Not sure about medina, but I think I am ready to put Illinois and Ohio State as locks.
They are certainly awfully close if they aren't.
Illinois:
The Illini are 13-5/9-3. In theory the B1G is supposed to play 20 games meaning eight more for Illinois plus the BTT. If they were to play all of those their worst-case-scenario would be to end the season on a nine game losing streak and finish 13-14/9-12. I don't think that would get them in.
OTOH, with their February 11 game at Michigan now "postponed" there are only five more regular season games on their schedule and two of those are home games against NU and UNL. Additionally their five losses are all "good":
- Vs Baylor, neutral site by 13
- @ Mizzo by 3
- @ Rutgers by 3
- Vs Maryland by 3
- Vs Ohio State by 6
Even if they did lose all of those and their BTT opener they would finish 13-11/9-9. That just might be enough and obviously the chance of them losing home games to both NU AND UNL are pretty remote so they are at least REALLY close.
Ohio State:
The Buckeyes are 15-4/9-4 and, at least for now, they still have all their B1G games on the schedule. Thus, their worst-case-scenario would be to end the season on an eight game losing streak (including BTT opener) and finish 15-12/9-12. I'm not sure that would be enough in part because the Buckeyes' losses aren't quite as "good":
- @ Purdue by 7
- @ Northwestern by 1
- @ Minnesota by 17
- Vs Purdue by 2
The two Purdue losses aren't bad but the loss to Northwestern was to a weak opponent and the loss in Minneapolis is bad because the Buckeyes got drilled.