It's jihad week in Happy Valley. As I pointed out in the Game Week thread, this series has produced a number of classics, but the vast majority have gone the Wolverines' way. A not so memorable game took place last year when a 2-1 Penn State team came in off a loss to Pitt, and a near loss to Temple, and got absolutely trucked, 49-10, in a game that could have been much, much worse. Trace McSorley had a career worst 34.4 QBR, and Saquon Barkley had what was at that point a career low in rushing yards, with 59. That was the game that convinced everyone that James Franklin was only a recruiter, and that his time in Happy Valley was drawing to an end. But to the surprise of everyone, it flipped the other way. Since that humiliating defeat in the Big House, the Nittany Lions are 15-1, with the lone loss being a 3 point loss to USC in the Rose Bowl. They've tallied wins over the schools that had supplanted them in the conference pecking order, Ohio State, Iowa, Michigan State, Wisconsin. Now it's time to go after the one that got this whole thing started. Everyone talks about Michigan's defense, with good reason. Maybe it's because all attention to Penn State is to Saquon Barkley's Heisman candidacy, but for whatever reason, the Nittany Lion defense is vastly underappreciated. They aren't the smothering front that Michigan is, but they aren't letting anyone score, and their creating turnovers at a greater rate than anyone but Michigan State (who admittedly piled up a lot in one game). Michigan just decided to quit even trying to pass the ball last week, when they totalled only 58 yards through the air and O'Korn missed plenty of downfield targets, without the weather as an excuse. Indiana's defense is better than your typical Indiana defense, but Trace McSorley threw for 315 yards on them, and J.T. Barrett threw for 304...in a performance that had people questioning what was wrong with him. If Michigan can't loosen up the Penn State defense, they can forget just relying on the ground game, like they were able to do last week. The Michigan defense will do all it can to keep them in the game, but unlike the Michigan State game, where the Spartans couldn't take advantage of opportunity after opportunity to put the game away earlier due to Michigan's offensive ineptitude, the Penn State offense will eventually cash those short field in. This will be another referendum on Jim Harbaugh, and probably unfairly, the Wolverines are going to walk into an absolute beehive on Saturday night, without a quarterback to fight them out of it.
PENN STATE 30, MICHIGAN 14