CFB51 College Football Fan Community
The Power Five => SEC => Topic started by: Cincydawg on January 14, 2022, 08:05:16 AM
-
UGA will be losing a lot on both sides. Bama will as well but is routine for them. I'm not sure about A&M. Florida and Tenn will be interesting, Ole Miss as well, add LSU to the mix.
-
A&M will be breaking in a new QB again. I know we lost a lot on defense. The OL was young this year, hopefully they are an experienced group in ‘22.
I’d think we’d have a good season at 9 wins. I don’t see competing for the west unless Bama moves East.
OU and UT will be in conference by then as well.
-
Who doesn't love a coaching change-transition year!?! Hopefully we'll beat the teams we're favored against and be competitive underdogs! You know, super high expectations!
-
It is hard to know how a new coach will fare, but usually it's around 8-5ish with a good program.
-
I think Alabama wins the West and UGA wins the East again. UGA lost a ton on defense so I expect Alabama to be favored but our girl Hope springs eternal.
-
OU and UT will be in conference by then as well.
Nope.
-
Florida was like 50th in recruiting when Mullen left. Up to 26th now, and in the top 20 in average star rating.
Still some big fish out there, too.
But we're still like 19th in the SEC recruiting rankings, so that's fun.
-
I know Mullen took heat over recruiting obviously, but it's odd to me he would have been weak on that point, or unexpected anyway. He's not Spurrier.
Mullen is a real mystery to me, preseason I would have put him as the second best coach in the conference.
-
UGA will be losing a lot on both sides. Bama will as well but is routine for them. I'm not sure about A&M. Florida and Tenn will be interesting, Ole Miss as well, add LSU to the mix.
I think it's going to be at least '23, probably more like '24 before LSU starts shaping up under Kelly. Assuming they eventually do. They're doing as good as we could've hoped for at filling a decimated roster with portal transfers and signees. But the best talent will still be young and green, and transfers.....I figure they're transfers for a reason. With good coaching this could be "a tough team you shouldn't treat like a bye week" but it's gonna be a minute before they're realistically a contender for anything.
-
Arkansas is the somewhat overlooked program of interest to me. They are building a hard nosed team and culture, they are going to upend someone soon I think.
We get a lot of notice about MSU/OM/A&M it seems to me more than Arky, who quietly is doing pretty well. What are the odds they win the West in five years? Dunno.
-
I saw some record predictions somewhere and there were a LOT of 7-5 and 8-5 teams (predicted). Is the conference falling into mediocrity aside from the top two?
-
I saw some record predictions somewhere and there were a LOT of 7-5 and 8-5 teams (predicted). Is the conference falling into mediocrity aside from the top two?
Eh, it's relative. Take a 7-5 SEC team to the ACC in some sort of exchange, and drag, say, UNC here....
-
Sure, but 7-5 in the SEC isn't going to impress many, including the fans. A team could win every OOC game, 3 of which likely are pastries, and go 3-5 in conference.
I more used to seeing the third best record being something like 10-3.
-
Alabama (-31) vs. Utah State
Arkansas (-8) vs. Cincinnati
Florida vs. Utah PICK ‘EM
Georgia (-15) vs. Oregon *in Atlanta
Mississippi State (-11) vs. Memphis
LSU (-3.5) vs. Florida State *in New Orleans
-
So, Arky by that much? Maybe UC loses its team? Arky is a good team but ...
I think the Utes will prevail, by not by much in the Swampy area.
UGA might not cover (duh).
I'd probably take FSU and the points, but I know little of either team.
-
Florida was like 50th in recruiting when Mullen left. Up to 26th now, and in the top 20 in average star rating.
Still some big fish out there, too.
But we're still like 19th in the SEC recruiting rankings, so that's fun.
This gal expects a rough beginning. Maybe so, but IMO you have a home run hire. I would liked to have seen him next at Alabama.
Billy Napier – FLORIDA (https://fbschedules.com/2022-florida-football-schedule/)
First four games: Utah, Kentucky, USF, at Tennessee
Billy Napier played quarterback at FCS Furman before starting his coaching journey, a 15-year odyssey that made stops as an offensive assistant at Clemson, Alabama, Colorado State, and Arizona State. He landed the head job at Louisiana in 2018, leading the Cajuns to a 40-12 mark in four seasons that included back-to-back Sun Belt titles and Top 25 finishes. He takes over the reins in Gainesville from Dan Mullen, who was dismissed (https://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/32682644/dan-mullen-florida-gators-football-coach-sources-say) after posting a 34-15 record from 2018-21.
Napier is one of only three new head coaches who will face three Power clubs in their first four outings. And while Utah, Kentucky, and Tennessee might not look like the Murderers’ Row of September – the Utes and Wildcats combined for a 20-7 record last year and both earned mention (Utah at No. 7 and Kentucky at No. 21) in ESPN’s Way-Too-Early Top 25 (https://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/32999406/the-2022-way-too-early-college-football-top-25) for 2022.
Though Billy Napier is a solid hire, he might be in for a rough September. If he does manage to engineer a 3-1 or 4-0 start, he likely won’t get the credit he deserves. He’ll be expected to win, even if it’s an uphill battle that doesn’t look like one.
https://fbschedules.com/7-new-head-college-football-coaches-who-will-look-like-bad-hires-early-in-2022/
-
So, Arky by that much? Maybe UC loses its team? Arky is a good team but ...
I think the Utes will prevail, by not by much in the Swampy area.
UGA might not cover (duh).
I'd probably take FSU and the points, but I know little of either team.
FSU wins SU. FSU has a TARP (Transfers And Returning Production) # of +9 (4 O /5 D). LSU's is -7 ( -4.5 O / -2.5 D).
-
ESPN predicts each game on Vols' schedule and it's not good for Tennessee (atozsports.com) (https://atozsports.com/nashville/vols-espn-game-predictions-tennessee-news/?fbclid=IwAR14iYkxjAFm78MapnVM7BoUf_QvUCgHbTjRAg9a9CwzT9ODhGieHRI3k64)
And here’s how ESPN’s FPI has each game playing out for the Vols (the FPI gives Tennessee’s percentage chance of winning each game…anything less than 50 percent is considered a loss).
- Ball State @ Tennessee — 95.1% Win (1-0)
- Tennessee @ Pittsburgh — 37.3% Loss (1-1)
- Akron @ Tennessee — 97.3% Win (2-1)
- Florida @ Tennessee — 60.2% Win (3-1)
- Tennessee @ LSU — 32.3% Loss (3-2)
- Alabama @ Tennessee — 11.9 % Loss (3-3)
- UT-Martin @ Tennessee — 98.5% Win (4-3)
- Kentucky @ Tennessee — 47.4% Loss (4-4)
- Tennessee @ Georgia — 7.4 % Loss (4-5)
- Missouri @ Tennessee — 78.5% Win (5-5)
- Tennessee @ South Carolina — 55.9% Win (6-5)
- Tennessee @ Vanderbilt — 87.9% Win (7-5)
A 7-5 record in 2022 would mean no improvement from last season for the Vols. That would be a tough pill to swallow, though beating Florida would make it a bit easier to digest.
-
ESPN predicts each game on Vols' schedule and it's not good for Tennessee (atozsports.com) (https://atozsports.com/nashville/vols-espn-game-predictions-tennessee-news/?fbclid=IwAR14iYkxjAFm78MapnVM7BoUf_QvUCgHbTjRAg9a9CwzT9ODhGieHRI3k64)
And here’s how ESPN’s FPI has each game playing out for the Vols (the FPI gives Tennessee’s percentage chance of winning each game…anything less than 50 percent is considered a loss).
- Ball State @ Tennessee — 95.1% Win (1-0)
- Tennessee @ Pittsburgh — 37.3% Loss (1-1)
- Akron @ Tennessee — 97.3% Win (2-1)
- Florida @ Tennessee — 60.2% Win (3-1)
- Tennessee @ LSU — 32.3% Loss (3-2)
- Alabama @ Tennessee — 11.9 % Loss (3-3)
- UT-Martin @ Tennessee — 98.5% Win (4-3)
- Kentucky @ Tennessee — 47.4% Loss (4-4)
- Tennessee @ Georgia — 7.4 % Loss (4-5)
- Missouri @ Tennessee — 78.5% Win (5-5)
- Tennessee @ South Carolina — 55.9% Win (6-5)
- Tennessee @ Vanderbilt — 87.9% Win (7-5)
A 7-5 record in 2022 would mean no improvement from last season for the Vols. That would be a tough pill to swallow, though beating Florida would make it a bit easier to digest.
We may get Pitt. We don't lose to Kentucky.
At USCe is worrisome to me.
-
My GUESS on the East:
UGA 11-1 7-1
Tenn 8-4 5-3
Florida 8-4 5-3
Kentucky 8-4 6-2
USCe 7-5 4-4
Mizzou 5-7 2-6
-
My GUESS on the East:
UGA 11-1 7-1
Tenn 8-4 5-3
Florida 8-4 5-3
Kentucky 8-4 6-2
USCe 7-5 4-4
Mizzou 5-7 2-6
I agree that Vandy isn't worthy enough to include.
-
Vandy ensures everyone else gets a bowl game, often as not.
-
Why do the gurus think Pitt will beat Tennessee? Didn't Pitt lose its QB to the NFL and its wr to SoCal? I haven't researched Pitt but they only beat Tennessee last year because Tenn started the wrong qb. Tennessee should win that game and based on the schedule should go 8- 4 but they will lose to somebody they shouldn't and finish 7-5.
The no name team I am bullish on is Arkansas. That qb they have reminds me of Cam Newton. If you remember Auburn overall did not have great talent but rode Newton to the NC. I don't think Arkansas will challenge for the NC but might come in 2nd in the West. They will kill Cincinatti in that first game.
-
ESPN gives Pitt a 63% chance of winning, which is of course almost a coin toss. There is HFA to consider. I'd lean to thinking the Vols win this one, but I think it's close.
-
Looking at the A&M schedule we play Miami (Fla) this year and Florida too. Seems like we’ve played UF a bunch in our time in the SEC, much more than UGa and others. I really like our games with UF and I really admire them as a program.
-
Florida caught a rough draw this year. UGA caught an easier draw.
-
Why do the gurus think Pitt will beat Tennessee? Didn't Pitt lose its QB to the NFL and its wr to SoCal? I haven't researched Pitt but they only beat Tennessee last year because Tenn started the wrong qb. Tennessee should win that game and based on the schedule should go 8- 4 but they will lose to somebody they shouldn't and finish 7-5.
The no name team I am bullish on is Arkansas. That qb they have reminds me of Cam Newton. If you remember Auburn overall did not have great talent but rode Newton to the NC. I don't think Arkansas will challenge for the NC but might come in 2nd in the West. They will kill Cincinatti in that first game.
Allegedly, Pitt has some sort of super defense from what I've read. Who knows?
-
I see some folks predicting UK to win the East, which of course is possible, but it seems like click bait mostly. And I think UK is pretty good but there is a talent gap, same with Arky. UK has a lot of "iffy" games they could lose.
UF, LSU, and A&M are going to be interesting. We'll find out something about UF right off.
-
I think Florida wins that game. and not because they are good. They win because Utah has to travel 2000 miles and play before a virulent hostile crowd in 90 degree/90% humidity weather. Utah wins on a neutral field. This isn't a neutral field.
-
The forecast is a high of 87°F and 76% RH (@!) and scattered showers etc.
That's pretty muggy.
-
So, how do you think your team will fare? What are the key games?
UGA will be favored across the board, which doesn't mean they win them all. I suspect a loss somewhere, perhaps at MSU. @UK, Tenn, @USCe, UF, Oregon ... all plausible losses. And I think Bama is "back", probably the best two players in CFB.
-
I'd love for my Vols to get back into the discussion. It's been a long time.
I'd be thrilled with finishing 2nd in the East, something like a 9-3 year.
The SEC is still UGA/Bama until it's not. I'd just like to be able to "scare" one of them again. Make'em worry.
-
Boom or bust here...bust being 8 wins or less. Boom being 10 or more. I'd hate to lose to any of the Miss schools again or Arkansas but beat one of the big boys (Bama, Fla, possibly LSU). It sucks to have a great team only to lose to a coackroach program and knock yourself out of contention.
-
A&M could be in "put up/shut up" territory next year.
-
I’m not certain on that unless Jimbo completely bombs this season. Because I don’t think we would be able to pony up the dough to fire him and bring somebody else in.
-
I think Bama should be very good but with several opponents who could on a certain day beat them. The ones I am more concerned about are Arkansas, Tennessee and LSU. Arkansas to me looks a lot like Auburn with Cam Newton. Tennessee has an explosive offense that can beat or lose to anybody. Can they get hot against us? LSU has great talent. Nevertheless to beat Alabama you will have to play perfect and get the breaks; turnovers, kick returns, etc.
-
I agree with that, this is probably one of Bama's better teams. I admire what Arkansas is doing, I enjoy watching them play someone other than us. The Vols are using a gimmick to compensate for talent, sort of like Georgia Tech did on back with Johnson, and I get that. It can upset a "bama" one time, but lacks consistency.
You need some breaks to beat Bama any time. UGA got some last year.
-
LSU not looking too good. FSU looks like they may have a decent team.
-
Holy schneike.
FSU had it in the bag, loses the ball at the 1 yard line. LSU goes 99 yards and scores with one second left, only to miss the xp.
FSU wins.
-
A lot of crazy finishes in week one ...
-
We may get Pitt. We don't lose to Kentucky.
At USCe is worrisome to me.
Wow, great call here.
-
Boom or bust here...bust being 8 wins or less. Boom being 10 or more. I'd hate to lose to any of the Miss schools again or Arkansas but beat one of the big boys (Bama, Fla, possibly LSU). It sucks to have a great team only to lose to a coackroach program and knock yourself out of contention.
Oops.