re: 2022 SP+/FPI Game by Game simulation
« Reply #155 on: August 30, 2022, 01:37:51 PM »
So So

8-5 isn't bad, and we were certainly a bit ahead our boots last year, but taking a step back when the trajectory is building up, never feels good.  But if you had told me before last year we'd go 6-6 last season, and then 8-4 in 2022, I would have been very happy with that

Abba

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Re: 2022 SP+/FPI Game by Game simulation
« Reply #156 on: August 30, 2022, 01:59:40 PM »
Obviously thrilled.  You get a national title, an undefeated season and a win over an undefeated Michigan in the Game.  Then you also get to beat 2 SEC teams in the playoffs.  Was this thing written by Buckeye fan fiction?

Cincydawg

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Re: 2022 SP+/FPI Game by Game simulation
« Reply #157 on: August 30, 2022, 02:15:07 PM »
I'd be at about a 2.5, it's about what I expect, and I know it could easily be worse by a couple losses.


FearlessF

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Re: 2022 SP+/FPI Game by Game simulation
« Reply #158 on: August 30, 2022, 02:21:06 PM »
Satisfied

was a good early run that kept folks excited

and I'd assume Frost would still have his job with the possibility of the better 2023

besides, we beat the Sooners!
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

rolltidefan

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Re: 2022 SP+/FPI Game by Game simulation
« Reply #159 on: August 30, 2022, 02:22:36 PM »
around 1.75-ish. i'll never be so-so or worse about an sec title winning season or playoff birth season. but losing to tenn really puts damper on it.

rolltidefan

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Re: 2022 SP+/FPI Game by Game simulation
« Reply #160 on: August 30, 2022, 02:26:30 PM »
Obviously thrilled.  You get a national title, an undefeated season and a win over an undefeated Michigan in the Game.  Then you also get to beat 2 SEC teams in the playoffs.  Was this thing written by Buckeye fan fiction?
AAA (ann arbhor adam) --> ELA (east lansing adam) --> TCA (the columbus adam)  or maybe BAA (benedict arnold adam)?

medinabuckeye1

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Re: 2022 SP+/FPI Game by Game simulation
« Reply #161 on: August 30, 2022, 02:55:42 PM »
If this is what happened, would you be:

1.  Thrilled
2.  Satisfied
3.  So so
4.  Disappointed
5.  ranting
Obviously thrilled, this covers it:
Obviously thrilled.  You get a national title, an undefeated season and a win over an undefeated Michigan in the Game.  Then you also get to beat 2 SEC teams in the playoffs.  Was this thing written by Buckeye fan fiction?

medinabuckeye1

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Re: 2022 SP+/FPI Game by Game simulation
« Reply #162 on: August 30, 2022, 03:02:14 PM »
So So

8-5 isn't bad, and we were certainly a bit ahead our boots last year, but taking a step back when the trajectory is building up, never feels good.  But if you had told me before last year we'd go 6-6 last season, and then 8-4 in 2022, I would have been very happy with that
I've just been entering the preseason power ranking votes and what a difference a year makes. Last year MSU was #13. 

That said, I think the schedule is unhelpful for the Spartans. They get Ohio State at home but the next two toughest B1G-E teams (M, PSU) on the road. Then they get Wisconsin as a crossover at home. 2-2 against that group would be great but I think 1-3 is most likely with 0-4 about as likely as 2-2. 

Abba

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Re: 2022 SP+/FPI Game by Game simulation
« Reply #163 on: August 30, 2022, 03:10:53 PM »
Yep, schedules matter.  I think Wisconsin is the best team in the West on paper, but they have an absolutely brutal schedule, so I think a 9-4 season would be a good season.  If they can win the West against that schedule, it would have to border on thrilling.

ELA

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Re: 2022 SP+/FPI Game by Game simulation
« Reply #164 on: August 30, 2022, 03:22:15 PM »
I've just been entering the preseason power ranking votes and what a difference a year makes. Last year MSU was #13.

That said, I think the schedule is unhelpful for the Spartans. They get Ohio State at home but the next two toughest B1G-E teams (M, PSU) on the road. Then they get Wisconsin as a crossover at home. 2-2 against that group would be great but I think 1-3 is most likely with 0-4 about as likely as 2-2.
Yeah OSU is a loss no matter where, so the two coin flip division games go from home to away.  Trading Nebraska for Wisconsin as the marquee crossover opponent certainly doesn't help.  Then the big OOC game we trade @Miami for @Washington.  Washington is a mess, but so was Miami last year, and that west coast September road trip seems to always be unnecessarily difficult for Big Ten teams.

So to be honest I think 7-1 otherwise should be the expectation, with a loss to OSU.  Then how they do from 7-5 to 11-1 depends on @Washington, WISCONSIN, @Michigan, @Penn State.  I would hope they would win 1 of those, to go 8-4, but 2-2, to go 9-3 I think would be a great season

Honestbuckeye

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Re: 2022 SP+/FPI Game by Game simulation
« Reply #165 on: August 30, 2022, 03:29:38 PM »
If this is what happened, would you be:

1.  Thrilled
2.  Satisfied
3.  So so
4.  Disappointed
5.  ranting


1.    And drunk.  
Get your facts first, then you can distort them as you please.
-Mark Twain

ELA

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Re: 2022 SP+/FPI Game by Game simulation
« Reply #166 on: August 30, 2022, 04:03:26 PM »
AAA (ann arbhor adam) --> ELA (east lansing adam) --> TCA (the columbus adam)  or maybe BAA (benedict arnold adam)?
Don't say baa around a Michigan fan, or you'll get them all excited :57:

847badgerfan

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Re: 2022 SP+/FPI Game by Game simulation
« Reply #167 on: August 30, 2022, 04:08:01 PM »
Yep, schedules matter.  I think Wisconsin is the best team in the West on paper, but they have an absolutely brutal schedule, so I think a 9-4 season would be a good season.  If they can win the West against that schedule, it would have to border on thrilling.
We Badger fans mostly all want 10 wins this season.
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

 

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