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The Power Five => Big Ten => Topic started by: ELA on June 18, 2018, 01:31:59 PM

Title: 2018 Look Ahead: Week 1
Post by: ELA on June 18, 2018, 01:31:59 PM
Not sure I bothered with this last year in the transition, but looking ahead to the season, and the week-by-week matchups, figure we can break down one week per week.  I'll use Sporting News' composite rankings as a makeshift Top 25 to use for these purposes, and list all games involving ranked teams and any P5-P5 games for the week as well.  I'll list time/TV if it has been announced yet.  I'm also totally omitting games vs. FCS opponents.  They add nothing to this conversation.

RANKED MATCHUPS
3:30 - #7 Washington vs. #11 Auburn @ Atlanta (ABC)
7:30 - #12 Michigan at #14 Notre Dame (NBC)
7:30 (Sun) - #8 Miami vs. #23 LSU @ Dallas (ABC)
8:00 (Mon) - #15 Virginia Tech at #22 Florida State (ABC)

OTHER TOP 25 GAMES
7:00 (Thu) - #21 Central Florida at Connecticut (ESPNU)
7:00 (Fri) - Utah State at #10 Michigan State (BTN)
9:00 (Fri) - Western Kentucky at #5 Wisconsin (ESPN)
9:00 (Fri) - San Diego State at #13 Stanford (FS1)
NOON - Oregon State at #3 Ohio State (ABC)
NOON - Florida Atlantic at #6 Oklahoma (FOX)
NOON - #20 Texas at Maryland (FS1)
3:30 - #17 West Virginia vs. Tennessee (CBS)
3:30 - Appalachian State at #9 Penn State (BTN)
4:00 - UNLV at #18 USC (P12)
6:00 - #19 Boise State at Troy (NEWS)
8:00 - #1 Alabama vs. Louisville @ Orlando (ABC)
8:00 - Bowling Green at #25 Oregon (P12)

POWER FIVE MATCHUPS
8:00 (Thu) - Northwestern at Purdue (ESPN)
NOON - Ole Miss vs. Texas Tech @Houston (ESPN)
4:00 - North Carolina at California (FOX)
10:45 - BYU at Arizona (ESPN)

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

All games above re-posted purely chronologically...

7:00 (Thu) - #21 Central Florida at Connecticut (ESPNU)
8:00 (Thu) - Northwestern at Purdue (ESPN)

7:00 (Fri) - Utah State at #10 Michigan State (BTN)
9:00 (Fri) - Western Kentucky at #5 Wisconsin (ESPN)
9:00 (Fri) - San Diego State at #13 Stanford (FS1)

NOON - Oregon State at #3 Ohio State (ABC)
NOON - Florida Atlantic at #6 Oklahoma (FOX)
NOON - Ole Miss vs. Texas Tech @Houston (ESPN)
NOON - #20 Texas at Maryland (FS1)
3:30 - #7 Washington vs. #11 Auburn @ Atlanta (ABC)
3:30 - #17 West Virginia vs. Tennessee (CBS)
3:30 - Appalachian State at #9 Penn State (BTN)
4:00 - North Carolina at California (FOX)
4:00 - UNLV at #18 USC (P12)
6:00 - #19 Boise State at Troy (NEWS)
7:30 - #12 Michigan at #14 Notre Dame (NBC)
8:00 - #1 Alabama vs. Louisville @ Orlando (ABC)
8:00 - Bowling Green at #25 Oregon (P12)
10:45 - BYU at Arizona (ESPN)

7:30 (Sun) - #8 Miami vs. #23 LSU @ Dallas (ABC)

8:00 (Mon) - #15 Virginia Tech at #22 Florida State (ABC)
Title: Re: 2018 Look Ahead: Week 1
Post by: SFBadger96 on June 18, 2018, 01:37:11 PM
That's a good opening weekend. A sleeper: San Diego State upset Stanford last year.
Title: Re: 2018 Look Ahead: Week 1
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on June 18, 2018, 02:21:56 PM
Really looking forward to that NU/PU matchup. 

Year 2 of Brohm, but not sure if Blough (ankle) or Sindelar (ACL) will be the healthiest QB and available to start. We'll have to see if Brohm can pull it together with a defense that lost a lot of experience, and an offense that should be solid at every position but WR, and yet is integrating the young WRs with QBs that may be limited in fall practice...

And on the other side, Thorson is probably not that likely to play, as his ACL occurred later than Sindelar's, so we don't know what NU will be rolling out at QB.
Title: Re: 2018 Look Ahead: Week 1
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on June 18, 2018, 02:47:06 PM

Oh wow. There are a lot of good games for me to watch, in addition to Nuts vs Beavers


Title: Re: 2018 Look Ahead: Week 1
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on June 18, 2018, 05:34:02 PM
7:30 (Sun) - #8 Miami vs. #23 LSU @ Dallas (ABC)
Shouldn't this be included in "ranked matchups"?
I really like this slate for opening weekend.  Nearly a third (8 of 25) ranked teams are playing other ranked teams.  
In addition, looking through the rest of the "Other Top 25 Games", I sort-of assume that the ranked team will probably win but there are a few that stand out where that is far from automatic:

Should be some fun games!
Title: Re: 2018 Look Ahead: Week 1
Post by: ELA on June 18, 2018, 06:08:18 PM
Shouldn't this be included in "ranked matchups"?
I really like this slate for opening weekend.  Nearly a third (8 of 25) ranked teams are playing other ranked teams.  
In addition, looking through the rest of the "Other Top 25 Games", I sort-of assume that the ranked team will probably win but there are a few that stand out where that is far from automatic:
  • Stanford vs SDSU:  As SFBadger points out, SDSU won last year.  
  • Texas at Maryland:  Maryland won last year.  
  • WVU vs Tennessee:  WVU is the "ranked" team but Tennesse isn't chopped liver.  
  • BAMA vs Louisville:  Obviously Bama should win but Louisville isn't a complete nobody.  

Should be some fun games!
Yeah, I assumed LSU was unranked, then noticed they were ranked, added it in, but forgot to move the game.  Good catch.
Only downside is how many of these games are being played off campus
Title: Re: 2018 Look Ahead: Week 1
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 18, 2018, 06:56:36 PM
Off-campus games definitely suck, therefore, all Miami games suck. So there's that.


I do like the slate. Gonna learn quite a lot about quite a few teams on the first weekend. I wish mine was one of them.
Title: Re: 2018 Look Ahead: Week 1
Post by: Cincydawg on June 18, 2018, 07:13:48 PM
Did you overlook Austin Peay at UGA?
Title: Re: 2018 Look Ahead: Week 1
Post by: ELA on June 18, 2018, 08:21:08 PM
Did you overlook Austin Peay at UGA?
No I said I was skipping FCS games
Title: Re: 2018 Look Ahead: Week 1
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on June 18, 2018, 10:02:32 PM
Michigan-Notre Dame should play every year.  Just like Texas-Texas A&M, Pitt-Penn St, Nebraska-Oklahoma, Florida-Miami, etc.

Miami vs LSU is great - two recognizable helmets you never see on the same field.  
Title: Re: 2018 Look Ahead: Week 1
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on June 18, 2018, 10:21:32 PM
Aren't Michigan and Notre Dame planning on playing every year? Or is that just wishful thinking? 
Title: Re: 2018 Look Ahead: Week 1
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on June 18, 2018, 10:29:23 PM
  • WVU vs Tennessee:  WVU is the "ranked" team but Tennesse isn't chopped liver.    
Tennesse is, most assuredly, chopped liver.  :72:
Title: Re: 2018 Look Ahead: Week 1
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 19, 2018, 06:52:09 AM
Michigan-Notre Dame should play every year. 
Michigan State should play Notre Dame every year.
Title: Re: 2018 Look Ahead: Week 1
Post by: ELA on June 19, 2018, 08:01:22 AM
Michigan State should play Notre Dame every year.
MSU, UM and Purdue all should.
Title: Re: 2018 Look Ahead: Week 1
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 19, 2018, 09:57:00 AM
Purdue more so than Michigan, in my opinion, due to longevity and consistency.

MSU has 73 games with ND, and several with a lot of meaning to them.
Purdue has 83 games, but a little more lopsided in ND's favor.

Michigan has 36 games with ND, but only 7 before 1980.

UW plays them in 2020 and 2021, in NFL stadia. Ugh.
Title: Re: 2018 Look Ahead: Week 1
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on June 19, 2018, 10:00:39 AM
Tennesse is, most assuredly, chopped liver.  :72:
LoL.  I understand they are a rival and they haven't been good lately but they still are not an "average" unranked team.  I would give Tennessee at least a 25% chance of winning that game without bothering to research either team, just based on the types of recruiting classes that Tennesse brings in.  
Title: Re: 2018 Look Ahead: Week 1
Post by: ELA on June 19, 2018, 10:56:06 AM
LoL.  I understand they are a rival and they haven't been good lately but they still are not an "average" unranked team.  I would give Tennessee at least a 25% chance of winning that game without bothering to research either team, just based on the types of recruiting classes that Tennesse brings in.  
Tennessee is quite bad.  Tennessee has a better chance of bouncing back over the next couple years over other P5 teams of comparable value this year, but that doesn't really change who is on the roster this year.  I had them slotted #73 in my countdown.  One spot below Buffalo.
Title: Re: 2018 Look Ahead: Week 1
Post by: Cincydawg on June 19, 2018, 12:49:43 PM
No I said I was skipping FCS games
They should be noted to embarrass the teams.
Title: Re: 2018 Look Ahead: Week 1
Post by: LittlePig on June 20, 2018, 09:22:57 AM
I think I saw both NIU and Iowa ranked in the top 40 in preseason polls, which makes their matchup mildly interesting.  The winner can lay claim to the #36 spot in the polls :)
Title: Re: 2018 Look Ahead: Week 1
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on June 20, 2018, 09:59:10 AM
Purdue more so than Michigan, in my opinion, due to longevity and consistency.

MSU has 73 games with ND, and several with a lot of meaning to them.
Purdue has 83 games, but a little more lopsided in ND's favor.

Michigan has 36 games with ND, but only 7 before 1980.

UW plays them in 2020 and 2021, in NFL stadia. Ugh.
To expand on badge's point a little bit:
Purdue is ND's third most frequent opponent and ND is Purdue's fourth most frequent (most frequent non-conference by far) opponent.  The weakness is that the series is somewhat lopsided in favor of Notre Dame with the Irish holding a 0.687 winning percentage with a record of 56-25-2.  
Michigan State is ND's fourth most frequent opponent and ND is MSU's second most frequent (most frequent non-conference by far) opponent.  The Irish hold a 0.610 winning percentage with a record of 44-28-1 (the one tie is a doozie in CFB history).  
Michigan is ND's eighth most frequent opponent and ND is Michigan's tenth most frequent (most frequent non-conference by far) opponent.  The Wolverines hold a 0.551 winning percentage with a record of 21-17-1.  
FWIW, ND's most frequent opponents are:
Title: Re: 2018 Look Ahead: Week 1
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on June 20, 2018, 10:07:44 AM
As a fan of none of the four teams involved, I enjoy the ND-Big Ten rivalries in the following order.

1. Michigan - Helmet vs Helmet, National cache. It's the game that really gets the CFB season going, imo. Glad it's back. 
2. Purdue - I like in-State rivalries.
3. Michigan State - Meh. Noteworthy when Sparty wins, I suppose, but no more so than any other non-Helmet taking down a Helmet. 
Title: Re: 2018 Look Ahead: Week 1
Post by: bayareabadger on June 21, 2018, 10:38:28 AM
Navy Hawaii at 11? Oh no.

Of the games that the system missed, a few other interesting ones depending on taste.

Duke-Army
Colorado af Colorado State
Maybe Iowa-NIU
Title: Re: 2018 Look Ahead: Week 1
Post by: CatsbyAZ on June 23, 2018, 01:37:29 PM
Anyone going to the Northwestern @ Purdue on that opening Thursday? If I can swing work in Indianapolis that week I’ll see if I can make the drive up to W Lafayette. If not will be the first game I watch this season.
Title: Re: 2018 Look Ahead: Week 1
Post by: MarqHusker on July 16, 2018, 10:18:37 PM
I should look into this NW@Purdue game.