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The Power Five => SEC => Topic started by: Cincydawg on September 25, 2023, 05:21:41 AM

Title: Week 5 Games of Note, all conference games now
Post by: Cincydawg on September 25, 2023, 05:21:41 AM
Saturday, September 30, 2023

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Title: Re: Week 5 Games of Note, all conference games now
Post by: gymvol on September 25, 2023, 09:28:16 AM


We'll get an idea if TN is going to lose 3 or 4 in a row after Saturday.
Title: Re: Week 5 Games of Note, all conference games now
Post by: jgvol on September 25, 2023, 11:53:59 AM

We'll get an idea if TN is going to lose 3 or 4 in a row after Saturday.

How in the hell did TN open as a 11-1/2 pt favorite?
Title: Re: Week 5 Games of Note, all conference games now
Post by: gymvol on September 25, 2023, 02:30:05 PM
How in the hell did TN open as a 11-1/2 pt favorite?


So, the odds makers could make money. People will bet with their allegiance more often than with good sense. 

It will be down to five by Saturday. 
Title: Re: Week 5 Games of Note, all conference games now
Post by: Cincydawg on September 25, 2023, 06:24:35 PM
South Carolina vs Tennessee Odds, Betting Trends, and Line Movements - 09/25/2023 (vegasinsider.com) (https://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/matchups/south-carolina-vs-tennessee/)

I've never seen a line shift by more than a few points.  It could drop to 9 or 10 maybe depending on betting trends.
Title: Re: Week 5 Games of Note, all conference games now
Post by: Cincydawg on September 26, 2023, 08:18:55 AM
Guesses ...

ATM  34  Arky 27

UF 27  UK 16

UGA 34  Aubbie  20

Mizzou 38  Vandy 19

Ole Miss 28  LSU 26

Tenn 31  USCe  27

Bama 20  MSU  13
Title: Re: Week 5 Games of Note, all conference games now
Post by: gymvol on September 26, 2023, 04:13:40 PM


I think there will be some surprises this week, KY at home beats the Gators , Arkansas at home beats A&M and South Carolina upsets UT in Knoxville. 

Rattler will have another Heisman game against the TN secondary.  TN doesn't have the passing game Miss State had last week so they can't keep up matching score for score. 
Title: Re: Week 5 Games of Note, all conference games now
Post by: utee94 on September 27, 2023, 04:55:31 PM

I think there will be some surprises this week, KY at home beats the Gators , Arkansas at home beats A&M and South Carolina upsets UT in Knoxville.

Rattler will have another Heisman game against the TN secondary.  TN doesn't have the passing game Miss State had last week so they can't keep up matching score for score.

Pigs and Ags play in JerryWorld again this year.  But I think this might be the last year of that contract...?
Title: Re: Week 5 Games of Note, all conference games now
Post by: just1hog on September 28, 2023, 06:52:15 AM
Pigs and Ags play in JerryWorld again this year.  But I think this might be the last year of that contract...?

One more year

https://www.si.com/college/tamu/football/texas-aggies-southwest-classic-matchup-arkansas-razorbacks-sec-changes-offseason

Title: Re: Week 5 Games of Note, all conference games now
Post by: Cincydawg on September 28, 2023, 09:09:29 AM
At least the games are interesting and several upsets are very possible.  I see UGA is a 2 TD favorite on the road, I'd take the points.
Title: Re: Week 5 Games of Note, all conference games now
Post by: utee94 on September 28, 2023, 05:34:51 PM
One more year

https://www.si.com/college/tamu/football/texas-aggies-southwest-classic-matchup-arkansas-razorbacks-sec-changes-offseason


There ya have it, next year will be the last one.

The ags' starting QB Conner Weigman is out for the game, and rumors are that he's out for the season, so we'll see what they're able to do against the hogs with their backup.

Edit: Apparently no longer rumors, all the major news outlets have run the story.  It sucks for the kid, I like him and think he's the real deal.  I hope he can have a full recovery with no lasting issues.
Title: Re: Week 5 Games of Note, all conference games now
Post by: Cincydawg on October 01, 2023, 07:48:39 AM
Guesses ...

ATM  34  Arky 27

UF 27  UK 16

UGA 34  Aubbie  20

Mizzou 38  Vandy 19

Ole Miss 28  LSU 26

Tenn 31  USCe  27

Bama 20  MSU  13
Guesses were a bit better, I missed UF-UK of course.  I got close on the Mizzou win (38-21).  The Ole MIss game of course was a twelver.  
Title: Re: Week 5 Games of Note, all conference games now
Post by: MikeDeTiger on October 01, 2023, 03:02:41 PM
I thought the 2020 defense was the worst it could be.  I was wrong. 

Word is DC Matt House is one of several candidates for the Mich. St. job.  I will help him pack, if need be, and he needs to take Cooks, Steeples, Jancek and whoever is pretending to coach outside linebackers with him. 

I didn't see this coming, but I've come to think this is the best offense in the SEC and possibly the country--definitely one of the best--and they're going to sadly be wasted by the worst defense in BR since the Curly Hallman years.  They probably only need a top 50, maybe top 40 defense and they would probably beat anyone on a given day.  Unfortunately, out of 130 FBS teams we're well below 100.  They're soft, don't cover, and can't tackle.  The offense will have to score tds every 9 out of 10 or 11 drives, and that isn't feasible even though they're tremendous.  
Title: Re: Week 5 Games of Note, all conference games now
Post by: Gigem on October 01, 2023, 04:40:05 PM
A&M -Ark was not nearly as close as the score shows. They had a pick 6 and a couple fumble recoveries but otherwise could not move the ball well at all. Should have been 45-6, but still happy for the win. 
Title: Re: Week 5 Games of Note, all conference games now
Post by: MikeDeTiger on October 01, 2023, 04:46:56 PM
A&M -Ark was not nearly as close as the score shows. They had a pick 6 and a couple fumble recoveries but otherwise could not move the ball well at all. Should have been 45-6, but still happy for the win.

Max Johnson looked good in the half I watched.  I was happy for him.  I wondered if this could wind up being addition by subtraction for the Ags. 
Title: Re: Week 5 Games of Note, all conference games now
Post by: utee94 on October 03, 2023, 03:27:25 PM
Max Johnson looked good in the half I watched.  I was happy for him.  I wondered if this could wind up being addition by subtraction for the Ags.
I think Weigman was still the better QB but Johnson is certainly playing well in substitution.  I still see some major problems with the ag oline and RBs, they'll need a better and more consistent run game to handle the more powerful SEC teams, like Alabama this week.  Still, they've managed to keep it together despite the bad luck and that's a real positive.