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The Power Five => Big Ten => Topic started by: medinabuckeye1 on October 16, 2018, 12:44:38 PM

Title: B1G Divisional races headed into week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 16, 2018, 12:44:38 PM

Is Rutgers eliminated yet, that is the question!  No, they aren't, but it is REALLY close.  

B1G-E race:

• 4-0/7-0 Ohio State - controls their own destiny
• 4-0/6-1 Michigan - controls their own destiny
• 2-1/4-2 Michigan State - controls their own destiny
• 2-1/4-2 Maryland - needs two M losses or one M loss and a three way tie that works for them
• 1-2/4-2 Penn State - needs three tOSU losses and two MSU losses
• 1-3/4-3 Indiana - needs four tOSU losses, three MSU losses, two M losses, and a Maryland loss
• 0-4/1-6 Rutgers* - needs five tOSU losses, four UMD losses, three M losses, three MSU losses, two IU losses, and a PSU loss

* Is this actually possible?

• Ohio State would have to lose out which would give MSU, UMD, and M an additional win.  Cumulative wins:  5 for M, 3 for UMD, 3 for MSU.  
• Other than beating Ohio State, Michigan would have to lose out which would give MSU, PSU, and IU an additional win.  Cumulative wins:  4 for MSU, 3 for UMD, 5 for M, 2 for PSU, 2 for IU.  
• MSU can still win one other game (doesn't matter which as long as it isn't RU).  
• Indiana has to beat M but lose two out of PSU, MN, UMD, PU.  
• Maryland has to beat tOSU but lose four out of five of IA, IL, MSU, IU, PSU
• Penn State has to beat Michigan but lose one of IU, IA, UW, UMD

It is mathematically possible for Rutgers to win the B1G-E!

B1G-W race:

• 3-1/3-3 Northwestern - controls their own destiny
• 2-1/4-2 Wisconsin - controls their own destiny
• 2-1/5-1 Iowa - needs a UW loss
• 2-1/3-3 Purdue - needs a NU loss
• 1-2/3-3 Illinois - needs two PU losses
• 0-3/3-3 Minnesota - needs three IA losses (or two and a three-way tie that works), an NU loss, a UW loss, and a PU loss
• 0-4/0-6 Nebraska* - needs four NU losses, four UW losses, and four PU losses

*Is this actually possible?

• Northwestern would have to four out of five of RU, UW, IA, MN, IL
• Wisconsin would have to lose four out of six of IL, NU, RU, PSU, PU, MN
• Purdue would have to lose four out of six of tOSU, MSU, IA, MN, UW, IU

It is mathematically possible for Nebraska to win the B1G-W!

Title: Re: B1G Divisional races headed into week 8
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on October 17, 2018, 04:37:15 PM

So it will definitely be Rutgers-Nebraska? 

Title: Re: B1G Divisional races headed into week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 17, 2018, 05:34:21 PM

Quote from: Brutus Buckeye on October 17, 2018, 04:37:15 PM

So it will definitely be Rutgers-Nebraska?

I think that is mathematically impossible.  I'm not sure and it would take more thought than I care to put into it.
Either one is mathematically possible as I outlined above but I think that they couldn't both make it because RU getting there would require a whole bunch of B1G-E losses to B1G-W teams and UNL getting there would require a whole bunch of B1G-W losses to B1G-E teams and there must be something mutually exclusive in there somewhere.  

Title: Re: B1G Divisional races headed into week 8
Post by: ELA on October 17, 2018, 06:03:45 PM

Quote from: Brutus Buckeye on October 17, 2018, 04:37:15 PM

So it will definitely be Rutgers-Nebraska?

Inshallah