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The Power Five => SEC => Topic started by: Cincydawg on October 24, 2023, 10:48:28 AM

Title: Week 9 SEC Games (whew!)
Post by: Cincydawg on October 24, 2023, 10:48:28 AM

Saturday, October 28, 2023

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Title: Re: Week 9 SEC Games (whew!)
Post by: MikeDeTiger on October 24, 2023, 11:17:45 AM

My annual Cocktail Viewing Party with my UGA friend here is canceled again because he's decided some church thing he's doing is something he can't back out of.  Something about getting together Christmas toys and clothing for needy children.  Whatever.  What's more important here? 

It got canceled last year because my wife's grandpa died and we had to go to the funeral.  Which is where I wound up briefly in a Days Inn which should get its own Netflix show by the guy who made The Haunting of Hill House and The Haunting of Bly Manor. 

So really, this isn't even an annual Cocktail viewing party anymore.  I mean, if you miss two in a row, it's not an annual thing anymore. 

So I'll be stuck watching Texas and BYU with said wife, which is on at the same time. 

Lame.  

Title: Re: Week 9 SEC Games (whew!)
Post by: Cincydawg on October 24, 2023, 06:56:38 PM

My terrible guesses, hoping I'm wrong on at least one of them:

A&M  41  USCe  31

MSU  27  Auburn  20

Kentucky 34  Tennessee 31

Ole Miss 38  Vandy 13

Florida 27  UGA  20

Title: Re: Week 9 SEC Games (whew!)
Post by: MikeDeTiger on October 24, 2023, 08:03:28 PM

I'm sure I can't do better, but that won't stop me from arguing anyway. 

I don't see a way for MSU to score 27 on Auburn.  Or air. 

Why pick against UGA?  Bower being out? 

Title: Re: Week 9 SEC Games (whew!)
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on October 25, 2023, 02:14:15 AM

UGA knows that no matter how good they are, all bets are off vs the Mighty Gators.  
We have an offense that can run AND pass!  Wow!  But our defense is crap salad, so idk.

Florida is the last team to beat the Dawgs in the regular season (2020), so why not bookend that this weekend?!?

Title: Re: Week 9 SEC Games (whew!)
Post by: Cincydawg on October 25, 2023, 06:16:45 AM

I had been thinking UGA minus Bowers is a 9-3 kind of team this season.  The Gators have bee playing decently on offense and can potentially outscore the Dawgs.

And it's a feeling, a Larry Munson kind of feeling.  The Dawgs lose a fumble and have 2 INTs and the Gators just beat'em.

Title: Re: Week 9 SEC Games (whew!)
Post by: MikeDeTiger on October 26, 2023, 11:17:45 AM

The bye week has scored zero points against us all-time, but this unit is bad enough that I think Bye can put up 21 at least.  

Title: Re: Week 9 SEC Games (whew!)
Post by: MikeDeTiger on October 26, 2023, 11:33:54 PM

Quote from: Cincydawg on October 25, 2023, 06:16:45 AM

I had been thinking UGA minus Bowers is a 9-3 kind of team this season.  The Gators have bee playing decently on offense and can potentially outscore the Dawgs.

And it's a feeling, a Larry Munson kind of feeling.  The Dawgs lose a fumble and have 2 INTs and the Gators just beat'em.

I'm taking UGA and the 14.5 points.  

Title: Re: Week 9 SEC Games (whew!)
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on October 27, 2023, 12:09:45 AM

I honestly just want Etienne to get more than 8 carries a game.  Florida has been doing DCs a favor all year.  It's criminal.  And put Etienne and Wilson on the field at the same time.  Fer christ sakes!

Florida should not win.  We're 5-2, prob should be 4-3.  Our OL can't pass-block.  Our D doesn't know what it's doing.  

We're 5-2 and still play UGA, FSU, Mizzou, and LSU.  

Title: Re: Week 9 SEC Games (whew!)
Post by: Cincydawg on October 27, 2023, 07:04:12 AM

I warched (briefly) some you tibe videos of folks "analyzing" this game.  They all seem to think UGA wins handily but might not cover.  I realize of course these "experts" are mostly guessers, going with the odds, etc.  Some of them publish their results of predictions ATS and they are nearly all at 50% or so.

And any "expert" could can beat the spread consistently won't be on u tube.

Anyway, it's all for fun.

Title: Re: Week 9 SEC Games (whew!)
Post by: EastAthens on October 27, 2023, 09:53:57 AM

I think Napier is a good coach and on the right track but he hasn't had the time to get the guys to stand up to the UGA lines. I think, barring a 4 TO trainwreck, the Dawgs win handily.

Dawgs 31-Stinkin' Gators 10.

I like UK to upset the Vols afterr the Tide beats them rwice.

Chalk on every other SEC game.

Utah getting a td at home seems like easy money but that just means stay away from that game, the books are professionals for a reason. Ducks by 10.  Go Bo!

None of the other games this week are particularly appealing to me.

Title: Re: Week 9 SEC Games (whew!)
Post by: jgvol on October 27, 2023, 10:10:31 AM

(https://i.imgur.com/vihB9W2.png)

Title: Re: Week 9 SEC Games (whew!)
Post by: MikeDeTiger on October 27, 2023, 02:25:55 PM

Quote from: EastAthens on October 27, 2023, 09:53:57 AM

Utah getting a td at home seems like easy money but that just means stay away from that game, the books are professionals for a reason. Ducks by 10.  Go Bo!

If Utah wins this weekend Whittingham should be coach of the year. 

Title: Re: Week 9 SEC Games (whew!)
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on October 28, 2023, 06:15:36 PM

Florida will be very good in 2 years if Napier is allowed to stay the course.
#3 recruiting class for 2024, then give them a year to get their feet wet. 

Current talented youngsters will be JRs and SRs.  That 2025 team will be a force.

Title: Re: Week 9 SEC Games (whew!)
Post by: Cincydawg on October 28, 2023, 06:26:14 PM

UGA might be pretty good in a couple years. 

Title: Re: Week 9 SEC Games (whew!)
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on October 28, 2023, 07:17:30 PM

Anyone saying UGA isn't great this year just doesn't understand or watched them the past few years.

They tend to play to the opponent, which is normally a bad thing, because you MIGHT not get up for that good team.  But UGA simply doesn't play the same against Whatever State as it does vs Alabama or a Michigan. 

They get up for those opponents every time.  

Title: Re: Week 9 SEC Games (whew!)
Post by: MikeDeTiger on October 28, 2023, 09:34:03 PM

In a couple of years I heard we might field a defense. 

Title: Re: Week 9 SEC Games (whew!)
Post by: Cincydawg on October 29, 2023, 08:15:42 AM

Quote from: Cincydawg on October 24, 2023, 06:56:38 PM

A&M  41  USCe  31

MSU  27  Auburn  20

Kentucky 34  Tennessee 31

Ole Miss 38  Vandy 13

Florida 27  UGA  20

Wow, I missed quite a few, again.  And the two I got right were easiest to pick.  It's good to be wrong in such cases.

UK put up a fight but couldn't close.  The Vols looked pretty decent.  I somehow figured UGA would be flat and have TOs, not the case.

Title: Re: Week 9 SEC Games (whew!)
Post by: jgvol on October 29, 2023, 10:12:36 AM

Quote from: Cincydawg on October 29, 2023, 08:15:42 AM

Wow, I missed quite a few, again.  And the two I got right were easiest to pick.  It's good to be wrong in such cases.

UK put up a fight but couldn't close.  The Vols looked pretty decent.  I somehow figured UGA would be flat and have TOs, not the case.

Told you last year…..UT doesn’t lose to UK.  

Title: Re: Week 9 SEC Games (whew!)
Post by: MikeDeTiger on October 29, 2023, 06:24:44 PM

I don't think UGA can be flat against Florida.  

Title: Re: Week 9 SEC Games (whew!)
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on October 29, 2023, 08:57:44 PM

Quote from: MikeDeTiger on October 29, 2023, 06:24:44 PM

I don't think UGA can be flat against Florida. 

Well shit.

Title: Re: Week 9 SEC Games (whew!)
Post by: EastAthens on October 30, 2023, 07:17:30 AM

Quote from: EastAthens on October 27, 2023, 09:53:57 AM

I think Napier is a good coach and on the right track but he hasn't had the time to get the guys to stand up to the UGA lines. I think, barring a 4 TO trainwreck, the Dawgs win handily.

Dawgs 31-Stinkin' Gators 10.

I like UK to upset the Vols afterr the Tide beats them rwice.

Chalk on every other SEC game.

Utah getting a td at home seems like easy money but that just means stay away from that game, the books are professionals for a reason. Ducks by 10.  Go Bo!

None of the other games this week are particularly appealing to me.

This wasn't bad but I was wrong on UT.  I never saw Milton playing like that on the road. Not looking forward to Neyland in the cold with a baby qb.

Title: Re: Week 9 SEC Games (whew!)
Post by: Cincydawg on October 30, 2023, 08:14:45 AM

Obviously getting Ladd back was a huge bonus, I hope he can stay healthy.  I think he was a 3 star back in the day, he certainly plays at a high level.

I have more confidence in the Dawgs at this point with the next two home games, though they obviously could lose them.  Neyland will be a big ask.  A lot of these games come down to random events like TOs.

Florida has self destructed of late against UGA resulting in a very sudden melt down.

Title: Re: Week 9 SEC Games (whew!)
Post by: MikeDeTiger on October 30, 2023, 11:33:35 AM

Aaron Murray has been mighty stout in his picks and game assessments.  Been watching his podcast he does with our former guy this season, and he hasn't been wrong much.  He said UGA wouldn't "improve" per se without Bowers, but would become more explosive at times due to Beck being forced to use other weapons with his security blanket gone, plus the return of a healthy McConkey.  By that point I had quit doubting him, which is why I picked the Dawgs to win handily.  It once again played out pretty well like he said.