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The Power Five => SEC => Topic started by: ALA2262 on April 17, 2018, 08:17:20 PM

Title: O/U Win Totals for 2018
Post by: ALA2262 on April 17, 2018, 08:17:20 PM
Bama - 10.5 

UGA - 10.5 

Auburn - 9 

MSU - 8 

LSU - 7.5 

A&M - 7 

USC - 7 

UF - 7 

Mizzou - 6.5 

UK - 6 

Ole Miss - 6 

ut - 5.5 

ARK - 5.5 

Vandy - 5 

https://www.betdsi.eu/sportsbook-bet...ootball-props/ (https://www.betdsi.eu/sportsbook-betting/college-football-odds/college-football-props/)
Title: Re: O/U Win Totals for 2018
Post by: Cincydawg on April 18, 2018, 08:01:18 AM
This is regular season, right?
Title: Re: O/U Win Totals for 2018
Post by: ALA2262 on April 18, 2018, 08:58:37 AM
This is regular season, right?
Yes. See link for odds and info.
Title: Re: O/U Win Totals for 2018
Post by: Cincydawg on April 18, 2018, 10:40:53 AM
Bama - 10.5

UGA - 10.5

Auburn - 9

MSU - 8

LSU - 7.5

A&M - 7

USC - 7

UF - 7

Mizzou - 6.5

UK - 6

Ole Miss - 6

ut - 5.5

ARK - 5.5

Vandy - 5

https://www.betdsi.eu/sportsbook-bet...ootball-props/ (https://www.betdsi.eu/sportsbook-betting/college-football-odds/college-football-props/)
I think I like the OVER on Tennessee and South Carolina and the under on MSU and LSU.
Title: Re: O/U Win Totals for 2018
Post by: ALA2262 on April 18, 2018, 11:48:46 AM
I think I like the OVER on Tennessee and South Carolina and the under on MSU and LSU.
Would not expect any worse than a push on MSU. SDS thinks they win 10.
Can Mississippi State really win double-digit games in 2018? Easily
"Anybody under the impression that Mullen left the cupboard bare clearly hasn’t been paying attention. And anybody under the impression that Nick Fitzgerald is MSU’s entire team hasn’t been paying much attention, either."

https://www.saturdaydownsouth.com/mississippi-state-football/msu-win-double-digit-games-2018/



Then there is this from ESPN:

19. Mississippi State (http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/344/mississippi-state-bulldogs)
(https://www.cfb51.com/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Fa.espncdn.com%2Fcombiner%2Fi%3Fimg%3D%2Fi%2Fteamlogos%2Fncaa%2F500%2F344.png%3Fw%3D110%26amp%3Bh%3D110%26amp%3Btransparent%3Dtrue&hash=d9c21306924e4ef11feef8f5f0318080)Previous Way-Too-Early rank: 19
2017 record: 9-4, 4-4 SEC
Returning starters: Eight offense, eight defense, one special teams

Key losses: OT Martinas Rankin (http://www.espn.com/college-football/player/_/id/3894924/martinas-rankin), LB Dezmond Harris (http://www.espn.com/college-football/player/_/id/546615/dezmond-harris), CB Lashard Durr (http://www.espn.com/college-football/player/_/id/559675/lashard-durr), CB Tolando Cleveland (http://www.espn.com/college-football/player/_/id/546608/tolando-cleveland), P Logan Cooke (http://www.espn.com/college-football/player/_/id/559659/logan-cooke), WR Donald Gray (http://www.espn.com/college-football/player/_/id/3894916/donald-gray), WR Gabe Myles (http://www.espn.com/college-football/player/_/id/546607/gabe-myles)
Outlook: Moor cowbell? Former Penn State offensive coordinator Joe Moorhead takes over for Dan Mullen, who left to become Florida's new coach. Moorhead helped Penn State's offense rank among the best in the FBS, and he might have similar success in Year 1 if quarterback Nick Fitzgerald (http://www.espn.com/college-football/player/_/id/558337/nick-fitzgerald) returns from the broken ankle he suffered in the Egg Bowl.
Moorhead's coaching staff includes former Tennessee defensive coordinator Bob Shoop, who inherits a much-improved unit that brings back all but three starters, including both cornerbacks. Former Green Bay Packers receivers coach Luke Getsy is MSU's offensive coordinator, and former Louisiana-Lafayette coach Mark Hudspeth was hired as associate head coach.
The Bulldogs play a nonconference game at Kansas State and SEC road games at LSU, Alabama and Ole Miss next season.
http://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/22111038/clemson-tigers-overtake-alabama-crimson-tide-no-1-way-too-early-2018-top-25







Title: Re: O/U Win Totals for 2018
Post by: 847badgerfan on April 18, 2018, 04:29:03 PM
I think I like the OVER on Tennessee and South Carolina and the under on MSU and LSU.
I think Pruitt is going to need more time to get 6 or more wins. Schedule is kinda tough this year.

LSU.. can Orgeron survive a 7 win season?
Title: Re: O/U Win Totals for 2018
Post by: bamajoe on April 18, 2018, 06:15:41 PM
Tennessee will have an extremely hard time going over 5.5. They get West Virginia OOC and Alabama and Auburn from the West. Most people think South Carolina, Florida and Missouri are all going to be better. They won't beat Georgia. They do get a couple directional schools.
Where are the six wins coming from? We really need Crunch for this exercise.
Title: Re: O/U Win Totals for 2018
Post by: Cincydawg on April 18, 2018, 06:48:03 PM
Tenn has three OOC pastries.  Then there is UK and Vandy and one between UF/Mizzou/USC.

That is a bit thin to expect though, so perhaps I should revise my thoughts, again.
Title: Re: O/U Win Totals for 2018
Post by: Cincydawg on April 19, 2018, 07:19:08 AM
UGA at 10.5 is interesting.  Will they go 11-1?  Possibly of course, but they play at South Carolina and LSU and host Auburn, all very loseable games.  I'd lean to 10-2.  And of course they can always lose to Florida.  MIzzou might be dangerous.

Title: Re: O/U Win Totals for 2018
Post by: ALA2262 on April 19, 2018, 09:34:40 AM
Tennessee will have an extremely hard time going over 5.5. They get West Virginia OOC and Alabama and Auburn from the West. Most people think South Carolina, Florida and Missouri are all going to be better. They won't beat Georgia. They do get a couple directional schools.
Where are the six wins coming from? We really need Crunch for this exercise.
(https://www.cfb51.com/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Frolltidebama.com%2Fforum%2Fstyles%2Fdefault%2Fxenforo%2Fsmilies%2Frofl.gif&hash=9c629e778a588256eede11e8fe5a1958)  He would have them over 11.5. 15-0! Ship!
Title: Re: O/U Win Totals for 2018
Post by: Nashville4UGA on April 20, 2018, 05:58:12 PM
Tough to predict this year with all of the new coaches in the league now, but here is my first shot at it not really knowing what each team returns.

Bama - 10.5  -Over-I just don't see any games on their schedule right now where they shouldn't be favored heavily.


UGA - 10.5- Right now I'd say the over, there are a few teams that could sneak up. At South Carolina and Missouri early could be a bit  of a challenge. Especially with both teams having experienced QB's. At LSU could be really tough. Auburn will be a tough game, but it's at home.

Auburn - 9 -No idea.  I could see them at 8-4 or 10-2.

MSU - 8 --Under--Schedule is too tough for them this year.

LSU - 7.5 --Over

A&M - 7 -Over

USC - 7 -Over, I think they get to 8 wins.

UF - 7 --under or even.

Mizzou - 6.5 under

UK - 6 -even

Ole Miss - 6 -Under

ut - 5.5 -under, I think they win 5 games. That schedule is brutal next year.

ARK - 5.5 under

Vandy - 5 -Under

https://www.betdsi.eu/sportsbook-bet...ootball-props/ (https://www.betdsi.eu/sportsbook-betting/college-football-odds/college-football-props/)
Title: Re: O/U Win Totals for 2018
Post by: rolltidefan on April 24, 2018, 04:35:33 PM
Bama - 10.5 - over (11-1)

UGA - 10.5 - over (11-1)

Auburn - 9 under (8-4) (5-3 sec)

MSU - 8 over (10-2)

LSU - 7.5 over (8-4, 5-3)

A&M - 7 under (6-6, 3-5)

USC - 7 over (9-3, 6-2)

UF - 7 over (8-4, 5-3)

Mizzou - 6.5 under (5-7, 2-6)

UK - 6 under (5-7)

Ole Miss - 6 under (5-7)

ut - 5.5 over (6-6, 3-5)

ARK - 5.5 over (8-4)

Vandy - 5 under (3-9, 0-8)

quick notes:

i have lsu beating both bama and uga as their only losses.

i think sec could have bad opening weekend with losses in the au/wash, lsu/miami, ole miss/texas tech, and tenn/wvu games.

think msu has a good chance to have great season. schedule sets up nice for them and they have a ton of experience coming back.

think usc could also have a good year, especially with uf and tenn still figuring it out and schedule is nice for them as well.
Title: Re: O/U Win Totals for 2018
Post by: MikeDeTiger on July 09, 2018, 06:14:15 PM
Bama - 10.5 - over (11-1)

UGA - 10.5 - over (11-1)

Auburn - 9 under (8-4) (5-3 sec)

MSU - 8 over (10-2)

LSU - 7.5 over (8-4, 5-3)

A&M - 7 under (6-6, 3-5)

USC - 7 over (9-3, 6-2)

UF - 7 over (8-4, 5-3)

Mizzou - 6.5 under (5-7, 2-6)

UK - 6 under (5-7)

Ole Miss - 6 under (5-7)

ut - 5.5 over (6-6, 3-5)

ARK - 5.5 over (8-4)

Vandy - 5 under (3-9, 0-8)
That's about where I am.  
LSU almost certainly loses to Bama, UGA, and AU, so they need to win vs. Miami to still feel comfortable about 8 wins (there's probably another unforeseen loss lurking somewhere).  But I think they will get Miami in week 1.  
I think Mizzou's QB is going to be good for a bump, so I'd take line or maybe over.  
Title: Re: O/U Win Totals for 2018
Post by: bamajoe on July 10, 2018, 11:00:40 AM
As much hype as SC is getting that betting site is not giving them much credit. I would think 7 and 5 would be very disappointing. I think it is about right though