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The Power Five => Big Ten => Topic started by: Mdot21 on October 23, 2022, 05:54:53 PM

Title: #2 Ohio State (5-0, 8-0) at #13 Penn State (3-2, 6-2) Post Game
Post by: Mdot21 on October 23, 2022, 05:54:53 PM
This one is easily the game of the week not only in the conference but nationally imo.

Ohio State opens as a 14.5 point favorite. It's a noon kick off. IF this was a night game White Out, I'd have given Penn State a much better chance to pull the upset in this one. Should be a good game. Penn State seems to have rebounded vs Minnesota, we'll see if they can put up a fight against the Buckeyes. They seem to always play them tough in Happy Valley.
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: Abba on October 23, 2022, 06:14:10 PM
Penn State is an interesting matchup for the Buckeyes.  Their strength is definitely their secondary, so it'll be good on good there.  Penn State has shown a little bit of a weakness stopping the run the last 2 weeks, while the Buckeyes are coming off of their worst effort of the season in the run game this past week.  There is also some concern that CJ Stroud has given up a TD to the defense in each of the last 2 games and has thrown an INT in all 4 Big Ten games.  

On the other side of the ball, Penn State is much more balanced than last year.  No one has been able to effectively run against the Buckeyes so far this year, so that'll be an interesting one to watch.  Meanwhile, Clifford has had big games the last 2 times he played the Buckeyes, but the defense may be more up to the challenge this time.  His running ability is also a bit scary as we saw against Michigan.

I think the Buckeyes will again have to grind things out and hopefully can avoid the ugly mistakes of the last 2 weeks.  Any win here will do.
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: Drew4UTk on October 23, 2022, 06:29:02 PM
If tOSU doesn't drop 52 on psu and win, no matter what psu does, they'll be exposed as pretenders... theyve played ONE team with a winning record and left starters in the entire game.  

Truth is I'm pretty damn sure they're good- real good- but I've got nothing to base that off of except opinion.  They've simply not played anyone worth a damn.  Having a schedule as they do is nice- it makes your record attention grabbing... but then when a decent team is encountered and the same level of production isn't achieved? You topple.  Even a tight win drops the buckeyes to three if not four.... and that's the way it should be... 
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on October 23, 2022, 06:45:09 PM
You know you're in a teams head when they won't do a white out against you because they want to improve their record in white out games. 
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: Honestbuckeye on October 23, 2022, 06:52:55 PM
If tOSU doesn't drop 52 on psu and win, no matter what psu does, they'll be exposed as pretenders... theyve played ONE team with a winning record and left starters in the entire game. 

Truth is I'm pretty damn sure they're good- real good- but I've got nothing to base that off of except opinion.  They've simply not played anyone worth a damn.  Having a schedule as they do is nice- it makes your record attention grabbing... but then when a decent team is encountered and the same level of production isn't achieved? You topple.  Even a tight win drops the buckeyes to three if not four.... and that's the way it should be...
Wow.  You’re usually pretty levelheaded but you’re way off on all of this. 

first of all Ohio State has beaten several teams with a winning record including Notre Dame, Rutgers and Toledo.  Secondly that’s a misleading statistic anyway. Which is a harder game? Toledo, Notre Dame, UT Martin, Hawaii? 

Secondly they have only had first stringers in for the whole game once- Notre Dame.  ( and by the way Notre Dame has been playing with their back up quarterback ever since then.)

they also have beaten the living shit out of several teams which will end up with winning records.  They just put more points up on Iowa, one of the best defenses in the country, that has ever been scored in the Kirk Ferentz era.

In conference road games are tough. Penn State is a tough out at home for anyone. A simple victory will keep Ohio State ranked where they are.

after all did Georgia drop back in the rankings for slipping by Kent state in Missouri by the skin of their teeth?

updated SOS:

http://powerrankingsguru.com/college-football/strength-of-schedule.php

Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: Drew4UTk on October 23, 2022, 07:38:25 PM
Oh cmon... you can do better than that.  

tOSU is ranked #131 for all around likability.  Just below PSU, which does just fine until someone mentions Franklin.  Theyre the only team with a Canadian logger at the helm, who apparently makes enough money chunking oaks in the great lakes which causes enough shipwrecks when they float just below the surface to impact the trade of geratol, which he's reportedly invested in heavily- and allows the purchase of pretty decent players.  Without geratol, tOSU falls off the map.  It's a pretty good racket.  

PSU doesn't have a chance.  
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: FearlessF on October 23, 2022, 07:55:29 PM
agreed, PSU doesn't have much of a chance

PSU secondary looks good, might even have an NFL DB or two, but it's different this week going up a NFL QB and multiple NFL WRs
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: Honestbuckeye on October 23, 2022, 08:43:28 PM
Oh cmon... you can do better than that. 

tOSU is ranked #131 for all around likability.  Just below PSU, which does just fine until someone mentions Franklin.  Theyre the only team with a Canadian logger at the helm, who apparently makes enough money chunking oaks in the great lakes which causes enough shipwrecks when they float just below the surface to impact the trade of geratol, which he's reportedly invested in heavily- and allows the purchase of pretty decent players.  Without geratol, tOSU falls off the map.  It's a pretty good racket. 

PSU doesn't have a chance. 
They rank #130.  You forgot Notre Dame.  
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: Abba on October 23, 2022, 10:08:35 PM
Don't really care about the polls.  Gotta get a win here to avoid a 2016 type of mess.  Any win will do.  The Buckeyes won ugly against Penn State in 2014 and that didn't stop them from reaching their goals.
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: FearlessF on October 23, 2022, 10:44:33 PM
Ohio State will be involved in the Week 9 matchup on Big Noon, but this time, the Buckeyes will be on the road. Penn State hosts that crucial B1G East matchup, and it will be the first-ever visit to Happy Valley for FOX’s Big Noon Kickoff.
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: Temp430 on October 24, 2022, 06:57:16 AM

You know you're in a teams head when they won't do a white out against you because they want to improve their record in white out games.

I think if the game was at night instead of at Noon it would be a white out.  I doubt white out winning percentage is something the Nitts or Franklin care enough about to cherry pick white out games.  
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: Cincydawg on October 24, 2022, 07:03:13 AM
Oklahoma State is at K State, both ranked, and UK is at Tennessee.  I don't see any other ranked teams matched up.

#2 at #13 is GotW.  I think the line is about what I'd expect, maybe OSU takes a quarter to get rolling?
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on October 24, 2022, 09:07:06 AM
They rank #130.  You forgot Notre Dame. 
this is just a fact. ND is the worst.
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: Cincydawg on October 24, 2022, 11:03:33 AM
Don't really care about the polls.  
Truth, except as a point of conversation.  OSU could be ranked anywhere and still make the playoffs, or ranked #1 and miss out.  I'd lean to ranking them #1 right now, which matters about as much as the AP.  And as you note, an ugly messy one point win is still a win and won't matter much come CFP time.

The Dawgs had to save themselves at Mizzou and barely won obviously and that is almost forgotten now.  

My kids want a UGA-OSU final.
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on October 24, 2022, 11:52:46 AM
this is a great podcast- College Football Nerds. Their computer model predicts Ohio State winning 31-19, and they both pick Ohio State to win, one co-host picks OSU 34-24 and the other OSU 31-17.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gfrJLRiH2Jk
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 24, 2022, 12:03:21 PM
this is a great podcast- College Football Nerds. Their computer model predicts Ohio State winning 31-19, and they both pick Ohio State to win, one co-host picks OSU 34-24 and the other OSU 31-17.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gfrJLRiH2Jk
I enjoy their podcast. 
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 24, 2022, 12:05:09 PM
It is interesting that this weekend both Ohio State and Michigan are facing teams for whom they are unrequited biggest rivals.
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on October 24, 2022, 12:34:19 PM
all I have to say to OSU players is watch out for some shenanigans from a PSU team that likes to talk smack and write checks their asses can't cash in the tunnel and watch out for peanut butter and jelly sammiches flying at ya...

https://twitter.com/_ZachShaw/status/1584578452069711872?s=20&t=RJdLx5eyEJzN-lygYze6bA
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on October 24, 2022, 01:52:32 PM
Not sure if I'd take Jeem's word for went down,he has some skewed views of his own.

(https://s3media.247sports.com/Uploads/Assets/237/398/11398237.gif?width=600&fit=bounds) (https://s3media.247sports.com/Uploads/Assets/237/398/11398237.gif)
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Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on October 24, 2022, 05:00:24 PM
Not sure if I'd take Jeem's word for went down,he has some skewed views of his own.

(https://s3media.247sports.com/Uploads/Assets/237/398/11398237.gif?width=600&fit=bounds) (https://s3media.247sports.com/Uploads/Assets/237/398/11398237.gif)
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lmao touche. ya got me there. 

Franklin is a freaking dweeb though. As much as everyone bags on Jeem for being a weirdo, at least he's got some built in excuses. Pretty sure the dude has CTE + Autism. Franklin on the other hand is just a Grade A doucher...he is seriously unlikable. 
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: FearlessF on October 24, 2022, 05:10:18 PM
yup
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on October 25, 2022, 11:53:15 AM
Advanced Stats has Ohio State winning 37-19 and gives Ohio State a 91% win probability. 

https://twitter.com/statsowar/status/1584899196041121792?s=20&t=uJpD35OhEKjB-W20i4_P_w
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on October 25, 2022, 09:15:38 PM


Here's the video 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gwqKXi0gSlo
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: Abba on October 26, 2022, 09:06:04 PM
JSN possibly on a snap count again.  I think it'd be better just not to play him this week.  The Buckeyes' rhythm was disrupted against Iowa in the first half when he played, and they hit their stride again with Harrison, Egbuka and Fleming in the 2nd half.  Start working him back into the offense against Northwestern, Indiana & Maryland.  
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: Temp430 on October 27, 2022, 07:41:09 AM
Franklin's freshman RBs Allen and Singleton are too quick to run the ball to the outside if the middle of the line of scrimmage is looking crowded.  Not sure that will work with Ohio State's speed any better than it did against Michigan.
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on October 27, 2022, 08:27:15 AM
Franklin's freshman RBs Allen and Singleton are too quick to run the ball to the outside if the middle of the line of scrimmage is looking crowded.  Not sure that will work with Ohio State's speed any better than it did against Michigan.
yeah kinda agree but that’s typical of true freshman. both of them are DUDES though for sure. probably just need a year in the system and to learn how to really play the college game and an actual spring and summer and fall to add some muscle and they should really take off next year. 
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on October 28, 2022, 10:46:17 AM
It was pointed out to me that this is the only hostile environment that OSU will play in this year, and it won't happen again until next year at Notre Dame. 

That's crazy. 
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: FearlessF on October 28, 2022, 10:48:49 AM
being the big dog in the conference has it's perks.
Like scheduling
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 28, 2022, 11:19:41 AM
this is a great podcast- College Football Nerds. Their computer model predicts Ohio State winning 31-19, and they both pick Ohio State to win, one co-host picks OSU 34-24 and the other OSU 31-17.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gfrJLRiH2Jk
On this podcast they point out that we shouldn't have been so surprised by Michigan's success running the ball.  Penn State looked good but that was because most teams they had played have poor rushing offenses.  College Football Nerds uses a computer model in which the main input is % of average.  Let me try to explain that:

We typically look at average yards allowed per game and if we go deeper we look at average rushing yards and average passing yards allowed per game.  The problem with that is that it treats allowing 200 yards passing to Iowa as the exact equivalent to allowing 200 yards passing to Ohio State.  We all know that those are NOT equivalent.  

Their model goes by per-play numbers as a percentage of average.  Example:
In the College Football Nerds model if you play tOSU and allow 8.0 yards per pass play that is REALLY good because it is 76% of Ohio State's average.  Conversely, if you play Iowa and allow 8.0 yards per pass play that is REALLY bad because it is 145% of Iowa's average.  

Penn State's rushing defense BEFORE Michigan was allowing around 92% and after Michigan and Minnesota they are at 102%.  That is a VERY average rushing defense even if you ignore what Michigan did to them and it is below average if you include what Michigan did to them.  

I don't think that bodes well for Penn State.  After being held to 2.2 yards per carry against Iowa I think that the Buckeyes are going to want to establish the run and prove that they can do it.  Given PSU's average rushing defense, I don't think they can neutralize tOSU's rushing attack without bring extra defenders into the box.  That, I think, will leave PSU with two bad options:

Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: FearlessF on October 28, 2022, 11:36:27 AM

  • Stay back to minimize the tOSU passing threat and hope you don't get bowled over by tOSU's rushing attack, or
  • Load the box to keep from getting bowled over and hope Stroud has a bad day. 


I would NOT bank on Stroud having a bad day.  I'd stay back
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 28, 2022, 11:52:38 AM
I would NOT bank on Stroud having a bad day.  I'd stay back
Oh I agree but against Michigan they allowed 7.6 yards per carry.

College Football Nerds pointed out that a big part of Penn State's problem was that they just had to defend too many plays against Michigan.

The two 60+ yard runs that broke the game open came on Michigan's 60-something plays in the game. Up until then Penn State's defense had been reasonably effective.

They had allowed a lot of yards but they had forced FG's on three of Michigan's four long drives so they had only allowed 16 points. Additionally, Penn State's defense had a pick-6 and that combined with two long drives by PSU's offense (FG, TD) made it 17-16 in favor of PSU early in the second half. Then the dam broke.
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (7-0, 4-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1, 3-1) Game Week Thread
Post by: FearlessF on October 28, 2022, 12:17:40 PM
reasonably effective

and then the halftime adjustments

I agree that defenses get worn down, but after a halftime rest they should have been able to hold up better through the 3rd quarter IMO
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (4-0, 7-0) at #13 Penn State (3-1, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: ELA on October 28, 2022, 03:01:36 PM

BIG TEN GAME OF THE WEEK
#2 Ohio State Buckeyes (4-0, 7-0) at #13 Penn State Nittany Lions (3-1, 6-1)
NOON - State College, PA - FOX
Penn State's "success" against Ohio State is a little overblown.  Yes, they had that 2016 comeback win to launch their Big Ten Championship run.  But that is their only series win since 2011, going 1-9 against Urban Meyer and Ryan Day.  But...this line seems a little high to me.  The Nittany Lions have struggled to get over the hump, but they have consistently played Ohio State better than anyone over the past six years.  Aside from that 2016 win, they lost by 1 in 2017 and 2018, 11 in 2019, and 9 in 2021.  The biggest loss in the past 6 years was by 13 in 2020, which was Penn State's worst team in that time span vs.  Ohio State's best.  There are no moral victories in Happy Valley, but just staying within 13 points of Ohio State 6 straight games, is actually an accomplishment.  In that same time period, Michigan only did it 3 times, Michigan State once.  So, Ohio State might have to play a game that is somewhat in doubt in the fourth quarter for the first time since their season opener against Notre Dame.  But can Penn State actually get over the hump?  It will be up to their back seven.  Against WR U, the pressure on the secondary is self explanatory, but I think this is on the linebackers.  The defensive line got (rightfully) roasted for getting bullied by the Michigan offensive line, but that was much more on the linebackers.  Michigan's game plan was to double Penn State's interior linemen, and trust their backs to beat linebackers one and one.  And they did, over and over.  Ohio State's offensive line isn't as good as Michigan's, but their running backs are pretty close.  If the linebackers don't make the Buckeyes pay for doing the same thing, this could get ugly.  If they do, that opens up the line to have more room to operate outside of those double teams.  Then if you start getting pressure like that, your safeties and linebackers can be more dedicated to slowing down that aerial attack.  I think much like all recent versions of this game, Penn State challenges the Buckeyes, but Ohio State's march to 11-0 moves on.
OHIO STATE 35, PENN STATE 24

Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (4-0, 7-0) at #13 Penn State (3-1, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Cincydawg on October 29, 2022, 12:34:59 PM
PSU looks good except for ...
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (4-0, 7-0) at #13 Penn State (3-1, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Cincydawg on October 29, 2022, 12:57:26 PM
Keeps the crowd lively
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (5-0, 8-0) at #13 Penn State (3-2, 6-2) Post Game
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on October 30, 2022, 07:34:24 AM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uszQ-aeF-Jg
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (5-0, 8-0) at #13 Penn State (3-2, 6-2) Post Game
Post by: Temp430 on October 31, 2022, 09:42:41 AM
Did anyone else think Ohio State looked beatable?
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (5-0, 8-0) at #13 Penn State (3-2, 6-2) Post Game
Post by: Mdot21 on October 31, 2022, 09:48:19 AM
Did anyone else think Ohio State looked beatable?
It was a very close game vast majority of the way. 

OSU had some explosive plays on defense and offense late which helped them pull away. Probably can’t count on those defensive plays happening every week- but on offense- that’s what they are- explosive plays waiting to happen. 
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (5-0, 8-0) at #13 Penn State (3-2, 6-2) Post Game
Post by: Honestbuckeye on October 31, 2022, 10:08:39 AM
Did anyone else think Ohio State looked beatable?
Yes.  Every week almost. 

Michigan has also looked very beatable. 

I haven’t seen a team that looks unbeatable.  Have you?

I actually gained more optimism from that win than I had before.  It reminded me a lot of their loss in Ann Arbor last year.  In fact- same score at halftime. 

The difference being that they took control of the game on both sides of the ball when it mattered most, overcame a lot of their own boneheaded mistakes plus several extremely questionable calls by the officials, The only real large and hostile crowd they will see this whole season, and separated themselves by a wide margin when it really counted

Thats what the best teams do.  That doesn’t mean they always will but they showed me they have it in them. Last year they most certainly did not
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (5-0, 8-0) at #13 Penn State (3-2, 6-2) Post Game
Post by: Mdot21 on October 31, 2022, 10:24:52 AM
Ohio State hasn't looked beatable to me every week. I'd say just in the ND and PSU games. But they pulled away late in both games and won both by double digits. They have the ability to make explosive plays- and that's what the college game is all about imo. 

I haven't really seen Michigan look beatable very much if at all. I think they've trailed maybe two times for very short periods of games all year. They were tied at the half with Indiana- but that 2nd half they flipped a switch and destroyed them. Michigan has been a 2nd half team- which I don't mind at all. DC Minter seems to make defensive adjustments every 2nd half and his defenses go into shutdown mode and feast.

But then again- their schedule hasn't been great with the exception of Penn State. They haven't really faced anyone that could beat them or stress them or get them out of their game and force them to play left handed- and they won't face that til they play Ohio State imo.
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (5-0, 8-0) at #13 Penn State (3-2, 6-2) Post Game
Post by: Drew4UTk on October 31, 2022, 10:26:12 AM
It's funny to me to hear the reasoning for tOSU to be regarded as they are.  The very same thing can be said for another team also regarded but considered lessor than tOSU.  

And stats be damned, UTs D isn't that bad.  Their run D is tight and their secondary works when it needs to work.  

I'm truly hoping for a tOSU and UT match up.... yall can't tell me that won't be an entertaining game.  The o/u would likely be 100pts opening... and by game time 110pts.  

UT has to get through UGA first... and its critical.. if they win they go to #1 over tOSU and UM, but if they lose? They'll drop a lot further than bama did when they lost to UT- and likely to 10 or 12.... thats the way the system works.  
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (5-0, 8-0) at #13 Penn State (3-2, 6-2) Post Game
Post by: Mdot21 on October 31, 2022, 10:28:18 AM
It's funny to me to hear the reasoning for tOSU to be regarded as they are.  The very same thing can be said for another team also regarded but considered lessor than tOSU. 

And stats be damned, UTs D isn't that bad.  Their run D is tight and their secondary works when it needs to work. 

I'm truly hoping for a tOSU and UT match up.... yall can't tell me that won't be an entertaining game.  The o/u would likely be 100pts opening... and by game time 110pts. 

UT has to get through UGA first... and its critical.. if they win they go to #1 over tOSU and UM, but if they lose? They'll drop a lot further than bama did when they lost to UT- and likely to 10 or 12.... thats the way the system works. 
think it depends on how UT loses. If Georgia blows them out...they probably deserve a drop. But if it's a close 1 score game or OT game- UT probably only deserves to drop 2-3 spots max. 
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (5-0, 8-0) at #13 Penn State (3-2, 6-2) Post Game
Post by: Honestbuckeye on October 31, 2022, 10:29:39 AM
It's funny to me to hear the reasoning for tOSU to be regarded as they are.  The very same thing can be said for another team also regarded but considered lessor than tOSU. 

And stats be damned, UTs D isn't that bad.  Their run D is tight and their secondary works when it needs to work. 

I'm truly hoping for a tOSU and UT match up.... yall can't tell me that won't be an entertaining game.  The o/u would likely be 100pts opening... and by game time 110pts. 

UT has to get through UGA first... and its critical.. if they win they go to #1 over tOSU and UM, but if they lose? They'll drop a lot further than bama did when they lost to UT- and likely to 10 or 12.... thats the way the system works. 
I agree.  UT is capable of beating anyone this season IMO.   
So is Georgia, so is Michigan and OSU.  Maybe Bama too.

But unlike the NFL- they only get one shot. 
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (5-0, 8-0) at #13 Penn State (3-2, 6-2) Post Game
Post by: MrNubbz on October 31, 2022, 10:31:03 AM
The Vols have to get thru their schedule just like everyone else.Just don't get caught looking ahead - that's the danger
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (5-0, 8-0) at #13 Penn State (3-2, 6-2) Post Game
Post by: Honestbuckeye on October 31, 2022, 10:36:32 AM
Ohio State hasn't looked beatable to me every week. I'd say just in the ND and PSU games. But they pulled away late in both games and won both by double digits. They have the ability to make explosive plays- and that's what the college game is all about imo.

I haven't really seen Michigan look beatable very much if at all. I think they've trailed maybe two times for very short periods of games all year. They were tied at the half with Indiana- but that 2nd half they flipped a switch and destroyed them. Michigan has been a 2nd half team- which I don't mind at all. DC Minter seems to make defensive adjustments every 2nd half and his defenses go into shutdown mode and feast.

But then again- their schedule hasn't been great with the exception of Penn State. They haven't really faced anyone that could beat them or stress them or get them out of their game and force them to play left handed- and they won't face that til they play Ohio State imo.
We are a funny bunch- us college football fans

Michigan was gifted seven points on opening  kick off by Maryland, in their own stadium. The difference in that game at the end was seven points. 

Michigan has looked beatable for stretches of games as you just mentioned but in the end they took control of those games.  But when our rival does that we point to it and say “see they are beatable, they didn’t dominate from the opening kick off!”

but you’re definitely correct. Neither has faced a super hard schedule. Michigan has played five teams with a losing record. Ohio State has only faced three but they’ve also only faced two teams with a winning record.  But I think we make too much of that. They have both done everything asked of them so far, just like Tennessee in Georgia have. 

they don’t control the schedules. I mean, in a “normal“ year Ohio State having to play Notre Dame and then a five week stretch which includes Wisconsin, MSU, Iowa and Penn State- would be brutal.   
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (5-0, 8-0) at #13 Penn State (3-2, 6-2) Post Game
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 31, 2022, 10:49:00 AM
Did anyone else think Ohio State looked beatable?
Yes.

That said, the tOSU and M games against PSU were fairly similar in this way:

Against Michigan, Penn State kicked a FG for a 17-16 second half lead. Michigan then flipped a switch and scored three TD's and a FG on their next four possessions to take a 41-17 lead.

Against Ohio State, Penn State scored a TD for a 21-16 second half lead. Ohio State then flipped a switch and scored TD's on their next three possessions and added a pick-6 for a 44-24 lead. 

It has to be frustrating for Penn State's fans. In both games their team had a second half lead and was within striking distance deep into the second half but you wouldn't know it from the final scores.
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (5-0, 8-0) at #13 Penn State (3-2, 6-2) Post Game
Post by: Mdot21 on October 31, 2022, 12:13:47 PM
Yes.

That said, the tOSU and M games against PSU were fairly similar in this way:

Against Michigan, Penn State kicked a FG for a 17-16 second half lead. Michigan then flipped a switch and scored three TD's and a FG on their next four possessions to take a 41-17 lead.

Against Ohio State, Penn State scored a TD for a 21-16 second half lead. Ohio State then flipped a switch and scored TD's on their next three possessions and added a pick-6 for a 44-24 lead.

It has to be frustrating for Penn State's fans. In both games their team had a second half lead and was within striking distance deep into the second half but you wouldn't know it from the final scores.
yeah, not really.

I was at that Mich-PSU game. Penn State was physically getting their asses whooped that game on both sides of the line of scrimmage from the opening bell. The only reason they were even in that game for like 30 seconds is because of a pretty gnarly fake hand-off by Clifford which he kept and busted for 60 and a truly flukish defensive play- a tipped pass which bounces off a Penn State defenders helmet and then right into the hands of a waiting Penn State defender and he runs it back. Take away those two plays- Penn State did literally jacksh*t the other 59+ mins of that game- Michigan flat out was whooping their ass and pummeling them at the lines of scrimmage. That game should've been 63-3. Felt like it. I didn't really see that from Ohio State to be honest- that one was an actual game.
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (5-0, 8-0) at #13 Penn State (3-2, 6-2) Post Game
Post by: NorthernOhioBuckeye on October 31, 2022, 12:38:51 PM
yeah, not really.

I was at that Mich-PSU game. Penn State was physically getting their asses whooped that game on both sides of the line of scrimmage from the opening bell. The only reason they were even in that game for like 30 seconds is because of a pretty gnarly fake hand-off by Clifford which he kept and busted for 60 and a truly flukish defensive play- a tipped pass which bounces off a Penn State defenders helmet and then right into the hands of a waiting Penn State defender and he runs it back. Take away those two plays- Penn State did literally jacksh*t the other 59+ mins of that game- Michigan flat out was whooping their ass and pummeling them at the lines of scrimmage. That game should've been 63-3. Felt like it. I didn't really see that from Ohio State to be honest- that one was an actual game.
I saw the Maryland game and Maryland was marching up and down the field on them. They looked very beatable.

The Buckeyes have looked beatable too, especially this past weekend at PSU. While both tOSU and M are very good teams, they both have had their moments of vulernability. 
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (5-0, 8-0) at #13 Penn State (3-2, 6-2) Post Game
Post by: Mdot21 on October 31, 2022, 01:00:32 PM
I saw the Maryland game and Maryland was marching up and down the field on them. They looked very beatable.

The Buckeyes have looked beatable too, especially this past weekend at PSU. While both tOSU and M are very good teams, they both have had their moments of vulernability.
Marching up and down the field for....390 yards of offense- 75 yards of which came in the final 2 mins of the game when they were already down 15 points to score a garbage time TD with 40 seconds left in the game....that's really marching up and down the field all game long lol. You make it sound like they put up 500 yards and scored 50. 

They have 19 points and 315 yards of offense if not for their little garbage time score.....
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (5-0, 8-0) at #13 Penn State (3-2, 6-2) Post Game
Post by: Mdot21 on October 31, 2022, 01:06:06 PM
The Buckeyes have looked beatable too, especially this past weekend at PSU. While both tOSU and M are very good teams, they both have had their moments of vulernability.
They just play very different styles. Michigan is conservative af. They try to choke the life out of teams on both sides of the line of scrimmage and make the game ugly and boring. They almost refuse to pass the ball- and they completely refuse to take deep shots. Ohio State on the other hand is sexy. Their passing game is explosive as is their running game. They are pedal to the metal, explosive plays. 

If Ohio State is playing at their best- they beat Michigan by 10-14 imo. I will take the explosive plays all day long over the way Harbaugh wants to play. Choking the life out of teams is not sustainable for an entire season. You have to have a passing game at some point. Not seeing one at all. 
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (5-0, 8-0) at #13 Penn State (3-2, 6-2) Post Game
Post by: MrNubbz on October 31, 2022, 03:29:53 PM
Marching up and down the field for....390 yards of offense- 75 yards of which came in the final 2 mins of the game when they were already down 15 points to score a garbage time TD with 40 seconds left in the game....that's really marching up and down the field all game long lol. You make it sound like they put up 500 yards and scored 50.

They have 19 points and 315 yards of offense if not for their little garbage time score.....
Congratulations on all you have forgotten - we aready discussed this. The Terps gave your juggernaut 7 pts right off the bat - that was the difference in the game - The Michigan Difference.And the starting QB Tagovailoa (https://www.espn.com/college-football/player/_/id/4567097/taulia-tagovailoa) left the game in the 4th with rib/knee i njuries.And your boy corum was left into 1:10 in the game vs MSU saturday

Maryland had one more 1st down,3& 1/2 less minutes possession and a whole 45 total yds less than UM,so they were hardly dominating so take the goggles off.Comparing opponents never really worx
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (5-0, 8-0) at #13 Penn State (3-2, 6-2) Post Game
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 31, 2022, 04:27:35 PM
yeah, not really.
Is there any part of my post that you think you rebutted? I don't see any, am I missing something?



I was at that Mich-PSU game. Penn State was physically getting their asses whooped that game on both sides of the line of scrimmage from the opening bell. The only reason they were even in that game for like 30 seconds is because of a pretty gnarly fake hand-off by Clifford which he kept and busted for 60 and a truly flukish defensive play- a tipped pass which bounces off a Penn State defenders helmet and then right into the hands of a waiting Penn State defender and he runs it back. Take away those two plays- Penn State did literally jacksh*t the other 59+ mins of that game- Michigan flat out was whooping their ass and pummeling them at the lines of scrimmage. That game should've been 63-3. Felt like it. I didn't really see that from Ohio State to be honest- that one was an actual game.
I've already covered this but ask Ohio State fans who watched the 2019 Clemson game or the 1996 Michigan game if looking dominant for a half is enough to win every time.

I'll concede that it is rare but teams do sometimes lose even while looking a lot better. That brings me to this gem:
The only reason they were even in that game for like 30 seconds
Really, Penn State was only in their game against Michigan for 30 seconds?


Penn State was in the game AT LEAST for the first two-and-a-half quarters and I would argue beyond that:
As an interested but somewhat neutral observer I didn't think it was over until Michigan's LONG FG drive that started in the third and ended in the 4th.

Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (5-0, 8-0) at #13 Penn State (3-2, 6-2) Post Game
Post by: Drew4UTk on October 31, 2022, 08:44:04 PM
The Vols have to get thru their schedule just like everyone else.Just don't get caught looking ahead - that's the danger
We'll find out how the committee looks at it tomorrow... if there were algorithms and formulas, UT would be #1... because of the eye test (and I believe in the eye test more) I can't have them higher than 4... and that's because I view polls more on how I think they'll finish rather than where they are...

They lack something tOSU, UGA, UM and clemson don't, and that's depth- and depth becomes more apparent from Nov 1 onward.  

Again, I'm still in a bit of shock they're in contention.  The portal and NIL is good to UT.  
Title: Re: #2 Ohio State (5-0, 8-0) at #13 Penn State (3-2, 6-2) Post Game
Post by: NorthernOhioBuckeye on November 01, 2022, 08:33:54 AM
Marching up and down the field for....390 yards of offense- 75 yards of which came in the final 2 mins of the game when they were already down 15 points to score a garbage time TD with 40 seconds left in the game....that's really marching up and down the field all game long lol. You make it sound like they put up 500 yards and scored 50.

They have 19 points and 315 yards of offense if not for their little garbage time score.....
Take off your Maze and Blue glasses and look again. Maryland was always very much in this game. They were moving the ball very effectively and playing fairly good defense. You can ignore that game all you wish, but we all saw it.