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If anybody wants a pretty good bet, take Tennessee and the points (10!!!!!!!).

SEC tiebreaker scenarios after Georgia tops Tennessee: Texas, Alabama in good shape

The most likely scenario is the SEC standings ending with five teams tied for second-place with two conference losses. Here's what happens if that scenario comes to fruition over the next couple of weekends:

Texas Longhorns (9-1, 5-1) — Steve Sarkisian's team goes to the SEC Championship if they beat Kentucky and Texas A&M to finish 7-1 in conference play. The lone loss came to Georgia.

Texas A&M Aggies (8-2, 5-1) — The Aggies recovered since their 24-point setback at South Carolina and are wins over Auburn and Texas away from punching their first ticket to the SEC Championship. Of the six SEC teams in playoff contention, Texas A&M's situation would be the most sticky if the Aggies lose one of their next two games.

Georgia Bulldogs (8-2, 6-2) — The Bulldogs beat Texas and Tennessee, but lost to Ole Miss and Alabama. No team faced a tougher schedule than the Bulldogs.

Tennessee Volunteers (8-2, 5-2) — Tennessee could made things much easier on the SEC office had the Vols beat Georgia. Instead, Tennessee hangs on to its win over Alabama as a statement victory that could be enough to push the Vols into the playoff. Atlanta, however, is unlikely.

Alabama Crimson Tide (8-2, 4-2) — Sifting through various SEC tiebreakers, Alabama's wins over Georgia and LSU means the Crimson Tide win most, but the loss at Tennessee does stand out. Like Georgia, Alabama has played an extremely competitive schedule. If Texas beats Texas A&M and it leaves five teams with two losses in conference play, the winning percentage of the Crimson Tide's common opponents with others in the mix should get Alabama to Atlanta.

Ole Miss Rebels (8-2, 4-2) — Losses to Kentucky and LSU means the Rebels don't hold any tiebreaker scenarios unless they were to finish in a single-team tie with Georgia after beating the Bulldogs head to head this month. Ole Miss is likely a playoff team at 10-2, but getting to Atlanta is too far in the weeds.

Florida has a great shot to break the skid against LSU next weekend.  This LSU team is getting worse throughout the season, and Florida, although playing an entire second string offense, has gotten better.  I think they've each sailed far enough in their respective directions that the ships may be ready to pass in the night, and a "bad" Florida team hands a "better" LSU team their third L in a row. 

Sometimes I hate being right, but it really was predictable for any honest brokers paying close attention.

I've said either CBK was overrated or he just doesn't fit at LSU.  I read an article a few days ago that made some sense.  Basically, that most likely Kelly was finally promoted to his level of incompetence.  We all have a threshold, even in what we're good at, past which we will appear incompetent.  He probably could have done another 10 years at ND with 1or 2 losses a year, always in the conversation but maybe never win a NC and retired with an exceptional career record. But that was the rung where his talent maxed out.  Coming to the SEC was just one step too high and all the cracks and holes and weaknesses are showing now.

I think it's something along those lines.  A year or two ago I asked the Big Ten board why the narrative about what Kelly could do with more talent....if he weren't constrained by ND academic standards.  I looked at ND and LSU's previous 5 years recruiting and found ND actually recruited as well as us.  The talent gap, at a glance, was a myth.  I asked why anyone thought he'd be great (better) at LSU, given that.  Didn't really get much of an answer, but I think the truth is bearing out....he can't do better here.  He can't even do as well. 

Hope he proves me wrong. 

$10M in NIL is almost certainly complete bulljive.  

Georgia's commits react to elite Sanford Stadium environment vs. Tennesssee
Georgia's commits react to elite Sanford Stadium environment vs. Tennesssee

Sanford has been not known for a major HFA in the past, but they seem to be generating some now in big games.

$10M in NIL is almost certainly complete bulljive. 

If the internet reports it, it has to be true. 

Scott Woodward and Brian Kelly....laughing all the way to the bank, where Jimbo Fisher is waiting with the door held open. 

For the record, I'm not advocating that Kelly be fired.  Not necessarily.  (I'm talking, of course, as if LSU could wave their hand and buy him out as if they were Texa$.)  It's one thing to say "this is not the guy."  It's another thing to get rid of him, because you'd better have someone you think is better in that case, or the whole thing is just another step in the wrong direction.  Sticking with the wrong 7-8 win guy is better than firing him and getting the next 6 win guy.  

I'm not sure who's out there I'd trust to be 1) elite, and 2) a good fit in BR.  Head coaches don't always translate to other places, and coordinators are kind of a roll of the dice.  You could get a really good Bama DC named Kirby Smart, and he might make your team awesome.  Or you might get an even better Bama DC named Jeremy Pruitt, and he might be meh.  And possibly get himself show-caused.  Just never know with the ol' carousel.  

Hypothetically, I mean.  As I say, it's just a philosophical clarification on my part......LSU can't afford to get rid of Kelly.  

And my hope is that the ECFGs will punish the hubris of my adamant declarations that Kelly is a definite failure and make us three-peat for the first time in cfb history.  That's probably not how the ECFGs work, but you never know.