What we do know recruits who are committed to the same school or are being recruited by the same school communicate with each other.
If something IS going on behind the scenes that causes one to leave or for what ever reason it is he leaves his friends know why.
Highly ranked recruits shy away from perennial losing programs unless its a highly rated Head Coach new to the job. Especially when the coach is on the hot seat and may not be around next year or the following one.