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The Power Five => Big Ten => Topic started by: OrangeAfroMan on June 26, 2022, 11:19:06 AM

Title: 'Never Playoff' Teams' NC Odds - Pick 1
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on June 26, 2022, 11:19:06 AM
Uhhhh, USC went 4-8 last year.  Just FYI.
Title: Re: 'Never Playoff' Teams' NC Odds - Pick 1
Post by: LittlePig on June 26, 2022, 11:30:46 AM
Are you betting on 1 the 3 of Baylor, Florida or Ok St to win,  or do you have to pick 1?
Title: Re: 'Never Playoff' Teams' NC Odds - Pick 1
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on June 26, 2022, 11:33:46 AM
Individual team, I edited it
Title: Re: 'Never Playoff' Teams' NC Odds - Pick 1
Post by: Cincydawg on June 26, 2022, 11:34:01 AM
UCLA
Title: Re: 'Never Playoff' Teams' NC Odds - Pick 1
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on June 26, 2022, 11:34:51 AM
Sometimes, I don't like you.
Title: Re: 'Never Playoff' Teams' NC Odds - Pick 1
Post by: Cincydawg on June 26, 2022, 11:38:52 AM
NCAAF Futures | College Football Futures Odds (vegasinsider.com) (https://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/odds/futures/)

UCLA is next to Kentucky in the odds.  Huh.

Title: Re: 'Never Playoff' Teams' NC Odds - Pick 1
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 26, 2022, 11:49:02 AM
tUSC
Title: Re: 'Never Playoff' Teams' NC Odds - Pick 1
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on June 26, 2022, 03:45:20 PM
I wouldn't lay any actual money on them but if I had to pick one of the above it would be either USC or Texas.  Both teams always recruit well so there should be an abundance of talent available and if they can just get everyone playing together and to their own potential they could suddenly be NC Caliber.  
Title: Re: 'Never Playoff' Teams' NC Odds - Pick 1
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on June 26, 2022, 03:48:35 PM

The Gators have worse odds than the Utes? 

:57:
Title: Re: 'Never Playoff' Teams' NC Odds - Pick 1
Post by: Cincydawg on June 26, 2022, 03:51:19 PM
I agree with medina, I think to win it you HAVE to have elite and near elite talent, before all else.  It starts with that.  A lot more is involved obviously, but a Kentucky or UCLA isn't going to win it because of talent.  And a lot of luck.

Title: Re: 'Never Playoff' Teams' NC Odds - Pick 1
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on June 26, 2022, 08:13:00 PM
The Gators have worse odds than the Utes?

:57:
Yeah, we play in an actual football conference.
Title: Re: 'Never Playoff' Teams' NC Odds - Pick 1
Post by: ELA on June 26, 2022, 09:01:13 PM
Uhhhh, USC went 4-8 last year.  Just FYI.
I mean nobody thinks any of these teams are going to do it, but Texas A&M and USC brought in the most talent, and USCs is more experienced, and had an easier path
Title: Re: 'Never Playoff' Teams' NC Odds - Pick 1
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on June 26, 2022, 09:13:42 PM
I agree with medina, I think to win it you HAVE to have elite and near elite talent, before all else.  It starts with that.  A lot more is involved obviously, but a Kentucky or UCLA isn't going to win it because of talent.  And a lot of luck.
I'll also add that this is especially true in the CFP era. To win the NC today your last two games will necessarily be against TOUGH competition. You might get lucky and draw a Cincy in the penultimate game but probably not and if you make the CG you are going to face elite talent.

On top of that, nearly everyone faces a league title game as well. In the old days a Kentucky or UCLA might win their league partially through lucky scheduling or pulling off a singular upset but now you are probably going to face elite talent in your third-to-last game as well. 

A team without elite talent can obviously beat a team with elite talent, it happens. That said, the chances of it happening in three consecutive games are less than remote.
Title: Re: 'Never Playoff' Teams' NC Odds - Pick 1
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on June 26, 2022, 09:19:41 PM
I like Miami at those odds.
Title: Re: 'Never Playoff' Teams' NC Odds - Pick 1
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on June 26, 2022, 09:29:38 PM
Texas has like three teams that have better odds than any Florida team, and none of them are even remotely legit title contenders. Texas has been horrible for years, aTm is in the SEC West, and Baylor is Baylor. 
Title: Re: 'Never Playoff' Teams' NC Odds - Pick 1
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on June 26, 2022, 10:01:40 PM
What a bizarre post. 
Title: Re: 'Never Playoff' Teams' NC Odds - Pick 1
Post by: FearlessF on June 27, 2022, 09:04:47 AM
I'll take A&M

with a good season in the SEC at least you're invited to the playoff