CFB51 College Football Fan Community
The Power Five => Big Ten => Topic started by: ALA2262 on March 17, 2019, 04:46:12 PM
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10 biggest games in 2019 that will impact next season's CFB Playoff (per @NCAA (https://twitter.com/NCAA?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1107313680545394691&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fs9e.github.io%2Fiframe%2Ftwitter.min.html%231107313680545394691)):
Florida vs Miami
Auburn vs Oregon
Texas A&M @ Clemson
LSU @ Texas
Notre Dame @ Georgia
Oklahoma vs Texas
Notre Dame @ Michigan
Alabama @ Texas A&M
Georgia vs Florida
Ohio St @ Michigan
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I'm not sure I'd include Auburn -v- Oregon on this list. You also have games like OSU-PSU and LSU@Bama and WVU@OU.
I probably wouldn't include Florida-Miami either.
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Yep. 14 teams, 10 of which will most likely have at least two losses in the regular season.
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I would not include any game where neither opponent has much of a shot at the playoff.
Basically, one should just list the ten or so teams with a decent shot and then list the games they could plausibly lose.
Florida might be pretty good, but I don't think they have a realistic shot. Auburn, nope. Oregon, nope. Miami, nope.
What about Washington? Might they have a shot? West Virginia? Maybe not.
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https://athlonsports.com/college-football/way-too-early-top-25-college-football-rankings-2019
I'm not suggesting Athlon has any notable predictive value, but they do afford a list of teams with a decent shot I think, barring a shocker.
A&M has a bizarre schedule playing at Clemson and at Georgia along with the SEC W teams. They might upset Bama at home and lose 3 other games.
Georgia has a fairly tough slate but get A&M and ND at home and Florida neutral.
It's interesting to check out the 11-25 ranked teams and ponder which of them might have a shot at it. I'll take UDubb at the moment.
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Does this list mean we matter now?!?
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Florida is going to start in the Top Ten. I know you note the OL is largely new and that is a concern.
You also know they take the last top ten and bake it a bit and there we have it.