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Topic: SEC 2022 Prognostications

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Cincydawg

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Re: SEC 2022 Prognostications
« Reply #14 on: May 05, 2022, 06:33:27 PM »
So, Arky by that much?  Maybe UC loses its team?  Arky is a good team but ...

I think the Utes will prevail, by not by much in the Swampy area.

UGA might not cover (duh).

I'd probably take FSU and the points, but I know little of either team.
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ALA2262

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Re: SEC 2022 Prognostications
« Reply #15 on: May 30, 2022, 03:46:23 PM »
Quote from: OrangeAfroMan on January 27, 2022, 07:17:59 PM
Florida was like 50th in recruiting when Mullen left.  Up to 26th now, and in the top 20 in average star rating.

Still some big fish out there, too.

But we're still like 19th in the SEC recruiting rankings, so that's fun.
This gal expects a rough beginning. Maybe so, but IMO you have a home run hire. I would liked to have seen him next at Alabama.


Billy Napier – FLORIDA
First four games: Utah, Kentucky, USF, at Tennessee
Billy Napier played quarterback at FCS Furman before starting his coaching journey, a 15-year odyssey that made stops as an offensive assistant at Clemson, Alabama, Colorado State, and Arizona State. He landed the head job at Louisiana in 2018, leading the Cajuns to a 40-12 mark in four seasons that included back-to-back Sun Belt titles and Top 25 finishes. He takes over the reins in Gainesville from Dan Mullen, who was dismissed after posting a 34-15 record from 2018-21.
Napier is one of only three new head coaches who will face three Power clubs in their first four outings. And while Utah, Kentucky, and Tennessee might not look like the Murderers’ Row of September – the Utes and Wildcats combined for a 20-7 record last year and both earned mention (Utah at No. 7 and Kentucky at No. 21) in ESPN’s Way-Too-Early Top 25 for 2022.
Though Billy Napier is a solid hire, he might be in for a rough September. If he does manage to engineer a 3-1 or 4-0 start, he likely won’t get the credit he deserves. He’ll be expected to win, even if it’s an uphill battle that doesn’t look like one.

https://fbschedules.com/7-new-head-college-football-coaches-who-will-look-like-bad-hires-early-in-2022/

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ALA2262

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Re: SEC 2022 Prognostications
« Reply #16 on: May 30, 2022, 06:26:18 PM »
Quote from: Cincydawg on May 05, 2022, 06:33:27 PM
So, Arky by that much?  Maybe UC loses its team?  Arky is a good team but ...

I think the Utes will prevail, by not by much in the Swampy area.

UGA might not cover (duh).

I'd probably take FSU and the points, but I know little of either team.
FSU wins SU. FSU has a TARP (Transfers And Returning Production) # of +9 (4 O /5 D). LSU's is -7 ( -4.5 O / -2.5 D).
« Last Edit: May 31, 2022, 10:57:51 AM by ALA2262 »
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Cincydawg

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Re: SEC 2022 Prognostications
« Reply #17 on: July 29, 2022, 12:41:43 PM »
ESPN predicts each game on Vols' schedule and it's not good for Tennessee (atozsports.com)
ESPN predicts each game on Vols' schedule and it's not good for Tennessee (atozsports.com)

And here’s how ESPN’s FPI has each game playing out for the Vols (the FPI gives Tennessee’s percentage chance of winning each game…anything less than 50 percent is considered a loss).
  • Ball State @ Tennessee — 95.1% Win (1-0)
  • Tennessee @ Pittsburgh — 37.3% Loss (1-1)
  • Akron @ Tennessee — 97.3% Win (2-1)
  • Florida @ Tennessee — 60.2% Win (3-1)
  • Tennessee @ LSU — 32.3% Loss (3-2)
  • Alabama @ Tennessee — 11.9 % Loss (3-3)
  • UT-Martin @ Tennessee — 98.5% Win (4-3)
  • Kentucky @ Tennessee — 47.4% Loss (4-4)
  • Tennessee @ Georgia — 7.4 % Loss (4-5)
  • Missouri @ Tennessee — 78.5% Win (5-5)
  • Tennessee @ South Carolina — 55.9% Win (6-5)
  • Tennessee @ Vanderbilt — 87.9% Win (7-5)
A 7-5 record in 2022 would mean no improvement from last season for the Vols. That would be a tough pill to swallow, though beating Florida would make it a bit easier to digest.


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jgvol

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Re: SEC 2022 Prognostications
« Reply #18 on: August 01, 2022, 12:32:21 PM »
Quote from: Cincydawg on July 29, 2022, 12:41:43 PM
ESPN predicts each game on Vols' schedule and it's not good for Tennessee (atozsports.com)
ESPN predicts each game on Vols' schedule and it's not good for Tennessee (atozsports.com)

And here’s how ESPN’s FPI has each game playing out for the Vols (the FPI gives Tennessee’s percentage chance of winning each game…anything less than 50 percent is considered a loss).
  • Ball State @ Tennessee — 95.1% Win (1-0)
  • Tennessee @ Pittsburgh — 37.3% Loss (1-1)
  • Akron @ Tennessee — 97.3% Win (2-1)
  • Florida @ Tennessee — 60.2% Win (3-1)
  • Tennessee @ LSU — 32.3% Loss (3-2)
  • Alabama @ Tennessee — 11.9 % Loss (3-3)
  • UT-Martin @ Tennessee — 98.5% Win (4-3)
  • Kentucky @ Tennessee — 47.4% Loss (4-4)
  • Tennessee @ Georgia — 7.4 % Loss (4-5)
  • Missouri @ Tennessee — 78.5% Win (5-5)
  • Tennessee @ South Carolina — 55.9% Win (6-5)
  • Tennessee @ Vanderbilt — 87.9% Win (7-5)
A 7-5 record in 2022 would mean no improvement from last season for the Vols. That would be a tough pill to swallow, though beating Florida would make it a bit easier to digest.




We may get Pitt.  We don't lose to Kentucky.

At USCe is worrisome to me.
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Cincydawg

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Re: SEC 2022 Prognostications
« Reply #19 on: August 03, 2022, 08:07:35 AM »
My GUESS on the East:

UGA  11-1  7-1
Tenn 8-4    5-3
Florida 8-4  5-3
Kentucky  8-4  6-2
USCe  7-5  4-4
Mizzou  5-7  2-6

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jgvol

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Re: SEC 2022 Prognostications
« Reply #20 on: August 03, 2022, 10:53:41 AM »
Quote from: Cincydawg on August 03, 2022, 08:07:35 AM
My GUESS on the East:

UGA  11-1  7-1
Tenn 8-4    5-3
Florida 8-4  5-3
Kentucky  8-4  6-2
USCe  7-5  4-4
Mizzou  5-7  2-6



I agree that Vandy isn't worthy enough to include.
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Cincydawg

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Re: SEC 2022 Prognostications
« Reply #21 on: August 03, 2022, 11:17:56 AM »
Vandy ensures everyone else gets a bowl game, often as not.
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bamajoe

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Re: SEC 2022 Prognostications
« Reply #22 on: August 07, 2022, 01:42:37 PM »
Why do the gurus think Pitt will beat Tennessee? Didn't Pitt lose its QB to the NFL and its wr to SoCal? I haven't researched Pitt but they only beat Tennessee last year because Tenn started the wrong qb. Tennessee should win that game and based on the schedule should go 8- 4 but they will lose to somebody they shouldn't and finish 7-5.

The no name team I am bullish on is Arkansas. That qb they have reminds me of Cam Newton. If you remember Auburn overall did not have great talent but rode Newton to the NC. I don't think Arkansas will challenge for the NC but might come in 2nd in the West. They will kill Cincinatti in that first game.
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Cincydawg

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Re: SEC 2022 Prognostications
« Reply #23 on: August 07, 2022, 05:22:50 PM »
ESPN gives Pitt a 63% chance of winning, which is of course almost a coin toss.  There is HFA to consider.  I'd lean to thinking the Vols win this one, but I think it's close.
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Gigem

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Re: SEC 2022 Prognostications
« Reply #24 on: August 07, 2022, 06:35:59 PM »
Looking at the A&M schedule we play Miami (Fla) this year and Florida too. Seems like we’ve played UF a bunch in our time in the SEC, much more than UGa and others. I really like our games with UF and I really admire them as a program. 
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Cincydawg

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Re: SEC 2022 Prognostications
« Reply #25 on: August 07, 2022, 06:51:57 PM »
Florida caught a rough draw this year.  UGA caught an easier draw.

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jgvol

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Re: SEC 2022 Prognostications
« Reply #26 on: August 08, 2022, 08:21:05 PM »
Quote from: bamajoe on August 07, 2022, 01:42:37 PM
Why do the gurus think Pitt will beat Tennessee? Didn't Pitt lose its QB to the NFL and its wr to SoCal? I haven't researched Pitt but they only beat Tennessee last year because Tenn started the wrong qb. Tennessee should win that game and based on the schedule should go 8- 4 but they will lose to somebody they shouldn't and finish 7-5.

The no name team I am bullish on is Arkansas. That qb they have reminds me of Cam Newton. If you remember Auburn overall did not have great talent but rode Newton to the NC. I don't think Arkansas will challenge for the NC but might come in 2nd in the West. They will kill Cincinatti in that first game.

Allegedly, Pitt has some sort of super defense from what I've read.  Who knows?
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Cincydawg

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Re: SEC 2022 Prognostications
« Reply #27 on: August 24, 2022, 07:05:03 AM »
I see some folks predicting UK to win the East, which of course is possible, but it seems like click bait mostly.  And I think UK is pretty good but there is a talent gap, same with Arky.  UK has a lot of "iffy" games they could lose.

UF, LSU, and A&M are going to  be interesting.  We'll find out something about UF right off.
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