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The Power Five => Big Ten => Topic started by: LittlePig on November 15, 2023, 07:23:59 PM

Title: Big Ten Bowl Elligibility before Week 12
Post by: LittlePig on November 15, 2023, 07:23:59 PM
There are now 6 teams that are Bowl elligible.  Mich 10-0,  OSU 10-0,  PSU 8-2, Iowa 8-2,  Rut 6-4,  MD 6-4.

3 teams are eliminated PUR 3-7,  MSU 3-7, Ind 3-7

There are 5 teams that are 5-5 and need 1 win to be bowl elligible:  Neb, Wisc, Minn, NW,  ILL

So at least 2 more teams are guarunteed to be bowl elligible,  the winner of Neb-Wisc,  the winner of Wisc-Minn,  and the winner of NW-ILL.

It is still possible for as many as 11 teams to be bowl elligible,  but I guessing it will be more like 9 teams. 
Title: Re: Big Ten Bowl Elligibility before Week 12
Post by: Cincydawg on November 16, 2023, 06:56:08 AM
I think we'll have a lot of 5 win teams bowling this year, more than normal.
Title: Re: Big Ten Bowl Elligibility before Week 12
Post by: LittlePig on November 16, 2023, 07:35:03 AM
I think we'll have a lot of 5 win teams bowling this year, more than normal.
Yes, current projections are there will be 78 out of 82 spots filled before going to teams with 5 wins.  So that suggests about 4 teams get in with 5 wins. 

If it comes to that,  NW, Wisc and Minn are in the best shape to make a bowl with 5 wins since it's based on APR rankings.  Below I found this list are some APR rankings of border-line teams.  Some of these may already have 6 wins.

Northwestern 996
Wisconsin 996
Cincinnati 994
Minnesota 992
Wake Forest 992
Boise State 988
Rice 987
Mississippi State 985
Central Florida 984
South Carolina 983
Michigan State 982
Stanford 982
Ball State 980
Baylor 980

I don't see Neb, ILL, Ind, or Purdue on this list I guess I can look it up.

MSU 982
Ind 976
PUR 974
Neb 969
ILL 962

I don't see MSU, Ind, PUR, Neb or ILL getting in with only 5 wins.

Neb and ILL can still win 6 games but I think MSU, Ind and Purdue are screwed even if they get to 5 wins. 


Title: Re: Big Ten Bowl Elligibility before Week 12
Post by: ELA on November 16, 2023, 08:06:00 AM
Yes, current projections are there will be 78 out of 82 spots filled before going to teams with 5 wins.  So that suggests about 4 teams get in with 5 wins. 
Does that include JMU and JSU?
Title: Re: Big Ten Bowl Elligibility before Week 12
Post by: LittlePig on November 16, 2023, 09:08:23 AM
Does that include JMU and JSU?
Yup,  76 without JMU and JSU.  78 with them

Of course a lot can change in the next 2 weeks.  I think technically 93 teams still have a chance to be bowl elligible.  78 is just a best guess at this point.
Title: Re: Big Ten Bowl Elligibility before Week 12
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on November 16, 2023, 09:19:21 AM
Yup,  76 without JMU and JSU.  78 with them

Of course a lot can change in the next 2 weeks.  I think technically 93 teams still have a chance to be bowl elligible.  78 is just a best guess at this point.
Apparently JMU and JSU were denied.
Title: Re: Big Ten Bowl Elligibility before Week 12
Post by: ELA on November 16, 2023, 09:46:54 AM
Apparently JMU and JSU were denied.
But they would still jump any 5-7 teams
Title: Re: Big Ten Bowl Elligibility before Week 12
Post by: 847badgerfan on November 16, 2023, 10:01:13 AM
Fill in the blank:

For the first time since 2001, _________________ will not have a winning record.
Title: Re: Big Ten Bowl Elligibility before Week 12
Post by: LittlePig on November 16, 2023, 01:37:59 PM
Fill in the blank:

For the first time since 2001, _________________ will not have a winning record.
I was going to guess Boise St or App St but I see they have not clinched a losing record. 

Idk,  Arkansas or Stanford? 
Title: Re: Big Ten Bowl Elligibility before Week 12
Post by: 847badgerfan on November 16, 2023, 01:55:05 PM
Wisconsin.
Title: Re: Big Ten Bowl Elligibility before Week 12
Post by: LittlePig on November 16, 2023, 02:00:08 PM
Wisconsin.
Oh,  you already have them losing their last 2 games I guess :)
Title: Re: Big Ten Bowl Elligibility before Week 12
Post by: 847badgerfan on November 16, 2023, 02:02:37 PM
Yep.
Title: Re: Big Ten Bowl Elligibility before Week 12
Post by: FearlessF on November 16, 2023, 06:41:12 PM
I'm just hoping for a badger loss this saturday
Title: Re: Big Ten Bowl Elligibility before Week 12
Post by: LittlePig on November 16, 2023, 06:49:01 PM
I'm just hoping for a badger loss this saturday
You know if Iowa loses to ILL Sat afternoon,  then Nebraska will go into the Wisc game Sat night in control of its own destiny in the Big Ten West Race.

Of course if Iowa beats ILL first,  then Neb and Wisc can still play their game to clinch bowl elligibility.
Title: Re: Big Ten Bowl Elligibility before Week 12
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on November 16, 2023, 07:10:25 PM
You know if Iowa loses to ILL Sat afternoon,  then Nebraska will go into the Wisc game Sat night in control of its own destiny in the Big Ten West Race.

Of course if Iowa beats ILL first,  then Neb and Wisc can still play their game to clinch bowl elligibility.
The above is only correct if Ohio State beats Minnesota. 

If Minnesota somehow beats Ohio State then Nebraska would need two wins AND a Minnesota loss even after IL>IA.
Title: Re: Big Ten Bowl Elligibility before Week 12
Post by: LittlePig on November 16, 2023, 07:31:56 PM
The above is only correct if Ohio State beats Minnesota.

If Minnesota somehow beats Ohio State then Nebraska would need two wins AND a Minnesota loss even after IL>IA.
good catch.  I guess the key is by Sat Night,  if everything falls into place, Neb could be in control of its own destiny.
Title: Re: Big Ten Bowl Elligibility before Week 12
Post by: FearlessF on November 16, 2023, 07:35:46 PM
Fingers crossed