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The Power Five => Big Ten => Topic started by: ELA on March 03, 2019, 04:01:43 PM

Title: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on March 03, 2019, 04:01:43 PM
Montez Sweat just locked up his high draft status with the best 40 time for a DL in combine history.

Oh, if only him and Craig Evans hadn't been such knuckleheads, last year's DL could have been historically good.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: 847badgerfan on March 03, 2019, 07:00:09 PM
If Craig Evans wasn't a knucklehead, he'd have been a Badger.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: bayareabadger on March 04, 2019, 12:54:34 PM
Jamel Dean, who ended up a two-year starter at Auburn, ran a 4.31. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on March 04, 2019, 11:07:48 PM
Handful of Big Ten CBs made themselves some money today
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 05, 2019, 10:56:51 AM
Devin Bush, Rashan Gary, and Chase Winovich tested off the charts. Bush and Gary locked themselves into the 1st round and Winovich may have snuck himself into the late 1st.

Gary checked in at 6’4 1/2 and 277 lbs and ripped off a ridiculous 4.58 in the 40 and put up a 38” vertical and a 120” broad jump. All the best times for players listed as DL at the combine. 

Devin Bush checked in at 5’11 and 234 lbs and ran a 4.43 in the 40 and put up a 40.5” vertical and a 124” broad jump. 

Chase Winovich checked in at 6’3 and 256 lbs and ran the 4th fastest time for a player listed as an EDGE defender with a 4.59 in the 40. Winovich measured a legit 6’3+ and really close to 260 lbs and ran under 4.6. Big deal for him as some questioned his true size and what kind of speed he brought to the table. 

I think Gary probably goes in the top 5-10. Bush in that 15-25 range, and now there’s a real chance you see Winovich get taken at the bottom of the 1st round. Wouldn’t be surprised at all to see the Pats take him at 32.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 05, 2019, 12:24:06 PM
Jamel Dean, who ended up a two-year starter at Auburn, ran a 4.31.
I think that's guy who was at Ohio St but transferred with a bad knee?After he verballed to tOSU as a H.S.JR. he injured his knee twice.Then again when he got to Auburn - I think that's him.Just looked him up ya that's him

https://www.elevenwarriors.com/college-football/2019/03/102833/after-being-medically-disqualified-by-ohio-state-jamel-dean-bounced-back-at-auburn-to-become-an-nfl-prospect
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: bayareabadger on March 06, 2019, 07:58:05 AM
I think that's guy who was at Ohio St but transferred with a bad knee?After he verballed to tOSU as a H.S.JR. he injured his knee twice.Then again when he got to Auburn - I think that's him.Just looked him up ya that's him

https://www.elevenwarriors.com/college-football/2019/03/102833/after-being-medically-disqualified-by-ohio-state-jamel-dean-bounced-back-at-auburn-to-become-an-nfl-prospect
Yep. If I recall, he was a centerpiece of one of my favorite UM-OSU kerfuffles.  
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 06, 2019, 09:51:39 AM
HA!Yes it was,right after taking it on the chin from "M" websites and fans he unfortunately injured the knee again.All this after he got cleared to play by that ALL-WORLD Surgeon/Sports Doctor saying he was fine.Oh ya plenty of ammo in both camps.Wish we had the archives.Good on him to not only come back but to excel,no one saw that coming
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 07, 2019, 01:35:47 PM
really don't get all the Kyler Murray going #1 overall hype. Yeah he measured 5'10". So what. He's got short arms and small hands and he looks small. He's not built like Russell Wilson. Wilson looked like a MAN day one in the NFL. Murray still looks like a little boy. He's smallish. Not sure he has the arm strength of Russell Wilson either. Everyone always wants to compare a 5'10 QB to Russell Wilson. He's the exception, not the rule. Just because he's succeeded in the NFL, doesn't mean Kyler Murray will. Wilson went in the 3rd round by the way, he wasn't the #1 pick let alone a 1st rounder.

Yeah, Murray is a great college QB in a great system playing for maybe the best offensive mind in CFB- but he also plays in a leauge that plays zero defense and is designed for stat padding. Not knocking Murray, he's a great college player but that doesn't mean he'll be a great NFL player. He has real physical limitations. Not sure he's worth a 1st round pick let alone the #1 pick.

Cardinals would be much better off trading down and stock-piling picks or just going with the surest bet- Nick Bosa- and pair him up with Chandler Jones to establish a wicked pass rush tandem. That'd instantly make them a better team and Bosa is a 10 year starter at a Pro Bowl level barring injury and off-field. He's as plug and play as there is in any draft. Sure thing.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on March 07, 2019, 01:46:25 PM
Yeah, I still don't like him more than Haskins, and certainly not #1 overall, particularly when you just took one last year.  Go take Bosa or Williams, and you'll have more pieces when you find a QB worth drafting high, as you'll probably be right back there again next year.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 07, 2019, 01:54:28 PM
I agree regarding Murray,perhaps it's just the media rubes bumping their gums.Was watching Pro Football Talk with Mike Florio and Chris Simms - they brought this up and it appears Simms is sold on Murray.Probably why he isn't employed as a NFL Scout.I look at Murray as more of a Cordell Stewart type hybrid.These guys never learn.Shit I really don't think Murray should be tapped in the 1st round.More like a Pat White type career.Sure he might make waves his 1st season or two,but after that those big hits on his small frame will take it's toll.Use him like Slash or in the flanker/H-Back mold.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 07, 2019, 01:56:22 PM
Before we turn him into a poop sandwich, keep in mind:
he had the best yards per attempt in history
he had the 2nd best rating in history
while rushing for 1,001 yards

And if you believe in Baker Mayfield, Murray did it on the same team in the same offense against the same competition (largely).  
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 07, 2019, 02:07:57 PM
I'd be shocked if Murray is playing QB in the NFL in 5 yrs SHOCKED.He's built more along the lines of Johnny Football than Mayfield/Brees/Wilson - those guys are more stoudt.I believed as a Browns fan that Manziel would fail and IMO Murray may hang around as a back up,not grinding it out every season
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 07, 2019, 05:55:01 PM
Manziel's case was odd - even in the 21st century, a player can fail to produce what you want to see on film and have it all be thrown out in the name of on-field intangibles.  He's scramble around the lob the ball 40 yards downfield, where his 6'3" WRs would bail him out, over and over again.   Scouts knew this and were ignored (by some teams).  His arm was fine but his decision-making was crappola.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: bayareabadger on March 07, 2019, 10:43:37 PM
Yeah, I still don't like him more than Haskins, and certainly not #1 overall, particularly when you just took one last year.  Go take Bosa or Williams, and you'll have more pieces when you find a QB worth drafting high, as you'll probably be right back there again next year.
I wonder how much of this is just buzz because he's interesting. Like, he's fun to talk about and people REALLY like reading about him. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Anonymous Coward on March 08, 2019, 10:35:04 AM
538 has its detractors and won't be confused by anyone for having football expertise, but its reputation with numbers and logical regression are fine or better. Here, they compare various statistical college measures that are most predictive of NFL success, find it's completion percentage that tracks best, and then improve that measure to reward players whose average pass goes farther or whose conference DBs are best (since 2011, the Big Ten has tracked as best in pass efficiency defense). The product is CPOE - completion percentage over expected - and it has an argument to make for Kyler Murray.

https://mobile.twitter.com/friscojosh/status/1100870134678327296
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on March 08, 2019, 11:02:40 AM
Yeah, I don't get the love, but I don't get the hate either.  I think he's the 2nd best QB in the draft, but it's not a great QB draft.  If someone took him #12 or whatever, I wouldn't blink.  It's that he's going #1, to a team that just took a QB last year at like #7.  He doesn't look like a generational no brainer #1 like a Manning or a Luck or something.  And that's what I'd expect him to be for a team to considering him from the Cardinals perspective.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Cincydawg on March 08, 2019, 05:20:11 PM
The QBs available next year could be epic.  I'd wait one.  Get Drew Lock in the 3rd if you need a QB.  Maybe 2nd.



No Dawgs of note this year other than the DB.  Holyfield ran a slow time but he looks decently fast on the field.  But he probably would not start in college next year.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 09, 2019, 03:25:04 PM
Before we turn him into a poop sandwich, keep in mind:
he had the best yards per attempt in history
he had the 2nd best rating in history
while rushing for 1,001 yards

And if you believe in Baker Mayfield, Murray did it on the same team in the same offense against the same competition (largely).  
I don't think anyone is saying he's a poop sandwich. Questioning his long term prospects in the NFL and whether or not he's a 1st round pick isn't calling him a poop sandwich.
Baker did it for 3 years straight. Murray did it for one. Think it's pretty obvious that the system/coach and the conference are conducive to generating stats. Really what they did in college means nothing when you're talking about projecting them out as pros in the big boy leauge where everyone plays defense and everyone is a grown ass man.

Baker measured 6'1" at the NFL combine. That's a far cry from 5'10" like Murray. Baker was also more stocky, he just looked more built and more like a man- Murray looks very sleight like he's still a high schooler. Baker's arm was also better- more live- he's got more velocity and more juice on his passes. His game and tools just looked like they'd translate to the next level better than Murray's. I was a huge fan of Mayfield's- was on record on here saying he's the only QB from last years draft that I'd touch with a 1st round pick.

To me this draft- Dwayne Haskins is that guy this year. He's the only guy I'd touch with a 1st round pick this draft. He's 6'3+, 230+ with a fricken rocket launcher.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 09, 2019, 03:26:03 PM
538 has its detractors and won't be confused by anyone for having football expertise, but its reputation with numbers and logical regression are fine or better. Here, they compare various statistical college measures that are most predictive of NFL success, find it's completion percentage that tracks best, and then improve that measure to reward players whose average pass goes farther or whose conference DBs are best (since 2011, the Big Ten has tracked as best in pass efficiency defense). The product is CPOE - completion percentage over expected - and it has an argument to make for Kyler Murray.

https://mobile.twitter.com/friscojosh/status/1100870134678327296
538 is useless garbage.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 09, 2019, 03:33:46 PM
The QBs available next year could be epic.  I'd wait one.  Get Drew Lock in the 3rd if you need a QB.  Maybe 2nd.



No Dawgs of note this year other than the DB.  Holyfield ran a slow time but he looks decently fast on the field.  But he probably would not start in college next year.
Not sure I agree. Haskins is better than any QB that'll be available in the 2020 draft imo.
Tua = slightly bigger, but less athletic version of Kyler Murray to me. Solid 2nd or 3rd rd pick, but not some generational sure-thing #1 like Luck was in 2012 or like the Clemson kid will be in a couple years. Really not sure he'd rate higher than Murray.
Herbert from Oregon is pretty MEH to me. I just don't see it. Fromm from Georgia is a game manager with low draft ceiling, so he's probably not even leaving early anyway.
I'd take Haskins over any and all of those and not have to think twice about it. Trevor Lawrence in 2021 is going to be the next real prize and the best prospect since Luck.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Cincydawg on March 09, 2019, 04:18:06 PM
https://www.12up.com/posts/6256687-2020-qb-draft-class-is-suddenly-insanely-stacked

I'm far from a draftnik, so take my opinions with a small grain.  I did think Maziel was a sure fire bust and Mayfield was not at all Manziel.  Tua is one of the best CFB QBs I've ever seen play, IMHO.  Fromm has the knock of "game manager" but I suspect the scouts will see that differently.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 10, 2019, 08:57:04 AM
538 is useless garbage.
Well he certainly isn't the Gold Standard in player evaluation that he thinks he is
Not sure I agree. Haskins is better than any QB that'll be available in the 2020 draft imo.
I'd take Haskins over any and all of those and not have to think twice about it. Trevor Lawrence in 2021 is going to be the next real prize and the best prospect since Luck.
Rooting interests aside if Haskins feet can keep him out of trouble he just might pan out.Is Murray a plug in and play guy for a decade? - I'm not seeing it.IMO if Kingsbury taps Murray with the very 1st pick he will rightfully earn a place along side of Mike Martz or Marty Mornhinweg amongst the sideline coaching litter.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Cincydawg on March 10, 2019, 10:45:28 AM
https://247sports.com/college/alabama/Article/How-Alabama-Football-QB-Tua-Tagovailoas-height-compares-to-Kyler-Murray-Baker-Mayfield-129802389/

The NFL does love 6'4" QBs.  

https://www.landgrantholyland.com/2019/2/15/18226750/ohio-state-football-basketball-news-dwayne-haskins-nfl-scouts

“Haskins scares me, but he has the most traits to work with. Still, he’s not [Jared] Goff or anything. He would have been QB4 in last year’s class.”

Everyone has an opinion.  Meh.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 10, 2019, 11:51:22 AM
I dunno Haskins put up impressive numbers for just 1 season.If he can continue on that trajectory he could be more than serviceable.I've said before that some posters on this board could make up a formidable scouting department for an NFL franchise.The guys that are quoted in reality prolly don't have the hours most of us have watching CFB.Unless they're employed by the Sunday League,even then many are just taking up space.Man the off season's long
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 10, 2019, 02:41:09 PM
Sure, Murray is small and might get mangled like a car accident victim, but that has nothing to do with his playing ability.  He should play well while he's on the field. 
While the NFL is stodgy as hell, it's also fluid, slowly, but fluid nontheless.  Athletic QBs are happening - partly because of normal game evolution and partly because NFL teams all want the 6'4", 230 guy with a cannon and there aren't 32 of those to go around.  So you have to come at it a different way.  
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 10, 2019, 05:41:34 PM
It's the NFL he will be killed and eaten.I wouldn't touch him with the 1st over all pick
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 10, 2019, 07:40:36 PM
Idk, it's easy to say he shouldn't be the #1 pick, because almost no one should.  Like saying he probably won't be a good NFL QB, because almost no one will be.  Safe to say these things.

If I had the #1 pick, I'd trade down, no matter what year it was, who I could get, or what team I am.  If you earned the #1 pick, one player isn't going to turn things around.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 10, 2019, 07:44:29 PM
It's safer to say these things than your team to delude itself into thinking otherwise
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 10, 2019, 08:44:38 PM
I think with players like Murray (if there are any or have been any), it's a gamble.  And if you're a GM, the real question is should you be taking a gamble with a high draft pick?  
For me, the answer is no.  You want a safe pick.  1st round draft picks are like a long drive in bad weather - a good pick is a boring pick.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: rook119 on March 10, 2019, 09:37:45 PM
really don't get all the Kyler Murray going #1 overall hype. Yeah he measured 5'10". So what. He's got short arms and small hands and he looks small. He's not built like Russell Wilson. Wilson looked like a MAN day one in the NFL. Murray still looks like a little boy. He's smallish. Not sure he has the arm strength of Russell Wilson either. Everyone always wants to compare a 5'10 QB to Russell Wilson. He's the exception, not the rule. Just because he's succeeded in the NFL, doesn't mean Kyler Murray will. Wilson went in the 3rd round by the way, he wasn't the #1 pick let alone a 1st rounder.

Yeah, Murray is a great college QB in a great system playing for maybe the best offensive mind in CFB- but he also plays in a leauge that plays zero defense and is designed for stat padding. Not knocking Murray, he's a great college player but that doesn't mean he'll be a great NFL player. He has real physical limitations. Not sure he's worth a 1st round pick let alone the #1 pick.

Cardinals would be much better off trading down and stock-piling picks or just going with the surest bet- Nick Bosa- and pair him up with Chandler Jones to establish a wicked pass rush tandem. That'd instantly make them a better team and Bosa is a 10 year starter at a Pro Bowl level barring injury and off-field. He's as plug and play as there is in any draft. Sure thing.
I don't think Russel Wilson has that much arm strength, he's just insanely accurate on deep balls. Actually I really don't think arm strength matters that much w/ deep balls. You know who threw a nice deep ball back in the day, noodle arm Chad Pennington. Arm strength is more important in the 10-20 yard routes where the windows are tight. A big reason why Wilson succeeded, well just watch him play. You'll notice that no one ever gets a clean shot on the guy even though he's had some putrid OLs in seattle. 
Murray, IMO he's probably the best of the lot of QBs in the draft this year. Being small doesn't matter as much, you spend most of the game in shotgun these days and as long as you don't imitate RG3 and evil keneviling your way through LBs the rule changes will help you have a long career. The Cards are just terrible though. There isn't much difference talentwise between Haskins and Murray tho. However the one that will have the far better career is the one who gets to work with Barkley and Beckham.  
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: rook119 on March 10, 2019, 09:52:57 PM
The QBs available next year could be epic.  I'd wait one.  Get Drew Lock in the 3rd if you need a QB.  Maybe 2nd.



No Dawgs of note this year other than the DB.  Holyfield ran a slow time but he looks decently fast on the field.  But he probably would not start in college next year.
Lock is considered a mid-late 1st round pick. There are even some rumors that Oakland will take him at #4. 
2nd-3rd round is Ryan Findley and Will Grier. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 11, 2019, 01:13:54 AM
Arm strength matters if you can't stretch the field you certainly limit the responsibility of it's coverage.Making centering then teeing off on the QB/offense easier
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 11, 2019, 02:20:42 AM
I don't think Russel Wilson has that much arm strength, he's just insanely accurate on deep balls. Actually I really don't think arm strength matters that much w/ deep balls. 
This is scientifically untrue.  If you've ever played outfielder in baseball, you'd understand better.  It's not an either/or situation with accuracy/ball placement vs arm strength.  Throwing any ball (including a deep ball) deep with accuracy is good, throwing it with accuracy and greater speed is better.  
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 11, 2019, 11:57:00 AM
So the Steelers get a 3rd and a 5th for AB.Turns out not bad for the Raiders who pick up a replacement for Amari Cooper whom the received a No 1 for.What was Belichick offering for Brown?
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Cincydawg on March 11, 2019, 12:32:14 PM
Well, if you can throw a deep ball accurately and far enough, then arm strength probably only impacts trajectory and TOF.  In baseball, the TOF part starts to matter a lot.

It's "funny", I blew my arm out the first game of the year in HS my junior year and the coach put me in Left Field.  I could not throw overhand at all for about a month, and he'd scream at me for throwing side armed, which I could barely go anyway.  The SS knew to "come get me" if anything was in the gap.  My shoulder got better on a few rare occasions and then the next day would be crap again.

Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 11, 2019, 01:02:01 PM
So the Steelers get a 3rd and a 5th for AB.Turns out not bad for the Raiders who pick up a replacement for Amari Cooper whom the received a No 1 for.What was Belichick offering for Brown?
I'd be surprised if the Pats didn't offer more or better picks. My guess is they offered a better deal to the Steelers but they weren't willing to give Brown that fat guaranteed contract the Raiders were- that's really not BB's style- he don't like to pay players- so Brown nixed any potential deal to the Pats. Buffalo acutally came to an agreement with the Steelers first for a trade for AB and he nixed the deal.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on March 11, 2019, 01:27:14 PM
Yeah that was the issue, it was the best deal among teams willing to give him that big extension.

Did Oakland overpay him?  Sure.  But that always gets a bad label, and it's not necessarily a bad thing.  They have guys on rookie contracts, and 4 of the first like 34 picks in the draft, so they can afford to overpay for guys.  They might sign Bell too, and overpay him.  But they'll have them.  Then in 3 years, when they have to start paying their guys, they'll cut Bell and Brown.  No harm done.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on March 11, 2019, 04:25:05 PM
What I don't understand is where Oakland is getting the money to pay him at all? The rumors I'd heard was that the team didn't have a lot of money to throw around, and that's one of the reason they tried to get rid of both Khalil Mack and Amari Cooper. Not a salary cap issue; an "ability to make payroll" issue...

Get rid of them and rebuild the team with draft picks on [cheap] rookie contracts. 

But then picking up AB and giving him a big contract seems to be counter to that.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on March 11, 2019, 04:28:48 PM
perhaps the accounting dept made a slight mistake and they "found" a pile of money?
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on March 11, 2019, 05:18:07 PM
I guess this has become also the NFL Offseason thread, why not.

Lions are oddly all in in free agency today.  Danny Amendola, meh.  But they signed the top rated TE, DE and nickel on the market.  Not exactly sure why, but whatever.  I guess might as well do what you can while you've got Stafford, and see if it all falls into place.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 11, 2019, 07:59:24 PM
Stafford is the anti-Murray, right?  And his franchise has surrounded him with pieces, trying to win big during his career - all based on his big arm.  
I hold fast to the idea that a team (NFL and/or college) can be held hostage by elite QB talent.  
The Tennessee Vols tied all their flags to the Manning boat and never won their division.  The year after he left, playing a diverse offense that utilized multiple players instead of emphasizing one - they won the national championship.
The Lions' flags are all tied to the USS Stafford and it's yielding nothing.  His big arm has held his franchise's resources hostage.




But I'm probably wrong.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on March 11, 2019, 08:12:37 PM
no one likes watching Da Bears win the division, not even the Lions
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 12, 2019, 04:33:41 PM
What I don't understand is where Oakland is getting the money to pay him at all? The rumors I'd heard was that the team didn't have a lot of money to throw around, and that's one of the reason they tried to get rid of both Khalil Mack and Amari Cooper. Not a salary cap issue; an "ability to make payroll" issue...

Get rid of them and rebuild the team with draft picks on [cheap] rookie contracts.

But then picking up AB and giving him a big contract seems to be counter to that.
Not sure I buy that "they don't have the money" argument. Mark Davis could get a loan from anyone and anywhere to raise capital if need be. That team is worth at least $3 billion. At least. If the freaking Clippers of the NBA went for $2 billion on the open market, no doubt about it the Las Vegas Raiders would go for much more. NFL teams are infinitely more valuable than NBA teams, no matter the market. Raiders are probably worth even more now that they are moving to Las Vegas and getting a brand new $1.8 billion stadium.
They made out like bandits trading Cooper- don't think that was anything to do with money. That was to do with his poor declining performance and fleecing the Cowgirls and Jerry Jones for a 1st round pick. I'd have never traded Mack in a million years- but when you pay one defensive player that much money it really starts to hamper the roster. You only pay a franchise QB that kind of money. They made the right choice in the long run, I think.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 12, 2019, 04:40:24 PM
Yeah that was the issue, it was the best deal among teams willing to give him that big extension.

Did Oakland overpay him?  Sure.  But that always gets a bad label, and it's not necessarily a bad thing.  They have guys on rookie contracts, and 4 of the first like 34 picks in the draft, so they can afford to overpay for guys.  They might sign Bell too, and overpay him.  But they'll have them.  Then in 3 years, when they have to start paying their guys, they'll cut Bell and Brown.  No harm done.
I don't think they over-paid Antonio Brown at all. His cap # averages out to $16 million a year I think. Actually think it was a great move for them. He's as elite as it gets at his position. Even with his new contract they'd only be #3 in the NFL at spending on WR's in 2019 as it stands right now.

Yes- he's a diva. But Mike Tomlin isn't a real coach and Ben Roehtlisberger is the biggest douchebag piece of shit in maybe the history of sports. I'd bet that Brown will get along much better with Gruden and Carr. Gruden demands respect, he's not trying to be your homeboy like Tomlin is. And Carr is actually a good guy, he's not a sniveling cumstain of a human being like Big Ben is.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 12, 2019, 04:58:49 PM
I guess this has become also the NFL Offseason thread, why not.

Lions are oddly all in in free agency today.  Danny Amendola, meh.  But they signed the top rated TE, DE and nickel on the market.  Not exactly sure why, but whatever.  I guess might as well do what you can while you've got Stafford, and see if it all falls into place.
I didn't really like any of the signings except Amendola. Amendola is a hell of a slot WR. Solid, reliable, clutch. Will move the chains. That's if Stafford's ass can find him and hit him in stride on time.
They overpaid like crazy for an above average nickel corner and an above average DE. Neither of these guys are elite players or game changers. They are solid, B players. And they paid them like they were Grade A players. $9 million a year for a nickel corner? Really? You could easily draft one or trade for one and pay a hell of a lot less. Make a trade with the Cowboys for Jourdan Lewis or something. He's making less than $1 million a year the next 2 years. That'd have been a better move.
Trey Flowers is the 4th highest paid DE in the leauge now and the 5th highest paid defensive player, and he's got the 2nd most guaranteed money for a DE behind only Khalil Mack. That makes total sense. NOT. Flowers has 21 sacks. IN THE LAST 3 YEARS COMBINED. Garbage move for a garbage franchise.
Jesse James is a solid TE, but again, he's not changing shit. He's not pre-injury Gronk or current Travis Kelce or even Jason Witten. He's just an above average TE. He's really not changing life at all.
I thought all these moves sucked.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on March 12, 2019, 04:59:54 PM
Not sure I buy that "they don't have the money" argument. Mark Davis could get a loan from anyone and anywhere to raise capital if need be. That team is worth at least $3 billion. At least. If the freaking Clippers of the NBA went for $2 billion on the open market, no doubt about it the Las Vegas Raiders would go for much more. NFL teams are infinitely more valuable than NBA teams, no matter the market. Raiders are probably worth even more now that they are moving to Las Vegas and getting a brand new $1.8 billion stadium.
They made out like bandits trading Cooper- don't think that was anything to do with money. That was to do with his poor declining performance and fleecing the Cowgirls and Jerry Jones for a 1st round pick. I'd have never traded Mack in a million years- but when you pay one defensive player that much money it really starts to hamper the roster. You only pay a franchise QB that kind of money. They made the right choice in the long run, I think.

I think the speculation I'd heard was that the move to Las Vegas was putting serious strain on the Davis finances.

I.e. the speculation wasn't that they got rid of Cooper and Mack for salary cap considerations, but that they were just trying to save a crapton of money.

I don't think they over-paid Antonio Brown at all. His cap # averages out to $16 million a year I think. Actually think it was a great move for them. He's as elite as it gets at his position. Even with his new contract they'd only be #3 in the NFL at spending on WR's in 2019 as it stands right now.

Yes- he's a diva. But Mike Tomlin isn't a real coach and Ben Roehtlisberger is the biggest douchebag piece of shit in maybe the history of sports. I'd bet that Brown will get along much better with Gruden and Carr. Gruden demands respect, he's not trying to be your homeboy like Tomlin is. And Carr is actually a good guy, he's not a sniveling cumstain of a human being like Big Ben is.
I don't think he's worth it at all. He was on a team built around a great OL, great RB, pretty solid QB play, and so he could feast. 
I'm not sure the Raiders have anything near the overall talent level around him that he had in Pittsburgh. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on March 12, 2019, 05:33:00 PM
Eh, he's a terrible human being, but he's a talented one.  Carr sucks.  Most of the top QBs are just such easily dislikable bad people, Ben, Rodgers, Brady, etc... but they win.  Carr might be nice, but that doesn't help you when he airmails another one 5 feet over your head.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 12, 2019, 06:01:51 PM
What I don't understand is where Oakland is getting the money to pay him at all? 
Ya but who knows with an Al Davis descendant.Don't think Al had the coin to keep up with today's Robber Baron's but he prolly had tons of Apple Stock or simply avoided taxes - that's prolly it
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 12, 2019, 06:30:04 PM
They made out like bandits trading Cooper- don't think that was anything to do with money. That was to do with his poor declining performance and fleecing the Cowgirls and Jerry Jones for a 1st round pick.
Cooper has racked up 1,000 yds receiving 3 of his 4 seasons.That's not a fleecing...but I hope it turns into one.He was hurt for a while the season he didn't get there.Seeing as Jerry is prolly the biggest prima donna amongst owners I really hope it doesn't work out.
Yes- he's a diva. But Mike Tomlin isn't a real coach and Ben Roehtlisberger is the biggest douchebag piece of shit in maybe the history of sports.
Oh c'mon that's a stretch even for you.Ben's a buttcrack for sure but Brown would be bagging groceries if not for Football.They deserve each other.Brown won't get near the numbers in Oak/LV .He is what 9 yrs in or sumsuch probably his last contract - which isn't to shabby
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 12, 2019, 08:16:28 PM
Eh, he's a terrible human being, but he's a talented one.  Carr sucks.  Most of the top QBs are just such easily dislikable bad people, Ben, Rodgers, Brady, etc... but they win.  Carr might be nice, but that doesn't help you when he airmails another one 5 feet over your head.
Derek Carr has had his ups and downs, but he definitely does not suck. He had no help at all last year. Carr is still young, only 26, with big upside still ahead of him. Give him AB and sign LBell and he'll take off imo.
Gonna have to disagree big time on the second part. Rodgers is a little whiny bitch whose teammates don't like him, but even he is a FAR CRY from Big Ben. Big Ben is probably the biggest piece of shit in the history of the NFL.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 12, 2019, 08:17:52 PM
Browns trade their 2019 1st round pick and Jabrill Peppers to the NYG for OBJ. WOW. Talk about a power play move. They already signed Kareem Hunt, they just got OBJ to pair him up with his BFF Jarvis. That Browns offense gonna be EXPLOSSSSSIVE. 

I'm going to LOL at the Giants if they pass on Dwayne Haskins.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on March 12, 2019, 10:32:28 PM
Derek Carr has had his ups and downs, but he definitely does not suck. He had no help at all last year. Carr is still young, only 26, with big upside still ahead of him. Give him AB and sign LBell and he'll take off imo.
Gonna have to disagree big time on the second part. Rodgers is a little whiny bitch whose teammates don't like him, but even he is a FAR CRY from Big Ben. Big Ben is probably the biggest piece of shit in the history of the NFL.
Aaron Hernandez and Ray Lewis murdered dudes.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 12, 2019, 11:48:10 PM
Aaron Hernandez and Ray Lewis murdered dudes.
Ray Lewis murdered no one. He covered for two of his buddies that committed murder. Aaron Hernandez was mentally ill and had severe CTE. Supposedly was one of the worst CTE cases ever seen. Both of those guys' teammates actually really liked them by the way. Do any of Roethlisberger's teammates even like him?
Ben Roethlisberger is the ultimate finger-pointer, blame defecting, never takes responsibility, it's always someone elses fault- throwing teammates under the bus douchebag in the history of the game. Plus he raped multiple women and got away with it. Even the former pornstar who had the fling with Trump said she was scared to death of Rapelisberger when Trump introduced her to him.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on March 13, 2019, 12:07:57 AM
Oh he's a piece of shit, nobody is arguing against you there.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 13, 2019, 12:46:19 AM
Le'Veon Bell to the NY Jets. 4 years, $52.5 million, $35 million guaranteed. Deal is worth up to $61 million with incentives.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MaximumSam on March 13, 2019, 07:20:42 AM
Browns trade their 2019 1st round pick and Jabrill Peppers to the NYG for OBJ. WOW. Talk about a power play move. They already signed Kareem Hunt, they just got OBJ to pair him up with his BFF Jarvis. That Browns offense gonna be EXPLOSSSSSIVE.

I'm going to LOL at the Giants if they pass on Dwayne Haskins.
Are the Browns now the clear favorite in the division?
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on March 13, 2019, 09:24:32 AM
Le'Veon Bell to the NY Jets. 4 years, $52.5 million, $35 million guaranteed. Deal is worth up to $61 million with incentives.
Could he have gotten at least $21 million guaranteed playing last year barring a catastrophic injury?  That's how it should be judged.  He should have probably used the same agent as his former college QB, because I think he could have, absent totally blowing out his knee.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: bayareabadger on March 13, 2019, 09:35:45 AM
Stafford is the anti-Murray, right?  And his franchise has surrounded him with pieces, trying to win big during his career - all based on his big arm.  
I hold fast to the idea that a team (NFL and/or college) can be held hostage by elite QB talent.  
The Tennessee Vols tied all their flags to the Manning boat and never won their division.  The year after he left, playing a diverse offense that utilized multiple players instead of emphasizing one - they won the national championship.
The Lions' flags are all tied to the USS Stafford and it's yielding nothing.  His big arm has held his franchise's resources hostage.




But I'm probably wrong.
I think that's a matter of seeing patterns and turning it into parable. 
For the Tenn/Manning part, it really comes down to Florida. The 1998 Florida offense lost its best player and just plain got worse and was on the road. Manning scored 20 in Gainesville. UT scored 17 at home in regulation with like 235 total yards and won after a crazy scramble set up a field goal and then Florida missed from 9 yards closer and was a fingertip away from a game-winning score. That Vols team was good, but it was also the team that just won ALL the close games (Manning got 1997 Nebraska in his bowl. Martin got a team without a starting QB). 
Now, watching a few clips, it didn't seem like they'd gone true option or anything (might be wrong). Just seemed like they were the same I-form team but with a more mobile QB. One could argue the run over pass emphasis helped, but on that front, I'd turn it back to UF. The Gators loved to sling it around, and fielded some awesome title-contending teams, and the only one they got kinda lucky to do so. Was the pass emphasis what held them back, or was it just other better teams?
On Stafford, he came in after Johnson, and at some point had Tate, beyond that, did they build around him that well? Best back was Reggie Bush, next best receiver was ... who? Had one defense higher than 13th? I guess it's this. Detroit is mostly bad. Stafford is good, not great. If Stafford holding Detroit back, or is he one of the things keeping them not always terrible. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 13, 2019, 11:31:00 AM
Are the Browns now the clear favorite in the division?
They absolutely are in my opinion.
Baker completed 64% as a rookie and set the rookie record for TD passes. He’s only going to get better. Especially now that he has even more weapons with the Hunt signing and OBJ trade.
Jarvis Landry, Rashard Higgins, and Antonio Callaway was a pretty talented young WR corps. They just added a top 5 WR to that unit with OBJ. Insane.
David Njoku is coming off a breakout year at TE. He’s a freak athlete going on his 3rd NFL season and oh yeah he’s only 22 years old. 
Nick Chubb had a hell of a rookie year averaging 5.2 ypc with 8 TDs on only 180 some carries. They also signed Kareem Hunt. Hunt will probably be suspended 4 games then back in action. That’s as good a RB duo as you’ll see in the entire league.
Not to mention the Browns traded for edge rusher Olivier Vernon and signed DT Sheldon Richardson. Those are two impact starters that will improve their defense. And it sounds like they might be the leader in the clubhouse for f/a safety Earl Thomas.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Cincydawg on March 13, 2019, 11:33:34 AM
Fascinating points about Stafford up above, a team being in effect hostage to a great arm.

Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on March 13, 2019, 11:34:31 AM
Browns winning the division would certainly be interesting

I'll believe it when I see it
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on March 13, 2019, 11:35:14 AM
Fascinating points about Stafford up above, a team being in effect hostage to a great arm.


hostage to a contract and a salary cap
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 13, 2019, 12:42:54 PM
Ray Lewis murdered no one. He covered for two of his buddies that committed murder. Aaron Hernandez was mentally ill and had severe CTE. Supposedly was one of the worst CTE cases ever seen. Both of those guys' teammates actually really liked them by the way. Do any of Roethlisberger's teammates even like him?
Ben Roethlisberger is the ultimate finger-pointer, blame defecting, never takes responsibility, it's always someone elses fault- throwing teammates under the bus douchebag in the history of the game. Plus he raped multiple women and got away with it. Even the former pornstar who had the fling with Trump said she was scared to death of Rapelisberger when Trump introduced her to him.
Buttcrack Ben didn't rape anyone,played serious grab ass maybe even attempted to .That doesn't compare to covering up for murder even though the guy that got whacked wasn't exactly innocent.If that evidence was there the league would have ran him and he'd be in the slammer
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 13, 2019, 12:45:51 PM
Browns trade their 2019 1st round pick and Jabrill Peppers to the NYG for OBJ. WOW. Talk about a power play move. 
Ya know the shame of that is Peppers actually was pretty solid last season and I was looking forward to watching him
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Cincydawg on March 13, 2019, 12:58:39 PM
hostage to a contract and a salary cap
Yes, better phrasing.  Big Arm led to large contract.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on March 13, 2019, 01:24:48 PM
Le'Veon Bell to the NY Jets. 4 years, $52.5 million, $35 million guaranteed. Deal is worth up to $61 million with incentives.
Could he have gotten at least $21 million guaranteed playing last year barring a catastrophic injury?  That's how it should be judged.  He should have probably used the same agent as his former college QB, because I think he could have, absent totally blowing out his knee.
I think he came out ahead. 
I believe he was only guaranteed $10M in the contract that the Steelers offered. Basically everything beyond that was at risk. A catastrophic injury would have screwed him. And if he had played last year, but had a catastrophic injury, he would have had $14M, but potentially his career ending. And you know the Steelers were going to give him 400+ touches and ride him into the ground.
I think this contract definitely says that avoiding playing on the franchise tag was worth it, and didn't hurt his value. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on March 13, 2019, 02:15:06 PM
Buttcrack Ben didn't rape anyone,played serious grab ass maybe even attempted to .That doesn't compare to covering up for murder even though the guy that got whacked wasn't exactly innocent.If that evidence was there the league would have ran him and he'd be in the slammer
rape was definitely "alleged"  not proven
not sure I'd bet the dirt farm that a rape did not happen
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on March 13, 2019, 02:15:43 PM
Ya know the shame of that is Peppers actually was pretty solid last season and I was looking forward to watching him
you can still watch him, he'll be the guy wearing blue
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 13, 2019, 02:26:47 PM
hostage to a contract and a salary cap
The point stands (if it stands at all) in college football as well.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: bayareabadger on March 13, 2019, 02:54:59 PM
Fascinating points about Stafford up above, a team being in effect hostage to a great arm.


What does this mean? Just that having a talented QB and using him a bunch is bad for a diverse offense? That a strong armed QB might be overvalued talent-wise?
If I give Stafford Brady’s arm strength and Peyton in college Wurrfuls’s how does the dynamic change?
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on March 13, 2019, 03:02:24 PM
The point stands (if it stands at all) in college football as well.
well the coach has a fat contract, but there's no salary cap
do you mean the cap on scholarships?
I didn't think so
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Cincydawg on March 13, 2019, 04:28:52 PM
How much is it talent and how much is quick thinking and hard work?

There is no ideal height for a pitcher in baseball.  They are all over, though larger guys more often can bring it.  A longer arm has more potential for putting more spin on a breaking ball, in theory anyway, even though most of that is wrist.  I got to try to hit off Marvin Freeman who is 6'8" and can still make the ball make ugly noises.

What is the mean height for an NFL QB these days, and range around the mean, min/max, etc?
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 13, 2019, 04:41:53 PM
Earl Thomas signs with the Ravens. 4 years, $55 million with $32 million in guaranteed money.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 13, 2019, 04:49:52 PM
What does this mean? Just that having a talented QB and using him a bunch is bad for a diverse offense? That a strong armed QB might be overvalued talent-wise?
If I give Stafford Brady’s arm strength and Peyton in college Wurrfuls’s how does the dynamic change?
I guess it's a case of departure from what you'd ordinarily do.  If you have a QB with an arm like Wuerffel, you don't feel pressured to throw any more than you ordinarily would.  We know Wuerffel threw the ball plenty under Spurrier, but that's the norm for Spurrier.
With a QB with special arm talent, you feel pressured to use him more, perhaps too much - you may even ignore the makeup of your team.  Tennessee from 1997 to 1998 - most of the linemen were the same, most of the same RBs, same WRs, but a big difference at QB.  They ran the ball a lot more because that's what the roster dictated, and they won all of their games.
We all know you should play to your team's strengths and the key to what I'm saying is that you shouldn't blindly pass more than normal just because your QB has a big arm, just when you have a great overall QB...and even then, only to a small degree.  Even if I have a Brady or a Montana, I need to run the ball plenty.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 13, 2019, 05:12:51 PM
Stafford's always had a big arm, but why not special results?  Because he's not a great QB.  
He wasn't "good" at UGA until his 3rd year as starter.  The year after he left, the QB was Joe Cox (who?) and his first season as starter was better than either of Stafford's first two.  

QBs become #1 draft picks because of their arms, not their results.  Their potential gives scouts hard-ons, because they think that arm talent can be made into a great QB...but it's far from a given.  In the NFL, Stafford has a losing record and the only bold stats he's lead the league in is completions (once) and attempts (twice).  Not rating, not comp%, not yards per attempt (important stats).  The Lions have leaned on him plenty and it hasn't yielded any of their goals.  


Everyone wants to gauge QBs by their wins and championships, so their lack of success must mean something as well, no?  




If you look at #1 overall QB picks, they all have one thing in common:  arm strength.  What they don't have in common was that they were quality overall QBs when they were drafted or even developed into quality QBs during their career.
87 - Testaverde (90-123-1)
89 - Aikman (94-71)
90 - George (46-78)
93 - Bledsoe (98-95)
98 - Manning, P. (186-79)
99 - Couch (22-37)
01 - Vick (61-51-1)
02 - Carr (23-56)
03 - Palmer (92-88-1)
04 - Manning, E. (116-114)
05 - Smith (94-66-1)
07 - Russell (7-18)
09 - Stafford (66-75)
10 - Bradford (34-48-1)
11 - Newton (68-53-1)
12 - Luck (53-33)
15 - Winston (21-33)
16 - Goff (24-14)
18 - Mayfield (6-7)
Yes, these were drafted by bad teams.  No, they shouldn't be expected to save their franchises.  But over a career, as the best of the best, they should be winners.  But look, it's a crapshoot.  Why don't more guys with cannon arms become great QBs?  



Because it takes so much more than that.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: bayareabadger on March 13, 2019, 05:24:29 PM
Stafford's always had a big arm, but why not special results?  Because he's not a great QB.  
He wasn't "good" at UGA until his 3rd year as starter.  The year after he left, the QB was Joe Cox (who?) and his first season as starter was better than either of Stafford's first two.  

QBs become #1 draft picks because of their arms, not their results.  Their potential gives scouts hard-ons, because they think that arm talent can be made into a great QB...but it's far from a given.  In the NFL, Stafford has a losing record and the only bold stats he's lead the league in is completions (once) and attempts (twice).  Not rating, not comp%, not yards per attempt (important stats).  The Lions have leaned on him plenty and it hasn't yielded any of their goals.  


Everyone wants to gauge QBs by their wins and championships, so their lack of success must mean something as well, no?  




If you look at #1 overall QB picks, they all have one thing in common:  arm strength.  What they don't have in common was that they were quality overall QBs when they were drafted or even developed into quality QBs during their career.
87 - Testaverde (90-123-1)
89 - Aikman (94-71)
90 - George (46-78)
93 - Bledsoe (98-95)
98 - Manning, P. (186-79)
99 - Couch (22-37)
01 - Vick (61-51-1)
02 - Carr (23-56)
03 - Palmer (92-88-1)
04 - Manning, E. (116-114)
05 - Smith (94-66-1)
07 - Russell (7-18)
09 - Stafford (66-75)
10 - Bradford (34-48-1)
11 - Newton (68-53-1)
12 - Luck (53-33)
15 - Winston (21-33)
16 - Goff (24-14)
18 - Mayfield (6-7)
Yes, these were drafted by bad teams.  No, they shouldn't be expected to save their franchises.  But over a career, as the best of the best, they should be winners.  But look, it's a crapshoot.  Why don't more guys with cannon arms become great QBs?  



Because it takes so much more than that.

The short answer is becuase almost no QBs become great QBs. 
It’s a fallacy to isolate one part of the group and say “look how bad it is.” Most QBs fail. 
And by this metric, you have Cannon-arm Joe Flacco at 96-67. Dude was drafted for that cannon, has a great record, and there’s just not that much to deduce from it. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: bayareabadger on March 13, 2019, 06:50:56 PM
I guess it's a case of departure from what you'd ordinarily do.  If you have a QB with an arm like Wuerffel, you don't feel pressured to throw any more than you ordinarily would.  We know Wuerffel threw the ball plenty under Spurrier, but that's the norm for Spurrier.
With a QB with special arm talent, you feel pressured to use him more, perhaps too much - you may even ignore the makeup of your team.  Tennessee from 1997 to 1998 - most of the linemen were the same, most of the same RBs, same WRs, but a big difference at QB.  They ran the ball a lot more because that's what the roster dictated, and they won all of their games.
We all know you should play to your team's strengths and the key to what I'm saying is that you shouldn't blindly pass more than normal just because your QB has a big arm, just when you have a great overall QB...and even then, only to a small degree.  Even if I have a Brady or a Montana, I need to run the ball plenty.
I think this is to a degree more interesting than the NFL one. And I think that because there's a kernel of truth. Big arm dudes are given more and earlier chances. They get more leeway. That might lead to some poor play. They also get absorbed into more bad situations more often. 
But I don't think the UT thing is that. Manning was plenty good at all the other stuff. Using the fact they won all the games the next year is seeing something changed and saying "Ah-HA" that must be it. 
In truth, if you traded the UF teams and bowl opponents, between the teams (and maybe the Vols turnover work in the second game), Manning probably has a title. Murderball Nebraska is a lot better than FSU with a backup QB. That Gators team was short offensive playmakers. I was tempted to argue the UT defense was better in 1998, and it was in PPG, but there's a chance that's because of a slower pace.
I'll go with this. I looked back on how Tennessee beat Florida, which was the biggest difference between those regular seasons. The Vols got outgained 396-235. They won by the skin of their teeth with five turnovers. Though the air they were 7-20 for 64 yards. Martin did have a few very nice plays and didn't turn it over, a notch above Manning, but I'm guessing if you gave Manning five dang turnovers and held the Gators to 17 points, he'd have won that game. 
Things just came together for that UT team. You could argue they were now free to run, but even there, they lost their best back to injury, one who got the ball 240 times with Manning. And in football, talent trumps system a heck of a lot. If you have an awesome QB, you use the dude, the same way they uses an awesome RB and awesome WRs in Manning's last year. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 13, 2019, 08:51:57 PM
About 97-98 Tennessee, the offense's influence on the UT defense is important.  
In 97, they averaged 41 passes and 33 runs per game.  And that's for a 11-1 regular season team with comfortable wins, so to get the lead, the difference is even greater (think Spurrier usually averaging out to 50/50 run/pass each year, but passing to get the lead and running to finish out the game).  
In 98, they averaged 23 passes and 43 runs.  

But the defense improved from 22 points allowed in 97 to 14.5 in 98.  They had more rest throughout the game.  

And how did Travis Henry and Travis Stephens, good RBs, help UT to a better ypc average in 98 than big, bad Jamal Lewis in 97?  Yes, Martin's rushing helped some, but still, even if it's a draw, the Travises weren't as good as Lewis.


Plus there's the thing that teams with elite defenses rarely have good offenses AND teams with big passing offenses don't usually have very physical defenses.  All those practices vs Peyton's offense, knowing they're going to throw it 40 times per game VS practicing against an offense that's giving you a steady diet of runs between the tackles.....it matters.


Just a theory I have is all.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on March 13, 2019, 08:54:41 PM
98 Vols didn't play Nebraska

that helped
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: bayareabadger on March 13, 2019, 09:35:41 PM
But the defense improved from 22 points allowed in 97 to 14.5 in 98.  They had more rest throughout the game.  

And how did Travis Henry and Travis Stephens, good RBs, help UT to a better ypc average in 98 than big, bad Jamal Lewis in 97?  Yes, Martin's rushing helped some, but still, even if it's a draw, the Travises weren't as good as Lewis.


I shy away from the offense-defense question simply because I am short data. For all I know, running more lowered the pace of games significantly, or the schedule that was easier helped. I don’t dispute that COULD be the case, but to decide it was felt like putting the conclusion ahead of the process.
I’d assume the gap in YPC was going from a QB who didn’t run, but took sacks, to one who did run. Lewis has a higher YPC than both. I’d argue that’s sort of a push.
I deleted the part about going up against Payton’s offense, but I kinda disagree. That team was still an I-form, downhill power team. The scout team RBs are Travis Henry and Stephens. I’m unconvinced at best that makes a soft defense.
And that isn’t to say I disagree with the center of the theory, but I think it’s being forced here. I just think that UT team was one of those teams that just happens to win all the games. The SOS went from 1st to 26th and had to pull out three wins by less than 4 points. And the whole argument rests on them being better. 

I mean, Fulmer had been not throwing the ball a lot, and it didn’t get him any other titles.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 14, 2019, 11:26:24 AM
Chiefs trade edge rusher Dee Ford to the San Fransisco 49ers for a 2nd round pick in the 2020 draft and they also cut starting safety Eric Berry and starting OLB Justin Houston.

Not sure how any of those moves helps their terrible defense. That's BY FAR their 3 most talented players on defense- all shipped on out. This was the 31st ranked defense in the NFL by the way. Yikes.

I guess Andy Reid's plan next year will be, hey let's just score 45 points a game.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on March 14, 2019, 11:27:50 AM
was it Ford or Houston that was lined up offside?

hell, doesn't matter, they're both gone
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 14, 2019, 11:33:17 AM
was it Ford or Houston that was lined up offside?

hell, doesn't matter, they're both gone
it was Ford. Yup, both gone. Ford is only 27 and Houston 30. Not exactly like either were dinosaurs. Both have lots of good football left.
Ford missed most of 2017, but in 2016 he had 10 sacks and in 2018 he had 13 sacks. Houston has been one of the best, most consistent sack artists in the NFL for like the last 6-7 years. You don't just cut bait on guys who can produce 10+ sacks a year consistently.
I understand them cutting Eric Berry, he's dealt with lots of injuries and cancer, plus safeties tend to break down quicker than edge rushers. Once the athleticism starts to go in a safety he can't play man coverage quite like he used to or cover up as much ground as he used to. Pass rushers? They have one job, just get up-field and get after the QB. Those guys can play a long, long time.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 14, 2019, 11:36:48 AM
The short answer is becuase almost no QBs become great QBs.
It’s a fallacy to isolate one part of the group and say “look how bad it is.” Most QBs fail.
And by this metric, you have Cannon-arm Joe Flacco at 96-67. Dude was drafted for that cannon, has a great record, and there’s just not that much to deduce from it.
Joe Flacco sucks. He had a couple years where he played like shit in the regular season then got hot in the playoffs. Fluke playoff runs. It happens. See: Manning, Eli. And just like Eli, everything else about him basically sucks.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 14, 2019, 11:44:53 AM
Dwayne Haskins carried a team that was marred in a coaching controversy where the head coach was suspended for 4 games, had difficulty running the football for most of the season, lost it's best defensive player for the entire year, and had a mostly terrible defense for 90% of the season- to a 13-1 record.

Let that sink in for a second. He literally carried that team to 13-1 with his right arm. There were games where if he wasn't throwing for 400 yards and 4 or 5 TD's, Ohio State would lose. He absolutely shredded the then #1 defense in the country and dropped 60 on them. This kid just threw for 4,900 yards and 50 touchdowns vs only 8 INT's and shattered every single season passing record in a conference that actually plays defense- unlike the Big 12.

He measured 6'3-3/8" and 231 pounds at the combine. Basically 6'3 1/2. Over 230 pounds. Rocket arm. Deadly accurate. By far the best pure passer/thrower of the football in this draft.

HOW THE F is he not considered a lock for the #1 pick? I honestly don't get it.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=06yu8jfZwZI
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: bayareabadger on March 14, 2019, 01:08:47 PM
Joe Flacco sucks. He had a couple years where he played like shit in the regular season then got hot in the playoffs. Fluke playoff runs. It happens. See: Manning, Eli. And just like Eli, everything else about him basically sucks.
Correct. Most everyone sucks. So if you make a list of cannon arms and 25 percent of them were some kind of solid, you’re ahead of the numbers. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 14, 2019, 01:34:07 PM
Correct. Most everyone sucks. So if you make a list of cannon arms and 25 percent of them were some kind of solid, you’re ahead of the numbers.
Most of the all-time greats didn't have the rocket arm. I'd argue the 3 greatest QB's I've ever seen were Brady, Peyton, and Montana. None of them had a cannon. Neither did Steve Young or Drew Brees or Kurt Warner and those are also 3 all-time greats. Elway and Marino were really the only all-time greats with the cannon arms. Rodgers will be in that convo when he's finished for sure. Maybe Favre too, but I honestly think he's a little overrated. He has big stats but he played for 21 years. Favre also threw more INT's than anyone in history and he lost more big playoff games than he actually won. I just have so many memories of the guy choking and throwing INT's in the worst moments of big games.
QB'ing is just about so much more then arm strength. It's really only meaningful when the guy has everything else. Which is why I think Haskins is so special. He seems to have the stuff you really need- good pocket presence, reading defenses fast and making smart, quick decisions and throwing the ball accurately with timing. He just happens to also have the cannon.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MaximumSam on March 14, 2019, 02:04:52 PM
Haskins has question marks about his ability to face pressure and read zone defenses.  But he had some Tom Brady like abilities to quickly read the defense and deliver a really accurate ball.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 14, 2019, 02:41:05 PM
Haskins has question marks about his ability to face pressure and read zone defenses.  But he had some Tom Brady like abilities to quickly read the defense and deliver a really accurate ball.
Every pocket QB struggles when they are pressured all game long. Even Brady and Peyton have had some absolute stinker games when they were pressured all game long. No one is perfect. Haskins good far outweighed his bad.

Haskins reads defenses very well and he gets rid of the ball quickly. He just throws the ball so effortlessly. He's just a really natural thrower of the football. He's accurate as hell but he's also got the arm strength to make any throw on the field.

And honestly he really doesn't put the ball in harms way that much. He threw only 8 INT's vs 50 TD's. But he threw the football 533 times and still only had 8 INT's. That's kinda crazu. Kyler Murray threw 7 INT's- but he threw the football 377 times. Haskins threw the football 156 times more than Murray, yet he only had 1 more INT- and he still completed a higher % of his throws than Murray.

In 22 games played and 14 starts, Haskins has thrown for 5,396 yards, completed 70% of his passes, and thrown for 54 TD's vs. 9 INT's. That's insanity.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: bayareabadger on March 14, 2019, 02:45:30 PM
Most of the all-time greats didn't have the rocket arm. I'd argue the 3 greatest QB's I've ever seen were Brady, Peyton, and Montana. None of them had a cannon. Neither did Steve Young or Drew Brees or Kurt Warner and those are also 3 all-time greats. Elway and Marino were really the only all-time greats with the cannon arms. Rodgers will be in that convo when he's finished for sure. Maybe Favre too, but I honestly think he's a little overrated. He has big stats but he played for 21 years. Favre also threw more INT's than anyone in history and he lost more big playoff games than he actually won. I just have so many memories of the guy choking and throwing INT's in the worst moments of big games.
QB'ing is just about so much more then arm strength. It's really only meaningful when the guy has everything else. Which is why I think Haskins is so special. He seems to have the stuff you really need- good pocket presence, reading defenses fast and making smart, quick decisions and throwing the ball accurately with timing. He just happens to also have the cannon.
I think Manning had a big arm. Warner threw deep a ton. Rogers deep ball is plenty majestic. Montana, Brady and Brees are probably in the good enough arm category. 
I wonder if there’s a selection bias. The guys we think about a “big arms” is in some way linked to that being more notable than their actual success.
Also, if we assume 90-plus percent of QBs are not great, we can look at the greats and realize there’s no pattern beyond just being super good at playing QB. Shoot, that’s the bet, wrong or right on Murray. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: bayareabadger on March 14, 2019, 02:47:45 PM
Dwayne Haskins carried a team that was marred in a coaching controversy where the head coach was suspended for 4 games, had difficulty running the football for most of the season, lost it's best defensive player for the entire year, and had a mostly terrible defense for 90% of the season- to a 13-1 record.

Let that sink in for a second. He literally carried that team to 13-1 with his right arm. There were games where if he wasn't throwing for 400 yards and 4 or 5 TD's, Ohio State would lose. He absolutely shredded the then #1 defense in the country and dropped 60 on them. This kid just threw for 4,900 yards and 50 touchdowns vs only 8 INT's and shattered every single season passing record in a conference that actually plays defense- unlike the Big 12.

He measured 6'3-3/8" and 231 pounds at the combine. Basically 6'3 1/2. Over 230 pounds. Rocket arm. Deadly accurate. By far the best pure passer/thrower of the football in this draft.

HOW THE F is he not considered a lock for the #1 pick? I honestly don't get it.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=06yu8jfZwZI
To a large degree, I agree with this. 
He’s basically the archetype of players who get over drafted. But he’s not considered that sort. I have a sorta hot take question, but probably left unasked. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Cincydawg on March 14, 2019, 03:51:23 PM
Haskins had one of the quietest extremely good seasons I can recall.  Maybe he didn't have enough "highlight plays"?  I'd see a quick blurb with his passing for a completion, fine, done.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 14, 2019, 07:15:39 PM
I think Manning had a big arm. Warner threw deep a ton. Rogers deep ball is plenty majestic. Montana, Brady and Brees are probably in the good enough arm category.
I wonder if there’s a selection bias. The guys we think about a “big arms” is in some way linked to that being more notable than their actual success.
Also, if we assume 90-plus percent of QBs are not great, we can look at the greats and realize there’s no pattern beyond just being super good at playing QB. Shoot, that’s the bet, wrong or right on Murray.
Manning’s arm was nothing special. Same for Warner. Rodgers definitely has a bazooka though. 
Marino had the best arm I’ve ever seen. Elway probably next up. Rodgers is right in that convo as well though. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 14, 2019, 08:09:51 PM
The guys we think about a “big arms” is in some way linked to that being more notable than their actual success.
This is the crux - we expect the results to match the arm, and it almost never does.
decision-making + accuracy > arm strength
but NFL GMs insist on the arm strength, to this day.



You obviously want all three, but if you can only have two, why to NFL GMs always pick arm strength first?  
Hell, doesn't good decision-making and a quick release basically equal out to a strong arm?  Think Aikman, Manning, those types.  If they know where to go with the ball and get rid of it quickly, a stronger arm becomes superfluous, no?
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 14, 2019, 08:14:59 PM

Marino had the best arm I’ve ever seen. Elway probably next up. Rodgers is right in that convo as well though.
Here's the thing - there are other players in their class, but since they didn't pan out and don't have the name recognition, we don't cite them.  (Jeff George, Leftwich, Russell, Ryan Leaf).  Leaf vs Manning was only a thing because while Manning had intangibles, Leaf had the rocket arm.  Looking back, it was a silly debate, but because of Manning's decision-making and accuracy, not his superior arm strength.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 14, 2019, 08:16:24 PM
Correct. Most everyone sucks. So if you make a list of cannon arms and 25 percent of them were some kind of solid, you’re ahead of the numbers.
Isn't this because decision-making and accuracy are hard to gauge?  
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 14, 2019, 08:21:43 PM


In 22 games played and 14 starts, Haskins has thrown for 5,396 yards, completed 70% of his passes, and thrown for 54 TD's vs. 9 INT's. That's insanity.
That's a small sample size.  Same for Murray.  Good reason to be wary.
Haskins' season rates between the best seasons by Bryce Petty (Baylor) and Colt McCoy (Texas).  How are they doing in the NFL?
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: bayareabadger on March 14, 2019, 08:58:48 PM
This is the crux - we expect the results to match the arm, and it almost never does.
decision-making + accuracy > arm strength
but NFL GMs insist on the arm strength, to this day.



You obviously want all three, but if you can only have two, why to NFL GMs always pick arm strength first?  
Hell, doesn't good decision-making and a quick release basically equal out to a strong arm?  Think Aikman, Manning, those types.  If they know where to go with the ball and get rid of it quickly, a stronger arm becomes superfluous, no?
You misunderstand. 
I'm saying if I remember someone as a "big arm," maybe it's because I don't remember him as a good QB. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Anonymous Coward on March 14, 2019, 09:01:02 PM
Haskins is an accurate QB with NFL size. He's a lock for the Top 5. If he isn't the first QB taken, it's probably not because of him per se. I'd bet it'd be a mix of uncertainty in scouts' eyes for his college offense and the defensive schemes he faced. For the offense, he had a below average "avg depth of target." That's not his fault and not informative of his talent, but that's the point, it limits the predictive power of his college production. For the defenses he face, the NFL is almost all nickel and dime. And the Big Ten shows that way less often than the Big XII. In both of these, Kyler Murray has a chance to win over more scouts. Not because he promises to be better but because his statistical report card shows them more of what their eyes are trained to want. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: bayareabadger on March 14, 2019, 09:02:58 PM
Haskins had one of the quietest extremely good seasons I can recall.  Maybe he didn't have enough "highlight plays"?  I'd see a quick blurb with his passing for a completion, fine, done.
It was weird. He got a lot of milage out of crosses and screens, but also dropped some pure dimes. 
Maybe a worry about that offensive structure? I know OSU doesn't have a particularly robust passing scheme in terms of diversity. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Anonymous Coward on March 14, 2019, 09:11:03 PM
Drafts are less about prospects' core features, which are hard to define. My wording here is a work in progress, but it's moreso about the prospects' surface decorations, things that are easily measured - stats/height/40 - and can be robotically correlated to NFL success.
It's just Moneyball.
Each high pick is a gamble based on spreadsheet heuristics. Excluding injuries and off-the-field brouhaha, behind every bust is a prospect whose lacking talent hides behind great heuristics. And behind every diamond in the rough is a prospect whose special talent hides behind bad heuristics.
And we can complain how dumb that is if we want, but that seems arrogant to me. Given the stakes (dollars), if a better way were proven, NFL box offices would already be using it. They aren't infallible, but the idea that you or I would do better is questionable.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 15, 2019, 02:57:19 AM
If it's moneyball, then the NFL is light years behind MLB.  
They no longer value the potential 5-tool athlete instead of the guy with bat-to-ball skills and mastery of the strike zone.  The entire MLB has gone the way of the A's and correctly valued on-base and power over stolen bases and defense.  They know not to draft Byron Buxton #2 anymore.  It doesn't matter how fast you are or how much power you have if you can't make contact.

You see the Browns making waves?  They took Paul DePodesta, formerly under Beane with the A's in MLB.  He's turning knobs and flipping switches.  There are AMPLE inefficiencies in talent evaluation in the NFL and he might just be the guy to take advantage.  
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 15, 2019, 08:00:29 AM
That's a small sample size.  Same for Murray.  Good reason to be wary.
Haskins' season rates between the best seasons by Bryce Petty (Baylor) and Colt McCoy (Texas).  How are they doing in the NFL?
Neither of them were rated as the best pro prospect on the board either.Actually had McCoy been bigger  he would have been very good,he had guile,moxie,leadership - he started I believe all 4 seasons on the 40 acres.Maybe the best game manager I've seen in CFB.Let's just have a look at Tom Brady shall we - does Kyler Murray most resemble him?No Murray most resembles Lamar Jackson or Johnny Football,so meh.Murray may make a big splash but that will slow to a ripple after a few seasons
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 15, 2019, 08:04:45 AM
You see the Browns making waves?  They took Paul DePodesta, formerly under Beane with the A's in MLB.  He's turning knobs and flipping switches.  There are AMPLE inefficiencies in talent evaluation in the NFL and he might just be the guy to take advantage.  
Take advantage of exactly what?John Dorsey is calling the player personnel shots in Cleveland  :017:.DePodesta was brought in as an organizational guy
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 15, 2019, 08:23:44 AM
Marino had the best arm I’ve ever seen. Elway probably next up. Rodgers is right in that convo as well though.
Perhaps but Bradshaw could flip his wrists and the pigskin sailed 70yds.I know I've seen him do it in old Cleveland Stadium about 4-5 times.Flacco is another one he could launch it.Namath had a great arm also of course when your knees are oatmeal you can't plant very well.Testaverde,Kelly,Everitt were others that come to mind.Also totally forgot about Bert Jones,had like 3 great years before ripping the shoulder.He definitely had a howitzer
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 15, 2019, 12:07:11 PM
Take advantage of exactly what?John Dorsey is calling the player personnel shots in Cleveland  :017:.DePodesta was brought in as an organizational guy
What does that mean?  He's just an anonymous guy at a desk shuffling paperwork around?  Who is supplying Dorsey with information that is unique and helpful?
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 15, 2019, 01:06:43 PM
Why don't you go re-read or edit your post you basically said Depodesta is the guy to take advantage of talent evaluation.That's how it came across - in Cleveland he doesn't evaluate talent - Dorsey does.What you posted perhaps isn't what you meant to say
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 15, 2019, 01:19:12 PM
I know he isn't the GM, but here's a blurb on what he's tasked with doing:

DePodesta is tasked with implementing systems and processes to strengthen the Browns organization and decision making. In this role, he works closely with General Manager John Dorsey, Head Coach Hue Jackson and members of the player development, high performance and analytics departments to maximize efforts.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 15, 2019, 01:19:26 PM
So yeah, I meant what I posted earlier.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 15, 2019, 01:27:29 PM
I'm glad in your enchanted kingdom you understood it.Because it still red the same shitty way.DePodesta has been part of the problem not the solution
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Riffraft on March 15, 2019, 01:45:02 PM
I'm glad in your enchanted kingdom you understood it.Because it still red the same shitty way.DePodesta has been part of the problem not the solution
Sorry, but Depodesta has been a great part of the solution. I suppose you are one of those that thing Sashi had no role in the great position that the Browns are in right now.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 15, 2019, 01:59:08 PM
You're kidding right Reverend?
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Riffraft on March 15, 2019, 03:28:34 PM
You're kidding right Reverend?
Not in the least bit. As the architect of the plan to turn the Browns around I am a big Sashi, DePodesta Supportor. No Doubt Sashi had player evaluation issues, but his plan was correct and Dorsey has built brilliantly upon it. The major problem with his plan was the coach that Haslam hired despite most of the front office opposed to it. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 15, 2019, 04:01:24 PM
Here's the thing - there are other players in their class, but since they didn't pan out and don't have the name recognition, we don't cite them.  (Jeff George, Leftwich, Russell, Ryan Leaf).  Leaf vs Manning was only a thing because while Manning had intangibles, Leaf had the rocket arm.  Looking back, it was a silly debate, but because of Manning's decision-making and accuracy, not his superior arm strength.
I was talking about the best arm of the great QBs. I probably should’ve been more specific there.
There have been loads of mediocre or terrible QBs with huge arms. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 15, 2019, 04:06:15 PM
That's a small sample size.  Same for Murray.  Good reason to be wary.
Haskins' season rates between the best seasons by Bryce Petty (Baylor) and Colt McCoy (Texas).  How are they doing in the NFL?
I don’t really look at stats alone. You have to look at physical traits and how they piled those stats up (system, competition level, coaching, surrounding talent) as well when projecting for the NFL.
Kyler Murray has more in common physically with those guys you mentioned than Dwayne Haskins. 
Haskins has the physical stature & size/arm strength those others lack.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 15, 2019, 04:06:56 PM
I'm glad in your enchanted kingdom you understood it.Because it still red the same shitty way.DePodesta has been part of the problem not the solution
No idea why you're getting pissy.  The Browns were a dumpster fire, hired a smart guy to help out, and now matter.  Chin up.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 15, 2019, 05:02:52 PM
Not in the least bit. As the architect of the plan to turn the Browns around I am a big Sashi, DePodesta Supportor. No Doubt Sashi had player evaluation issues, but his plan was correct and Dorsey has built brilliantly upon it. The major problem with his plan was the coach that Haslam hired despite most of the front office opposed to it.
OK if going 1-31 over two seasons works for you,great ,tis better to give than receive.In 2016 the drafted 4 wr's and a TE with holes all over the roster.Depodesta was part of that.Dorsey immediately righted the ship after sashi brown oversaw probably the worst drafts/teams since Matt Millen in Detroit.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 15, 2019, 05:14:22 PM
No idea why you're getting pissy.  The Browns were a dumpster fire, hired a smart guy to help out, and now matter.  Chin up.
Not getting pissy just pointing out an inaccuracy - In spite of DePodesta and Sashi best efforts John Dorsey is righting the ship.In 14 months he got a 1-31 team to one game under .500 then just acquired one of the top 3 WR in football in trade.And acquired free agent Pro Bowl DT Sheldon Richardson - 28 yrs old.And now Vegas has the Browns rated as the 3rd highest AFC to make the Big Dance.I hope they are right,it has been a long row to hoe
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 15, 2019, 05:28:36 PM
You have a really short-sighted scope of things...any fixing the Browns' franchise needed would obviously be a multi-year job.  You cite 2018's improvement to a guy that had been there for one year and saddled the losing of 2017 to a guy who has been there 2 years.  That's childish.  You should know better.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Riffraft on March 15, 2019, 05:48:26 PM
You have a really short-sighted scope of things...any fixing the Browns' franchise needed would obviously be a multi-year job.  You cite 2018's improvement to a guy that had been there for one year and saddled the losing of 2017 to a guy who has been there 2 years.  That's childish.  You should know better.
You should go on Browns' fan sites there divide between Sashi was an idiot and Sashi put the plan in place that lead to this is great. Personally I don't see how anybody can't see it, but as you can see there are those. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Riffraft on March 15, 2019, 05:49:42 PM
OK if going 1-31 over two seasons works for you,great ,tis better to give than receive.In 2016 the drafted 4 wr's and a TE with holes all over the roster.Depodesta was part of that.Dorsey immediately righted the ship after sashi brown oversaw probably the worst drafts/teams since Matt Millen in Detroit.
they went 1-31 because of the coach more than anything else. There was no reason to go 0-16 except for the ineptness of Hue
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 15, 2019, 06:01:54 PM
You have a really short-sighted scope of things...any fixing the Browns' franchise needed would obviously be a multi-year job.  You cite 2018's improvement to a guy that had been there for one year and saddled the losing of 2017 to a guy who has been there 2 years.  That's childish.  You should know better.
When you're in a hole quit digging.AGAIN 1-31,better be thought stupid than to open up ones mouth and remove all doubt.You obviously can't grasp what you write of an organization you know nothing about.Two guys getting paid millions of dollars who supposedly graduated form Harvard drafting 4 wr's and a TE with holes all over the roster.Think there are two guys left from that draft 3 seasons ago.Dorsey still had to go out and get two WR's Beckham and Jarvis Landry who had 3 straight pro bowl seasons and a Franchise tag.Dorsey gave the Dolphins a 4th & 7th round picks,that's a steal.He's 28 and had 976 yds his 1st season in Cleveland.These are moves that the previous ebola chimps could have but did not make
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 15, 2019, 06:06:55 PM
Sorry RR read above ,Hue wasn't any good but the front office has been pathetic.Vince Lombardi couldn't do crap with the talent given.I listen to the Talk shows everyday.The fans wanted to go after sashi and paul like the townspeople did frankenstein's monster.Again look who Dorsey had to sign because of the polluted rube's 1-31,really think about it
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 15, 2019, 07:09:25 PM
LOL, you're comically subjective about this.  I didn't insult your kid, I'm just saying a massive rebuild isn't accomplished in a year.  Blaming a guy there 2 years and blowing a guy there one year is just odd.  
Maybe acknowledge your obvious emotional subjectivity and chill?
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 15, 2019, 07:37:59 PM
Break your prozac in half,I was talking about your belching about the Browns.Do you get online to pick fights with people just to have someone to talk to?
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 16, 2019, 12:17:26 AM
I enjoy discussions.  When I see someone acting irrational, I make note of it.  
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 16, 2019, 09:20:54 AM
Must be a hell of a diary you keep
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on March 16, 2019, 09:45:11 AM
everyone has their own definition of "irrational"

their own irrational actions usually seem "normal" or rational to them
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: rook119 on March 16, 2019, 10:59:59 AM
I guess this has become also the NFL Offseason thread, why not.

Lions are oddly all in in free agency today.  Danny Amendola, meh.  But they signed the top rated TE, DE and nickel on the market.  Not exactly sure why, but whatever.  I guess might as well do what you can while you've got Stafford, and see if it all falls into place.
Its like the Pats retirement home, or the Pats AAF team, dunno. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 16, 2019, 02:31:05 PM
Kansas City Chiefs star WR Tyreek Hill involved in a police investigation regarding an alleged battery involving a juvenile. Apparently his 3 year old son wound up with a broken arm. Police were called to his house on March 14th to investigate the matter. Hill's name wasn't listed on the police report, just his son and his fiance who was listed as "others invovled". But just 9 days before that on March 5th, police were called to his house to investigate a report of child abuse or neglect, and Hill's name was listed on that police report- and the case was closed 3 days later when prosecution was declined.

This guy had a history of domestic violence going back to his days in college. It's why he was kicked out of Oklahoma State and why he dropped to the 5th round of the NFL draft.

http://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/26275558/investigation-involving-chiefs-wr-hill-underway
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 16, 2019, 02:51:15 PM
I don't get it how much stress can the guy have?His bills are covered so he still has to be a thug - no reason.If he's guilty he should be taken deep into the forest and disemboweled with a wooden spoon
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 16, 2019, 08:13:30 PM
Yeah, seriously.  If history’s taught us anything, it’s that once you’re rich and famous, all your issues go away!
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 16, 2019, 11:53:02 PM
If history has taught us anything child abusers should be shot and probably they're sympathizing enablers also
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Cincydawg on March 17, 2019, 06:21:33 AM
What percentage of first rounders become starters, at least?  Is this somewhat equivalent to five star HS players?

I'm going to guess 80% become starters or significant contributors over a career (other than those ended by injury).  If so, that's a pretty good ratio, and suggests NFL teams aren't dumb.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on March 17, 2019, 09:24:37 AM
higher percentage of O and D linemen than QBs and WRs I'd guess
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Cincydawg on March 17, 2019, 09:34:18 AM
QB seems like the greatest shooting of dice.  Running back seems like it pays barring injury.  There was a period with zero RBs taken in the first, and then after Gurley it's become more of a thing.

Defensive backs seem to be a solid pick.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 17, 2019, 02:08:35 PM
What percentage of first rounders become starters, at least?  Is this somewhat equivalent to five star HS players?

I'm going to guess 80% become starters or significant contributors over a career (other than those ended by injury).  If so, that's a pretty good ratio, and suggests NFL teams aren't dumb.
Most all 1st rounders get a shot to be starters. How many stay starters or produce at a high level is a different question. I'd say that is much less than 80%.
Not really equivalent to 5 star HS players, because when a team takes a player in the 1st round they have committed a lot to that player in terms of draft value- as teams usually only have one 1st round pick per draft and 7-10 picks per draft- and also financially, because 1st rounders make significantly more money than 2nd and 3rd rounders and so on. Compare that to college, where teams can get as many 5*'s as they can sign- the players aren't paid anything- and if Johnny 5* doesn't pan out- so what- you've got 24-30 other players in his class and you'll have 20-30 more players and more 5*'s if you can sign them- in your next class.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 17, 2019, 02:33:27 PM
What percentage of first rounders become starters, at least?  Is this somewhat equivalent to five star HS players?

I'm going to guess 80% become starters or significant contributors over a career (other than those ended by injury).  If so, that's a pretty good ratio, and suggests NFL teams aren't dumb.
Playing your first round pick is a self-fulfilling prophecy, though.  They get playing time because of talent, yes, but also because you’re paying them a lot of money and you don’t want to acknowledge making a poor draft choice.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Cincydawg on March 17, 2019, 04:00:22 PM
Professional teams play a substandard player because they pay him a lot when they have an alternative available who is better?

Hmmmmmmm,
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on March 17, 2019, 06:13:46 PM
it's dumb as hell, but it happens
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Cincydawg on March 17, 2019, 06:20:33 PM
I can see giving a highly paid draftee more of a chance, but not really playing him for years, or even two years, if he's not as good as an alternative.  Maybe I am naive.

Is Stafford an example of this?  Or is he a pretty decent QB on a pretty mediocre team?
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 18, 2019, 11:04:13 AM
Former Steelers RB Josh Harris claims that Ben Rapelisberger intentionally fumbled the football in the waning moments of a football game in 2014 vs the Bengals.

The RB is claiming that the Steelers were up by 10 points with a minute and a half left in the game, and OC Todd Haley called a run play. The RB claims that Ben rolled his eyes when he heard the call and was furious in the huddle that Haley called a run play and not a QB kneel.

Looking at the video, sure looks like Ben sabotaged the play call to me. It wasn’t a secret he hated Todd Haley. The guy was a 12 year vet at that point in time- how does he make the mistake to hit a FB in the arm with the football when the play is called for the RB to get the ball? Especially in that moment late in a game where a turnover there would kill you. You’d expect that mistake from a rookie or from a shit eating QB like Mark Sanchez. Ben? He was a 12 year vet and a Pro Bowl caliber player and future Hall of Fame lock.

https://youtu.be/5au5Lx2ZQzU (https://youtu.be/5au5Lx2ZQzU)

Again: Ben Rapelisberger = most despicable, biggest douchebag piece of shit in the history of the NFL.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 18, 2019, 11:05:14 AM
Professional teams play a substandard player because they pay him a lot when they have an alternative available who is better?

Hmmmmmmm,
Yup. Happens all the time. 
GMs don’t want to admit they were wrong and when they invest a high 1st round pick and lot of money in a player they give that player multiple opportunities to fail.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Cincydawg on March 18, 2019, 12:27:32 PM
Do you think you could do a pretty good job with draft talent eval and reccos if that were your primary job?

Would you want that job?
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 18, 2019, 12:30:42 PM
Hellz ya
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MaximumSam on March 18, 2019, 12:32:51 PM
Yup. Happens all the time.
GMs don’t want to admit they were wrong and when they invest a high 1st round pick and lot of money in a player they give that player multiple opportunities to fail.
When we talk about recruiting and drafting, that is something that  I think about, but no real solution.  We know guys don't get as much opportunity based on those factors, but it can be hard to measure that into something quantifiable.  A great example is JJ Watt, who was very lightly recruited and passed over initially by Wisconsin, so he played for Central Michigan.  Butch Jones wanted him to be an offensive tackle.  Instead, he left to walk on at Wisconsin, found time on the scout team at defensive end, and here we are.  What if he played good soldier and never left CMU?  Probably no one would have ever heard of him.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 18, 2019, 12:37:33 PM
Do you think you could do a pretty good job with draft talent eval and reccos if that were your primary job?

Would you want that job?
I’d love that job and hell ya I think I could do it better than 90% of GMs.
I’d pick best player available period and not for need, and I’d never reach for a player or make stupid trades to move up for a mediocre QB like Bears did to grab Tribusky. I’d also trade down every single time if there wasn’t a player at my pick that I thought was worth it. 
NFL GMs over think this stuff and they take way too many risks on players with serious flaws that they think their coaches can just fix. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on March 18, 2019, 12:56:55 PM
Do you think you could do a pretty good job with draft talent eval and reccos if that were your primary job?

Would you want that job?
I'd like a shot at that job and the salary
not certain that I'd be any better than the guys doing it now, but I think I could eliminate should glaring errors such as Mdot pointed out.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Cincydawg on March 18, 2019, 01:24:47 PM
I enjoyed the movie "Draft Day" with Costner more than I thought I would.  Watched it on a flight to Paris.

Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 18, 2019, 01:34:06 PM
Professional teams play a substandard player because they pay him a lot when they have an alternative available who is better?

Hmmmmmmm,
Uhh, yeah, all the time, and in every sport.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 18, 2019, 01:39:07 PM
Do you think you could do a pretty good job with draft talent eval and reccos if that were your primary job?

Would you want that job?
Depends on the owner.  I wouldn't work for Jerry Jones if another job was available.  Not that I dislike him or anything, but if I'm the GM, then I need to be the GM.  Meddling owners can capsize a franchise faster than any bad pick or trade can.
A top draft pick will be given every opportunity to succeed or fail.  In fact, you give him enough playing time so that he proves he's a failure, because the last thing you want is to give up on a guy too early, have him switch teams, and then kick butt wearing someone else's colors.
That's all the draft really is, round by round, a list of new players in order of how much opportunity each will be given.  The 5th round guy may do nothing wrong and still get cut, while big-time #1 will get the chance to fail over and over and still be valued.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Cincydawg on March 18, 2019, 01:49:02 PM
If you invest 50X more in a player, he merits second and third chances, especially if you are not playoff bound.  That 5th rounder is probably no loss anyway if he didn't show some upside.  My own notion would be to get top players in the lines and find "skill players" who would look good behind great lines.

I don't know how much difference there is between the top RB in the league and the 32nd best RB, especially if the latter is platooned and fresh.  He is the 32nd best RB in the country, same with QB.  They should still be elite.  "We" always hear about the Bradys of the world, but maybe the Big Uglies make Brady Brady.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 18, 2019, 01:53:56 PM
One glaring inefficiency in the NFL talent evaluation process is the same thing specified in "Moneyball" - NFL GMs want guys who look good in jeans.  They want the 6'4" guy over the 6'1" guy every time.  They want the 4.4 guy over the 4.6 guy EVERY time.  

I bet I could draft a team of free-agents that were unsexy and beat an NFL GM's talented, potential-laden team he takes from free agency.  
Jerry Rice ran a 4.71.  3rd WR taken behind Eddie Brown.
Emmitt Smith ran a 4.6.  2nd RB taken behind Blair Thomas (4.4).  

These are obviously special cases, but there's so much more to being a great WR than how fast you run 40 yards.  We say we all know that, GMs say they know that, and yet when a guy runs an especially fast 40, to this day, he "moves up the big board" and gets on some team's radar, suddenly.


At least speed is a functional skill.  Size isn't, necessarily.  The case of Aaron Donald is interesting.  Everyone was down on him because he was short.  Ignore his utter dominance at Pitt.  People were crapping on him left and right...and then he ran the fastest 40 for a DT ever.  Ohhh, now he's sexy again!   

It's nearly just nonsense, the whole thing.  To miss so often, to be wrong with such enthusiasm, the draft and its coverage and what GMs value seems little more like mental masturbation.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 18, 2019, 01:55:04 PM
If everyone agrees that QB is the biggest unknown, then taking one with the #1 pick makes the least sense.  That's just logic.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Cincydawg on March 18, 2019, 02:04:18 PM
I think it one evaluates a player at say #5 at his position and he runs an unexpectedly fast 40, or whatever else, it makes sense to move him up some, or might.  I know Holyfield, who looks pretty good on tape, ran a slow 40 and that would be a concern.  

I also wonder how different the ESPN guys and their burfle are relative to the real scouts, who may scoff at this notions, if they bother to read any.

When I started working back in the day, I recall looking at how Consumer Reports evaluated laundry detergents, which was  what I worked on at the time.  Suffice it to say their techniques were amateurish at best and often misleading as to what tests they ran and how.  Some were laughable compared to our tests which had been developed over decades.

Their recommendations were similarly laughable, to us, even if in cases they liked one of our products.  The folks who did the work were off doing TVs or vacuum cleaners the next week.  They just wanted to look impressive and sell magazines.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 18, 2019, 03:03:25 PM
I think it one evaluates a player at say #5 at his position and he runs an unexpectedly fast 40, or whatever else, it makes sense to move him up some, or might.
But why?  Are you aware of any studies to suggest such an act is prudent? (besides 'faster is better than slower')
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on March 18, 2019, 04:20:04 PM
If you invest 50X more in a player, he merits second and third chances, especially if you are not playoff bound.  That 5th rounder is probably no loss anyway if he didn't show some upside.  My own notion would be to get top players in the lines and find "skill players" who would look good behind great lines.

I don't know how much difference there is between the top RB in the league and the 32nd best RB, especially if the latter is platooned and fresh.  He is the 32nd best RB in the country, same with QB.  They should still be elite.  "We" always hear about the Bradys of the world, but maybe the Big Uglies make Brady Brady.
Amen. I would do the same. Good RB's look great if they've got enormous holes to run through. Good QB's look great if they've got tons of time to read the defense before they throw. Good LB's look great in run support if you've got a bunch of DL who can shed blocks and disrupt plays in the backfield. Good DB's look great if you have a DL that can get pressure on the QB rushing 4 and not needing to blitz much.
Get the OL and the DL sorted, first, with the best players you can get. Big uglies make everyone else look prettier.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on March 18, 2019, 04:29:11 PM
yup, why you trade down as Mdot said.

trade down, fill multiple O-line and D-line spots

build the trenches, take QBs and WRs as free agents that have already proven themselves in the league
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Cincydawg on March 18, 2019, 06:50:13 PM
But why?  Are you aware of any studies to suggest such an act is prudent? (besides 'faster is better than slower')
I'm unaware of any such studies.  I'm stating something obvious though, I think.  If a player is low ranked because we think he's slow, then he runs a fast 40, it seems rational to upgrade him.  If we think he's fast and he runs a slow 40, we might wonder if he's hurt, or is bad off the blocks and finishes, whatever.
I'd evaluate a player on both tangibles/measurables/metrics and film/personality/history/background.
Take a player like Sony Michel, he has some great intangibles for anyone who knows him a bit.  So does Nick Chubb.  Great attitude to go with other physical attributes.
I preferred to have a less talented player with great attitude than the reverse.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 24, 2019, 06:14:36 PM
should be a surprise to no one really, Pats TE Rob Gronkowski officially announces his retirement from the NFL today.

Wonder who the Pats are going to target at TE in the draft. Zach Gentry could be a good value in the 3rd or 4th rd.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Anonymous Coward on March 24, 2019, 08:09:39 PM
If the Pats don't need Gentry to block much, he'd be a great mid-round addition.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 24, 2019, 09:46:06 PM
Somebody will grab him just to piss off Belichick.He's got a thing with TEs and big short yardage backs
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: CWSooner on March 25, 2019, 12:14:14 PM
. . .

When I started working back in the day, I recall looking at how Consumer Reports evaluated laundry detergents, which was  what I worked on at the time.  Suffice it to say their techniques were amateurish at best and often misleading as to what tests they ran and how.  Some were laughable compared to our tests which had been developed over decades.

Their recommendations were similarly laughable, to us, even if in cases they liked one of our products.  The folks who did the work were off doing TVs or vacuum cleaners the next week.  They just wanted to look impressive and sell magazines.
Long ago I read a hilarious parody of a Consumer Reports car test.  It included such jewels as "Innocent grasshopper impaled on dangerous hood ornament," complete with a picture of the same.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: mcwterps1 on March 28, 2019, 04:04:58 AM
https://twitter.com/TerpsFootball/status/1111071104750284806?s=19
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 28, 2019, 10:07:53 AM
Depends on the owner.  I wouldn't work for Jerry Jones if another job was available.  Not that I dislike him or anything, but if I'm the GM, then I need to be the GM.  Meddling owners can capsize a franchise faster than any bad pick or trade can.
Or ignorant - that was my point with the Browns.Haslem hired 3 Harvard grads 3 years ago.Probably to placate critics,when anyone one with any football acumen could immediately see the weasel in the woodpile.Jimmy Johnson went to Arkansas,Chuck Noll grew up in working Class Cleveland,Bill Walsh went to San Jose I believe.Lombardi went to Fordham.God only knows where Tex Schramm,Tom Landry,Al Davis,George Halas went - point being they weren't Ivy League Grads and it was never looked on as a slam dunk if you did you'd be successful.I've long stated that i could hand pick 4-5 guys from this board and put together a hell of a Collegiate Scouting/Talent Evaluation Dept.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 28, 2019, 01:45:34 PM
Could I be your "Ivy League"* guy?  There are immense inefficiencies the numbers can expose in football that no one is doing anything with, all you need is buy-in.  MLB got buy-in after the A's kept winning 90+ games with no payroll.  

You can build a successful team with eye-test and the cut of their jib, but you could also, I'm certain, build a successful team just using advanced metrics, and do it much more cheaply.  





*Florida is a "public Ivy," if you believe in that sort of thing.  :67:
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 28, 2019, 02:06:29 PM
I don't know how much difference there is between the top RB in the league and the 32nd best RB, especially if the latter is platooned and fresh.  He is the 32nd best RB in the country, same with QB.  They should still be elite.  "We" always hear about the Bradys of the world, but maybe the Big Uglies make Brady Brady.
I'm sorry but this line of thinking is just asinine to me. Could a good line make a QB or RB look better? Of course. But it doesn't make them elite and it doesn't separate the elite from the mediocre or the shitty. There have been plenty of shitty QB's and RB's that played behind great OL's.
Saquon Barkley had no OL and he was maybe the best RB in the leauge as a rookie. Imagine him with an OL? Jesus Christ. I haven't seen a RB that good since Barry Sanders. And that's saying something because LaDanian Tomlinson was extremely productive & consistent, Adrian Peterson was a friggin' MONSTER, LeSean McCoy was electric as hell, and Todd Gurley, LBell, and Zeke were all excellent backs. Emmitt Smith played behind maybe the greatest OL ever. That OL didn't make Emmitt great. Did it make him better? Of course. But he'd have been a great back on virtually any OL. The guy just had it. Whatever it is.
As for the OL making Brady Brady- well that's just crazy talk. It helps. For sure. But that's not what makes Brady Brady. He does a lot of shit pre-snap and post-snap that has nothing to do with an OL- and a lot of that stuff most QB's just can't do. I've really only seen a couple execute pre-snap at that kind of level. Literally only a handful. Brady is setting protections for the OL, identifying the MIKE and calling out the defensive blitzes and coverages, telling WR's and TE's and RB's where to line-up- changing routes and plays on the fly- doing all kinds of crazy shit that most shitbag QB's like Blake Bortles just would never be able to do if their life depended upon it. Give Blake Bortles or a washed up Eli the Pats OL and those guys are still gonna suck.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 28, 2019, 02:10:24 PM
Amen. I would do the same. Good RB's look great if they've got enormous holes to run through. Good QB's look great if they've got tons of time to read the defense before they throw. Good LB's look great in run support if you've got a bunch of DL who can shed blocks and disrupt plays in the backfield. Good DB's look great if you have a DL that can get pressure on the QB rushing 4 and not needing to blitz much.
Get the OL and the DL sorted, first, with the best players you can get. Big uglies make everyone else look prettier.
Truly elite, great players are great no matter who else is around them. IF you've got a chance to take a guy you think is that good- you take him. Always go best player available. That's why I don't think the Giants screwed up by taking Saquon over Darnold. Saquon is a potential HOF player. Darnold sucks to me.
OL's bust out all the time. The Packers f***ked up royally by taking Tony Mandarich with the 2nd pick when the next 3 picks were....Barry Sanders, Derrick Thomas and Deion Sanders. Barry never really had a great line and still dominated. Deion could cover anyone one on one in his sleep. Derrick Thomas was a HOF LB'er with not much else around him for many years in KC.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 28, 2019, 03:13:17 PM
 The Packers f***ked up royally by taking Tony Mandarich with the 2nd pick when the next 3 picks were....Barry Sanders, Derrick Thomas and Deion Sanders. Barry never really had a great line and still dominated. Deion could cover anyone one on one in his sleep. Derrick Thomas was a HOF LB'er with not much else around him for many years in KC.
When I think of the 1st rounders the Browns have pissed away :88:.......it's just nauseating.At least the Packers got to the NFL Championship Game 3 times since.The Browns..... :banghead:
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on March 28, 2019, 03:39:01 PM
OL's bust out all the time. The Packers f***ked up royally by taking Tony Mandarich with the 2nd pick when the next 3 picks were....Barry Sanders, Derrick Thomas and Deion Sanders. Barry never really had a great line and still dominated. Deion could cover anyone one on one in his sleep. Derrick Thomas was a HOF LB'er with not much else around him for many years in KC.
The Chiefs made the wild card five times during Derrick Thomas' career and won their division twice. They had one conference championship appearance in all of those years.
The Lions had 5 wild card game losses in Sanders' span, and one divisional title (lost in conference championship game). 
Deion only played in Atlanta from 1989-1993 (the only time that his draft history matters IMHO), and in that time the Falcons had one wild card appearance (win) but lost in the next round. 
Mandarich was a head case, and was cut after 3 seasons in Green Bay. And those were bad teams as well, so I can't say that they were otherwise a well-run team (that was the era of Lindy Infante, and Holmgren replaced him in 1992 when Mandarich was cut). He was certainly a draft bust, that's sure. But it's not like the draft strategy of the Chiefs, Lions, or Falcons proves that taking those great players is the key to success.
The strategy isn't necessarily "how to draft", but "how to build a successful team". I may be wrong that OL/DL are the first priority to create a successful team, but your examples of Sanders/Thomas/Deion certainly didn't prove me wrong.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on March 28, 2019, 04:48:22 PM
Ed Oliver ran the same shuttle time as DeSean Jackson
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Riffraft on March 28, 2019, 05:09:33 PM
Schiano stepped down as Pats Defense Coordinator to concentrate on "his faith and family" Seems obvious that something is coming out 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 28, 2019, 06:42:45 PM
Ed Oliver ran the same shuttle time as DeSean Jackson
Yeah but would you draft him?  The 2nd half of the season, all I saw was injuries and him bitching at coaches....
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on March 28, 2019, 07:02:38 PM
not in the first round, but I'd take a chance on Ed if the interview went well
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 29, 2019, 01:39:03 PM
That Draft Day movie had been mentioned, and while it was silly to make a movie like that, I do like the idea of asking/finding out none of THE guy's teammates went to his birthday party.  I'd be asking obscure questions like that left and right.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 29, 2019, 03:13:50 PM
When I think of the 1st rounders the Browns have pissed away :88:.......it's just nauseating.At least the Packers got to the NFL Championship Game 3 times since.The Browns..... :banghead:
yeah but the Packers going to 3 Super Bowls had a lot to do with the QB and a defensive f/a signing. Both SB runs.
Packers traded a 1st round pick to Atlanta for Brett Favre and signed Reggie White in f/a a couple years later. Pack drafted Aaron Rodgers in the 1st round and signed Charles Woodson in f/a a couple years later. Favre is a boderline top 10 all-time QB and White was a 1st ballot HOF DE- maybe the greatest DE in the history of the game. Rodgers will go down when he's finished as a top 5-10 QB all-time and Woodson is a 1st ballot HOF DB and one of maybe the 4 or 5 greatest DB's ever. 
Both their SB runs the catalysts were a HOF level QB and 1 HOF defensive player taking the defenses over the top. How many teams ever get that lucky with the QB position? Like none.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 29, 2019, 03:27:53 PM
The Chiefs made the wild card five times during Derrick Thomas' career and won their division twice. They had one conference championship appearance in all of those years.
The Lions had 5 wild card game losses in Sanders' span, and one divisional title (lost in conference championship game).
Deion only played in Atlanta from 1989-1993 (the only time that his draft history matters IMHO), and in that time the Falcons had one wild card appearance (win) but lost in the next round.
Mandarich was a head case, and was cut after 3 seasons in Green Bay. And those were bad teams as well, so I can't say that they were otherwise a well-run team (that was the era of Lindy Infante, and Holmgren replaced him in 1992 when Mandarich was cut). He was certainly a draft bust, that's sure. But it's not like the draft strategy of the Chiefs, Lions, or Falcons proves that taking those great players is the key to success.
The strategy isn't necessarily "how to draft", but "how to build a successful team". I may be wrong that OL/DL are the first priority to create a successful team, but your examples of Sanders/Thomas/Deion certainly didn't prove me wrong.
No my example was this: take the best player available. If any of those teams had taken an OL or DL instead of the players they did take- they'd have missed out on truly all-time great players for...what? For my money Barry is the best RB to ever touch a football and Deion is the best CB to ever lace them up. Derrick Thomas might not be the best LB ever, but he's in that conversation for sure.
Barry Sanders played with like 19 different scrub QB's over his 10 year career and never once had an elite OL. A few years they had some really solid OLs, but they never had an OL like Dallas or Denver. His head coach was Wayne Fontes for the bulk of his career. Not only did the poor guy never have even a legitimate starting QB, but his head coach for 80% of his career was a clown show.
As you said, Deion didn't really stay in Atlanta long enough- but the 2 Super Bowls he did win- he won with Steve Young and Troy Aikman QB'ing those teams. Sure helps to win a lot of games when you have all-time great QB's. Atlanta's all-time great QB was riding the bench and then got traded to Green Bay. Who were the Atlanta QB's in Deion's time there? Yeah, not good.
The years that Kansas City got Joe Montana- KC actually won some playoff games and made it to an AFC Chip game. Coincidence that Derrick Thomas' only two division wins and one conference championship appearance in those years is when he was playing with the pre-Brady GOAT? I think not.
Since basically the 1980s the NFL game has always been about the QB. It's just more about the QB now than it ever has been before. Now it's virtually impossible to win without an elite QB. Which is why you see QB's like Sam Darnold get taken so high and why you're about to see Arizona take another QB in the top 10 for two years in a row.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on March 29, 2019, 04:13:35 PM
So what if in the 1990 draft, the Lions were up to pick and the best player available in the 1st round was another stud RB? And then in 1991 the best player available was another stud RB? 

Would you have wanted the Lions to be taking stud RB after stud RB, stockpiling them, instead of drafting positions of need? 

I think there's value in taking best player available. But it has to be balanced against need. If you want to build a team, you need to fill all 22 positions (plus special teams). Sometimes if you have a stud RB already, and the choices in the first round are another stud RB or the next-best player, a stud OG that will pave the way in run-blocking for your stud RB, you take the OG. (Or perhaps trade your pick to a team that needs to reach for a stud RB and make up the picks elsewhere to build out your roster). 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 29, 2019, 07:26:54 PM
So what if in the 1990 draft, the Lions were up to pick and the best player available in the 1st round was another stud RB? And then in 1991 the best player available was another stud RB?

Would you have wanted the Lions to be taking stud RB after stud RB, stockpiling them, instead of drafting positions of need?

I think there's value in taking best player available. But it has to be balanced against need. If you want to build a team, you need to fill all 22 positions (plus special teams). Sometimes if you have a stud RB already, and the choices in the first round are another stud RB or the next-best player, a stud OG that will pave the way in run-blocking for your stud RB, you take the OG. (Or perhaps trade your pick to a team that needs to reach for a stud RB and make up the picks elsewhere to build out your roster).
Yeah, I think you're taking what I said a bit too literally. Obviously need always plays into it. But if you already have a great RB and the best option at the pick is another stub RB, you trade down. Pick best player available while also keeping need in mind OR trade down and stockpile more picks. Staying put and reaching just because you want to draft on need never works out. Ever.
If you have an all-time great QB/WR/RB you don't need to keep taking one every draft. You can only play 1 QB and 1 RB at a time, and WR is such a dependent position it really doesn't even make sense to draft a WR in the 1st round unless he's an unbelievable talent like Calvin Johnson or Julio Jones.
You play 4 DL's, 3 LB's, and 4 DB's on defense and 5 OL's on offense. Taking the best pick available every time is pretty much A OK at that positions. QB/RB/WR- almost never is.
As for the Lions and the 1990 draft- yeah - they would've been better off taking a stud RB named Emmitt Smith even though they already had Barry. Why? Because they drafted Andre freakin' Ware's useless ass with the #7 pick that draft. They'd have been better taking just about any other player 8-30. That was a classic example of reaching based on need. They desperately needed a QB and Ware set all kinds of passing records playing in a gimmicky offense against terrible college defenses. Sound familiar to anyone in the draft this year?
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 29, 2019, 08:22:55 PM
A - they wouldnt have taken Emmitt at 7, because he was too slow.  Hehe.
B - actually, yes, you do take the RB if he's the best player on the board if you already have Barry Sanders and you immediately trade him - at the absolute maximum leverege possible.  You'd extract more from any team trying to trade up to your spot by securing his rights with the pick first, so then the team wanting him has to give you whatever you ask for.  If a team did that in 3 straight drafts, it'd make a killing.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 29, 2019, 08:31:16 PM
For my money Barry is the best RB to ever touch a football and Deion is the best CB to ever lace them up. Derrick Thomas might not be the best LB ever, but he's in that conversation for sure.
He's in the convo - Payton,Martin,Tomlinson,Dickerson,Brown,Campbell.Always liked DT.Sanders actually ended his career with 1 more winning season than losing I remember reading I doubt Payton reached that.Well check that upon further review Sanders had 5 winning/losing seasons each.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 29, 2019, 09:53:52 PM
My favorite Barry Sanders stat is that he had the most carries for no gain or a loss in NFL history.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Kris60 on March 30, 2019, 11:05:18 AM
Payton had 6 winning seasons, 5 losing, and 2 at .500.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 30, 2019, 12:42:13 PM
B - actually, yes, you do take the RB if he's the best player on the board if you already have Barry Sanders and you immediately trade him - at the absolute maximum leverege possible.  You'd extract more from any team trying to trade up to your spot by securing his rights with the pick first, so then the team wanting him has to give you whatever you ask for.  If a team did that in 3 straight drafts, it'd make a killing.
Lions actually did that 3 straight drafts. They took WR's Charles Rogers, Roy Williams, and then Mike Williams in the 1st round in 3 straight drafts. They didn't exactly make a killing. Rogers and Mike Williams were huge busts, and while they were able to trade Roy Williams to Dallas for multiple draft picks, they absolutely bungled that hit by taking mediocre players with all those picks.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 30, 2019, 12:57:44 PM
My favorite Barry Sanders stat is that he had the most carries for no gain or a loss in NFL history.
Yeah, like it's totally his fault 9 times out of 10 there were guys in the backfield as soon as he took the snap? His OL's were garbage and his QB play was garbage for most of his career.
And he STILL ran for 15,269 yards in just 10 seasons, averaged 5.0 yards per carry for his career, averaged over 1,500 yards rushing a season, and ran for over 1,100+ yards a season for 10 straight seasons. The only year he didn't have at least 1,300+ yards rushing in a season was the year he was hurt and missed the final 6 games of the season and ran for 1,115 yards in 10 games.
I will still to this day never forget a play he made against the Vikings. John Randle and two other Vikings DL had him dead to rights 5 yards behind the LOS before Barry ever touched the ball. They were in the backfield right after the snap ready to hit Barry for a loss immediately. Barry stopped his feet then jumped back as soon as he got the ball, did a crazy 360 spin move, jumped backwards again made all 3 of them look like fools then hit the juice and went straight up the middle for a 10 yard gain on what should have absolutely been a 5 yard loss. Any other RB- that's a 5 yard loss. Barry Sanders did crazy shit like that every single game. Every single game. His OL was a disgrace. He was literally unbelievable. You had to watch him to believe it. The things he could do, no one else could do. To this day.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 30, 2019, 01:16:00 PM
Lions actually did that 3 straight drafts. They took WR's Charles Rogers, Roy Williams, and then Mike Williams in the 1st round in 3 straight drafts. They didn't exactly make a killing. Rogers and Mike Williams were huge busts, and while they were able to trade Roy Williams to Dallas for multiple draft picks, they absolutely bungled that hit by taking mediocre players with all those picks.
They didn't do what I prescribed.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 30, 2019, 01:17:57 PM
Yeah, like it's totally his fault 9 times out of 10 there were guys in the backfield as soon as he took the snap?This seems like a made up stat... His OL's were garbage and his QB play was garbage for most of his career.
And he STILL ran for 15,269 yards in just 10 seasons, averaged 5.0 yards per carry for his career, averaged over 1,500 yards rushing a season, and ran for over 1,100+ yards a season for 10 straight seasons. The only year he didn't have at least 1,300+ yards rushing in a season was the year he was hurt and missed the final 6 games of the season and ran for 1,115 yards in 10 games.
I will still to this day never forget a play he made against the Vikings. John Randle and two other Vikings DL had him dead to rights 5 yards behind the LOS before Barry ever touched the ball. They were in the backfield right after the snap ready to hit Barry for a loss immediately. Barry stopped his feet then jumped back as soon as he got the ball, did a crazy 360 spin move, jumped backwards again made all 3 of them look like fools then hit the juice and went straight up the middle for a 10 yard gain on what should have absolutely been a 5 yard loss. Any other RB- that's a 5 yard loss. Barry Sanders did crazy shit like that every single game. Every single game. His OL was a disgrace. He was literally unbelievable. You had to watch him to believe it. The things he could do, no one else could do. To this day.
A major reason there hasn't been another Barry Sanders is because no coach would teach his RB to run like he did.  
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 30, 2019, 06:29:42 PM
A major reason there hasn't been another Barry Sanders is because no coach would teach his RB to run like he did.  
You can’t teach what he could do. Barry Sanders’ ability to stop and start and get to full speed from 0-60 and cut and juke and accelerate through cuts is virtually unparalleled. I’ve only seen two guys even a little bit close in LeSean McCoy and Saquon Barkley and even then those guys fall well short of Barry Sanders.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 30, 2019, 06:54:15 PM
Barry was great at stoping/starting but this was magnified on artificial turf.When the Browns had Eric Metcalf he made 5 guys miss him - on turf.Sanders was special no doubt but the guys mentioned are all equal in there own ways.Knock on Sanders is he was actually a shade under 5'8".Class act all the way.He could have easily made 1-2 thousand yards more
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 30, 2019, 06:58:31 PM
Payton had 6 winning seasons, 5 losing, and 2 at .500.
I didn't look it up I just seemed like the Bears being very bad for many years from the mid '70s to the early '80's
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Kris60 on March 30, 2019, 07:57:49 PM
You can’t teach what he could do. Barry Sanders’ ability to stop and start and get to full speed from 0-60 and cut and juke and accelerate through cuts is virtually unparalleled. I’ve only seen two guys even a little bit close in LeSean McCoy and Saquon Barkley and even then those guys fall well short of Barry Sanders.
I think what he’s saying (and he can correct me if I’m wrong) is Sanders had a very feast or famine approach to carrying the ball. All those negative and zero yardage carries weren’t always poor line play.  It was sometimes Sanders not willing to take a 3 yard gain.  WVU had a back named Noel Devine that had a very similar approach.  When he left school I believe he had 7 career runs that went for over 70 yards and no other back in school history had more than 2.  
The flip side of that was Devine could take a 3 yard gain and turn it into a 1 yard loss very easily by bouncing it outside, starting, stopping, spinning, and jitterbugging trying to break a long run.  Sanders greatness is unquestioned but one of the few knocks on him was sometimes he wouldn’t just duck his head and get what was there.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 31, 2019, 11:17:43 AM
You can’t teach what he could do. Barry Sanders’ ability to stop and start and get to full speed from 0-60 and cut and juke and accelerate through cuts is virtually unparalleled. I’ve only seen two guys even a little bit close in LeSean McCoy and Saquon Barkley and even then those guys fall well short of Barry Sanders.
I assume you've seen all-time RB shows or clips about Sanders and the Lions' coaches and players would even say they'd design plays where this guy is blocked and that guy goes there, and then that LB, Barry will get past him, etc., right?
That's the problem, they were actually designing plays where they didn't try to block it how they should.  The Lions didn't feel the need to improve their OL, which was stupid.  They didn't design sound running plays, which was stupid.  Barry Sanders ran like he did because he had to, and 29 other teams were smarter than that.  29 other teams tried improving their OL over time.  29 other teams had sound blocking schemes.  29 other teams taught their RB to hit the hole hard.  
Sanders was a great, unique talent, because he had to be.  He was a victim of circumstance as much as he was a great talent.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 31, 2019, 11:19:25 AM
It's along the lines of what I said about a team's offense being held hostage by a QB with a big arm.  Even if running the ball 5% more often would net more wins (potentially), OCs feel obligated to throw the ball more, the stronger their QB's arm is.  Just because they feel like they should.  They have no evidence to cite that doing so will make the team more successful.

It's stupid.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Kris60 on March 31, 2019, 11:28:44 AM
I assume you've seen all-time RB shows or clips about Sanders and the Lions' coaches and players would even say they'd design plays where this guy is blocked and that guy goes there, and then that LB, Barry will get past him, etc., right?
That's the problem, they were actually designing plays where they didn't try to block it how they should.  The Lions didn't feel the need to improve their OL, which was stupid.  They didn't design sound running plays, which was stupid.  Barry Sanders ran like he did because he had to, and 29 other teams were smarter than that.  29 other teams tried improving their OL over time.  29 other teams had sound blocking schemes.  29 other teams taught their RB to hit the hole hard.  
Sanders was a great, unique talent, because he had to be.  He was a victim of circumstance as much as he was a great talent.
I don’t know if I totally buy that.  To begin with, every running play in the history of football is designed with the hope/belief that the ball carrier can make one guy miss.  That’s just sheer numbers.  But I find it hard to believe the Lions would leave defenders unblocked that schematically should be blocked because they just simply believed Sanders would find a way to make them miss. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 31, 2019, 11:30:09 AM
Look it up.
It could very well be embellishing for this interview to make Sanders seem more impressive, but he was so good that you wouldn't have to do that.


And the only time you don't block a guy purposely would be the playside safety, and that'd only be sometimes.  Everyone else is accounted for unless it's a read play (they didn't do that back then) or maybe a trap.  Aside from backside defenders, you get a hat-on-a-hat wherever the ball is going.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: CWSooner on March 31, 2019, 12:30:51 PM
You can’t teach what he could do. Barry Sanders’ ability to stop and start and get to full speed from 0-60 and cut and juke and accelerate through cuts is virtually unparalleled. I’ve only seen two guys even a little bit close in LeSean McCoy and Saquon Barkley and even then those guys fall well short of Barry Sanders.
Joe Washington should be on that list somewhere.
[url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=azMUu7seoYY]1975 highlights (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=azMUu7seoYY)[/url]
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 31, 2019, 01:44:50 PM
I figure every non-230 lb RB's highlight tape has Sanders-esque plays in it.  If you remove all of the huge-hole runs that having nothing to do with what the RB did, they're all elusive, aren't they?  
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on March 31, 2019, 01:47:20 PM
he got a few nice blocks

the late punt return looked a bit familiar to the famous one by the Jet
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 31, 2019, 01:49:52 PM
Joe W reminded me of Gale Sayers the way he could stop & change directions
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on March 31, 2019, 01:50:00 PM
I figure every non-230 lb RB's highlight tape has Sanders-esque plays in it.  If you remove all of the huge-hole runs that having nothing to do with what the RB did, they're all elusive, aren't they?  
some are MUCH more elusive than others
highlights of Emmitt Smith and Barry Sanders are not comparable

Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: CWSooner on March 31, 2019, 01:52:12 PM
he got a few nice blocks

the late punt return looked a bit familiar to the famous one by the Jet
Johnny the Jet?  1971, Norman, OK?

Here's the longest-ever punt return for a 3-yard loss (https://youtu.be/U1Ms_37TWBI).

Washington did go on to have a decent NFL career.  I don't think he quite had the top-end speed that a small-ish guy needs in that league.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on March 31, 2019, 01:54:57 PM
yup,



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FtzRZxnVLU4 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FtzRZxnVLU4)
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 31, 2019, 02:57:52 PM
Johnny the Jet?  1971, Norman, OK?

Here's the longest-ever punt return for a 3-yard loss (https://youtu.be/U1Ms_37TWBI).

Washington did go on to have a decent NFL career.  I don't think he quite had the top-end speed that a small-ish guy needs in that league.

after ripping his knees up - no
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 31, 2019, 04:50:23 PM
Barry was great at stoping/starting but this was magnified on artificial turf.When the Browns had Eric Metcalf he made 5 guys miss him - on turf.Sanders was special no doubt but the guys mentioned are all equal in there own ways.Knock on Sanders is he was actually a shade under 5'8".Class act all the way.He could have easily made 1-2 thousand yards more
this is actually a myth. Sanders' numbers were virtually the same on grass.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on March 31, 2019, 05:02:25 PM
some are MUCH more elusive than others
highlights of Emmitt Smith and Barry Sanders are not comparable
Emmitt was more slithery I feel like. He was great at hiding behind his big OL's and just bounced off defenders. It was often like he was covered in grease and the defenders would get to him but just couldn't bring him down. Emmitt was an all-time great RB who really doesn't get the credit he deserves imo. He just happened to play in the same era as Barry Sanders.
Barry was just insanity. Can't even describe it. His ability to stop and start and juke people out of their jock straps was ridiculous. He could make all-pro HOF type defenders just look stupid. They would go to tackle him and wouldn't even touch him. Just grasp at air. I've never seen anything like that. He did that to everyone. Rod Woodson, Jon Lynch, Warren Sapp, John Randle, Reggie White- he gave them all the business. And these are some of the greatest of greats. Still never forget the move he put on Rod Woodson. Woodson was one on one with Barry in the open field, went to tackle him and grasped at nothing but air and tore his ACL. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on March 31, 2019, 06:36:16 PM
https://bleacherreport.com/articles/142064-the-10-greatest-running-back-seasons-in-nfl-history (https://bleacherreport.com/articles/142064-the-10-greatest-running-back-seasons-in-nfl-history)

JB baby
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 31, 2019, 06:45:27 PM
some are MUCH more elusive than others
highlights of Emmitt Smith and Barry Sanders are not comparable


Why would they be?  If Emmitt ran like Barry in that offense, he'd be benched.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 31, 2019, 06:49:03 PM
Emmitt was more slithery I feel like. He was great at hiding behind his big OL's and just bounced off defenders. It was often like he was covered in grease and the defenders would get to him but just couldn't bring him down. Emmitt was an all-time great RB who really doesn't get the credit he deserves imo. 
I was thinking about Emmitt and how difficult it must've been to give him ratings in a video game like Madden.  Not a 99 in speed or breaking tackles or agility or whatever, but how do you rate things that Smith did have?  Vision was probably his biggest asset, but also juking - not like Sanders did, but earlier in the run and more minor.  
If they were driving cars, Emmitt would be like making a minor correction with the steering wheel a second before a potential crash and Sanders would be a massiver jerk on the wheel a half-second before the crash.  Sanders' was more noticeable, but both avoided the accident.  No one seemed to get a clear shot on Emmitt...and he was willing to get the 3 yards instead of dancing around.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on March 31, 2019, 07:30:25 PM
Why would they be?  If Emmitt ran like Barry in that offense, he'd be benched.
if Barry ran behind that line in that offense his numbers would have been outrageous
Emmett was a very good back that had a great line and offense
Barry was one of the all-time greats - no comparision
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: CWSooner on April 01, 2019, 12:19:26 AM
yup,



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FtzRZxnVLU4 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FtzRZxnVLU4)
Sooner fans can find at least three clips on that return, but who's counting? :'(
"Holy Moly, man, woman and child!"  An all-time classic call.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 01, 2019, 01:28:35 AM
if Barry ran behind that line in that offense his numbers would have been outrageous  only if he ran differently
Emmett was a very good back that had a great line and offense  and with that, you'd expect him to have all-time great numbers, which he did
Barry was one of the all-time greats - no comparision   they were both all-time greats, which is why we can compare them, lol
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 01, 2019, 01:46:13 AM
Barry's career was 10 years.  He was the 3rd pick in the '89 draft.
Let's compare that to Emmitt's first 10 years.  Smith was the 17th pick in the '90 draft, behind Blair Thomas of Penn State.

Barry (10 yrs)
151 games started
3062 carries
15,269 yards
99 TD
5.0 ypc
100 yards per game avg
20 carries per game avg
352 receptions
2912 yards receiving
8.3 ypc
10 rec TD
-
Emmitt (first 10 yrs)
153 games started
3243 carries
13963 yards
136 TD
4.3 ypc
90 yards per game avg
21 carries per game avg
442 receptions
2728 yards receiving
6.2 ypc
11 rec TD
-
-
Thankfully, 10 is a nice, round number.  
Barry was a guy who'd get 306 carries for 1,5227 yards and 10 TD for you every year.
Emmitt would have 324 carries for 1,396 yards and 13-14 TD.  
They'd both provide around 40 catches for 280 yards and a TD as well.



Let's not pretend these guys aren't comparable.  I'm a whore for yards per carry, but the TD thing matters.  Either DET didn't think Barry would score in short-yardage due to his running style OR they didn't want to expose him to goal line punishment...either way, it's a knock on him.  
*And remember, this ignores the additional 4,392 yards and 28 TDs Emmitt had the rest of his career, on top of this comparison.  Barry was still super-productive when he quit, but he did quit.  This "he couldda, wouldda, shouldda" doesn't matter.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on April 01, 2019, 02:55:55 AM
Correct,can't cherry pick.Tomlinson,Faulk and Martin were other greats in that time frame.Having watched Earl Campbell play  - he's the most fearsome combination of speed and power I've ever seen.Arguments could be made for Bo Jackson or Herschel Walker but neither was the package that punished defenders the way Earl lowered the boom
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on April 01, 2019, 11:59:56 AM
Barry's career was 10 years.  He was the 3rd pick in the '89 draft.
Let's compare that to Emmitt's first 10 years.  Smith was the 17th pick in the '90 draft, behind Blair Thomas of Penn State.

Barry (10 yrs)
151 games started
3062 carries
15,269 yards
99 TD
5.0 ypc
100 yards per game avg
20 carries per game avg
352 receptions
2912 yards receiving
8.3 ypc
10 rec TD
-
Emmitt (first 10 yrs)
153 games started
3243 carries
13963 yards
136 TD
4.3 ypc
90 yards per game avg
21 carries per game avg
442 receptions
2728 yards receiving
6.2 ypc
11 rec TD
-
-
Thankfully, 10 is a nice, round number.  
Barry was a guy who'd get 306 carries for 1,5227 yards and 10 TD for you every year.
Emmitt would have 324 carries for 1,396 yards and 13-14 TD.  
They'd both provide around 40 catches for 280 yards and a TD as well.



Let's not pretend these guys aren't comparable.  I'm a whore for yards per carry, but the TD thing matters.  Either DET didn't think Barry would score in short-yardage due to his running style OR they didn't want to expose him to goal line punishment...either way, it's a knock on him.  
*And remember, this ignores the additional 4,392 yards and 28 TDs Emmitt had the rest of his career, on top of this comparison.  Barry was still super-productive when he quit, but he did quit.  This "he couldda, wouldda, shouldda" doesn't matter.
Great post. Emmitt gets disrespected way too much. Yes his OL was great and he played with a HOF QB and WR, but he made all those guys better too. He did a lot of stuff on his own. Just watch the highlights.
Barry did a lot of short yardage diving over the goal line stuff in college at Oklahoma State. A lot. He did score like 40 touchdowns that junior year, and they weren't all 60 yard TD runs. For some reason whenever the Lions got into the goal line situations, Wayne Fontes' brilliant genius coaching idea was to pull him out of the game. I'm 100% sure if Fontes would've just lined Barry up in the I-form near the goal-line with a FB in front of him, he'd have plenty more touchdowns.
What makes what Barry Sanders did for 10 straight years so impressive is he didn't have a whole lot of help. Their OL at best was pretty good some years- not great just pretty good- and other years it was flat out terrible. He never had a dominant OL like the Dallas/Denver lines of the 90s. The guy played 80% of his career with Wayne Fontes as his head coach. Yuck. The guy played with 10 different starting QB's, and most of them were flat out scrubs. Andre Ware, Rodney Peete, an 89 year old Dave Krieg with a bum shoulder, Charlie Batch, Scott Mitchell, Erik Kramer, Bob Gagliano, Eric Hipple, Don Majowski, and Frank Reich. Seriously? No Troy Aikman's there. Scott Mitchell was probably the best he had, and Mitchell was a turd that had a couple good years and was hated by most of his teammates and often played his smallest in the biggest moments. Herman Moore and Brett Perriman were a really good WR duo, so Barry definitely did have some help there.
Barry probably had a lot more juice left physically. He never took the big hits, most defenders were content just getting a hand on to him to bring him to the ground. Most were afraid to try and give him the big lick for fear of Barry making them look stupid and having them tackle nothing but air. His 9th year in the NFL after Bobby Ross came in and took over the Lions and gave Barry a FB, Barry only ran for 2,053 yards- and the next year- his 10th year- he ran for 1,491 yards- less than a first down shy of 1,500. In year 10. Which by the way is the most yards a RB has ever had following a 2,000 yard season. The others following a 2,000 yard season: Jamal Lewis (1,006 yards), Chris Johnson (1,364 yards) , Adrian Peterson (1,266 yards), Terrell Davis (211 yards), OJ Simpson (1,115 yards), and Erick Dickerson (1,234 yards).
Emmitt was showing some signs of erosion in year 9 and 10. Emmitt had 4 seasons in Dallas where he'd averaged 3.7 to 3.9 yards per carry. Barry was still at the top of his game year 9 and 10, and he never averaged less than 4.3 yards per carry a season- even with the 0 or negative gains- remove those and his YPC probably sky rockets to something ridiculous.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Entropy on April 01, 2019, 12:10:56 PM
for my money and in my lifetime, I'd take Sanders and Walter Payton as the best ever.   That doesn't mean other backs are not great, but I really love their style and what they accomplished.  
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 01, 2019, 01:59:28 PM
I get the Sanders love, he 100% deserves it.  He had the stats and the flash.  There's nothing you can take away from him, I'm just tired of Emmitt getting shit on.
He had a FB....he had a great QB/WR combo.....he had a great OL.....okay, great.  He had all that going for him.  And so all he did was go out and set the all-time rushing record.  What more should he have done??  
Remember his 2-game holdout?  DAL went 0-2 and had to pay him.  He comes back, wins the rushing title, and they're the first SB winner to start 0-2.
SB 28....losing at halftime vs BUF, they feed the ball to him to get back the lead and control of the game.

These are anecdotal and feel silly to bring up, but they're just examples of how that offense worked.  It was broken when Emmitt wasn't around or when they stopped running the ball.  

A record that may last longer than Emmitt's 18,355 yards is his 4,409 carries.  In the age of CTE (Seau was drafted the year before Emmitt, with Sanders), he carried the ball 4400 times.  What injuries do you remember?  The dislocated shoulder vs the Giants maybe?  42 touches for 229 yards in a game for home-field advantage.  



Sanders' stats are convincing of his greatness.  But so are Emmitt's.  And if you'd take Sanders over Smith, that makes sense, but I'd have to ask:  what should Smith have done differently?  Should he have juked around more?  Made more big plays?  Run differently?  The odds are so stacked against anyone breaking the all-time rushing record, that changing something would make it a greater uncertainty.  Whatever Smith did do, it led to 18,000+ yards.  The most rushing TDs ever.  He beat the TD record by 41 and still holds it today, too.  
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Kris60 on April 01, 2019, 02:14:22 PM
Great post. Emmitt gets disrespected way too much. Yes his OL was great and he played with a HOF QB and WR, but he made all those guys better too. He did a lot of stuff on his own. Just watch the highlights.
Barry did a lot of short yardage diving over the goal line stuff in college at Oklahoma State. A lot. He did score like 40 touchdowns that junior year, and they weren't all 60 yard TD runs. For some reason whenever the Lions got into the goal line situations, Wayne Fontes' brilliant genius coaching idea was to pull him out of the game. I'm 100% sure if Fontes would've just lined Barry up in the I-form near the goal-line with a FB in front of him, he'd have plenty more touchdowns.
What makes what Barry Sanders did for 10 straight years so impressive is he didn't have a whole lot of help. Their OL at best was pretty good some years- not great just pretty good- and other years it was flat out terrible. He never had a dominant OL like the Dallas/Denver lines of the 90s. The guy played 80% of his career with Wayne Fontes as his head coach. Yuck. The guy played with 10 different starting QB's, and most of them were flat out scrubs. Andre Ware, Rodney Peete, an 89 year old Dave Krieg with a bum shoulder, Charlie Batch, Scott Mitchell, Erik Kramer, Bob Gagliano, Eric Hipple, Don Majowski, and Frank Reich. Seriously? No Troy Aikman's there. Scott Mitchell was probably the best he had, and Mitchell was a turd that had a couple good years and was hated by most of his teammates and often played his smallest in the biggest moments. Herman Moore and Brett Perriman were a really good WR duo, so Barry definitely did have some help there.
Barry probably had a lot more juice left physically. He never took the big hits, most defenders were content just getting a hand on to him to bring him to the ground. Most were afraid to try and give him the big lick for fear of Barry making them look stupid and having them tackle nothing but air. His 9th year in the NFL after Bobby Ross came in and took over the Lions and gave Barry a FB, Barry only ran for 2,053 yards- and the next year- his 10th year- he ran for 1,491 yards- less than a first down shy of 1,500. In year 10. Which by the way is the most yards a RB has ever had following a 2,000 yard season. The others following a 2,000 yard season: Jamal Lewis (1,006 yards), Chris Johnson (1,364 yards) , Adrian Peterson (1,266 yards), Terrell Davis (211 yards), OJ Simpson (1,115 yards), and Erick Dickerson (1,234 yards).
Emmitt was showing some signs of erosion in year 9 and 10. Emmitt had 4 seasons in Dallas where he'd averaged 3.7 to 3.9 yards per carry. Barry was still at the top of his game year 9 and 10, and he never averaged less than 4.3 yards per carry a season- even with the 0 or negative gains- remove those and his YPC probably sky rockets to something ridiculous.
Sanders’ and Smith’s year 10 ypc was almost identical. 4.3 for Sanders and 4.2  for Smith but I do think Smith’s workload was starting to catch up with him by then.  By his tenth year Smith had 4,080 regular season and playoff touches compared 3,526 for Sanders.  That’s more than a full season’s worth of extra wear and tear despite the same tenure in the league. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on April 01, 2019, 02:16:49 PM
Sooner fans can find at least three clips on that return, but who's counting? :'(
"Holy Moly, man, woman and child!"  An all-time classic call.
and as a Husker fan, I can find one instance of what a Sooner might call a clip, but that would be wrong.  No clip
hey, the game was in Norman
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on April 01, 2019, 03:11:55 PM

Barry (10 yrs)

5.0 ypc

-
Emmitt (first 10 yrs)


4.3 ypc-




Let's not pretend these guys aren't comparable.  I'm a whore for yards per carry, but the TD thing matters.  Either DET didn't think Barry would score in short-yardage due to his running style  
5 yards per carry with the entire defense focused on him from the time he gets off the bus.
5 yards per carry with an average at best O-line that didn't give him many holes
4.3 ypc with a passing game that could keep the defense honest
4.3 ypc with an O-line that usually spotted him 3 yards and many times gave him an alley to run through, especially on passing downs
running style?  If Emmett would have no where to run 50% of his carries he might have had to juke and jive and spin and try something other than run straight ahead
When Barry had a crease he headed upfield, he didn't dance until it was required, which was a lot.
and it's not just Emmett, don't get me started on TD Tony Dorsett.  Mostly just a speed back with great stats that made running to the sideline and not getting tackled fashionable in the NFL.
It's a Dallas Cowboy thing for this old crabby Viking fan
a couple others that have the highlight reels ................ OJ Simpson and Earl Campbell
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 01, 2019, 06:59:09 PM
We didn't see Barry get old.  We didn't see that career arc going down as age continues its undefeated streak.  We didn't see his yards per carry dip down under 5, which it assuredly would have.
Part of Emmitt's greatness was his longevity.  You see these ultra-talented RBs, one after the other, get to 10,000 yards...and then fall off a cliff.  Tomlinson - cliff.  Peterson - cliff.  Then you have Emmitt.
After the age of 30 - Emmitt runs for 4,400 more yards and 28 more TDs.  Two 1,000 yard seasons and 2 more 900 yard seasons.  He just kept going.

What did Tomlinson do after 30?  1200 yards and 7 TD.  
Peterson?  1600 yds, 9 TD.  
Bettis?  2100 yds.  
Faulk?  1000 yds, 3 TD.
James?  125 yds, 0 TD
Martin?  2400 yds, 17 TD

None of them could keep that engine going enough to get carries.  Nagging injuries.  


So we're left with a guy (Sanders) who bypassed all that and a guy who was the last one standing (Smith), so to speak.  
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 01, 2019, 07:02:53 PM
Looking up some stats, I just about shat my pants...Frank Gore is 4th on the all-time rushing list.  One season of 10+ TD.  1 season of 1300+ yards.  And there he is, about 500 yards behind Sanders.

What's he got to do to catch Emmitt?  Oh, just about 3600 yards.  No biggie.




If I could make a baseball analogy on Barry and Emmitt:  Barry is Sandy Koufax and Emmitt is Cy Young or Walter Johnson.  
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on April 01, 2019, 07:25:27 PM
so, how did Emmett do with the Cardinals, w/o the O-line and the passing offense?
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 01, 2019, 07:35:13 PM
Crappy....he was 35 years old.  Still almost got 1,000 yards his last season, with a bad ypc average.  The coolest part about his final season is that he wound up with exactly as many yards as in his first season:  937.  


Emmitt is also the all-time leader in playoff rushing yards and TDs, with no one currently near him.  I'm not exactly sure what more he was supposed to do.  
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on April 01, 2019, 08:11:59 PM
I'm sure he also had the most playoff carries

by a wide margin

he has the stats, because he has the attempts

I'm not saying he wasn't a great back, he's just not in my all-time top 10
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 01, 2019, 09:41:40 PM
I'm sure he also had the most playoff carries

by a wide margin

he has the stats, because he has the attempts

I'm not saying he wasn't a great back, he's just not in my all-time top 10
2nd in carries, 50 behind Franco Harris, but with more yards.  Emmitt's ypc is actually higher in the playoffs than during the regular season for his career.  So against the best teams in the league, he was at his best.
Not having Smith in your top 10 RBs is hilarious and ignores what actually took place on the field.  It'd be like ranking cars by how they look and not by how they perform.  
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on April 01, 2019, 10:23:27 PM
you, sir, are ranking Emmett by how his stats look and not by how he performed on the field

not just my opinion, Gil Brandt shares my opinion

http://www.nfl.com/photoessays/0ap3000000815786/gil-brandt's-25-greatest-nfl-running-backs-of-all-time (http://www.nfl.com/photoessays/0ap3000000815786/gil-brandt's-25-greatest-nfl-running-backs-of-all-time)

Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on April 01, 2019, 10:51:22 PM
here's a good one where Barry and Emmett go head to head, only to lose to sweetness

https://www.foxsports.com/nfl/bracket/ranking-the-16-greatest-running-backs-in-nfl-history-33 (https://www.foxsports.com/nfl/bracket/ranking-the-16-greatest-running-backs-in-nfl-history-33)
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MarqHusker on April 01, 2019, 11:03:06 PM
Marcus Allen was good in old age.  He was almost never a high carry back, usually 180-220 carries but the guys had 700+ yd seasons at ages 33-36, still catching balls.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 02, 2019, 12:34:27 AM
you, sir, are ranking Emmett by how his stats look and not by how he performed on the field  uhhh, these are the same thing, lol

not just my opinion, Gil Brandt shares my opinion

http://www.nfl.com/photoessays/0ap3000000815786/gil-brandt's-25-greatest-nfl-running-backs-of-all-time (http://www.nfl.com/photoessays/0ap3000000815786/gil-brandt's-25-greatest-nfl-running-backs-of-all-time)


Who the hell is Gil Brandt?!?  He has Sanders 7th and Bo Jackson 4th.  You sure you want to marry his rankings?  Yeesh.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 02, 2019, 12:57:45 AM
I guess if Emmitt wasn't that good, then other players would've done what he did, right?  I mean, in 98 years, dozens of franchises, tens of thousands of team seasons, whatever Emmitt Smith did would almost be common.

But looking at Sanders first:
Barry ran for 99 TDs.  That's a lot.  Nine other players have more than that.
He ran for 15,000+ yards.  Wow!  Two players ran for more.
He also carried the ball 3,000+ times in his career.  Incredible!  Six other players have more.

Smith?  Yawn.
164 rushing TDs.  The most ever.
18,000+ yards.  Number one.
4,400+ carries.  No one had more.
If Emmitt was so ordinary, taking a back seat to others, why is he at the top of all the major lists?  Just lucky, I guess.  
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Kris60 on April 02, 2019, 07:12:21 AM
I guess if Emmitt wasn't that good, then other players would've done what he did, right?  I mean, in 98 years, dozens of franchises, tens of thousands of team seasons, whatever Emmitt Smith did would almost be common.

But looking at Sanders first:
Barry ran for 99 TDs.  That's a lot.  Nine other players have more than that.
He ran for 15,000+ yards.  Wow!  Two players ran for more.
He also carried the ball 3,000+ times in his career.  Incredible!  Six other players have more.

Smith?  Yawn.
164 rushing TDs.  The most ever.
18,000+ yards.  Number one.
4,400+ carries.  No one had more.
If Emmitt was so ordinary, taking a back seat to others, why is he at the top of all the major lists?  Just lucky, I guess.  

I don’t think anyone is making the argument Smith was ordinary.  I think the debate is was he better than Sanders?  I would take Sanders although both were unquestionably great.  I think anyone who takes Sanders does so thinking he played under circumstances that probably made his stats harder to achieve than Smith’s were (even though Smith’s stats were great).  Doesn’t mean we are right in thinking that but I do think, in general, that’s the mindset.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 02, 2019, 09:20:46 AM
I haven't said once that Emmitt was better than Sanders.  But we've got people here saying he wasn't one of the 10 best in history, which I have to simply label trolling with how absurd it is.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on April 02, 2019, 09:28:39 AM
Who the hell is Gil Brandt?!?  He has Sanders 7th and Bo Jackson 4th.  You sure you want to marry his rankings?  Yeesh.
Dude,
These rankings are subjective opinions.  Just using Gil as an example of someone that shares the single view that Emmett was not one of the top ten backs.
you have your opinion, so does everyone else.
Stating that my opinion is hilarious and ignores what actually took place on the field.  Yeah, well, that's just, like, your opinion, man.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Kris60 on April 02, 2019, 09:53:24 AM
I haven't said once that Emmitt was better than Sanders.  But we've got people here saying he wasn't one of the 10 best in history, which I have to simply label trolling with how absurd it is.
Well, he showed you a former NFL executive who didn’t have Smith in his top 10.  No one is right or wrong in doing that. Everybody values different things.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on April 02, 2019, 11:43:00 AM
Who the hell is Gil Brandt?!?  He has Sanders 7th and Bo Jackson 4th.  You sure you want to marry his rankings?  Yeesh.
Gil Brandt is a former Vice President of player personnel in the National Football League for the Dallas Cowboys from 1960 to 1988. He is a graduate from the University of Wisconsin.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on April 02, 2019, 12:17:07 PM
Emmitt is also the all-time leader in playoff rushing yards and TDs, with no one currently near him.  I'm not exactly sure what more he was supposed to do.  
I'm sure he also had the most playoff carries

by a wide margin

he has the stats, because he has the attempts

I'm not saying he wasn't a great back, he's just not in my all-time top 10
For me, any sort of "all-time leader in playoff rushing yards and TDs", despite being only 2nd on the all-time playoff carries list, tells me something:

Emmitt was on a lot of good teams, with a lot of good blockers in front of him. That's why he was in so many playoff games.
Now this is my prior bias, where I find it difficult to evaluate RB performance in a vacuum, ESPECIALLY based on stats, without accounting for the blocking in front. I see the same thing with the Badgers. Their line makes a pedestrian back look good, and a good back look amazing. Same with Alabama. Their running backs get drafted high almost every year, but their actual NFL performance is all over the map, because you can't accurately evaluate them when they're running behind a great line. 
Now, I'm not going to get into the "rate player X here and player Y there", because I frankly don't care and don't watch enough NFL to do it. But I think the point is valid that evaluating RB talent is really difficult to do without accounting for the line in front of them. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 02, 2019, 01:37:48 PM
You can look up when Emmitt was out, other DAL RBs had worse ypc averages (with the same OL).  His backups (with the same OL) averaged worse ypc averages up until he was in his 30s.  

Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 02, 2019, 01:38:35 PM
Gil Brandt is a former Vice President of player personnel in the National Football League for the Dallas Cowboys from 1960 to 1988. He is a graduate from the University of Wisconsin.
Ah, I see.  So he's about as objective about this as I am.  Thanks, makes sense now.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 02, 2019, 01:40:38 PM
Dude,
These rankings are subjective opinions.  Just using Gil as an example of someone that shares the single view that Emmett was not one of the top ten backs.
you have your opinion, so does everyone else.
Stating that my opinion is hilarious and ignores what actually took place on the field.  Yeah, well, that's just, like, your opinion, man.
The fact you can't seem to spell his name correctly seems petty.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on April 02, 2019, 02:26:17 PM
sorry, spelling with me isn't a thing in this case.

I'm not being petty here, although I have shown that in the past.

Why is Gale Sayers on many lists when he only played 5 seasons in the NFL?

my top ten greatest backs isn't a career list

When I think of one of the top ten backs in history, I rank them by how difficult it was for NFL defenders to tackle them.  That's where the highlight reel comes in.  It's more eyeball test than stats.

I truly great run breaking 4 or 5 tackles may only gain 3 yards.  A really great run IMO is making 2 or 3 defenders whiff.

Emmitt broke more than a few tackles.  He didn't make many defenders whiff.

Emmitt ran over more potential tacklers than Barry, but Barry wasn't soft and ran over his share.

If I were picking a back for my run offense, I'd rather have a quicker, faster back with more elusiveness such as Barry or Adrian or Gale, than Emmitt.

John Riggins has many NFL records for older backs and tons of TDs, but he's not in my top ten either.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on April 02, 2019, 03:36:07 PM
The fact you can't seem to spell his name correctly seems petty.
Really?That fact you would bring that up on this board is worse.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on April 02, 2019, 04:31:19 PM
Emmitt is a variant spelling of Emmett, both of which originated as metronymic surnames from the diminutive form of the female given name Emma. The name Emma developed during the Middle Ages from ancient Germanic names such as Ermintrude and Irmengarde. These names were later shorted to Irma, Irmen or Ermen; which is the German word for “universal, entire, whole”. The name later evolved to the feminine form of Hemma and was first introduce to Britain by Viking conquerors that came to England via northern France (Normandy). In the 11th century, Hemma, daughter of Richard Duke of Normandy, married the King of England (Ӕthelred the Unready) and further popularize the name among the English (the English would later drop the H). The first recorded spelling of the surname showed up in the 14th century as Emmot. As given names, both Emmett and Emmitt have been around for well over a hundred years.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on April 02, 2019, 04:39:24 PM
Search engine's are a beautiful thing.Unless you're Cliff Clavin.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on April 02, 2019, 05:08:04 PM
I forgot to use the variant spelling, so sorry

wasn't even intentional

although as I admitted, I have used variant spellings in the past here to make a point or to poke fun or just plain annoy someone.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on April 02, 2019, 05:28:00 PM
Just admit it you're a shitty speller and simply don't care if your called on it or not - like most of us
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on April 02, 2019, 05:43:56 PM
oh heck, anyone that has read my posts for more than a month knows derned well I'm a shitty speller

and I sure as shootin don't care about it, don't care if I can't spell and don't care if someone knows about it

Heck, the AfroMAn knows all this, he just doesn't like my opinion of his Gator glory boy

if he was smack talking Roger Craig I might be checking his spelling
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 02, 2019, 05:57:29 PM
All this has made me wish I could go back in time and be a HC in the NFL.  Franco Harris and Csonka and all were averaging like 3.8 ypc because the other team knew they were just going to run the ball.  The 70s were a stupid "who's tougher" contest 90% of the time.  Any one of us with even an elementary understanding of modern passing games would wipe the floor with Noll's Steelers or Landry's Cowboys back then.  
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on April 02, 2019, 06:01:22 PM
hey, Griese would throw a bomb to Warfield 3 or 4 times a game to move the safety back

the Vikings safety, Paul Krause, would simply just stay back because he didn't like the beating Csonka put on him in the SB
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 02, 2019, 06:06:15 PM
oh heck, anyone that has read my posts for more than a month knows derned well I'm a shitty speller

and I sure as shootin don't care about it, don't care if I can't spell and don't care if someone knows about it

Heck, the AfroMAn knows all this, he just doesn't like my opinion of his Gator glory boy

if he was smack talking Roger Craig I might be checking his spelling
I'm honestly not an Emmitt Smith fanboy, and I view Sanders' '88 season at OKST as hollowed, but Emmitt gets the short end of the stick.  Why don't people do the same to Jerry Rice?  He had 2 HOF QBs throwing him the ball.  He had the most yards/catches of all time.  He was "too slow", etc.  
-
Were the mid-90s Cowboys as widely disliked as the Patriots of today?  Was it that?  Jealousy?  Emmitt and Barry were contemporaries and every year, Emmitt's going to the playoffs and every year Barry is sitting at home.  Is this the payback?
-
I love exciting players, and Barry was that, but it came at a cost.  Think of all the 2nd and 7s that Emmitt (and others) produced that were 2nd and 11s after Barry lost a yard on first down.  And if you picture Emmitt's running style, what are the odds he'd duplicate one of Barry's few playoff games of 13 carries for -1 yard.  That's messed up.  That's not laying an egg, that's pooping out an entire omelet.  
-
And for what it's worth, this is all in vain, because Jim Brown was the #1 guy.  Walter Payton was a worthy successor of the rushing record.  Barry never reached it, and now Emmitt, in all of his glorious mediocrity (as some would suggest) has upped the total so high, whoever does come along and break it, will be worthy, too.  
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 02, 2019, 06:09:25 PM
It's funny, I remember going to daycare when I was a kid and we'd play football and I'd be Barry Sanders.  I don't remember watching him play, but I remember being him while he was at Oklahoma State.  Two of the girls would be cheerleaders and make up routines and she asked me who he played for and their mascot and I remember saying 'cowboys'.  
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on April 02, 2019, 06:25:48 PM
 Any one of us with even an elementary understanding of modern passing games would wipe the floor with Noll's Steelers or Landry's Cowboys back then.  
Swan,Stallworth and Bennie Cunningham struck at anytime and Bradshaw got it to them.I know I've watched them do it to beat the Browns.Hell Cliff Branch a raiders receiver set the NCAA record for the 100 meters.He had Daryle Lamonica and later Ken Stabler getting him the long ball.But with each passing generation the players get a little bigger and faster.So not really accurate to compare them.Too bad society can't get any smarter
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: CWSooner on April 02, 2019, 07:21:59 PM
you, sir, are ranking Emmett by how his stats look and not by how he performed on the field

not just my opinion, Gil Brandt shares my opinion

http://www.nfl.com/photoessays/0ap3000000815786/gil-brandt's-25-greatest-nfl-running-backs-of-all-time (http://www.nfl.com/photoessays/0ap3000000815786/gil-brandt's-25-greatest-nfl-running-backs-of-all-time)
Gil, who has seen a thing or two, likes the old man who has been left out of this discussion.

Brown.
Jim Brown.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Kris60 on April 02, 2019, 07:24:35 PM
I'm honestly not an Emmitt Smith fanboy, and I view Sanders' '88 season at OKST as hollowed, but Emmitt gets the short end of the stick.  Why don't people do the same to Jerry Rice?  He had 2 HOF QBs throwing him the ball.  He had the most yards/catches of all time.  He was "too slow", etc.  

Here’s my two cents on that.  First of all, I think you have a point that Smith’s numbers are probably a little more unappreciated than they should be because of all the talent around him.  I think you might be exaggerating it a little but I think the perception is there.
Here’s why I don’t think Rice gets the same scrutiny.  His numbers are so astronomically better than everyone else’s it sort of eliminates doubt. He’s more than 6600 yards clear of Larry Fitzgerald.  He’s 41 TD receptions better than Randy Moss.  He’s more than 200 receptions better than Tony Gonzalez.
Also, I think there is a feeling even though that Montana and Young were great that Rice still had to be good enough to get open.  How many times have you seen a line blow a hole wide open and an announcer joke, “I think even you and I could have ran through that one.”
I’ve never seen a WR beat a DB on a post route and heard anyone say, “I think even  I could have beaten him on that route.”  A RB can have big run and on the replay they will point out great blocks and what contributed to the RB having that run.  When a WR has a big catch it’s usually a replay of the WR beating his man and confirmation of how good the WR is.  I think over time a fan may be conditioned to think that a RB’s success is more dependent on other people than a WR’s success.  I’m not saying that is fair, but I think it may happen.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 02, 2019, 08:36:13 PM
Swan,Stallworth and Bennie Cunningham struck at anytime and Bradshaw got it to them.I know I've watched them do it to beat the Browns.Hell Cliff Branch a raiders receiver set the NCAA record for the 100 meters.He had Daryle Lamonica and later Ken Stabler getting him the long ball.But with each passing generation the players get a little bigger and faster.So not really accurate to compare them.Too bad society can't get any smarter
Did they even have route trees back then?  It was run the ball 8 times then chuck it deep.  Repeat.  
-
I honestly believe anyone who grew up playing football video games would be a world-beater OC in the 70s.  Let's get to work on those time machines.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: CWSooner on April 02, 2019, 10:20:36 PM
Did they even have route trees back then?  It was run the ball 8 times then chuck it deep.  Repeat.  
-
I honestly believe anyone who grew up playing football video games would be a world-beater OC in the 70s.  Let's get to work on those time machines.
Defenses adapt to what the offenses are doing.  If offenses were running the schemes we see today, those DCs probably would have adjusted to them.  They weren't idiots.
If a video-game world, yeah, the old defenses would fail against today's offenses.  But real football is played on a real field by real people who can adapt to circumstances.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on April 03, 2019, 07:56:51 AM
Here’s my two cents on that. .........
Good post.Emmitt Smith had great balance also which is hard to graph.Sanders on the other hand did more damage in the open field not between the tackles.Jimmy Brown,pffft - end of conversation
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 03, 2019, 12:10:20 PM
Defenses adapt to what the offenses are doing.  If offenses were running the schemes we see today, those DCs probably would have adjusted to them.  They weren't idiots.
If a video-game world, yeah, the old defenses would fail against today's offenses.  But real football is played on a real field by real people who can adapt to circumstances.
Yeah, but if you're the only one with the space-aged passing game, it'd be a massive advantage.  
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on April 03, 2019, 12:27:44 PM
Don Coryell's Pass-Happy Schemes Made NFL Defenses Cringe

https://www.profootballhof.com/news/air-coryell/ (https://www.profootballhof.com/news/air-coryell/)
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on April 03, 2019, 12:59:25 PM
Yeah, but if you're the only one with the space-aged passing game, it'd be a massive advantage.  
Yep. 
When Tiller started going five wide in the B1G and opposing teams were trying to cover guys like Vinny Sutherland with a linebacker or a safety, and brought in the bubble screen, he had an advantage over almost every defense in the league.
When we were in the infancy of the spread option with Urban Meyer (I'm talking pre-Florida, like the Utah stuff), nobody was running it and nobody could defend it. The running ability of the QB reversed the numbers game in the spread offense and with a passing option still available defenses had to respect everyone on the field.
When teams like WVU were pioneering spread-to-run styles with veer and read option and nobody else was doing it, they were killing teams. Instead of reading some ultra-athletic DE (who could recover), teams started reading interior linemen and blocking the DE, and got the advantage.
When teams like Oregon combined a lot of those concepts with their HUNH and didn't give DC's time to substitute or adjust, they put teams on their heels and crushed it.
When we saw all of that integrated into RPOs reads of the linebackers or safeties to ensure numbers, they got a leg up on the defense and had an advantage.
But as with anything, each of those advantages was time-limited.
So yeah, I think if someone entered the 1970's NFL with a modern offense, they'd start crushing teams left and right--for a while. Eventually two things would happen:

It would take a few years. But they'd catch up, because they'd have to.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 03, 2019, 01:38:08 PM
But the uniqueness of it would be forcing them to deal with all of the advances between then and now all at once.  I don't think any group of coaches could do that, even if they were explicitly working together.

You'd basically be Bill Walsh before Bill Walsh, but with utilizing the RB in the passing game AND utilizing the slot WR AND back-shoulder throws AND AND AND...
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on April 03, 2019, 02:58:51 PM
Tressel Ball stopped Chip Kelly's high Octane HUNH offense in the Rose Bowl in 2010.Played smash mouth,power football playing keep away the one time I can honestly say the Vest fooled everyone.He pretty much ran the ball between the tackles all season.We thought tOSU would get killed.Turns out he was sand bagging got creative opened it up along with a strong running game.Pretty well stifled an explosive offense.Took them out of their rhythm and forced them to play from the heels Buckeyes had twice as many 1st downs,T.o.P.,and 150 more total yds
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on April 03, 2019, 03:05:28 PM
Emmitt absolutely gets slept on and disrespected. Anybody who says he's not a top 10 RB All-Time is just crazy. He absolutely is.

As for the Barry vs. Jim Brown debate, that one is close. I look at it like this- Brown would not be the same player he was in the era Barry played or in todays game. You put Barry in any era and he's making everyone look like a fool. You put Barry in the late 50's and 60's- oh my god. He'd dominate that era even more than he did in the 1990s. You put Barry in todays game and he's still dominating. He's timeless. You put Jim Brown in the 90s or todays game- he's just not the same guy. Brown was playing in an era when he was 6'2, 225 and he was pretty much bigger and stronger than virtually all of the defensive linemen and linebackers that were tasked with trying to tackle him. He'd be a big back in the 90s or todays game- but certainly pale in comparison to the size of the DL's and LB's tackling him. This is a great point that the HOF RB Curtis Martin made about why he thinks Barry is the GOAT over Brown, and it's a point that I agree with him on.

Barry to me is the best football player I've ever seen. He could do more on his own to dominate his opponent than any player I have ever seen. It really didn't matter how the play was designed or blocked, who he was playing against, who he was playing with- the guy just did so much on his own- his ability to create on his own and beat the guy in front of him is something I haven't seen from anyone in any sport. Listen to the guys who played against him. Lots of defenders from his era flat out say he's the only player they ever feared and the best running back they ever played against.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: bayareabadger on April 03, 2019, 03:15:08 PM
Tressel Ball stopped Chip Kelly's high Octane HUNH offense in the Rose Bowl in 2010.Played smash mouth,power football playing keep away the one time I can honestly say the Vest fooled everyone.He pretty much ran the ball between the tackles all season.We thought tOSU would get killed.Turns out he was sand bagging got creative opened it up along with a strong running game.Pretty well stifled an explosive offense.Took them out of their rhythm and forced them to play from the heels Buckeyes had twice as many 1st downs,T.o.P.,and 150 more total yds
Of all OSU games to get weirdly mythologized, this remains the weirdest. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on April 03, 2019, 03:23:39 PM


As for the Barry vs. Jim Brown debate, that one is close. I look at it like this- Brown would not be the same player he was in the era Barry played or in todays game. You put Barry in any era and he's making everyone look like a fool. You put Barry in the late 50's and 60's- oh my god. He'd dominate that era even more than he did in the 1990s. You put Barry in todays game and he's still dominating. He's timeless. You put Jim Brown in the 90s or todays game- he's just not the same guy. Brown was playing in an era when he was 6'2, 225 and he was pretty much bigger and stronger than virtually all of the defensive linemen and linebackers that were tasked with trying to tackle him. He'd be a big back in the 90s or todays game- but certainly pale in comparison to the size of the DL's and LB's tackling him. This is a great point that the HOF RB Curtis Martin made about why he thinks Barry is the GOAT over Brown, and it's a point that I agree with him on.
I look at it like this if you put barry back in the 50's he wouldn't have had all of the physical conditioning/nutritional programs available to make such an impact.A Bobby Mitchell or a Lenny more,Sure he'd be fast but Brown would be to and able to run over guys also (https://www.cfb51.com/Smileys/fantasticsmileys/040.gif).Have to compare guys in that time frame.Brown still retired averaging over 5 ypc and 100 yds per game.I remember NFL Films did a series on all-time greats at every position.They showed Brown dragging 4-5 Eagles into the endzone with him.If there wasn't any room Jimmy made some.Artie Donovan was 300 lbs,Gino marchetti what 285,forget what sam Huff and his ilk weighed in at.That's just the point Brown was freak in his time more so than Barry was in his.Brown also started his career playing 12 game seasons for 4 years,then 14 games.Brown was also an All-American Lacrosse player
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 03, 2019, 07:59:26 PM
Of all OSU games to get weirdly mythologized, this remains the weirdest.
I think humanity could live on for tens of millions of years, and people will still think providing one contrary example rebukes a larger point.  :57:
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 05, 2019, 01:58:02 PM
General consensus by some fellows at NFL.com:
1 - ARI - Murray, QB, Oklahoma
2 - SF - Bosa, DE, Ohio St
3 - NYJ - Allen, DE/LB, Kentucky
4 - OAK - Williams, DT, Alabama
5 - TB - White, LB, LSU
6 - NYG - Gary, DE, Michigan
7 - JAX - Taylor, T, Florida
8 - DET - Sweat, DE/LB, Miss St


Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on April 06, 2019, 09:53:52 PM
General consensus by some fellows at NFL.com:
1 - ARI - Murray, QB, Oklahoma
2 - SF - Bosa, DE, Ohio St
3 - NYJ - Allen, DE/LB, Kentucky
4 - OAK - Williams, DT, Alabama
5 - TB - White, LB, LSU
6 - NYG - Gary, DE, Michigan
7 - JAX - Taylor, T, Florida
8 - DET - Sweat, DE/LB, Miss St
the only picks out of any of those I like is Bosa to San Fran, Williams to Oakland, and Sweat to Detroit. All pretty much sure things and good value picks.
Kyler Murray is going to be a giant flop if Arizona does take him #1 imo. I am not buying him as an NFL QB for even a second. They'd be way better off trading down and trying to build out the roster. Tampa Bay needs a hell of a lot more than a LB. No disrespect to White. He's a very good player, but Top 5 pick? Don't see it. That's LT/Derrick Thomas territory. Same goes for Allen out of Kentucky, who I think is being ridiculously over-hyped. Jacksonville needs more than a OT, and Nick Foles is not an answer, he's a stop gap. If they pass on Dwayne Haskins they are flat out stupid.
NY Giants need a QB in the worst way. IF they pass on Haskins for Rashan Gary, dear god are they stupid. I love Gary. Rashan Gary is a great person with 0 baggage and an absolute FREAK of nature who at 6'4.5", 280 could realistically play anywhere along the line of scrimmage, but he's had a couple injury issues with his shoulder the last two years in a row and he's flat out raw. He never developed his pass rush or his hands, he just relied on his incredible physical talent. I wouldn't take him in the top 10 because he's not going to be an instant impact player. He's going to take a year or two to really hit his stride, but when he does, look out. Still- that doesn't justify taking him that high or passing up a franchise QB in Haskins. Eli Manning will be like 40 years old after next season and he flat out sucks and has flat out sucked for YEARS. If they don't move all in Haskins they are just beyond stupid.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: CWSooner on April 06, 2019, 11:38:02 PM
. . . Kyler Murray is going to be a giant flop if Arizona does take him #1 imo. I am not buying him as an NFL QB for even a second. They'd be way better off trading down and trying to build out the roster. Tampa Bay needs a hell of a lot more than a LB. No disrespect to White. He's a very good player, but Top 5 pick? Don't see it. That's LT/Derrick Thomas territory. Same goes for Allen out of Kentucky, who I think is being ridiculously over-hyped. Jacksonville needs more than a OT, and Nick Foles is not an answer, he's a stop gap. If they pass on Dwayne Haskins they are flat out stupid. . . .
A year ago that was a widespread opinion about Baker Mayfield, and he's turned out OK.
Kyler's a different kind of guy than Baker is.  Where Baker is loud, Kyler is quiet.  Where Baker is brash, Kyler is reserved.
But Kyler has a kind of talent that you don't see come around every year.
I had reservations about Kyler Murray going into last year's CFB season.  But he made me shut my pie-hole.
I still have two reservations about him in the NFL.
1.  I think he might get seriously injured just because of his size.  But he is very good at dodging hits, and he knows how to slide like nobody's business.
2.  His leadership might be lacking.  He might be too quiet and reserved.
But there's a big upside too.  He's mobile, he's fast, he makes good reads, and he's a very accurate passer.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MarqHusker on April 07, 2019, 12:18:01 AM
The Barry and Emmitt talk reminds me of how people would denigrate Tim Raines in relation to Rickey Henderson.    It is annoying, and I'm no Cowboy fan, that Emmitt gets punished often in  a RB discussion/ debate.

Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 07, 2019, 02:27:41 AM

NY Giants need a QB in the worst way. IF they pass on Haskins for Rashan Gary, dear god are they stupid. I love Gary. Rashan Gary is a great person with 0 baggage and an absolute FREAK of nature who at 6'4.5", 280 could realistically play anywhere along the line of scrimmage, but he's had a couple injury issues with his shoulder the last two years in a row and he's flat out raw. He never developed his pass rush or his hands, he just relied on his incredible physical talent. I wouldn't take him in the top 10 because he's not going to be an instant impact player. He's going to take a year or two to really hit his stride, but when he does, look out. Still- that doesn't justify taking him that high or passing up a franchise QB in Haskins. Eli Manning will be like 40 years old after next season and he flat out sucks and has flat out sucked for YEARS. If they don't move all in Haskins they are just beyond stupid.
The Giants have a long, recent history of taking freak defensive linemen, even with severe needs elsewhere.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on April 07, 2019, 09:59:02 AM
Kyler Murray is going to be a giant flop if Arizona does take him #1 imo. I am not buying him as an NFL QB for even a second. They'd be way better off trading down and trying to build out the roster.
Not sure if he flops,I can see him being used like The Squeelers use to use Kordell Stewart - he has ability.I just don't see him being a plug in and play at that position for a decade.I'd hang on to Rosen,too many teams hit the panic button after one season if a prospect doesn't match Marino's '83 season.This could be a smoke screen also to snag additional draft picks.But with societys inability to keep it's mouth shut via social media  - I doubt it
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on April 07, 2019, 10:16:00 AM
the next Russell Wilson if given the right opportunity

perhaps
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on April 07, 2019, 11:11:13 AM
I think his height/weight might be a disadvantage in the Sunday League from the pocket perspective.Where as running could benefit him as he could gains some yards because he's harder to see behind the behemoths
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on April 19, 2019, 05:24:43 PM
Raiders doing Raiders things

https://twitter.com/RapSheet/status/1119274857080991745
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on April 19, 2019, 05:49:46 PM
Raiders doing Raiders things

https://twitter.com/RapSheet/status/1119274857080991745
They should just call the Gruden hotline. I'm sure Tony Romo is trustworthy. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Riffraft on April 20, 2019, 11:15:01 AM
This is the first year in a long time that I haven't really looked at the draft. It seems better days are ahead for us Browns' fans
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on April 20, 2019, 12:35:55 PM
Amen to that RR,I was still interested in the draft but after the Browns traded their 1st & 3rd picks that's has waned a bit.Sort of wished they hadn't given up the 3rd round  pick as OBJ is entering his 6th season.Hopefully he's uber productive for the Browns and injury free
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on April 23, 2019, 10:21:48 PM
Late start, but trying to get through my 7 round mock

FIRST ROUND

1.CardinalsDT Quinnen Williams, Alabama
2.49ERSDE NICK BOSA, OHIO STATE
3.JetsOLB Josh Allen, Kentucky
4.RaidersDE Montez Sweat, Mississippi State
5.BuccaneersILB Devin White, LSU
6.GiantsQB Kyler Murray, Oklahoma
7.JAGUARSTE T.J, HOCKENSON, IOWA
8.ColtsDT Ed Oliver, Houston
9.BillsOLB Brian Burns, Florida State
10.BRONCOSILB DEVIN BUSH, MICHIGAN
11.BengalsT Jawaan Taylor, Florida
12.PACKERSTE NOAH FANT, IOWA
13.DOLPHINSDE RASHAN GARY, MICHIGAN
14.FalconsDE Clelin Ferrell, Clemson
15.PanthersT Jonah Williams, Alabama
16.REDSKINSQB DWAYNE HASKINS, OHIO STATE
17.GiantsT Andre Dillard, Washington State
18.VikingsG Chris Lindstrom, Boston College
19.TitansDT Christian Wilkins, Clemson
20.SteelersWR D.K. Metcalf, Ole Miss
21.SeahawksCB Byron Murphy, Washington
22.BroncosQB Drew Lock, Missouri
23.TexansG Cody Ford, Oklahoma
24.RaidersCB Greedy Williams, LSU
25.EaglesRB Josh Jacobs, Alabama
26.LionsCB Deandre Baker, Georgia
27.PatriotsDT Dexter Lawrence, Clemson
28.ChargersDT Jeffery Simmons, Mississippi State
29.ChiefsFS Nasir Adderly, Delaware
30.PackersWR Marquise Brown, Oklahoma
31.RamsC Garrett Bradbury, NC State
32.RaidersG Dalton Risner, Kansas State

TRADES
Lions trade #8 pick to Colts for #26 pick, 2nd round (#34) and 3rd round (#89)
Redskins trade #15 pick to Panthers for #16 pick and 5th round (#154)
Ravens trade #22 pick to Broncos for 2nd round (#41), 3rd round (#71) and 4th round (#125)
Raiders trade #27 pick to Patriots for #32 pick and 3rd round (#97)
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on April 23, 2019, 11:22:38 PM
I like the OL pick for the Vikes
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 23, 2019, 11:33:06 PM
The Redskins' front office would literally orgasm on the war room cam if Haskins was there at 16.  Messy stuff, not fit for children.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on April 24, 2019, 09:54:58 AM
SECOND ROUND

33.CardinalsWR N'Keal Harry, Arizona State
34.LionsTE Irv Smith Jr., Alabama
35.RAIDERSOLB CHASE WINOVICH, MICHIGAN
36.49ersWR A.J. Brown, Ole Miss
37.VikingsC Erik McCoy, Texas A&M
38.JaguarsQB Daniel Jones, Duke
39.BuccaneersCB Rock Ya-Sin, Temple
40.BillsWR Deebo Samuel, South Carolina
41.RavensILB Mack Wilson, Alabama
42.PackersFS Chauncey Gardner-Johnson, Florida
43.CowboysDT Jerry Tillery, Notre Dame
44.BENGALSDT DRE'MONT JONES, OHIO STATE
45.FALCONSCB JUSTIN LAYNE, MICHIGAN STATE
46.EaglesFS Juan Thornhill, Virginia
47.PanthersWR J.J. Arcega-Whiteside, Stanford
48.DolphinsSS Johnathan Abram, Mississippi State
49.BROWNSCB AMANI ORUWARIYE, PENN STATE
50.GIANTSWR PARRIS CAMPBELL, OHIO STATE
51.BuccaneersFS Deionte Thompson, Alabama
52.SteelersCB Trayvon Mullen, Clemson
53.RedskinsSS Taylor Rapp, Washington
54.TexansT Greg Little, Ole Miss
55.TexansCB Julian Love, Notre Dame
56.PatriotsWR Hakeem Butler, Iowa State
57.EaglesWR Kelvin Harmon, NC State
58.LionsDE Zach Allen, Boston College
59.COLTSFS DARNELL SAVAGE JR., MARYLAND
60.ChargersT Kaleb McGary, Washington
61.CHIEFSRB MILES SANDERS, PENN STATE
62.SAINTSWR TERRY MCLAURIN, OHIO STATE
63.ChiefsDE Jaylon Ferguson, Louisiana Tech
64.PatriotsDE L.J. Collier, TCU

TRADES
Giants trade Pick #37 and 4th Round (#132) to Vikings for Pick #50 and 3rd Round (#81)
Bengals trade Pick #42 to Packers for Pick #44 and 6th Round (#185)
Lions trade Pick #43 to Cowboys for Pick #58 and 3rd Round (#90)
Redskins trade Pick #46 to Eagles for Pick #53 and 4th Round (#127)
Titans trade Pick #51 to Buccaneers for 3rd Round (#70), 4th Round (#107) and 5th Round (#145)
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on April 24, 2019, 10:57:31 AM
THIRD ROUND

65.CARDINALSG MICHAEL DEITER, WISCONSIN
66.SteelersOLB Jachai Polite, Florida
67.49ersCB Sean Bunting, Central Michigan
68.JetsWR Riley Ridley, Georgia
69.JaguarsWR Andy Isabella, Massachusetts
70.TitansTE Jace Sternberger, Texas A&M
71.RavensC Elgton Jenkins, Mississippi State
72.RaidersRB Damien Harris, Alabama
73.PatriotsOLB Vosean Joseph, Florida
74.BillsDE Oshane Ximines, Old Dominion
75.PackersT Yodny Cajuste, West Virginia
76.RedskinsWR Emanuel Hall, Missouri
77.PANTHERSG CONNOR MCGOVERN, PENN STATE
78.DolphinsT Bobby Evans, Oklahoma
79.FalconsDT Khalen Saunders, Western Illinois
80.BrownsG Nate Davis, Charlotte
81.GIANTSSS AMANI HOOKER, IOWA
82.TexansRB Darrell Henderson, Memphis
83.SteelersTE Dawson Knox, Ole Miss
84.SeahawksDE Ben Banogu, TCU
85.RavensRB David Montgomery, Iowa State
86.TitansDE Charles Omenihu, Texas
87.BearsDT Gerald Willis III, Miami
88.LionsOLB D'Andre Walker, Georgia
89.LionsRB Devin Singletary, Florida Atlantic
90.LIONST DAVID EDWARDS, WISCONSIN
91.ChargersCB Lonnie Johnson, Kentucky
92.ChiefsCB Joejuan Williams, Vanderbilt
93.JetsDT Isaiah Buggs, Alabama
94.RamsDT Renell Wren, Arizona State
95.GiantsRB Justice Hill, Oklahoma State
96.RedskinsOLB Germaine Pratt, NC State
97.BengalsTE Kaden Smith, Stanford
98.JaguarsT Tytus Howard, Alabama State
99.PANTHERSDE ANTHONY NELSON, IOWA
100.RamsILB David Long Jr., West Virginia
101.PatriotsTE Kahale Warring, San Diego State
102.RavensWR Mecole Hardman, Georgia

TRADES
Bengals trade Pick #72 to Raiders for Pick #97, 4th Round (#106) and 5th Round (#140)
Titans trade Pick #82 to Texans for Pick #86 and 6th Round (#195)
Rams trade Pick #99 and 6th Round (#203) to Panthers for Pick #100 and 6th Round (#187)
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Cincydawg on April 24, 2019, 11:16:01 AM
Have nine of the top ten picks every been defensive players?

(Two of ten are offensive, one a QB and one a TE, which is also a bit odd.)
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on April 24, 2019, 12:45:40 PM
ELA has 8 of ten.  QB and TE

and I don't know, but I doubt it.

I love the idea that the Vikings could take OL with their first 2 picks, but they've needed to fix the OL for 5 or 6 years at least have I don't think they've taken an O-lineman in the first or second round in 6 or 7 seasons

they usually don't draft who they should draft

and Zimmer just loves defensive players
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on April 24, 2019, 01:06:16 PM
So ELA does the NFL also this cat is in the wrong line of work
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on April 24, 2019, 01:08:26 PM
Dude knows pigskin!
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on April 24, 2019, 01:23:06 PM
ELA has 8 of ten.  QB and TE

and I don't know, but I doubt it.

I love the idea that the Vikings could take OL with their first 2 picks, but they've needed to fix the OL for 5 or 6 years at least have I don't think they've taken an O-lineman in the first or second round in 6 or 7 seasons

they usually don't draft who they should draft

and Zimmer just loves defensive players
For better or worse, they are all in on Cousins.  Might as well protect him, and see if it works better.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on April 24, 2019, 01:28:18 PM
I agree.  Cousins went in the bag last season with no protection.

Glad they have Kubiak there to provide guidance

it's the logical smart move to build protection and a running game for Cousins

I'm praying for this, but after signing two free agent OLmen, I think they will do something stupid as usual.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on April 24, 2019, 10:03:28 PM
FOURTH ROUND

103.CardinalsOLB Bobby Okereke, Stanford
104.49ersDT Daylon Mack, Texas A&M
105.JETSCB DAVID LONG, MICHIGAN
106.BengalsQB Will Grier, West Virginia
107.TITANSG MICHAEL JORDAN, OHIO STATE
108.GiantsG Ben Powers, Oklahoma
109.JaguarsSS Mike Edwards, Kentucky
110.BengalsDE Joe Jackson, Miami
111.BillsTE Josh Oliver, San Jose State
112.LionsG Chuma Udoga, USC
113.RavensOLB Christian Miller, Alabama
114.PackersRB Trayveon Williams, Texas A&M
115.PanthersC Lamont Gaillard, Georgia
116.DOLPHINSG BEAU BENZSCHAWEL, WISCONSIN
117.FalconsT Max Scharping, Northern Illinois
118.PackersOLB Terrill Hanks, New Mexico
119.BrownsRB Rodney Anderson, Oklahoma
120.VikingsRB Benny Snell, Kentucky
121.TitansWR David Sills, West Virginia
122.SteelersILB Jahlani Tavai, Hawaii
123.RavensQB Ryan Finley, NC State
124.SeahawksSS Marquise Blair, Utah
125.RavensTE Foster Moreau, LSU
126.BearsOLB Chase Hansen, Utah
127.RedskinsILB Te'Von Coney, Notre Dame
128.CowboysCB Isaiah Johnson, Houston
129.ColtsCB Jamel Dean, Auburn
130.ChargersG Dru Samia, Oklahoma
131.BillsCB Corey Ballentine, Washburn
132.ColtsWR Miles Boykin, Notre Dame
133.RAMSOLB BLAKE CASHMAN, MINNESOTA
134.PatriotsCB Jimmy Moreland, James Madison
135.VikingsWR Penny Hart, Georgia State
136.CowboysFS Sheldrick Redwine, Miami
137.FALCONSRB DEVINE OZIGBO, NEBRASKA
138.ChargersQB Tyree Jackson, Buffalo

TRADES
Lions trade Pick #111 to Bills for Pick #112 and 7th Round (#225)
Vikings trade Pick #132 to Colts for Pick #135 and 7th Round (#240)
Eagles trade Pick #138 to Chargers for 5th Round (#166) and 6th Round (#200)
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on April 24, 2019, 10:31:43 PM
OZIGBO in the 4th round would be great

not sure the Vikings would take a RB, but they need a 3rd WR badly
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on April 24, 2019, 10:51:41 PM
There have been 25,453 players in NFL history, the study compiled. Who leads in the most players in the NFL? Notre Dame, with 495 players. According to the study, the Fighting Irish produced the most NFL players of any school in the 1920s, 1940s, 1950s, 1960s and again in the 1990s. 

Rounding out the top eight are Southern California (479 players), Ohio State (426), Penn State (359), Nebraska and Michigan (346), Miami (341) and Oklahoma (328).

then the SEC

https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/ncaaf/2019/04/24/nfl-draft-college-football-teams-have-produced-most-players/3561873002/ (https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/ncaaf/2019/04/24/nfl-draft-college-football-teams-have-produced-most-players/3561873002/)
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Kris60 on April 25, 2019, 09:23:19 AM
A detailed preview on all 130 NCAA teams and a full 7 round mock draft?  Holy crap!
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Cincydawg on April 25, 2019, 09:28:46 AM
I can recall "back in the day" very very very few UGA players went to the NFL.  It was a rarity, though some of them did quite well.  I think those teams were built around 2-3 stars and a bunch of "regular guys" who were good in HS, and of course no African Americans.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on April 25, 2019, 11:24:17 AM
FIFTH ROUND

139.CardinalsCB Kris Boyd, Texas
140.BengalsOLB Drue Tranquill, Notre Dame
141.SteelersSS Jaquan Johnson, Miami
142.GiantsCB Saivion Smith, Alabama
143.DolphinsQB Jarrett Stidham, Auburn
144.BrownsDT Terry Beckner Jr., Missouri
145.ColtsDE Maxx Crosby, Eastern Michigan
146.LionsWR Anthony Johnson, Buffalo
147.BillsDT Demarcus Christmas, Florida State
148.BroncosOLB Sione Takitaki, BYU
149.RedskinsTE Drew Sample, Washington
150.PackersILB Joe Giles-Harris, Duke
151.GiantsDT Greg Gaines, Washington
152.SteelersRB Ryquell Armstead, Temple
153.BengalsWR Gary Jennings Jr., West Virginia
154.RedskinsCB Michael Jackson, Miami
155.BrownsT Dennis Daley, South Carolina
156.BroncosTE Caleb Wilson, UCLA
157.TitansOLB Justin Hollins, Oregon
158.BrownsSS Will Harris, Boston College
159.SeahawksWR Antoine Wesley, Texas Tech
160.RavensCB Mark Fields, Clemson
161.TexansC Ross Pierschbacher, Alabama
162.BEARST ISAIAH PRINCE, OHIO STATE
163.EaglesILB Cameron Smith, USC
164.TitansCB Jordan Brown, South Dakota State
165.CowboysDE Austin Bryant, Clemson
166.EaglesT Mitch Hyatt, Clemson
167.ChiefsWR Darius Slayon, Auburn
168.SaintsDE Jalen Jelks, Oregon
169.RamsDE John Cominsky, Charleston
170.BillsFS Marvin Tell III, USC
171.GiantsTE Dax Raymond, Utah State
172.FalconsWR Dillon Mitchell, Oregon
173.RedskinsRB Bryce Love, Stanford


TRADES
Giants trade Pick #143 to Dolphins for Pick #151 and two 7th Round (#233 and #234)
Titans trade Pick #145 to Colts for Pick #164 and 6th Round (#199)
Bengals trade Pick #149 to Redskins for Pick #153 and 7th Round (#227)
Falcons trade Pick #152 to Steelers for two 6th Round (#175 and #207)
Bills trade Pick #158 to Browns for Pick #170 and 7th Round (#221)
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MaximumSam on April 25, 2019, 12:31:32 PM
I'll be trying to watch the draft and the Blue Jackets tonight.  The draft looks pretty fun - I like following the B1G guys.  Bosa seems like a lock for the top three, but hard to predict everyone else.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on April 25, 2019, 01:10:49 PM
SIXTH ROUND

174.CARDINALSQB CLAYTON THORSON, NORTHWESTERN
175.FalconsILB Joseph Tauaefa, UTSA
176.49ersFS Malik Gant, Marshall
177.SaintsTE Isaac Nauta, Georgia
178.JaguarsDT Trysten Hill, Central Florida
179.CardinalsT Olisaemeka Udoh, Elon
180.GiantsILB Tre Lamar, Clemson
181.BillsOLB Sutton Smith, Northern Illinois
182.BroncosDT Kingston Keke, Texas A&M
183.BENGALSILB T.J. EDWARDS, WISCONSIN
184.LionsILB Tre Lamar, Clemson
185.BENGALSCB KENDALL SHEFFIELD, OHIO STATE
186.FalconsTE Alize Mack, Notre Dame
187.RamsT Martez Ivey, Florida
188.TITANSRB MIKE WEBER, OHIO STATE
189.BrownsILB Gary Johnson, Texas
190.VikingsDT Chris Slayton, Syracuse
191.RAVENSDE SHAREEF MILLER, PENN STATE
192.SteelersDE Jonathan Ledbetter, Georgia
193.RavensFS Lukas Denis, Boston College
194.PackersQB Brett Rypien, Boise State
195.TitansQB Gardner Minshew II, Washington State
196.JetsTE Tommy Sweeney, Boston College
197.EaglesCB Derrick Baity, Kentucky
198.BENGALSRB KARAN HIGDON, MICHIGAN
199.TitansILB Cody Barton, Utah
200.EaglesG Alex Bars, Notre Dame
201.ChiefsILB Ben Burr-Kirven, Washington
202.SaintsOLB Emeke Egbule, Houston
203.PanthersCB Iman Marshall, USC
204.LIONSQB TRACE MCSORLEY, PENN STATE
205.BuccaneersDE Carl Granderson, Wyoming
206.RedskinsG Nate Herbig, Stanford
207.FalconsG Tyler Jones, NC State
208.PatriotsQB Easton Stick, North Dakota State
209.VikingsT William Sweet, North Carolina
210.BengalsSS Zedrick Woods, Ole Miss
211.BengalsFS Mike Bell, Fresno State
212.49ersRB Jordan Scarlett, Florida
213.BENGALSG RYAN BATES, PENN STATE
214.ChiefsDT Daniel Wise, Kansas


TRADES
Patriots trade Pick #205 and two 7th Round (#239 and #243) to Buccaneers for Pick #208 and 7th Round (#215)
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 25, 2019, 01:41:25 PM
What's wrong with Bryce Love?  Too slow?  Ohhhh yeah, torn ACL.  Mmkay.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on April 25, 2019, 03:46:42 PM
SEVENTH ROUND


215.PatriotsRB James Williams, Washington State
216.ChiefsSS Evan Worthington, Colorado
217.JetsRB Myles Gaskins, Washington
218.RAIDERSTE ZACH GENTRY, MICHIGAN
219.SteelersDT Dontavius Russell, Auburn
220.TEXANSDE BYRON COWART, MARYLAND
221.BillsRB Dexter Williams, Notre Dame
222.BearsCB Hamp Cheevers, Boston College
223.BengalsC Bunchy Stallings, Kentucky
224.LIONSSS KHARI WILLIS, MICHIGAN STATE
225.LionsDT Albert Huggins, Clemson
226.PackersDE Wyatt Ray, Boston College
227.BengalsWR Jakobi Meyers, NC State
228.BillsT Trey Pipkins, Sioux Falls
229.LionsFS Ugo Amadi, Oregon
230.FalconsOLB Tyrel Dodson, Texas A&M
231.SaintsOLB Dakota Allen, Texas Tech
232.GIANTSILB RYAN CONNELLY, WISCONSIN
233.GiantsDE Jordan Brailford, Oklahoma State
234.GiantsK Cole Tracy, LSU
235.RAIDERSSS D'COTA DIXON, WISCONSIN
236.JaguarsOLB Jake Bailey, Stanford
237.BRONCOSWR STANLEY MORGAN JR., NEBRASKA
238.BearsRB Elijah Holyfield, Georgia
239.BUCCANEERSOLB ANDREW VAN GINKEL, WISCONSIN
240.VikingsOLB Cole Holcomb, North Carolina
241.CowboysWR Hunter Renfrow, Clemson
242.ChargersS Jah'Shawn Johnson, Texas Tech
243.BuccaneersRB Tony Pollard, Memphis
244.SaintsCB Jamal Peters, Mississippi State
245.GiantsWR Jalen Hurd, Baylor
246.PatriotsP Mitch Wishnowsky, Utah
247.VikingsTE Trevon Wesco, West Virginia
248.CardinalsRB Jalin Moore, Appalachian State
249.CARDINALSFB ALEC INGOLD, WISCONSIN
250.VikingsQB Jordan Ta'amu, Ole Miss
251.RamsWR Preston Williams, Colorado State
252.PatriotsFS Darius West, Kentucky
253.RedskinsDT Armon Watts, Arkansas
254.CardinalsDE Jamal Davis II, Akron
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on April 25, 2019, 08:35:14 PM
Bosa headed to the 9ers.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: rook119 on April 25, 2019, 09:18:37 PM
The Redskins' front office would literally orgasm on the war room cam if Haskins was there at 16.  Messy stuff, not fit for children.
They need to send a thank you card to the Giants 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on April 25, 2019, 10:01:35 PM
Here's hoping that McTerps is also a Redskins fan.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 25, 2019, 10:11:33 PM
Wouldn't want to be the custodian at Washington camp tonight....

good for them, they got who they wanted.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 25, 2019, 10:23:07 PM
I hate all the different announcer people stuff, just tell us the pick.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on April 25, 2019, 10:51:41 PM
well, the Vikings took an Olineman in the first round

good on ELA

and good for viking's fans and management
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on April 25, 2019, 11:16:02 PM
Initial reaction, Redskins won Day 1.  We'll check back in 5 years
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on April 25, 2019, 11:42:22 PM
https://twitter.com/_beezneez/status/1121586948680740866?s=19
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: rook119 on April 26, 2019, 04:32:18 AM
Wouldn't want to be the custodian at Washington camp tonight....

good for them, they got who they wanted.

Supposedly Gruden didn't want him (he wanted Jones). Knowing Washington's history they can find a way to screw this up. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MaximumSam on April 26, 2019, 07:11:07 AM
Gruden and Haskins seems like a good fit, despite all of Washington's other issues and the bad luck with QB's
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Cincydawg on April 26, 2019, 09:01:08 AM
A lot of defensive players take in Day One, no?
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Riffraft on April 26, 2019, 10:24:28 AM
I was very happy with the Browns pick at #17 of OBJ
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: mcwterps1 on April 26, 2019, 03:18:06 PM
Here's hoping that McTerps is also a Redskins fan.
I was when I was a kid. I remember watching Mark Rypien and Art Monk Darrell Green many others, Doug Williams play for Super Bowls.

I didn't have the Baltimore Ravens growing up. They left before I could understand the game really.

Good for Haskins. I still believe the only reason he gets overlooked is because he has commitment issues.

With that said, there are many Terrapin fans who said they can't stomach being Redskins fans now. Seriously. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: mcwterps1 on April 26, 2019, 03:18:31 PM
I'm curious...did Darnell Savage get mentioned in the Big Ten "team" threads?
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on April 26, 2019, 04:02:49 PM
I'm curious...did Darnell Savage get mentioned in the Big Ten "team" threads?
Yup, he was there to vote for, he just never got voted.  I voted for him twice, and both times I was the sole vote.  If you had voted for him, he would have made the team.  But as is American tradition, we are better about complaining about voting results than we are at voting.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: mcwterps1 on April 26, 2019, 04:28:19 PM
Yup, he was there to vote for, he just never got voted.  I voted for him twice, and both times I was the sole vote.  If you had voted for him, he would have made the team.  But as is American tradition, we are better about complaining about voting results than we are at voting.
Well, that might change if an individuals vote actually counted. 

As for the poll in question, viable candidates with all factors in mind may have kept more interest in it, other than voting for helmets. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: mcwterps1 on April 26, 2019, 04:31:56 PM
Did he forget where he originally committed to, or was he just going to live with the lie everybody bought that he committed to Ohio State and it was his dream School?

https://twitter.com/Jeff_Ermann/status/1121869890556657669?s=19
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on April 26, 2019, 04:39:21 PM
Well, that might change if an individuals vote actually counted.

As for the poll in question, viable candidates with all factors in mind may have kept more interest in it, other than voting for helmets.
Yes, a second team All-Big Ten player was treated as such for voting.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on April 26, 2019, 08:34:13 PM
Way to reach on a 4th round talent in the 2nd round Lions
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on April 26, 2019, 08:46:40 PM
vikings take offense with 1st and 2nd rounds

nice work, front office

Zimmer is probably pouting
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on April 26, 2019, 10:46:54 PM
Quote
Way to reach on a 4th round talent in the 2nd round Lions
They wasted their 1st rd pick too. Lions sucking ass in the draft. As usual.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on April 26, 2019, 10:54:23 PM
Quote
They need to send a thank you card to the Giants
I am beginning to think that the Giants GM is an actual retard. I don’t say that lightly. Mind. Boggling.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on April 26, 2019, 10:55:18 PM
Chase Winovich is a perfect fit for the Pats. That’s a marriage made in heaven.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on April 26, 2019, 11:46:28 PM
Way to reach on a 4th round talent in the 2nd round Lions
That assessment just might be generous.Does someone have Millen on speed dial?
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on April 27, 2019, 02:17:22 AM
Browns just keep on shitting gold. Getting a player with Greedy Williams’ talent and upside at pick 46 is a freaking steal. 

That kid is a tick under 6’3” with long arms and ran a 4.37 at the combine and was a dominant CB in the SEC 2 years running. That’s an amazing value pick. He has top 10 type talent and the production to match the talent. 

The Browns could wind up having the best CB duo in 2 years in the entire league with Denzel Ward and Greedy Williams. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on April 27, 2019, 10:37:04 AM
Clearly I was too high on Florida.  Both days my top available at the end of the day was a Gator

38. S Chauncey Gardner-Johnson, Florida
43. S Deionte Thompson, Alabama
46. ILB Mack Wilson, Alabama
52. CB Amani Oruwariye, Penn State
56. CB Julian Love, Notre Dame
57. WR Hakeem Butler, Iowa State
58. WR Kelvin Harmon, NC State
65. WR Riley Ridley, Georgia
71. S Amani Hooker, Iowa
80. DT Gerald Willis III, Miami
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on April 27, 2019, 02:50:05 PM
Love the Lions getting Oruwariye!  So we took a 5th round talent in the 2nd, and got a 2nd round talent in the 5th
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on April 27, 2019, 03:27:59 PM
most TEs ever taken in the draft?
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on April 27, 2019, 03:52:10 PM
WR was the right pick, but Fulgham wasn't the right guy.  Then Ty Johnson I had further down the board, but I REALLY like how he fits with Kerryon Johnson, so I actually am good with that pick.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on April 27, 2019, 04:08:34 PM
I can't figure out how Harmon is sliding like this.  Lions should have been all over him.  Kiper was down on him more than anyone, and still had him #108
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: rook119 on April 27, 2019, 04:15:24 PM
most TEs ever taken in the draft?
The Jets took a WVU TE. I honestly didn't even know WVU had a TE. 

Getting Rosen was a good pickup for the Dolphins IMO. Plus his signing bonus is paid out, cap hit of only 3M/year, which is low for backups. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: rook119 on April 27, 2019, 04:20:44 PM
McSorley isn't much of a passer, so getting drafted by the Ravens was a really good landing space for him. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: rook119 on April 27, 2019, 04:28:18 PM
WR was the right pick, but Fulgham wasn't the right guy.  Then Ty Johnson I had further down the board, but I REALLY like how he fits with Kerryon Johnson, so I actually am good with that pick.
Harris could be a good player so I won't knock that but damn Butler was still on the board. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on April 27, 2019, 05:55:27 PM
Jamel Dean got drafted. Good for him. 

He's the one that was medically ineligible at OSU, transferred to Auburn only to compile additional serious knee injuries. 

Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: mcwterps1 on April 27, 2019, 06:19:13 PM
WR was the right pick, but Fulgham wasn't the right guy.  Then Ty Johnson I had further down the board, but I REALLY like how he fits with Kerryon Johnson, so I actually am good with that pick.
Glad he got in.

I was thinking he'd miss out. Guy has great vision and the best speed, I believe, of all RB's in the draft. 

His disappearance act at the end of the season probably hurt him. 

He may be a bust, but he's the best RB I've seen since Lance Ball at Maryland. 

Hope he excels. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on April 27, 2019, 06:33:34 PM
very fitting

last player taken in the draft

TE
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on April 27, 2019, 08:34:55 PM
(https://beta-static.photobucket.com/images/b502/AkronBuck/0/6a0c6267-3975-4f51-9945-977f81670a27-original.png?width=1920&height=1080&fit=bounds)
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 27, 2019, 11:07:50 PM
Former Florida 5* recruit Martez Ivey, T, goes undrafted.  
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: mcwterps1 on April 27, 2019, 11:45:24 PM
https://twitter.com/HamiltonESPN/status/1122269876477923328?s=19
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: mcwterps1 on April 27, 2019, 11:47:31 PM
https://twitter.com/NCAAFNation247/status/1122084454204366853?s=19
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 28, 2019, 12:23:51 AM
Wow, 12 five* must be a lot, considering how few there are each year.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on April 28, 2019, 12:49:37 AM

Getting Rosen was a good pickup for the Dolphins IMO. Plus his signing bonus is paid out, cap hit of only 3M/year, which is low for backups.
Ya I think so too seems like he wised up and kept his mouth shut and handled things maturely.The Fins have stocked piled like 10 picks for next year so not giving up much.Also AZ's O-Line resembled a full clothes line in a west Texas windstorm last season so maybe Murray will fit in being the better runner.IMO I still think Rosen has much more upside in staying under center for the duration than Murray
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on April 28, 2019, 11:01:43 AM
Purdue ends 21-year steak of having at least one player drafted. Final indictment of Darrell Hazell and his recruiting IMHO. Can we fire him again? 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on April 28, 2019, 11:04:53 AM
(https://twitter.com/Ryan_McCrystal)
Ryan McCrystal


If the Browns kept the 17th overall pick and selected Greedy Williams it would be an A grade.



Ryan McCRYSTAL tweeted this he works for bleacher report but use to an insider with ESPN - hope he is right

Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: FearlessF on April 28, 2019, 11:10:06 AM
Purdue ends 21-year steak of having at least one player drafted. Final indictment of Darrell Hazell and his recruiting IMHO. Can we fire him again?
the Husker's 56 year streak is over

folks wanting to tar & feather Riley
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: ELA on April 28, 2019, 12:29:56 PM
Shocked Ozigbo didn't get picked

I think MSU's streak is back to 1963.  When Scott came back last year, some fans thought that might end it, but then Rams took Brian Allen.  Then coming back didn't even pan out for Scott, as his stock dropped.  I said at the time, I selfishly liked it as an MSU fan, but thought it was a bad decision.  Turned out to not even matter for MSU.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 28, 2019, 05:09:35 PM
Guys were drafted like 2 full rounds before or after where the "experts" thought, thus proving mock drafts are just another form of mental masturbation.  
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on April 29, 2019, 09:52:36 AM
They're just killing time and filling space during the silly season.NY Giants proving my point that this board could form a better collegiate talent evaluation than many NFL teams.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: bayareabadger on April 29, 2019, 10:40:37 AM
"Guys were drafted like 2 full rounds before or after where the "experts" thought, thus proving mock drafts are just another form of mental masturbation."

This is correct. But people care. And thus they exist. 

And to be fair, if you spent all draft season mocking Daniel Jones at No. 6, you'd be super right and still look like kind of a dummy. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: bayareabadger on April 29, 2019, 10:49:29 AM
"Purdue ends 21-year steak of having at least one player drafted. Final indictment of Darrell Hazell and his recruiting IMHO. Can we fire him again?"

To a degree, I understand this matters, but also does this matter?

I mean, if it weren't for Ryan Russell, the streak would've broken a while ago. For Nebraska, it took Tanner Lee to extend it to this year. I get that it's an indicator of the talent, but if you took what each program did the past few years, plus threw in some coaching changes and the advance rates of attrition these days, I feel like continuing these streaks is pretty much a crapshoot. 

I also know more of these have come to an end of late, including Tennessee and Texas. I wonder how much of that stems from the advances in digital scouting. Like finding an interesting wide receiver or developmental defensive end from Augsburg College must be worlds easier than even a few years ago. And that guy replaces, the "well, he's an OK guy from the Big 10" types. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on April 29, 2019, 11:32:51 AM
Shocked Ozigbo didn't get picked
Great catch there I noticed awhile back that he averaged like 7 yds ypc his last season.It's not like he was the 7th rated QB in the ACC or anything.So ya this is a :017:.Damn wished Cleveland scooped him up
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on April 29, 2019, 03:33:13 PM
"Purdue ends 21-year steak of having at least one player drafted. Final indictment of Darrell Hazell and his recruiting IMHO. Can we fire him again?"

To a degree, I understand this matters, but also does this matter?

I mean, if it weren't for Ryan Russell, the streak would've broken a while ago. For Nebraska, it took Tanner Lee to extend it to this year. I get that it's an indicator of the talent, but if you took what each program did the past few years, plus threw in some coaching changes and the advance rates of attrition these days, I feel like continuing these streaks is pretty much a crapshoot.

I also know more of these have come to an end of late, including Tennessee and Texas. I wonder how much of that stems from the advances in digital scouting. Like finding an interesting wide receiver or developmental defensive end from Augsburg College must be worlds easier than even a few years ago. And that guy replaces, the "well, he's an OK guy from the Big 10" types.
I'll admit that for Purdue, the streak itself was more anomaly than it would be for some other schools. There were more than a few years in those 21 where we were saved by a single player in the late rounds getting drafted.

Still, it kinda points out just how far the program had fallen, recruiting-wise, under Hazell. Consistently last or 2nd-to-last in the conference. Just not good.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Anonymous Coward on April 29, 2019, 06:05:02 PM
https://mgoblog.com/sites/default/files/users/user203573/Screen%20shot%202019-04-26%20at%2010.20.04%20AM.png

https://mgoblog.com/sites/default/files/users/user203573/Screen%20shot%202019-04-26%20at%2010.20.04%20AM.png

Hmm. The drag and drop isn't working for me. But that image combines impressively with the fact that 17/32 first rounders were former 4- and 5-stars. To enrich that group that much requires either (1) outrageous coincidence or (2) significant predictive power for recruiting rankings, depending on your world view.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on April 29, 2019, 06:41:55 PM
Hmm. The drag and drop isn't working for me. But that image combines impressively with the fact that 17/32 first rounders were former 4- and 5-stars. To enrich that group that much requires either (1) outrageous coincidence or (2) significant predictive power for recruiting rankings, depending on your world view.
Agreed. And it's always easy to find outliers... Sure, there might be some players who some GM was really high on that gets drafted 2 rounds earlier than predicted via mock. And there might be players that in player interviews come off as a head case and fall a few rounds lower than predicted via mock.

It's easy to identify the outliers in draft spot selection as compared to career results, such as JaMarcus Russell and Tom Brady. 

I'm not sure that overall, the recruiting rankings, or the draft as a whole, or the mock drafts, are entirely devoid of predictive power though.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 29, 2019, 08:07:05 PM
My problem isn't the mock drafts, really, it's the avalanche of people crapping on the Duke QB being taken.  We don't know what's going to happen.  No one does, at all, because there are so very many variables that it's a guessing game.

This is why coaches and GMs do the herd mentality sheep thing all the time - it's safe.  If every GM just picked the consensus guy at their spot, then the players might as well be assigned to the teams instead of chosen.  


The Duke QB could very well have a much better career than Haskins without either player really having much to do with his own end result.  That's what makes the talking heads bashing any particular pick so childish.  
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on April 29, 2019, 08:16:11 PM
He was 7th in ACC QB ratings.Not sure anyone had him pegged in the 2nd.It's not mob mentality could have traded and got Rosen who most agree has a higher ceiling.And it's that GM blowing a lot of smoke and none of it really believable
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: Mdot21 on April 29, 2019, 10:53:02 PM
(https://twitter.com/Ryan_McCrystal)
Ryan McCrystal


If the Browns kept the 17th overall pick and selected Greedy Williams it would be an A grade.



Ryan McCRYSTAL tweeted this he works for bleacher report but use to an insider with ESPN - hope he is right

I loved the pick. I can’t quite figure out why he slipped so much. 

Yes, he doesn’t love to tackle and he might be a bit slight but he’ll fill out his frame. He might also be a bit of a shit head off the field, but he’s not that much of a problem or red flag that it should tank his draft stock. And the not loving to tackle thing isn’t that big of a deal- he’s a CB. Lots of really good CBs have had an aversion to going all out and sacrificing the body when it comes to tackling. The CBs like your Rod Woodson’s and the Charles Woodson’s who will sacrifice it all to make the tackle and bring the big hits are rare. Greedy was the best man to man cover corner in the draft and he’s 6’2 and change and runs 4.3. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 30, 2019, 01:20:41 AM
He was 7th in ACC QB ratings.Not sure anyone had him pegged in the 2nd.It's not mob mentality could have traded and got Rosen who most agree has a higher ceiling.And it's that GM blowing a lot of smoke and none of it really believable
Okay, but at this point, all the GM is guilty of is not going along with the consensus.  How dare he!


He won't be vindicated nor his stupidity confirmed for years, so this knee-jerk criticism is silly.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: bayareabadger on April 30, 2019, 08:33:44 AM
"Okay, but at this point, all the GM is guilty of is not going along with the consensus.  How dare he!


He won't be vindicated nor his stupidity confirmed for years, so this knee-jerk criticism is silly."


That I can't properly quote this for some reason is annoying, but it sort of half true.

He's guilty of following the old consensus and doing so very aggressively. He picked a QB who looks like a QB, who is tall, built and a few ticks more athletic than average. The guy has the blessing of one of the best QB minds in the business, which is something shortsighted GMs love. They also got to watch him in practice and just loved how he practiced. 

But he's also a guy who didn't play football particularly well, either by the numerical indicators or the eye test. Now perhaps it's a stroke of genius. Perhaps there's something in the not playing football well that was actually really good. But you'll catch some flack for that.

Now the second part is when he was taken. That, and the ensuing explanation, suggest he was not going along with the consensus. If Jones was not valued by consensus, he would've been available later on. So that could be value lost. The GM insists he would've been gone by the 17th pick. So in that sense, the GM was just the most aggressive in working within the consensus. (The same way someone ends up paying the big NBA deal we all know isn't wise)

Now it's also true the larger talking-head-dom is taking on a more new-age approach, and that's turned against the "Take a QB with traits and we can make him into a thing" camp. That's because those QBs had a massive failure rate. Granted, all QBs have a stupendous failure rate. 

Maybe he ends up Matt Ryan, who was kinda overdrafted and ended up quite good. But at the moment people need thoughts. Shoot, we got em in the middle of a game about a specific play, why not now?
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on April 30, 2019, 09:02:31 AM
Okay, but at this point, all the GM is guilty of is not going along with the consensus.  How dare he!


He won't be vindicated nor his stupidity confirmed for years, so this knee-jerk criticism is silly.
This isn't about being going along with the consensus - they're happy as hell he probably blew the pick.FWIW many believe the cardinals screwed the pooch also by picking a smallish QB no 1 over all and sending rosen packing.Time will tell it's just that's a draft position you can't swing and miss on.I know the Browns do it with distressing frequency.I was livid when they used 1st rd picks on both Weeden and Manziel.One turned 29 his rookie year and the other a pixie who even had he not misbehaved still would have gotten curb stomped
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on April 30, 2019, 09:19:31 AM


Now the second part is when he was taken. That, and the ensuing explanation, suggest he was not going along with the consensus. If Jones was not valued by consensus, he would've been available later on. So that could be value lost. 
THIS,there was no indication by either Washington or Denver they were leaning that way nor did they elude to it.Gettleman is pulling conjecture out of his backside.Obviously he is feeling unsure because the fans are jaded with the pick and explanation
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 30, 2019, 05:58:50 PM
The prediction business is supposed to be about being right more often than other people.  But we don't even bother to go back and determine who was right and who was wrong.  We just say Player Z was a bust or Player A was a steal.  The prediction business has become entertainment-for-me-now and had almost nothing to do with actual accuracy.

The only time anyone was held accountable was the Manning/Leaf year, in which everyone agrees the Colts chose wisely.  But did they?  What if they took Leaf?  What if Leaf had Marshall Faulk to hand off to and throw to out of the backfield?  What if he had Marvin Harrison instead of the crap SD trotted out there?  What if he had a defense that improved by 100 points allowed in his 2nd year? 

Even in these seemingly cut-and-dry cases, there's such much noise in the system that I don't think we can be certain about anything.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on April 30, 2019, 06:05:12 PM
Even in these seemingly cut-and-dry cases, there's such much noise in the system that I don't think we can be certain about anything.

We're Americans. We can be certain about anything.

It says so in the Declaration of Independence. I'm certain of it. 
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on April 30, 2019, 07:03:25 PM
Last I heard, we were 18th or 30th or something in math, but 1st in the world in math confidence.  It's embarrassing.
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: bayareabadger on April 30, 2019, 07:36:09 PM
“The prediction business is supposed to be about being right more often than other people.”

Ehh, the prediction business is mostly about attention. Becuase we pay attention to the most interesting predictions.

If it’s really good, it’s about making money. And then it’s based on odds and margins. And then we spend a lot of time messing up what those mean. (Like if something that has and 80 percent chance of happening doesn’t, we use it as an indictment of the system in play)
Title: Re: 2019 NFL Draft
Post by: MrNubbz on May 02, 2019, 09:40:57 AM
Love the Lions getting Oruwariye!  So we took a 5th round talent in the 2nd, and got a 2nd round talent in the 5th
*https://www.prideofdetroit.com/2019/5/1/18525947/detroit-lions-nfl-draft-pff-biggest-steal-amani-oruwariye (https://www.prideofdetroit.com/2019/5/1/18525947/detroit-lions-nfl-draft-pff-biggest-steal-amani-oruwariye)*