Beware of the Hurricanes. I think they have the best combination of oline and dline in the country which makes them a handful by itself but then you must add in the wildcard of Dr. Jekyll and Mr Beck.
Good Beck is stunningly good- accurate, experienced and completely fearless and that team can beat everybody in the field. Bad Beck can throw 5 picks and lose to Tulane. What makes it even trickier is they can both show up in the same game. If the Aggies can keep it close enough to make Cristobal make some decisions Aggies win and that is my pick, Aggies 27-24 but nothing would surprise me in this one.
They don't have anywhere close to the best OL/DL combo. Indiana told OSU who is top 3 DL and top 2 defense, where going to run and control the ball. They did to the tune of nearly 2/3 of the 1st half. They also said we are going to pressure one of the best QBs out there against probably at top 3 OL. They did.
The argument of best OL/DL is OSU, Georgia (who probably has the #1 DL) and OSU. Everyone else is fighting for 4th place.
In total defense the rankings of those 4 are:
OSU #1
Indiana #6
Georgia #13
Miami #31
Passing D:
OSU #1
Indiana #19
Georgia #47
Miami #31
Rushing D
Indiana #3
Georgia #4
OSU #6
Miami #7
Hey!!! I Texas finally came up at #10 pass D, we won't be discussing the rest of the numbers.
Of note Oregon ranks #4 total D #3 pass D, #20 rush D.
In total offense
Indiana at #8
Miami #29
OSU #26
Georgia #45
Interestingly Oregon comes in at #13
Rushing O
Indiana #11
Oregon #14
Georgia #35
OSU #64
Miami #77
Passing O
Miami #19
OSU #26
Indiana #45 (with their weaker schedule IU was running a LOT late)
Georgia #77
Oregon # 49
Most SOS (which are non-scientific) puts Miami around 45, Georgia around 4, Indiana around between 30-50, OSU around 43.
Georgia played 2 CFP teams, Bama 2x for 3.
Miami played 0
OSU played 1 Indiana in the B1G championship game
Indiana played 2
Of note, Texas, to my knowledge, is the only team that played 4 with a bubble team win over Vandy. OSU, OU, Georgia and Aggie and went 2-2 with pretty decisive wins and a 7 point loss against OSu. We won't talk about Georgia nor Florida.
All that is to say, I've watch all of these teams multiple times. I've seen Beck get pressured WAY too often for any claims of a top OL. Good OL, yes. Good DL, yes. Best of both, numbers and my experience watching don't support that claim. Beck is also very on or VERY off which is due part to OL issues. After crunching the numbers and some reflection, Oregon can make a good case for top 4. Strange, isn’t it that they are 1, 2, 3 and 5 in the cfp. Its like magic!
As for the game, I see two very good offenses and two not as good defenses. Miami will score on aggie, for sure. Aggie will do the same but like Beck, at a lower skill level Reed has some real issues. He folds when forced to be a pocket QB. If Elko calls drop backs or Miami contains his run, they win. If not, its a 70-80 point game, last team with the ball.