2022-2023 B1G Basketball Thread

[medinabuckeye1]

B1G Championship race update.

Purdue is obviously a prohibitive favorite at 12-2 and with a three game lead in the loss column with only six to go.

Behind them are five teams that each have five losses. Two sets of two of the play each other this weekend and the fifth hosts Purdue. That is to say that the top six teams in the league standings are all playing each other this weekend:

• 8-5 Rutgers is at 7-5 Illinois currently 34-30 RU at the half in Champagne-Urbana. 
• 8-5 Indiana is at 8-5 Michigan this evening 
• 12-2 Purdue is at 8-5 NU tomorrow before the Super Bowl 

After this weekend Purdue will only have five games left and three of those are in Mackey (where ELA will claim they boo foul calls irrationally and Boilerbanger will argue the point). Plus, one of their remaining games is against B1G bottom-feeder Ohio State so the chances of anyone catching them if they win in Evanston are indistinguishable from zero.

[ELA]

BPI gives OSU a 73.1% chance to win tomorrow at home against MSU

[medinabuckeye1]

BPI gives OSU a 73.1% chance to win tomorrow at home against MSU

LoL, can I get MSU at 3:1?

I don't think BPI is taking the coaching situation into account. First, Izzo's teams typically improve over the course of a season much more than an average team and peak in March.

On the other side we have a complete cluster-f. When the players that make up Ohio State's roster arrived they were a pretty good team but the longer they spend with this staff the worse they get and at this point they have deteriorated to the point that they are easily the worst team in this league.

Ohio State might keep it close, they frequently do, but MSU will win and Ohio State's season continue to devolve and hit new historical lows. 

[bayareabadger]

Well, that sucked. 

[MaximumSam]

BPI gives OSU a 73.1% chance to win tomorrow at home against MSU

So you're saying there's a chance

[medinabuckeye1]

So you're saying there's a chance

[ELA]

The tiers should just be...

1: Purdue
2: Nobody
3: Everyone not in 1 or 5
4: Nobody
5: Minnesota

[FearlessF]

Well, that sucked.

should have taken my wager

I'm not shocked, but I'm surprised
I watched the whole thing
I saw a couple bad teams - somebody had to win, inspite of themselves 

[ELA]

The tiers should just be...

1: Purdue
2: Nobody
3: Everyone not in 1 or 5
4: Nobody
5: Minnesota

Oh no, Michigan immediately shit their pants.  However shall I recover?

[medinabuckeye1]

I think that you will be able to tell alot from IU's game this weekend @ Michigan.  IU has left Assembly Hall 10 times and lost 6 of them.

They have 4 of their next 5 games on the road (@Mich, @NW, Illini, @MSU, @PU), so this is the part of the schedule that will determine if IU is vying for 2nd place in the Big Ten or dropping three of those and ending up in the morass of 6th thru 11th place.

So if IU has improved to the level we had thought that they were capable of, then yes, that is definitely one of MSU's toughest games.  The Maryland game kinda keeps me from thinking that though.  They looked fairly putrid in that game.

Well, they got out of Crisler with a win!

[bayareabadger]

should have taken my wager

I'm not shocked, but I'm surprised
I watched the whole thing
I saw a couple bad teams - somebody had to win, inspite of themselves

When one of those bad teams was up 17 and couldn't hold off another bad team, what in the F?

[FearlessF]

Tominaga is in range when he crosses into the front court

[847badgerfan]

When one of those bad teams was up 17 and couldn't hold off another bad team, what in the F?

Yeah.

[medinabuckeye1]

Purdue can't mathematically clinch today but, if they win in Evanston they can go ahead and print up the banner. 

Standings if Purdue loses:

• 12-3 Purdue: 5 to go
• 9-5 Northwestern and Indiana: 6 to go
• 8-5 Illinois: 7 to go
• 8-6 Maryland, Rutgers, Michigan (also MSU and IA assuming they beat tOSU and MN): 6 to go
• 6-8 Wisconsin: 6 to go
• PSU, UNL, tOSU, and MN are mathematically eliminated. 

Thus:

• Wisconsin needs to win out and for Purdue to lose out. 
• UMD, RU, M, MSU, and Iowa are in but only if Purdue goes 2-3 or worse.
• NU, IU, and IL need Purdue to go no better than 3-2.

If Purdue wins that mathematically eliminates Wisconsin and practically eliminates everyone else.