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Topic: 2019 B1G-E Race

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bayareabadger

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Re: 2019 B1G-E Race
« Reply #98 on: June 27, 2019, 03:57:54 PM »
See the difference between MSU's 3-9 2016, 10-3 2017 and 7-5 2018.

The locker room issues maybe caused 5-7 to become 3-9, but 2016 and 2018 featured a ton of injuries to a thin roster, and some close losses.  2017 was perhaps the healthiest I can recall a team being all year, and they won the close ones with the exception of Northwestern.  I don't think the gap between any of those 3 teams was very large at all, but it resulted in a 7 win improvement.  I actually think 7-5 is probably about what all three teams should have gone.
MSU is always an interesting one in close games. Bill Connelly has a set of stats that say, if you put up these numbers against this schedule, this is on average what your record should look like. MSU's:
2016 4.9
2017 8.7
2018 7.5


 

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