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Topic: Most over ranked team

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Entropy

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Re: Most over ranked team
« Reply #60 on: October 31, 2018, 11:17:05 AM »
all three of those are a surprise to me.   They haven't been near as strong even in their wins as expected.  

SFBadger96

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Re: Most over ranked team
« Reply #61 on: November 08, 2018, 01:31:19 PM »
I don't know anything about Auburn and Washington other than their schedules, but I know that Wisconsin's defense started the season somewhat depleted by injuries, and has accumulated significantly more injured players in key positions over the course of the season.

Were the Badgers overrated to start the year, barring those injuries? Probably a little. When factoring the rash of injuries in? Way overrated.

I won't lose any sleep over that, but there will be hand wringing in the future the next time people start to suggest that the Badgers should start the season in the top 10.

Cincydawg

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Re: Most over ranked team
« Reply #62 on: November 12, 2018, 07:04:47 AM »
Auburn is just a flawed team without balance.  They struggle to run the ball effectively this season.  Stidham can make nice throws if not hurried, but you need to RTDB.  They have some talent in the DL and elsewhere on defense here and there, not an awful team by any means, but not very good overall.  Malzahn takes most of the blame of course but just signed a lucrative contract with the usual.


Cincydawg

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Re: Most over ranked team
« Reply #63 on: November 12, 2018, 08:08:49 AM »
Same rules, FSU won handily last season of course.

I'll take Miami at 8, Alex.
"We" kinda forgot about Miami in all of this, preseason 8 would be high expectations, something like 11-2 season.  They just lost to Georgia Tech.
They are 2-4 in a very weak Coastal division and 5-5 overall.  I watched one of their games are noticed poor discipline, bad penalties, goofy turnovers, and in general rather uninspiring play, which reminded me of something in my fairly recent past.
A friend is a big Miami fan and told me he was delighted to get our cast off and I suggested he hold that thought.

Cincydawg

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Re: Most over ranked team
« Reply #64 on: November 12, 2018, 08:10:23 AM »
 
ELAAPELA>AP
1ClemsonAlabama-1
2AlabamaClemson+1
3WisconsinGeorgia-3
4AuburnWisconsin+1
5Michigan StateOhio State-2
6GeorgiaWashington-2
7Ohio StateOklahoma-6
8WashingtonMiami (FL)-6
9Penn StateAuburn+5
10UCFPenn State+1
11MichiganMichigan State+6
12Notre DameNotre Dame0
13OklahomaStanford-11
14Miami (FL)Michigan+3
15Mississippi StateUSC-1
16USCTCU-12
17Virginia TechWest Virginia-26
18South CarolinaMississippi State+3
19NorthwesternFlorida State-3
20IowaVirginia Tech+3
21Boston CollegeUCF+11
22Florida StateBoise State-1
23Boise StateTexas-13
24StanfordOregon-7
25Oklahoma StateLSU-16
26Kansas StSouth Carolina+8
27UtahFlorida-18(+)
28Wake ForrestUtah+1
29TCUOK St+4
30NC StateFAU-4
31OregonArizona-11
32Georgia TechNC St+2
33DukeTexas a&m-12(+)
34FAUBC+13
35Iowa StateNW+16
36TexasKansas St+10
37PurdueIowa St+2
38Fresno StHouston-7(+)
39LouisvilleMemphis-6(+)
40Washington StTroy-5(+)
41LSUIowa+21
42ArizonaKentucky-3(+)
43WVUArk St-2(+)
44Arizona StFresno St+6

So, to this point, is ELA doing better than the AP?

ELA

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Re: Most over ranked team
« Reply #65 on: November 14, 2018, 09:34:35 AM »
Doubtful, considering I had Wisconsin, Auburn and Michigan State in my top 5.

Granted that was my "on paper" rankings.  I'd look more at my Game by Game picks, to see what I had the poll being at this point, which was...

  • Alabama (10-0)
  • Oklahoma (10-0)
  • South Carolina (10-0)
  • Georgia (9-1)
  • Virginia Tech (9-1)
  • Clemson (9-1)
  • PENN STATE (9-1)
  • Miami (9-1)
  • NC State (9-1)
  • MICHIGAN STATE (8-2)
  • OHIO STATE (8-2)
  • Central Florida (10-0)
  • IOWA (9-1)
  • Notre Dame (8-2)
  • Auburn (8-2)
  • Mississippi State (8-2)
  • Oklahoma State (8-2)
  • Arizona (8-2)
  • Washington (8-2)
  • Florida State (7-3)
  • WISCONSIN (7-3)
  • Utah (8-2)
  • Washington State (8-2)
  • South Florida (9-1)
  • MICHIGAN (7-3)

Virginia Tech and Miami look to be my most overrated teams.  Iowa not far behind.  Even though I didn't like NC State (had them outside my top 30) I did think their schedule would allow them some success (which it had until the past week), and I also thought Washington State would stay strong.  I underrated Michigan's ability to survive a tough schedule, but I also overrated just how tough those road trips to Evanston and East Lansing would be.  Didn't think those two teams would have a combined 9 losses by this point, and those were the 2 losses I incorrectly picked UM to have.

Cincydawg

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Re: Most over ranked team
« Reply #66 on: November 15, 2018, 02:41:00 PM »
It's good to take a shot and better to analyze after the fact also.


847badgerfan

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Re: Most over ranked team
« Reply #67 on: November 25, 2018, 11:11:10 AM »
Wisconsin is very close to taking the big prize this season.


Preseason AP

Wisconsin: 7-5 (4)
Miami: 7-5 (8)
Auburn: 7-5 (9)
Michigan State:7-5 (11)
Stanford: 7-4 (13)
USC: 5-7 (15)
TCU: 6-6 (16)
Florida State: 5-7 (19)
Va. Tech: 5-6 (20)
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

Cincydawg

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Re: Most over ranked team
« Reply #68 on: November 25, 2018, 11:17:21 AM »
Nobody else can go from 4th to unranked.

847badgerfan

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Re: Most over ranked team
« Reply #69 on: November 25, 2018, 12:15:05 PM »
Yep, it's probably over, but we still have to wait for the bowl games to wrap up and count any (not likely) votes in the "receiving votes" category.



Something to be proud of though. At least the boys got something done this season. I blame this:



U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

FearlessF

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Re: Most over ranked team
« Reply #70 on: November 25, 2018, 12:23:47 PM »
the curse is STRONG!!!
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

847badgerfan

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Re: Most over ranked team
« Reply #71 on: November 25, 2018, 12:47:36 PM »
Yep. Not everyone is Michael Jordan.
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

Cincydawg

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Re: Most over ranked team
« Reply #72 on: November 26, 2018, 12:41:20 PM »
I saw one listing somewhere that had the UGA OL with the highest average weight.


ELA

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Re: Most over ranked team
« Reply #73 on: November 26, 2018, 02:47:31 PM »
With the regional covers is the curse still a thing?  I think like a half dozen teams/players are on the cover each week.

Brutus Buckeye

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Re: Most over ranked team
« Reply #74 on: November 29, 2018, 02:10:58 PM »
what? They are ranked 14th. You need to get a new schtick.
In hindsight they pretty much nailed that one. Good call. 
1919, 20, 21, 28, 29, 31, 34, 35, 36, 37, 42, 44
WWH: 1952, 54, 55, 57, 58, 60, 61, 62, 63, 65, 67, 68, 70, 72, 74, 75
1979, 81, 82, 84, 87, 94, 98
2001, 02, 04, 05, 06, 07, 08, 09, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17

Cincydawg

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Re: Most over ranked team
« Reply #75 on: December 03, 2018, 07:47:31 AM »
I think the loser of the Miami-Wisconsin bowl game will win this dubious article of distinction.

SFBadger96

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Re: Most over ranked team
« Reply #76 on: December 03, 2018, 11:26:44 AM »
I think the loser of the Miami-Wisconsin bowl game will win this dubious article of distinction.

Clicked on this thread to say just this. I think NYC over the holidays will be a nice trip for the teams (and probably fans, too), but I doubt the game will be a big attraction.

Cincydawg

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Re: Most over ranked team
« Reply #77 on: December 13, 2018, 03:03:40 PM »
I picked Florida as most under ranked this year, and Miami for most over.

Florida will likely finish 9-4, not bad, but not much higher than they started really.

I don't think we had a really under ranked team this season.

SFBadger96

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Re: Most over ranked team
« Reply #78 on: December 13, 2018, 05:21:37 PM »
Northwestern and Washington State were both overlooked before putting in strong seasons.

Cincydawg

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Re: Most over ranked team
« Reply #79 on: December 13, 2018, 06:54:10 PM »
My criteria were purely AP rankings differential.  Wazzu is a good example I think, NW perhaps if they win their bowl game.


SFBadger96

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Re: Most over ranked team
« Reply #80 on: January 02, 2019, 11:26:53 AM »
So Northwestern and Wazzu come out looking pretty good on the upside...

Auburn abused Purdue (probably not the bowl game the Tigers dream of) to avoid the basement, and Wisconsin does the same to Miami, firmly putting the Canes there. Hooray?

Cincydawg

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Re: Most over ranked team
« Reply #81 on: January 04, 2019, 09:00:04 AM »
ELAAPELA>AP
1ClemsonAlabama-1
2AlabamaClemson+1
3WisconsinGeorgia-3
4AuburnWisconsin+1
5Michigan StateOhio State-2
6GeorgiaWashington-2
7Ohio StateOklahoma-6
8WashingtonMiami (FL)-6
9Penn StateAuburn+5
10UCFPenn State+1
11MichiganMichigan State+6
12Notre DameNotre Dame0
13OklahomaStanford-11
14Miami (FL)Michigan+3
15Mississippi StateUSC-1
16USCTCU-12
17Virginia TechWest Virginia-26
18South CarolinaMississippi State+3
19NorthwesternFlorida State-3
20IowaVirginia Tech+3
21Boston CollegeUCF+11
22Florida StateBoise State-1
23Boise StateTexas-13
24StanfordOregon-7
25Oklahoma StateLSU-16

 

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