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Topic: Longhorn Football

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Gigem

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Re: Longhorn Football
« Reply #1330 on: October 28, 2024, 11:39:53 AM »
Quote from: Cincydawg on October 28, 2024, 11:19:13 AM
Let's say the odds of winning those games are:

90% Florida
60% Ole Miss
70% Tennessee ...

... the odds of losing one then would be over 60%.

UGA has looked inconsistent this season, to me, pretty good, then remarkably bad.
OM is dog shit (Copyright Mdot21).  The only reason why they get any press at all is because of Lane Kiffin and the clown show he brings.  
Sure, they are capable of beating UGa, but only if they play their very best, and Georgia only plays 70% of their best.  My guess is Georgia wins that game like 45-15 or something.  
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utee94

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Re: Longhorn Football
« Reply #1331 on: October 28, 2024, 11:42:23 AM »
Quote from: MikeDeTiger on October 28, 2024, 11:38:28 AM
I literally do.  Not that I feel like I've mastered statistics. 

To me, the tricky thing about odds of winning is they are by definition Bayesian, but people tend to think about them from a frequentist perspective.

"If A played B  ten times, A would win seven of them." 

Of course, they don't play ten times, and the compound statistical formula doesn't really apply in real life.  We can justifiably update our prior assumptions and assign new odds as new data presents itself.  I'm not sure, statistically speaking, it's meaningful to say anything about games in frequentist terms.

Which means I basically agree with utee here.

Which hopefully buys me some time before I get the "The statistics thread is over there --->"
The statistics thread is... oh wait... we're good here. :)
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Cincydawg

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Re: Longhorn Football
« Reply #1332 on: October 28, 2024, 11:50:41 AM »
Georgia vs. Ole Miss (Nov 9, 2024) Live Score - ESPN

The ESPiN match up predictor actually favors Ole Miss, 53% chance of winning.

Ole Miss played LSU even, in an away game, before losing.  I don't think they are really that awful.
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utee94

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Re: Longhorn Football
« Reply #1333 on: October 28, 2024, 12:17:08 PM »
I'll bet you a coke that Georgia wins that game. :)
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MikeDeTiger

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Re: Longhorn Football
« Reply #1334 on: October 28, 2024, 01:30:14 PM »
The Coke thread is over there ---->
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utee94

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Re: Longhorn Football
« Reply #1335 on: October 28, 2024, 01:45:24 PM »
Quote from: MikeDeTiger on October 28, 2024, 01:30:14 PM
The Coke thread is over there ---->
OK but I'm talking about coke not Coke.  Mostly RC and Dr. Pepper for me, back in the day.
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utee94

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Re: Longhorn Football
« Reply #1336 on: October 28, 2024, 01:50:41 PM »
Anyway I'm not sure how we got started talking about the Georgia-Ole Miss game on the Longhorn Football thread.  I blame Georgia fans, they always make everything all about themselves.
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Cincydawg

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Re: Longhorn Football
« Reply #1337 on: October 28, 2024, 01:58:55 PM »
Quote from: utee94 on October 28, 2024, 12:17:08 PM
I'll bet you a coke that Georgia wins that game. :)

We should discuss this in more detail in this thread perhaps.
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CWSooner

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Re: Longhorn Football
« Reply #1338 on: November 06, 2024, 10:42:12 PM »
I assume that Colt McCoy cooperated in the filming of this Short.

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longhorn320

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Re: Longhorn Football
« Reply #1339 on: November 07, 2024, 04:40:20 PM »
Quote from: CWSooner on November 06, 2024, 10:42:12 PM
I assume that Colt McCoy cooperated in the filming of this Short.


first time Ive seen that
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Cincydawg

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Re: Longhorn Football
« Reply #1340 on: November 08, 2024, 06:58:18 AM »
Just a reminder, this thread is dedicated to UGA football.
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utee94

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Re: Longhorn Football
« Reply #1341 on: November 08, 2024, 07:58:42 AM »
Yer gonna owe me a coke later on tomorrow.
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Mr Tulip

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Re: Longhorn Football
« Reply #1342 on: November 08, 2024, 08:50:42 AM »
A Dr. Pepper coke or a Coke coke?
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utee94

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Re: Longhorn Football
« Reply #1343 on: November 08, 2024, 09:03:41 AM »
Probably Mountain Dew, gonna need the extra caffeine with all the marching band competitions coming up.
« Last Edit: November 08, 2024, 09:40:43 AM by utee94 »
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