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Topic: Predictions for your team in 2026
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Cincydawg · « **Reply #42 on:** August 19, 2026, 06:38:19 PM »

A Texas win say 28-17 sounds very plausible, but does it mean OSU is not "elite"? Maybe not. Does it mean Texas is elite? Maybe. We learn something from every game if we're lucky, but "we" also tend to ..... react overly.

MikeDeTiger · « **Reply #43 on:** August 20, 2026, 09:04:20 AM »

Remember when LSU @ Clemson to start last year was a Top Ten showdown? lolz

MikeDeTiger · « **Reply #44 on:** August 20, 2026, 01:02:18 PM »

Quote from: Cincydawg on August 19, 2026, 06:38:19 PM

A Texas win say 28-17 sounds very plausible, but does it mean OSU is not "elite"? Maybe not. Does it mean Texas is elite? Maybe. We learn something from every game if we're lucky, but "we" also tend to ..... react overly.

It wouldn't mean much of anything. It's a single data point unconnected to any other data points when it occurs.

It wouldn't change my opinion of OSU in the least, or Texas either. If the score was reversed, same thing. I'd be inclined to start assigning the Buckeyes some "we backed it up" points for winning on the road.

Now, if either team wins 56-0, that probably moves my needle, even if it is just a single data point. In Bayesian analysis, data carries varying weight, and I'd probably weight that heavier.

A 28-17 affair? Meh. I'd think of them almost exactly how I already thought of them until a few year tough games went by.

Cincydawg · « **Reply #45 on:** August 21, 2026, 09:15:22 AM »

We've all seen 28-17 games where the winner really looked much better, and others where it was really the bounce of the ball a couple times, and maybe a few where the 17 looked better.

I say we all should over react though ....

MikeDeTiger · « **Reply #46 on:** August 21, 2026, 09:19:56 AM »

Quote from: MikeDeTiger on August 20, 2026, 01:02:18 PM

I'd think of them almost exactly how I already thought of them until a few year tough games went by.

I should really stop trying to cram posting into times I'm busy with other stuff.

Cincydawg · « **Reply #47 on:** **Today** at 06:59:51 PM »

I've learned to ignore "news from fall camp". Maybe there is some, some key player is dinged up, but in general, it seems ... useless to me. The Dawgs start with two pastries, and little will be gleaned from that as well. Fans will gate on Mike Bobo (OC) as usual for not scoring 70. Oddly enough, his son is the starting center, and apparently quite good.

Anyway, CFB seasons come down to 3-4-5 key games for he better teams, and those outcomes can be ... fluid.

OrangeAfroMan · « **Reply #48 on:** **Today** at 08:24:47 PM »

I'd like to file a complaint against cincydawg for deleting posts about censorship. People should know what he's doing.

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Topic: Predictions for your team in 2026

Cincydawg

Re: Predictions for your team in 2026

MikeDeTiger

Re: Predictions for your team in 2026

MikeDeTiger

Re: Predictions for your team in 2026

Cincydawg

Re: Predictions for your team in 2026

MikeDeTiger

Re: Predictions for your team in 2026

Cincydawg

Re: Predictions for your team in 2026

OrangeAfroMan

Re: Predictions for your team in 2026