Thought for sure Neb would be 3-pt underdogs since they seem to lose every game by 3 points.Agreed
betting odds are about total money wagered and trying to level both sidesI realize this, even though I am not a betting man. That said, doesn't the house post the opening spread?
nothing about it is related to expected performance on the field
betting odds are about total money wagered and trying to level both sidesThe betting is related to how betters expect performance on the field to occur. I "bet" it is very very rare for a 3-9 team to be favored over a 9-2 team in conference play.
nothing about it is related to expected performance on the field
[img width=234.333 height=359]https://i.imgur.com/eo28WQE.png[/img][/size][/color]Meh, Iowa fans only care about 2 of those stats. Scoring offense and scoring defense. Yards per game mean nothing to us. Maybe turnover margin means something but that can be misleading too because its so hit and miss.
If it is a close game, this can make or break the case:
Nebraska is 8/16 at field goal kicking.
Iowa is 18/21 at field goal kicking.
does this change if Martinez doesnt play?changes a lot....I'm not picking Nebraska to win anymore, sorry fighting albinos.
how is the back up?
https://twitter.com/Sean_Callahan/status/1462852406077702149?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1462852406077702149%7Ctwgr%5E%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2F247sports.com%2Fcollege%2Fminnesota%2Fboard%2F104587%2FContents%2Fmartinez-out-vs-iowa-176012856%2F%3Fpage%3D1
Meh, Iowa fans only care about 2 of those stats. Scoring offense and scoring defense. Yards per game mean nothing to us. Maybe turnover margin means something but that can be misleading too because its so hit and miss.so, Caleb is DUE to miss a couple?!?!?
Agree Iowa got lucky this year with 6th year senior Kicker Caleb Shudak. The guy has been awesome all year. No missed extra points. Was 3 of 4 in FG attempts against ILL with only miss a 56-yard attempt at end of 1st half. Also had 2 FG's against Minn. 3 FG's against PSU in close wins.
I don't know if Martinez's absence helps are hurts Nebraska's chances. I read that the gambling houses are now pulling this game off the table. Here is one that locked out the Iowa-Nebraska game: Iowa @ Nebraska Betting Odds At FanDuel Sportsbook (https://sportsbook.fanduel.com/football/ncaa-football/iowa-@-nebraska-31086517)gotta help their chances..
gotta help their chances..?????I think we think alike but express it differently. I checked out Logan Smothers' recruiting background, and limited game time performance. Four* player. Typical Nebraska QB who runs and throws, i.e. dual threat QB. So as a high schooler he was regarded as being a very talented QB recruit.
We have no idea what the young kid will do, not enough experience/data
what we know is that Martinez was almost assured to give the game away
we don't know this about the young guy so, plus Nebraska
I think we think alike but express it differently. I checked out Logan Smothers' recruiting background, and limited game time performance. Four* player. Typical Nebraska QB who runs and throws, i.e. dual threat QB. So as a high schooler he was regarded as being a very talented QB recruit.the recruiting services saw a big difference in talent between the 2 QBs, but Haarberg was hidden at Kearney Catholic High School in rural Nebraska
There appears to be a big divide between Logan Smothers and Heinrich Haaberg in talent.
#17 Iowa Hawkeyes (6-2, 9-2) at Nebraska Cornhuskers (1-7, 3-8) |
1:30 (Fri) - Lincoln, NE - BTN |
I will be interested to see what the vibe in Memorial Stadium on Friday afternoon will be. It's Thanksgiving football in Lincoln, it should be packed, and it's their last chance to the Huskers for another 9+ months. But it's also the final game in what could be the program's worst season since 1957, Scott Frost is returning, and Adrian Martinez is out. Iowa's defense is tough enough even if the Huskers had Martinez, and even though his propensity to turn the ball over is not ideal against a defense that ranks #2 in the nation in the nation in takeaways, I think still needs the threat of his explosiveness to have a shot. Iowa's quarterback situation is unclear, although my support last week for Alex Padilla looks ill advised after he got the start against Illinois...and struggled mightily. I said that while he wasn't going to complete for a percentage on par with Spencer Petras, he ability to push the ball down the field offset that, and opened up space for Tyler Goodson behind a line that does not run block up to Iowa's standard. 6-17 for 83 yards, a pick and 2 sacks. Maybe there is something to at least opening up some space for Tyler Goodson? Maybe? Goodson's 132 rushing yards was arguably his best performance of the season considering that his only higher rushing totals came against Kent State and Northwestern. But even that probably wouldn't have been enough without a pick six, a kick return touchdown, and four field goals, including a 51 yarder. I would expect Spencer Petras to be back under center, assuming he is healthy. The story of this season has been near miss after near miss, as Nebraska has run off a five game losing streak, by an average of 6 ppg, with the biggest loss all season being 9 points. But that's with Adrian Martinez, who is not only 4th in the Big Ten in passing, but is Nebraska's second leading rusher in Big Ten play. Freshman Logan Smothers has only seen extensive quarterback reps, against Fordham on Labor Day weekend. He had a QBR of 13.4. It's unclear if Rahmir Johnson, the team's leading rusher, will be back, after missing the Wisconsin game. With Johnson out, Brody Belt, Marvin Scott III and Markese Stepp combined for 78 yards on 25 carries (3.1 ypc). That's why even with a shoulder injury that is ending his season, Adrian Martinez threw the ball a season high 35 times, the second most attempts since his freshman year. If the options are to lean on that combination of backs, or a freshman throwing the ball 35 times in his first career start, give me the Hawkeye defense. |
IOWA 31, NEBRASKA 14 |
how bad is the Flu running through Iowa?I have not heard about an outbreak of flu on the Iowa football team. COVID19 is now as high as last November when so many died. I have not heard of a COVID outbreak on the football team.
i heard it is pretty bad with many players affected is this true or a deflection?
Nebraska now down by 7 in a game they were controlling 14-0 to start. Will they ever win a game? Jesus this team finds ways to lose.Should not have been close. I don't think any of the reviews should have resulted in reversal. The Big Ten has review officials who do not apply the rules. Iowa should have won by 14. If Goodson had not fumbled on the Nebraska 6, it would have been a 21 point Iowa win.
Should not have been close. I don't think any of the reviews should have resulted in reversal. The Big Ten has review officials who do not apply the rules. Iowa should have won by 14. If Goodson had not fumbled on the Nebraska 6, it would have been a 21 point Iowa win.You got to give Iowa credit, they had a few bad breaks in the first 3Q but they did not quit. Iowa had a TD in 1Q overturned. A couple of targeting calls on Neb that were overturned. And then Iowa fumbled in the red zone. But Iowa kept pushing and pushing until the breaks started to even out.
You got to give Iowa credit, they had a few bad breaks in the first 3Q but they did not quit. Iowa had a TD in 1Q overturned. A couple of targeting calls on Neb that were overturned. And then Iowa fumbled in the red zone. But Iowa kept pushing and pushing until the breaks started to even out.Frost will turn it around. Smothers is the QB of the future.
But Neb just seems to be broken, when the breaks started going against them, they just kind of collapsed. Ok I know Neb did not actually give up,, but Iowa's defense and special teams deserved some credit for making it look like Neb gave uo.
But in the end we all know Neb is much better than its record. Special teams cost Neb at least 3 wins this year. If they can get at least get that fixed next year, Neb will start winning some games.
how bad is the Flu running through Iowa?Apparently it was bad. Iowa football mailbag: Who's starting at quarterback going forward? (hawkcentral.com)
i heard it is pretty bad with many players affected is this true or a deflection?
Nebraska scored 239 points and allowed 239 points in B1G play....and went 1-8. Jesus.the curse is REAL and strong
Fearless, you will appreciate this. Behind the Mic: Iowa @ Nebraska - YouTube (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=efSGbysnO0c)Geeeeezzz!
No Bud Fat - trying to fit into your fancy Holiday garb?oh, there was Bud Fat
Fearless, you will appreciate this. Behind the Mic: Iowa @ Nebraska - YouTube (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=efSGbysnO0c)Is that state run television?Hours and hours of espousing the virtues of Kirk Ferentz led Meh - hard pass.Time well spent painting the garage .It would be tough watching 6hrs of Lombardi's Packers 5 NFL Titles. Maybe North Dallas Forty or The Longest Yard
You're hitting the links wed. again?yup, and Thursday