Kick is at 4, so should be mostly in the dark. Wonder if they get that cool snow globe they did two years ago.I'll be at this one too and am hoping so much that we do.
Ultimate trap game.not sure it's the ultimate trap game, seeing as the game is at home and it's home-coming and the last game at home all the seniors on that team will play. I'm sure Chase will have those guys ready to go.
IU has played Michigan tough lately, no matter where the game is.this is true. Indiana has played M tough of late. Which is why I think it’ll be a lot closer than the experts and Vegas think.
I just want IU to be healthy going into the Bucket Game.
ND game not hurting UM at all, win out and they are in. If UM was 10-0 right now and lost to OSU or in Indy they’d be out anyways, so 9-1 or 10-0 is irrelevant.Agree. Those games are high risk/high reward. Without the early season win over Oklahoma in 2016 Ohio St may not have gotten in the playoff that year. Same deal with Oklahoma last year.
I can see IU putting up a fight for a half, but UM will win 34-14 ish.
I think those games are all risk, very little reward.I disagree. I would argue one of the main reasons Michigan is the highest ranked one loss team is that they are considered to have the most forgivable loss on the board.
I disagree. I would argue one of the main reasons Michigan is the highest ranked one loss team is that they are considered to have the most forgivable loss on the board.But they'd probably be #3 if you replaced the Notre Dame loss with a win over EMU. So yes, good losses are better than bad losses, but a better record, even with a bad SOS still trumps it. See Washington 2016.
But they'd probably be #3 if you replaced the Notre Dame loss with a win over EMU. So yes, good losses are better than bad losses, but a better record, even with a bad SOS still trumps it. See Washington 2016.I agree but it’s:
I still think it's high risk, low reward. Yes, you are better off winning them than not playing them, but not much better off than beating some chump, which you are guaranteed to win. If Ohio State had played EMU instead of Oklahoma last year, they are in the playoff.True, but I think beating OU in 2016 got Ohio State into the playoff.
True, but I think beating OU in 2016 got Ohio State into the playoff.Have they ever taken a 2 loss team? I don't believe so, so I don't think it would matter. Until the committee takes a team with more losses, because of a better overall resume, I'll refuse to believe scheduling tough has any benefit other than entertainment value.
Have they ever taken a 2 loss team? I don't believe so, so I don't think it would matter. Until the committee takes a team with more losses, because of a better overall resume, I'll refuse to believe scheduling tough has any benefit other than entertainment value.Yep.
Have they ever taken a 2 loss team? I don't believe so, so I don't think it would matter. Until the committee takes a team with more losses, because of a better overall resume, I'll refuse to believe scheduling tough has any benefit other than entertainment value.But if tOSU hadn't played OU in 2016 then OU would have been a 1-loss P5 Champion
But if tOSU hadn't played OU in 2016 then OU would have been a 1-loss P5 ChampionExactly. If Ohio St and Oklahoma both played crap teams that year Oklahoma would have gotten in over Ohio St. High risk/high reward.
Has a 1 loss conference champion ( that actually won a CCG) ever been left out?No, but if we keep this format long enough it will. In 2016, if Ohio St and Oklahoma had played cupcakes instead of each other there would have been five conference champions with only one loss so someone would have been left out.
If not for Tua, we'd all be marveling at how amazing Murray has been. He's lost in Tua's season.agreed. Murray is fantastic.
| Indiana Hoosiers (2-5, 5-5) at #4 Michigan Wolverines (7-0, 9-1) |
| 4:00 - Ann Arbor, MI - FS1 |
| Ohio State taking care of business in East Lansing last week means that absent a big upset in College Park, Michigan can't clinch their first ever trip to the Big Ten Championship Game in front of their home fans this week. That's ok. While there was a time where losing this, but still beating Ohio State next weekend to go to Pasadena meant you accomplished your goal, that ain't the case for Michigan this year. Yes, winning a Big Ten title and going to the Rose Bowl is a hell of a consolation prize, the Wolverines also likely control their own College Football Playoff aspirations, and a loss would derail that, even if it wouldn't derail their conference title hopes. After a 3-0 start, which included an (in retrospect) underrated win over a Virginia team that has been ranked at points this season, Big Ten play has not gone the Hoosiers way. Two touchdown or more losses to Michigan State, Ohio State, and Iowa, a blowout loss to a seemingly dead Minnesota team, and a narrow 7 point win over lowly Rutgers. Indiana was sitting at 1-5 in Big Ten play with only a close loss to Penn State looking respectable. The Hoosiers had their bye week late though, and came out of it with a win over Maryland, in perhaps their best performance since September. Yes, Maryland has issues, but defensively they are pretty good, and Indiana scored three touchdowns in about 4 minutes in the second quarter to blow open a big lead. Even after Maryland fought back, Indiana found a way to scrap out a win, forcing a fumble to seal the game after Maryland had crossed into Hoosier territory in the final 2 minutes, looking for the game winning field goal. Now Indiana needs one more win to reach bowl eligibility, and it's either going to be Michigan, or in the Bucket game next week. Since Tom Allen took over the program the identity had flipped from offense to defense, but in Big Ten games this year, the defense has wilted. They are giving up 35.1 ppg and 452.9 ypg on 6.3 ypp, 4th worst in the conference across the board. The problems are largely with the pass defense, where Indiana gives up 8.5 ypa, 2nd worst in the Big Ten, along with a league high 20 passing touchdowns. The secondary has bailed them out with a number of picks, but the front isn't generating much pressure, a 5.26% sack rate, which is allowing opponents to convert 43.2% of their third downs, and 71.4% of their fourth downs. The Hoosiers have allowed 10 4th down conversions, most in the conference. If Shea Patterson looks like he did last week, watch out. He showed every bit of his starz rating in the win over Rutgers. You may say, "but Rutgers," but to watch the game, the guys around him didn't show up. The line regressed, the running game was absent, and he had a couple balls dropped early. But he was hitting throws that I had not seen him make all year. If that's who Michigan has going forward, look out, this suddenly becomes a team that can win the whole damn thing. Defensively, it's hard to criticize Michigan. Sometimes, like last week against Rutgers, they seem to get almost too fired up, as though just shutting teams down isn't enough, they want negative yardage plays every snap, and they lose discipline. Peyton Ramsey is efficient, if you overplay him seeking the splash plays, he'll hurt you. But while that may present opportunities for Indiana, the Wolverines still hit on enough of those plays to still beat you. Indiana was better early in the year when Stevie Scott was running the ball well and providing balance. A lower recruited true freshman was unlikely to continue that against better competition. He didn't, and Michigan's defense is hardly the week to get right. |
| MICHIGAN 38, INDIANA 15 |
Michigan is looking good. But, there are very few gimmes in the Big Ten.No one said it's a gimme.
This game is no gimme.
Looking for injury updates from M*ch*g*n. Winovich late hit was bush league.Ya gonna have to disagree.
If he can't play one may argue that losing Winovich is a bigger loss than Bosa for OSU.