I don't "want" him, per se, but I also think he's probably the best coach we could get. Saban and Urbz are the two only "sure-fire" guys out there, and they ain't coming. Kirby and perhaps Day are the most sure-fire guys still in the biz, and they aren't leaving where they're at. I just don't think there is a guy who is going to turn LSU into what we got used to under Miles for a sustained period of time. A bad coach could stumble ass-backwards onto a generational player like Burrow, such as Orgeron did, but that's not exactly a recipe for long-term success. Kelly actually proved that even with a generational player you still might not put together a dream season. But LSU being in the playoffs most years and being in contention for the SEC and winning it periodically? That is a lofty goal that even good coaches out there are unlikely to reach. Kiffin is probably the most sure-fire of the available bunch, but I don't think he's going to suddenly have us challenging UGA for the conference and beating Bama regularly.
And that's just spitballing about if he even took the job. Florida is very much in play for him, and I think there's a more than decent chance he stays put. I hear he's a little sour on LSU because he wanted the job at the end of 2021 and Woodward wouldn't even give him an interview. Some people around the program consider it a plus that Woodward isn't the AD anymore because Kiffin did not appreciate getting snubbed by him.
Still, I think the chances of Kiffin going to LSU have to be put at 33% or less.
I think the prevailing wisdom used to be--as you said above--he won't win an NC at Ole Miss. But I'm not so sure what supports that in this day and age. Ole Miss has shown a willingness to get with the times and pay to get the talent. These Ole Miss teams have NC caliber talent, if they don't win one, some things either didn't break their way or he's doing a subpar job of coaching. Either way, both of those things would still be factors at LSU or Florida, thus, it's silly to say "He won't win a NC at Ole Miss, but he could at LSU or Florida."
Meh. It doesn't much matter. I thought with BK's record, history, and style, he'd have us competing with UGA. He did quickly repair a lot of damage from the utter shitshow Orgeron left us with, and he deserves credit for that, but his teams were never tough, the special teams were consistently awful, and at least one side of the ball was always majorly lacking. It's tough to predict who will fit here, or if LSU is even a viable candidate for Consistent Contender in this new era.
I think Kirby has been at UGA for about 10 years now. For a while, he didn't look like The Guy. Then he did, so it's good UGA didn't NC-or-bust him. His first half tenure at UGA is probably the best LSU can shoot for, and they'd be lucky to have that. The clip UGA wins at today, or Ohio State, I have serious doubts that there is a coach out there who can make that happen.