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The Power Five => SEC => Topic started by: Cincydawg on November 01, 2022, 07:58:56 AM

Title: Week 10
Post by: Cincydawg on November 01, 2022, 07:58:56 AM: Eventful weekend apparently:

UK at Mizzou - I can see a hangover loss here, Mizzou isn't awful, UK isn't great, I'm going with the homers, 20-16, UK's season sort of evaporates.

UF at A&M - Wow, two programs headed in a bad direction, though the gators at least are trying to build, I'll go with A&M close, 30-27.

Tenn @ UGA - UGA an 8.5 point favorite, but the Vols seem able to score in bunchesm this probably hinges on TO margin, I'm leaning to the Vols on the road, 38-34.

Liberty @ Arky - When you schedule a pastry, find one that isn't ranked. Liberty 27 Arky 24

Bama at LSU - Key game of course, I think Bama has the horses if they don't have dumb plays, 34-24.

Auburn @ Miss State - Weird game, I'm going with Auburn for some reason 27-23.

USCe @ Vandy - Vandy is just bad, USCe is so so, USCe wins 34-17.
Title: Re: Week 10
Post by: MikeDeTiger on November 01, 2022, 11:10:57 AM: I thought UK might frustrate the Vols more and offer more resistance. They did that for about a quarter, and then the flood gates opened. Probably still pick them against Mizzou.

Objectively I favor Florida against A&M, but it's too weird to think of A&M dropping 5 straight. Can't get my brain around it.

UT/UGA.....I have no idea. Nothing would surprise me. Close nail-biter, or one team opens up a can on the other....all seems within the realm of likelihood.

Hard to imagine the Pigs losing a game like this at home, but I don't know anything about Liberty.

Bama @ LSU--"The Tide don't lose in Baton Rouge." Not since 2010, anyway.

Can't believe AU fired a coach halfway through year 2. This is a really different world than even 10 years ago.

USC/Vandy......meh.
Title: Re: Week 10
Post by: Cincydawg on November 02, 2022, 02:31:30 PM: Two things of note, perhaps:

Tennessee runs the ball really well.

Georgia can pass the ball pretty well also.
Title: Re: Week 10
Post by: Drew4UTk on November 02, 2022, 02:34:10 PM: Quote from: Cincydawg on November 02, 2022, 02:31:30 PM
Two things of note, perhaps:

Tennessee runs the ball really well.

Georgia can pass the ball pretty well also.

Hyatt has more TD receptions alone than all of UGA.
Title: Re: Week 10
Post by: Cincydawg on November 02, 2022, 02:49:49 PM: A perception is that the Dawgs mostly run the ball and rely on defense. An odd stat is that UGA has more pass attempts than Tennessee, 300 to 251. I bet few would expect that. The Vols have 26 passing TD to half that number for the Dawgs, which could be expected.

Two things tough to defend against UT is their balance on offense as well as the more obvious pace.

Two things tougher to defend against UGA is their tight ends and Bennett's ability to run (which Hooker has as well, probably better).

I think a lot of points get scored. I bet the winner has the better TO margin.
Title: Re: Week 10
Post by: MikeDeTiger on November 02, 2022, 03:04:32 PM: We haven't seen bamajoe or Ala-numbersguy since the Tennessee loss. I'm just saying.
Title: Re: Week 10
Post by: Drew4UTk on November 03, 2022, 12:52:25 PM: https://twitter.com/vo_ldemort/status/1588148200740978689?s=20&t=59QdsXT_elcJs6OD8vBsuQ
Title: Re: Week 10
Post by: Cincydawg on November 04, 2022, 06:56:02 AM: I was watching something else on youtube and the UGA-Tenn game followed as I was up and about and I watched into the 3rd. The Vols were clearly in that game, and then trailed, and had a 4th down on about the UGA 11 and it failed. They moved the ball pretty well overall on what was a top flight defense. They have a better offense this year and UGA has a weakened defense.

They are going to score a lot, a question is whether they score so much early it puts the Dawgs off their offensive plan needing to catch up. They might.
Title: Re: Week 10
Post by: Drew4UTk on November 04, 2022, 11:00:44 AM: I'm expecting what we saw in the bama game for UT/UGA...

UT will spread it out early, and UGA will romp back... like Mike, though, I also expect any kind of variation under the sun here... UGA could blow UT out... UT could blow UGA out.. it could be a nail biter... and it all comes down to mistakes.

I watched UT/UK again last night. UT was sloppy at least 1/2 the time. UGA will make them pay for that. When they weren't sloppy UK didn't have an answer- UGA will at least 75% of the time... if this game was scheduled as old tradition- first or second week of October, UT would win as they'd sneak up on them... after the bama game there will be no sneaking up in anyone.
Title: Re: Week 10
Post by: ALA2262 on November 04, 2022, 08:37:33 PM: Quote from: MikeDeTiger on November 02, 2022, 03:04:32 PM
We haven't seen bamajoe or Ala-numbersguy since the Tennessee loss. I'm just saying.
You don't see me much win or lose. Only 588 posts and one of the first to post on this board. I don't care for trash talk either way. Don't dish it out and don't care to listen to it.

If this goes back to the beginning, mine was the second post on the board.

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Title: Re: Week 10
Post by: Cincydawg on November 05, 2022, 10:03:13 AM: It's overcast here all day, and I presume in Athens as well. No rain likely.
Title: Re: Week 10
Post by: Cincydawg on November 05, 2022, 10:07:21 AM: I saw somewhere this is the highest ranked pairing every played in Sanford Stadium. In 1942, # 5 UGA played #2 Ga Tech (and won handily 34-0). They played #3 Alabama earlier at Grant Field for some reason in Atlanta (and won).
Title: Re: Week 10
Post by: Gigem on November 05, 2022, 10:59:44 AM: When it rains it pours. Apparently A&M has several players out with the flu. I know my wife had it earlier this week and it put her out of commission for several days.

I expect Florida to win this one handily. Like 35-10. Just too much wrong with this team all season.
Title: Re: Week 10
Post by: Gigem on November 05, 2022, 11:02:28 AM: I expect UGa to win easily. May not happen right away but by the 4th quarter they should be in control. UTenn is good, but UGa is elite.
Title: Re: Week 10
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on November 05, 2022, 11:40:37 AM: Quote from: Gigem on November 05, 2022, 10:59:44 AM
When it rains it pours. Apparently A&M has several players out with the flu. I know my wife had it earlier this week and it put her out of commission for several days.

I expect Florida to win this one handily. Like 35-10. Just too much wrong with this team all season.
Sweet!!!
Title: Re: Week 10
Post by: Gigem on November 05, 2022, 11:32:20 PM: Wow. LSU over Bama.

Does this make LSU 1st in the West? As I recall they have 2 losses, one ooc, and one to an East team.
Title: Re: Week 10
Post by: Drew4UTk on November 05, 2022, 11:36:45 PM: The way to beat bama is the same recipe as it has been- hang with them no matter how battered you are... the way to beat tennessee is, apparently, dont let them breath a simgle clean breath.
Title: Re: Week 10
Post by: Drew4UTk on November 05, 2022, 11:38:17 PM: Quote from: Gigem on November 05, 2022, 11:32:20 PM
Wow. LSU over Bama.

Does this make LSU 1st in the West? As I recall they have 2 losses, one ooc, and one to an East team.
Yup. They're undefeated in divisional play.
Title: Re: Week 10
Post by: Cincydawg on November 06, 2022, 07:05:15 AM: LSU has wins over their two competitors. They play @ Arky and @ A&M now and would need to lose both to miss the CG UNLESS Ole Miss also beats Bama. Ole Miss has Bama, @ Arky, and Miss State. If they both win out, LSU goes. If Bama beats OM, LSU could be no worse than 5-3 in conference. Alabama could sneak back into this in theory. And might. LSU seems like a team that could have a hangover.

LSU 5-1
Ole Miss 4-1
Bama 4-2 in conference

LSU has wins over both, and the loss is to Tenn from the East.

UGA plays @ Miss State and @ UK which by no means are guaranteed wins on the road, they could do a Missouri. But one win next week locks it for them.
Title: Re: Week 10
Post by: Cincydawg on November 06, 2022, 08:03:52 AM: Quote from: Cincydawg on November 01, 2022, 07:58:56 AM
UK at Mizzou - I can see a hangover loss here, Mizzou isn't awful, UK isn't great, I'm going with the homers, 20-16, UK's season sort of evaporates.

UF at A&M - Wow, two programs headed in a bad direction, though the gators at least are trying to build, I'll go with A&M close, 30-27.

Tenn @ UGA - UGA an 8.5 point favorite, but the Vols seem able to score in bunchesm this probably hinges on TO margin, I'm leaning to the Vols on the road, 38-34.

Liberty @ Arky - When you schedule a pastry, find one that isn't ranked. Liberty 27 Arky 24

Bama at LSU - Key game of course, I think Bama has the horses if they don't have dumb plays, 34-24.

Auburn @ Miss State - Weird game, I'm going with Auburn for some reason 27-23.

USCe @ Vandy - Vandy is just bad, USCe is so so, USCe wins 34-17.
UK edged Mizzou, missed that one. UF edged A&M missed that one. UGA beat Tenn, missed that one. Do I detect a trend?

I finally got Liberty over Arky close. Missed Bama of course, missed Auburn, got USCe at least, wow, really poor picks.:smiley_confused1:
Title: Re: Week 10
Post by: MikeDeTiger on November 07, 2022, 10:12:17 AM: Hey check it out....the team Orgeron drove off a cliff is in the driver's seat for the west!

All we gotta do is beat A&M and Arkansas, or if Ole Miss loses again, just beat one of them, and we win!

....and then...

...we'd be in Atlanta...

...to play......Georgia.....

gawddammit, Alabama. Even when we win, we lose.
Title: Re: Week 10
Post by: MikeDeTiger on November 07, 2022, 10:13:38 AM: Got my wires crossed in the top 10 matchups.

I thought UT @ UGA would be a good game and Bama @ LSU would be a laugher.

My nose sniffed correctly, I just got my colors mixed up.
Title: Re: Week 10
Post by: MikeDeTiger on November 07, 2022, 10:23:32 AM: Tennessee ran into a buzzsaw down in Athens. There wasn't a team in the country that was going to beat the Dawgs on that day.
Title: Re: Week 10
Post by: Cincydawg on November 07, 2022, 10:30:52 AM: LSu could give the Dawgs problems I think, if the Dawgs can get there.

UGA might play two games in a row in the MB Dome and 3 all year.
Title: Re: Week 10
Post by: MikeDeTiger on November 07, 2022, 10:50:53 AM: Saturday was LSU's highest achievable output, and it squeaked them by a team with some major problems. You could even consider the game "stolen" given that they went for 2, which is a good call when you're the less talented/deep team. The longer you draw it out the higher the chance that the superior team is going to win. Flip a coin via a single play, and at least there's a 50/50 shot you rob them. Brian Kelly would probably never say it, but I suspect he knows that was the case, and I agreed with the call....still would even had it failed. Bama is a better team. Roll the dice and see if you can steal it.

Let's say Saturday was also UGA's highest achievable output. I mean, I hope it was, because the rest of the country doesn't stand a chance if not and it's a pretty dull rest of the season.

Put those two teams at their highest output on a neutral field together and Georgia wins by 3+ TDs.

Bryce Young had the worst, dumbest game of his life, and I wouldn't count on Stetson Bennett following suit. I wouldn't even count on Young doing it again in a hypothetical alternate reality. Syllogism may be a poor metric, but it's not nothing that UGA just hammered the team that hammered LSU.
Title: Re: Week 10
Post by: Cincydawg on November 07, 2022, 10:56:05 AM: The Dawgs played down to Mizzou, I thought it was a loss until the 4th. It can happen, probably less likely in a CG of course on familiar ground.

I went to the SEC GC a few years back with the crowd split about 50-50 Bama-UGA and it was very loud, the dome thing, with 40,000 fans cheering gets loud. Oregon found this out and the crowd was likely 80-20 or more.