Where was all that talent on the 49-20 night?
I know you already know this (smart ass) but talent doesn't guarantee a win EVERY time, what it does is make wins a lot more likely in the aggregate. Ie, in the last four years tOSU has finished:
- 5-0, won B1GCG in 2020
- 9-0, won B1GCG in 2019
- 8-1, won B1GCG in 2018 but lost 49-20 to PU
- 8-1, won B1GCG in 2017
While Purdue has finished:
- 2-4 in 2020
- 3-6 in 2019
- 5-4 in 2018
- 4-5 in 2017
Purdue pulled off a monumental upset in 2018 but . . .
Purdue has an odd knack for defeating obviously superior tOSU teams. The boilermakers won the last game (the 49-20 game that you referenced in 2018), two of the last four, and three of the last six. Oddly, Purdue can't seem to translate that into beating other teams. From 2009-present the Boilermakers are 3-3 against the Buckeyes. For comparison:
- Michigan State is 3-6
- Iowa is 1-3
- Penn State is 2-9
- Nebraska is 1-5
- Wisconsin is 1-9
- Michigan is 1-10
- Northwestern is 0-4
- Minnesota is 0-5
- Rutgers is 0-6
- Maryland is 0-6
- Illinois is 0-8
- Indiana is 0-11
Despite having a VASTLY better record against Ohio State than any other B1G team over the last 12 years, the Boilermakers only have a winning record against one B1G team over that timeframe:
- .636, 7-4 vs IL
- .500, 3-3 vs tOSU
- .500, 1-1 vs UMD
- .455, 5-6 vs IU
- .429, 3-4 vs UNL
- .333, 3-6 vs IA
- .300, 3-7 vs MN
- .250, 2-5 vs NU
- .200, 1-4 vs M
- .000, 0-1 vs RU
- .000, 0-5 vs PSU
- .000, 0-6 vs MSU
- .000, 0-11 vs UW
So yes, a talent gap can certainly be overcome in an individual game or even one season but the more games you include in the sample, the more likely the team with more talent will come out on top.