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Topic: 2022-2023 B1G Basketball Thread

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FearlessF

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Re: 2022-2023 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1400 on: March 17, 2023, 10:11:13 PM »
These commentators keep talking about how we couldn't stay with them on defense, I don't see our D as the problem gave up 63 points on 39% shooting.  No reason we don't score a minimum of 75 on these guys, our problem was just bricking wide open 3s all night long.
Edey should have scored 50

no plan and no patience
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medinabuckeye1

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Re: 2022-2023 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1401 on: March 17, 2023, 10:24:04 PM »
I mean, it kind of is. Purdue has Edey, who is a great college player and maybe a second round NBA draft pick. And other than that, not a whole lot.
Are you actually arguing that Fairlane Dickinson (sp?) Is more talented than Purdue?

bayareabadger

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Re: 2022-2023 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1402 on: March 17, 2023, 10:44:45 PM »
FDU didn't even win their conference. They added a bunch of division 2 schools just to maintain. And half their conference was ineligible, because you have to be division 1 for like 4 years to be eligible. I think they finished in 4th, and then lost in their conference championship?

This is a loss that literally cannot ever be matched in the NCAA tournament. FDU has to be the worst team to ever make it
I think you have to call them the worst team to ever win a game. They might not even be the worst team in this tournament.

Texas Southern finished up eighth in the SWAC, six games below .500, and was in the field this year

ELA

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Re: 2022-2023 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1403 on: March 17, 2023, 10:47:07 PM »
I think you have to call them the worst team to ever win a game. They might not even be the worst team in this tournament.

Texas Southern finished up eighth in the SWAC, six games below .500, and was in the field this year
I believe, prior to this win FDU was still ranked behind them in KenPom.  The NEC is essentially a D2 conference, and FDU didn't even win it.  Even if not, it was close.

EDIT; Looked it up, going into the tournament Texas Southern was #285, FDU was #312.  I'd be curious if any team was ranked as low as #312 in KenPom and got a bid

bayareabadger

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Re: 2022-2023 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1404 on: March 17, 2023, 10:59:40 PM »
I believe, prior to this win FDU was still ranked behind them in KenPom.  The NEC is essentially a D2 conference, and FDU didn't even win it.  Even if not, it was close.

EDIT; Looked it up, going into the tournament Texas Southern was #285, FDU was #312.  I'd be curious if any team was ranked as low as #312 in KenPom and got a bid
Man, that's impressive as hell. 

Honestly more impressive that a team that went 7-11 in the SWAC and was at 285. 

ELA

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Re: 2022-2023 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1405 on: March 17, 2023, 11:02:23 PM »
Man, that's impressive as hell.

Honestly more impressive that a team that went 7-11 in the SWAC and was at 285.
Texas Southern usually schedules their ass off, so I'm guessing that held their ranking off.  IIRC there was one year they started 2-9, after playing 9 P5 road games

bayareabadger

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Re: 2022-2023 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1406 on: March 17, 2023, 11:07:10 PM »
This has also convinced me the NETs blind spot is bad teams who get good numbers while doing poorly in a good conference.  Neither WVU or ISU looked like a tournament team
I'd be interested if there was some math on this. I usually feel like taking many patterns from the tournament is just chasing one's tail. (Also, are you talking the NET rankings themselves, or the way we rank NET )

ISU is interesting because they were a half-team that ran into another half-team. And their good defense did well capping Pitt's good offense, but their bad offense play like hot smoldering trash. WVU-Maryland was a tossup by the numbers and ended up playing out as such. Maryland is interesting because it's a good stats, so-so resume team. 

ELA

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Re: 2022-2023 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1407 on: March 17, 2023, 11:08:19 PM »
Texas Southern usually schedules their ass off, so I'm guessing that held their ranking off.  IIRC there was one year they started 2-9, after playing 9 P5 road games
This year they had the #4 non-con SOS

They played Houston, Kansas, Auburn, Texas Tech, Wichita State and San Francisco on the road, plus Arizona State and Oral Roberts on neutral courts.  So that will hold your rating up.

I'm also now interested in looking at the 3 harder non-conference schedules, because, I'm guessing it's a situation where there other couple games were so easy it REALLY dragged them down

ELA

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Re: 2022-2023 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1408 on: March 17, 2023, 11:14:49 PM »
I'd be interested if there was some math on this. I usually feel like taking many patterns from the tournament is just chasing one's tail. (Also, are you talking the NET rankings themselves, or the way we rank NET )

Yeah, taking NCAA tournament sample size is useless.  It's probably mostly anecdotal, but it certainly seems like the NET is too heavily reliant on predictive metrics, because once you get into conference play in the Big Ten or Big XII the past couple years, so long as you don't get blown out, your spot is fairly safe.

Granted my larger problem is how they use NET as a sorting tool for determining quality wins/losses, into defined buckets.  A team rises one spot, suddenly its a Quad 1 win, they fall one spot, its now a Quad 3 loss.  I do that mock bracket that is 2/3 SOR, 1/3 KenPom, and I think it does a hell of a better job, and doesn't boost or drop teams, based on these harshly defined buckets.  I hate that we tried to get more advanced, and then still decided to hyper analyze specific results.  Those results are baked in.  OK, you have a Quad 4 loss.  I don't think you should be killed for that anymore than it already hurts your SOR/KenPom ratings

MarqHusker

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Re: 2022-2023 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1409 on: March 17, 2023, 11:20:06 PM »
Kent St. with a cute little haircut bond.   

ELA

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Re: 2022-2023 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1410 on: March 17, 2023, 11:27:21 PM »
Kent St. with a cute little haircut bond. 
I initially had Kent State here, but once Michigan beat the best team in the MAC (Toledo), I figured Indiana was solid.

TJD always looks surprised that he's so good

Kris60

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Re: 2022-2023 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1411 on: March 17, 2023, 11:28:34 PM »
Who does SunDevilFroggy cheer for in this ASU-TCU game?

MrNubbz

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Re: 2022-2023 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1412 on: March 17, 2023, 11:36:46 PM »
The way trains are derailing he prolly hasn't given it much thought
Suburbia:Where they tear out the trees & then name streets after them.

ELA

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Re: 2022-2023 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1413 on: March 17, 2023, 11:52:45 PM »
The way trains are derailing he prolly hasn't given it much thought
Is that an unintended Purdue dig?

 

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