1. MSU, UM, PU
2. UMD
3. UW, IOWA
4. OSU, MN
5. UNL, IU, NU, UI, RU
6. PSU
I realize that IU lost a slew of games prior to their big upset but they just beat MSU and they have a road win over PSU so we aren't moving them down to tier-5 yet. What will be interesting is to see how the Hoosiers do in their next two games (vIA, vtOSU). For now both are projected wins but I think either one could go either way so we'll wait and see on the Hoosiers.
There is significant debate among the posters here as to whether tier-2 should be Maryland or Wisconsin. That makes a difference for home games against tier-1 teams and road games against tier-4 teams:
Maryland:
- vM: 2/16
- vMSU: not played
- vPU: 2/12
- @tOSU: W 75-61
- @MN: W 82-67
They are 2-0 with two to play, they stay in tier-2 at least for now.
Wisconsin:
- vM: W 64-54
- vMSU: 2/12
- vPU: L 84-80
- @tOSU: 3/10
- @MN: 2/6
They are 1-1 with three to play, we'll keep them in tier-3 at least for now. If they win in Minneapolis on Wednesday we'll move them up.
Thus, for the time being, the updated tiers are:
- Purdue, MSU-1, Michigan-2
- Maryland-1
- Wisconsin+1 (+2,-1), Iowa
- tOSU+2, Minnesota+1, Indiana (+1,-1)
- Northwestern+1, Illinois (+1,-1), Rutgers (+1,-1), Nebraska (+1,-1)
- PSU-1
Thus, the updated projected final standings/BTT seeds are:
- 17-3/26-5 Michigan State (wins tiebreaker over PU based on record against M)
- 17-3/24-7 Purdue
- 16-4/27-4 Michigan
- 14-6/23-8 Maryland
- 12-8/20-11 Wisconsin (wins tiebreaker over IA based on H2H, won in Iowa City)
- 12-8/23-8 Iowa
- 9-11/19-12 Ohio State
- 8-12/18-13 Minnesota (wins tiebreaker over IU based on H2H, no game in Bloomington)
- 8-12/17-14 Indiana
- 7-13/11-20 Illinois (wins tiebreaker over NU based on record against Maryland)
- 7-13/16-15 Northwestern
- 6-14/13-17 Rutgers
- 5-15/15-16 Nebraska
- 2-18/9-22 Penn State
The projected match-ups at the BTT in Chicago are:
Wednesday, March 13, 2019:
- #11 Northwestern vs #14 Penn State, 9pm on BTN
- #12 Rutgers vs #13 Nebraska, 6:30pm on BTN
Thursday, March 14 (Pi Day):
- #5 Wisconsin vs NU/PSU. 3pm on BTN
- #6 Iowa vs RU/UNL, 9:30pm on BTN
- #7 Ohio State vs #10 Illinois, 7pm on BTN
- #8 Minnesota vs #9 Indiana, 12:30pm on BTN
Friday, March 15:
- #1 Michigan State vs MN/IU, 12:30pm on BTN
- #2 Purdue vs tOSU/IL, 7pm on BTN
- #3 Michigan vs IA/RU/UNL, 9:30pm on BTN
- #4 Maryland vs UW/NU/PSU, 3pm on BTN
Saturday, March 16:
- MSU/MN/IU vs UMD/UW/NU/PSU, 1pm on CBS
- PU/tOSU/IL vs M/IA/RU/UNL, 3:30pm on CBS
Sunday, March 17:
- MSU/MN/IU/UMD/UW/NU/PSU vs PU/tOSU/IL/M/IA/RU/UNL, 3:30pm on CBS