Orgeron has never lost to Ole Miss at LSU, not even last year. Would be hilarious for that to continue, though I doubt it. Although I admit I didn't think they could beat Florida either. Ole Miss hasn't defended the run very well. If Happy suddenly learned to putt, it could be closer than it otherwise would've been.
Still, I don't know how you'd pick a team missing it's starting secondary against possibly the best offense in the country.