Nevada plays HORSE.
They shoot 3's like no one's business, and make a bunch of them. They're usually so busy admiring their shooting prowess that they forget to run back on defense. Texas will probably see if Nevada's higher than average 3 pointers can keep pace with the 100% slam dunk offense.
If the game is played to averages, Texas wins by a little bit. If Nevada outperforms their own shooting marvel, or if Texas gets sloppy with ball handing, the result reverses quickly.