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Author Topic: Attempt 9 at predicting outcomes  (Read 157 times)

Online Cincydawg

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Attempt 9 at predicting outcomes
« on: November 05, 2018, 07:53:15 AM »
I figure I may be providing a service here, e.g., in any contested game, if you bet for real, pick other than what I pick.  You usually will be a winner.

South Carolina at Florida - Interesting game, USCe is on a winning streak and Florida isn't.  I didn't watch the Mizzou game so I have no clue what's up with the Gators.  USCe has done about as I expected this season.  Both squads have 3 losses.  Florida has one impressive W.  I'm going with the home team here as the Swamp is a tough venue, Florida 26  USCe 20 in a close one.

Ole Miss @ Texas A&M  - The Aggies squandered a winnable game late at Auburn, but they still have a decent squad and are at home.  Ole Miss can score of course, so I'll go with A&M 41-31.

Vandy @ Mizzou - Vandy has had spots where they looked good, but they won't be able to stop Lock often enough, Mizzou 34  Vandy 16

UK at Tennessee - The problem for UK is obvious, their game of the Century turned out badly for them.  I think they lose focus and drop one to the Vols in an ugly one 27-17.

Auburn @ UGA - I'm tempted to pick an upset, Stidham started to look good, and the Dawgs don't rush the passer that well.  On the other hand, the Dawg offense is starting to show some signs of being offensive, so I think they eek one out late 31-28 on a Hotrod 54 yarder.

LSU @ Arkansas - Nope, LSU 41  Arky 17.  

Some pretty good games there and nothing "to play for" except bowl seeding really and for UK to get to 10 wins potentially.  A lot of teams have 3 losses which leaves the potential for a decent season on the table but they can't all get there.



Online Cincydawg

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Re: Attempt 9 at predicting outcomes
« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2018, 08:58:11 AM »
I forgot MSU at Alabama, probably for an obvious reason.  MSU is really not looking that good I think.  Bama, well, some large number of points like say 48 and MSU not many, like 9.

Offline MikeDeTiger

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Re: Attempt 9 at predicting outcomes
« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2018, 09:40:48 AM »
I didn't get to watch the Florida/Missouri game either.  What did happen there?  Caught the tail end of it, Florida closed the gap for a second then Missouri slammed the door right back shut.  Must not have been the Gator D's day for some reason.  Drew Lock is good, but he's gotten zero support this year and I did not think the other other Tigers had it in 'em.  

Online Cincydawg

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Re: Attempt 9 at predicting outcomes
« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2018, 09:46:44 AM »
Zero turnovers.  Florida was 3 for 15 on third down, Mizzou was 11 for 18, a pretty large disparity.  Mizzou rushed for 221 versus 113, but Florida had to try and pass more because of trailing.  

"Franks completed 7 of 22 passes for 84 yards. Trask was 10 of 18 for 126 yards."

Looks to me like Florida was inept on offense early and Mizzou kept scoring.

Offline MikeDeTiger

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Re: Attempt 9 at predicting outcomes
« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2018, 09:54:50 AM »
Yeah, turnovers is the same thing I checked on my ESPN app thingy when I cut it on late.  I saw 0 as well and concluded I had no idea what was going on.  Weird.  

Online Cincydawg

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Re: Attempt 9 at predicting outcomes
« Reply #5 on: November 06, 2018, 08:15:06 AM »
If you can get a team that can't pass behind early enough to change their game planning, you obviously can end up blowing them out as they "panic" and make mistakes and press.  Mizzou kept their game plan and it was working and the Gators fell too far behind so they had to change QBs and got desperate.  Kentucky had to start passing late when it got to 28-3 and it kind of worked for them, some, they had a fluke pass for a TD on a tipped ball, but got to 17 points.

Online OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Attempt 9 at predicting outcomes
« Reply #6 on: November 06, 2018, 01:41:36 PM »
You're awfully brave picking Florida and Tennessee to win.  

If Florida starts Franks, despite Mullen wanting a passing attack, the Gators should run the ball 80% of the time (if they're planning on winning).
If they start the backup, Trask, it's an unknown, but they'll be more willing to fling it around a bit (unless he proves unable).


Picking Tennessee to beat anyone is nuts.  They just played UNC-Charlotte and scored once on offense.  W..T...F...
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous."

Online Cincydawg

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Re: Attempt 9 at predicting outcomes
« Reply #7 on: November 06, 2018, 03:45:06 PM »
Nothing brave when I am so wrong so often.

Online OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Attempt 9 at predicting outcomes
« Reply #8 on: November 10, 2018, 03:23:16 PM »
You're awfully brave picking Florida and Tennessee to win.  

If Florida starts Franks, despite Mullen wanting a passing attack, the Gators should run the ball 80% of the time (if they're planning on winning).
Well, no one can accuse me of not knowing my Gators.
Florida calling a mix of rush and pass:  31-14 deficit
Florida calling 90%+ running plays:  35-31 win
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous."

Online Cincydawg

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Re: Attempt 9 at predicting outcomes
« Reply #9 on: November 11, 2018, 07:31:27 AM »
After a much needed bout of modesty, I finally got every pick right, including the contested ones.

 

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