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The Power Five => Big Ten => Topic started by: medinabuckeye1 on October 23, 2021, 10:24:58 PM

Title: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 23, 2021, 10:24:58 PM
Link to last week (https://www.cfb51.com/big-ten/b1g-power-rankings-week-7-24414/):

Votes through @TyphonInc (https://www.cfb51.com/index.php?action=profile;u=8) , 15 voters:
(https://i.imgur.com/IUSIB0f.png)
Drop the high and low:
(https://i.imgur.com/JIADFPm.png)
Schedule/performance table:
(https://i.imgur.com/ybCn347.png)

GOTY progression:

COTY Progression:
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Mdot21 on October 23, 2021, 11:05:57 PM
1) Ohio State - good luck to the rest of the B1G trying to stop that offense.

2) Michigan - pedestrian QB going to hurt them in the biggest games, methinks.

3) Michigan State - they just keep winning. solid team all-around.

4) Iowa - looks like the west is still theirs for the taking.

5) Penn State - OUCH. Looking worse by the week.

6) Wisconsin - got their S's back today. they could still win the west but I got my money on the Hawkeyes.

7) Minnesota - here by default. still think they lose to Wisconsin and Iowa.

8) Purdue - tough loss. they need to figure that offense out asap.

9) Nebraska - better than their record indicates.

10) Maryland - inconsistent- can score points on offense when clicking, but also turn it over a lot when off

11) Illinois - shocking, gritty W today. Maybe Bert starting to turn the tide there?

12) Indiana - beaten down and decimated- they look broken and defeated.

13) Northwestern - they suck, mostly.

14) Rutger - self-explanatory.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: um1963 on October 23, 2021, 11:57:13 PM
1) OSU

2-14) LOL

It's just like every other year where the rest of the conference is pedestrian. College football is broken.  It was laughable that Iowa got to spend a week ranked #2.  Every other major conference is basically the same 9 times out of 10.  It wouldn't bother me if OSU or Alabama made the playoff with two losses.  It would be criminal if they were left out.  They're still better than any other team you could slide in there.  Let the best teams play and we can quit pretending that teams like Cincy have any business in the discussion.

If you somehow disagree watch the movie Groundhog Day then just hang in there for a few more weeks until OSU gets the chance to murder PSU, MSU, UM and the West champion.  OSU is saving their biggest beatdown for UM to make up for not getting the chance last year.  Harbaugh will stand on the sidelines with a dumbfounded look on his face and in the post game interview try he'll try to pretend he's Bo and speak as if he teleported here from the 1960's.  Then they'll lose their bowl game and he'll coach again next year.

Save this post, re-read it in early December and ask yourself how could this man have possibly so accurately foretold the future?
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Hawkinole on October 24, 2021, 12:32:16 AM
(https://i.imgur.com/FMK20pJ.png)
There is a lot of parity in the FBS. I am not sure Ohio State has parity with any other Big Ten team, but I think so. If they would play a team with a defense, we may find out more.
If Ohio State wins out they should be in the four-team playoff. I do not expect the Sooners to win-out. They have been winning, luckily over lesser teams. They have TTU, @Baylor, Iowa State, and @Okie State. And, then the Big 12 championship game. I expect them to lose 2x
If Kansas's QB Jason Bean had finished off running the ball into the end zone today against Oklahoma, instead of sliding at the 4-yard line, the game result might have turned out different. I understand Jason Bean is a string bean and was trying to avoid injury, but he had a path to the end zone; they settled for a field goal.
I am curious if Alabama has 2-losses and if Wake Forest is a 0 or 1-loss team, whether Wake Forest makes the playoff.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Hawkinole on October 24, 2021, 12:37:15 AM
1) OSU

2-14) LOL
Welcome, and I thought the same, but ties are not included when the results of this thread are calculated. Hopefully we can get you to recalibrate. I look forward to the results each week.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: RestingB!tchFace on October 24, 2021, 01:25:48 AM
1) OSU

2-14) LOL

It's just like every other year where the rest of the conference is pedestrian. College football is broken.  It was laughable that Iowa got to spend a week ranked #2.  Every other major conference is basically the same 9 times out of 10.  It wouldn't bother me if OSU or Alabama made the playoff with two losses.  It would be criminal if they were left out.  They're still better than any other team you could slide in there.  Let the best teams play and we can quit pretending that teams like Cincy have any business in the discussion.

If you somehow disagree watch the movie Groundhog Day then just hang in there for a few more weeks until OSU gets the chance to murder PSU, MSU, UM and the West champion.  OSU is saving their biggest beatdown for UM to make up for not getting the chance last year.  Harbaugh will stand on the sidelines with a dumbfounded look on his face and in the post game interview try he'll try to pretend he's Bo and speak as if he teleported here from the 1960's.  Then they'll lose their bowl game and he'll coach again next year.

Save this post, re-read it in early December and ask yourself how could this man have possibly so accurately foretold the future?

Wrong.  It would not "be criminal" if a two loss team was left out of the playoffs.  Two losses would indicate that neither earned the right to be there.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: MaximumSam on October 24, 2021, 07:29:52 AM
1. Ohio State: Feel like I'm cursing teams in this spot, so I should probably put Michigan here. But OSU's offense sure looks like the best thing in the B1G, and the defense is worlds better than what they were. Indiana is not trash on defense, but they had no hope. They are trash on offense, so still unsure what to make of OSU's defense, other than generally they are where they are supposed to be and make plays sometimes, so that's a big improvement.
2. Michigan: Run the ball and play defense, and you can win a lot of games. They are what Wisconsin is supposed to be.
3. Michigan State: Team still difficult to define, but hey we get a top ten Michigan matchup.
4. Iowa: Play defense and neither run nor pass.
5. PSU: Good lord was that a terrible performance. I really didn't see that level of ineptitude on offense coming.
6. Minnesota: Bowling Green is a distant memory, and the past couple wins have been impressive.
7. Wisconsin: Run the ball and play defense, they are at least doing that. But man, if they can't get anything out of their quarterback, tough to pick them.
8. Purdue: Another team I never know what to expect.
9. Nebraska: Would be nice if they win a game here and there.
10. Illinois: Probably too high, but they have wins over two teams above them, so maybe too low?
11. Maryland: Their offense has gone in the crapper. Their defense was already in the crapper.
12. Indiana: The offense felt like they might figure something out, then Tuttle got squished.
13. Northwestern: Throw this year in the woodchipper.
14. Rutgers: Hopefully they get something going, hate to see Rutgers get chomped every week.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: LittlePig on October 24, 2021, 08:15:08 AM
A lot of great games in the the upcoming week that should settle a lot of power ranking arguments.  MSU/Mich,  Iowa/Wisc,  PSU/OSU,  even Neb/Pur and Rut/ILL

1.  OSU - Obviously
2.  MSU - the MSU/Mich question will be settled this upcoming week.
3.  Mich -  see above
4.  Iowa -  the Iowa/Wisc question will be settled this upcoming week.
5.  Wisc -  see above
6.  Minn -  team has been pretty decent except when they play the MAC
7.  PSU -  PSU's offense only works when Clifford can run.  Last chance to turn things around coming up in OSU/PSU game, but PSU could be flat after 9OT marathon.
8.  Neb - The Neb/Pur question will be solved in the upcoming week
9.  Pur - see above
10.  ILL -  great effort against PSU,  too bad they can't do that every week.    Has great chance to move up with game coming against Rutgers, but ILL will probably be flat after 9OT game.
11.  MD - the MD/Ind question will be settled in the upcoming week.
12.  Ind. - see above
13.  NW -  better than Rutgers at least
14.  Rut -  welcome back to your old home at the bottom.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Temp430 on October 24, 2021, 08:39:06 AM
1. Ohio State
———-
2. Michigan State over
3. Michigan based on results of common opponents
4. Wisconsin
5. Iowa
————
6. Penn State
7. Minnesota
8. Purdue
9. Nebraska
10. Maryland
———-
11. Indiana
12. Illinois
13. Northwestern 
14. Rutgers
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: MrNubbz on October 24, 2021, 09:04:56 AM
Save this post, re-read it in early December and ask yourself how could this man have possibly so accurately foretold the future?
Just give me Mondays Powerball number to save time and suspense
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: 847badgerfan on October 24, 2021, 09:21:31 AM
1. Ohio State
2. Michigan
3. Michigan State
4. Iowa
5. Minnesota
6. Wisconsin
7. Penn State
8. Purdue
9. Nebraska
10. Illinois
11. Northwestern
12. Indiana
13. Maryland
14. Rutger
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Cincydawg on October 24, 2021, 09:28:39 AM
I've argued OSU was at the top even with the Oregon loss.  I agree with the first ranking above.  The middle teams expectedly play up and down.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: FearlessF on October 24, 2021, 09:45:09 AM
1) OSU

2-14) LOL

It's just like every other year where the rest of the conference is pedestrian. College football is broken.  It was laughable that Iowa got to spend a week ranked #2.  Every other major conference is basically the same 9 times out of 10.  It wouldn't bother me if OSU or Alabama made the playoff with two losses.  It would be criminal if they were left out.  They're still better than any other team you could slide in there.  Let the best teams play and we can quit pretending that teams like Cincy have any business in the discussion.

If you somehow disagree watch the movie Groundhog Day then just hang in there for a few more weeks until OSU gets the chance to murder PSU, MSU, UM and the West champion.  OSU is saving their biggest beatdown for UM to make up for not getting the chance last year.  Harbaugh will stand on the sidelines with a dumbfounded look on his face and in the post game interview try he'll try to pretend he's Bo and speak as if he teleported here from the 1960's.  Then they'll lose their bowl game and he'll coach again next year.

Save this post, re-read it in early December and ask yourself how could this man have possibly so accurately foretold the future?
welcome aboard, young man
strong first post, I like it
might not agree with ALL of it, but I like it
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: FearlessF on October 24, 2021, 09:46:00 AM
1. Ohio State
2. Michigan
3. Michigan State
4. Iowa
5. Minnesota
6. Wisconsin
7. Penn State
8. Purdue
9. Nebraska
10. Illinois
11. Northwestern
12. Indiana
13. Maryland
14. Rutger
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Benthere2 on October 24, 2021, 11:50:42 AM
1  Michigan
2  OSU
3  Iowa
4  MSU
5  Wisconsin
6  Minnesota
7  PSU
8  Purdue
9  Illinois
10 Maryland
11 Nebraska
12 Northwestern
13 Rutgers
14 Indiana

Its going to be an interesting month 
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: iahawk15 on October 24, 2021, 11:58:35 AM
1) Ohio State (1)
2) Michigan (3)
3) Iowa (4)
4) Michigan State (5)
5) Wisconsin (6)
6) Penn State (2)
7) Minnesota (8)
8) Nebraska (10)
9) Purdue (9)
10) Maryland (7)
11) Indiana (11)
12) Northwestern (12)
13) Illinois (14)
14) Rutgers (13)

Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: um1963 on October 24, 2021, 12:42:36 PM
Just give me Mondays Powerball number to save time and suspense
Lotteries are rigged my friend, plan for retirement through other means.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Cincydawg on October 24, 2021, 12:52:46 PM
Lotteries are rigged my friend, plan for retirement through other means.
Rigged?  Do you mean nonrandom?
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: um1963 on October 24, 2021, 12:57:04 PM
Wrong.  It would not "be criminal" if a two loss team was left out of the playoffs.  Two losses would indicate that neither earned the right to be there.
Records are mostly irrelevant because season schedules vary drastically from team to team.  It's a pipe dream but having an objective, knowledgeable committee evaluate teams based on their on field performance is much preferred.  There are metrics that are very telling other than wins/losses.

This year it's Alabama, OSU and most likely Georgia.  Everybody else is playing for the honor to be manhandled in the semi-finals by one of these three.  This season is no different than any other in recent memory with the exception that Clemson is in a reloading year.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: um1963 on October 24, 2021, 01:02:44 PM
Rigged?  Do you mean nonrandom?
Likely, yes.  But more importantly you and will never win that I can assure you.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: RestingB!tchFace on October 24, 2021, 01:42:18 PM
Records are mostly irrelevant because season schedules vary drastically from team to team.  It's a pipe dream but having an objective, knowledgeable committee evaluate teams based on their on field performance is much preferred.  There are metrics that are very telling other than wins/losses.

This year it's Alabama, OSU and most likely Georgia.  Everybody else is playing for the honor to be manhandled in the semi-finals by one of these three.  This season is no different than any other in recent memory with the exception that Clemson is in a reloading year.

No.....records are not irrelevant.  You earn your way to the playoffs by winning games.  If you slip up....you lose the opportunity.  Under your suggestion.....you might as well give teams like Alabama and OSU automatic bids....because they always bring in more talent than most other teams.  Either team loses another game and they are out.  Tough break....but it turns out that the best teams don't always win the NC, the Super Bowl, the NBA Finals, the World Series, and so on.  If you lost two games in a season.....you aren't the best team.  The best teams win their games.  Simple as that.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: um1963 on October 24, 2021, 02:06:33 PM
No.....records are not irrelevant.  You earn your way to the playoffs by winning games.  If you slip up....you lose the opportunity.  Under your suggestion.....you might as well give teams like Alabama and OSU automatic bids....because they always bring in more talent than most other teams.  Either team loses another game and they are out.  Tough break....but it turns out that the best teams don't always win the NC, the Super Bowl, the NBA Finals, the World Series, and so on.  If you lost two games in a season.....you aren't the best team.  The best teams win their games.  Simple as that.
A two loss Alabama or OSU would destroy an undefeated Cincy, SMU, WF, UTSA, and San Diego St.  They would also beat an undefeated MSU, UM and Oklahoma 8 times out of 10.  There is years of data to support this.  College football is a small handful of haves and a shitload of have nots.

If you want to watch competitive games during the playoff then you have to leave the have nots at home.  
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: RestingB!tchFace on October 24, 2021, 02:23:53 PM
A two loss Alabama or OSU would destroy an undefeated Cincy, SMU, WF, UTSA, and San Diego St.  They would also beat an undefeated MSU, UM and Oklahoma 8 times out of 10.  There is years of data to support this.  College football is a small handful of haves and a shitload of have nots.

If you want to watch competitive games during the playoff then you have to leave the have nots at home. 

Alabama will have their shot when they play Georgia for the SEC Championship.  They lose and that's all we need to know.  Time to give another team a shot.  OSU should run the table here.  The game against Michigan is their one question.  If they take a second loss against an undefeated Michigan team.....that's all that needs to be said.  Michigan is in over them.

Results matter.  If a team drops two games in a season.....they aren't a championship team.  A championship team wins their games ALL year.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on October 24, 2021, 02:32:20 PM

Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: um1963 on October 24, 2021, 05:13:26 PM
Alabama will have their shot when they play Georgia for the SEC Championship.  They lose and that's all we need to know.  Time to give another team a shot.  OSU should run the table here.  The game against Michigan is their one question.  If they take a second loss against an undefeated Michigan team.....that's all that needs to be said.  Michigan is in over them.

Results matter.  If a team drops two games in a season.....they aren't a championship team.  A championship team wins their games ALL year.
I'd still take Alabama over the have nots in this scenario.  That would be a competitive early season loss in a hostile night game environment, winning one of the toughest divisions in the country and losing to the top ranked team in the country.  It's still better than what Cincy has to offer with that one win against mediocre Notre Dame.  Teams that schedule a cakewalk but can't back it up come playoff time don't belong in the discussion.

UM doesn't have the coaching, personnel or even culture to be honest to entertain the possibility of them upsetting OSU.  At best they'll lose to OSU and their bowl game to finish with 2 losses.  Wins over MSU and PSU aren't a given but I consider them slight favorites in both games at the moment.

I'd like to see other teams in the playoff, but they need to actually be good.  The system's broken, would love to see it go back to the way it was in the 90's or expand the playoff to eight teams.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: RestingB!tchFace on October 24, 2021, 05:59:52 PM
I'd still take Alabama over the have nots in this scenario.  That would be a competitive early season loss in a hostile night game environment, winning one of the toughest divisions in the country and losing to the top ranked team in the country.  It's still better than what Cincy has to offer with that one win against mediocre Notre Dame.  Teams that schedule a cakewalk but can't back it up come playoff time don't belong in the discussion.

UM doesn't have the coaching, personnel or even culture to be honest to entertain the possibility of them upsetting OSU.  At best they'll lose to OSU and their bowl game to finish with 2 losses.  Wins over MSU and PSU aren't a given but I consider them slight favorites in both games at the moment.

I'd like to see other teams in the playoff, but they need to actually be good.  The system's broken, would love to see it go back to the way it was in the 90's or expand the playoff to eight teams.

Alabama also lost a game to a middling Texas A&M team.  Sorry....but when only four teams make the playoffs....the ones that win their games deserve the right to play.  Alabama can play themselves into the playoffs by beating Georgia.  If they can't.....two losses.....enjoy a New Year's Bowl and be better next year.

As for your UM/OSU claims.....I agree.  Which is why OSU should be expected to win out.  There isn't a team in the Big Ten that should be able to run with them.....but Michigan is probably the closest.  And if Michigan beats OSU....they'll be undefeated and will likely represent the East in the championship.  There'd be no scenario in which a zero or one loss Michigan team that beat OSU straight up would be left out in favor of a two loss OSU team.  No chance.

The fact is.....with only four teams in the playoffs.....almost every week in the NCAA is a faux playoff game.  But teams like Alabama and OSU are given the benefit of the doubt already and year after year top the list of one loss teams when the playoffs are determined.  What would be broken would be for the committee to ignore regular season results and award teams that don't play great during that stretch.  Eventually the playoffs will be expanded and the best two loss teams might sneak in.  But until that point....it's just not going to happen....nor should it.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: um1963 on October 25, 2021, 12:39:00 AM
Alabama also lost a game to a middling Texas A&M team.  Sorry....but when only four teams make the playoffs....the ones that win their games deserve the right to play.  Alabama can play themselves into the playoffs by beating Georgia.  If they can't.....two losses.....enjoy a New Year's Bowl and be better next year.

As for your UM/OSU claims.....I agree.  Which is why OSU should be expected to win out.  There isn't a team in the Big Ten that should be able to run with them.....but Michigan is probably the closest.  And if Michigan beats OSU....they'll be undefeated and will likely represent the East in the championship.  There'd be no scenario in which a zero or one loss Michigan team that beat OSU straight up would be left out in favor of a two loss OSU team.  No chance.

The fact is.....with only four teams in the playoffs.....almost every week in the NCAA is a faux playoff game.  But teams like Alabama and OSU are given the benefit of the doubt already and year after year top the list of one loss teams when the playoffs are determined.  What would be broken would be for the committee to ignore regular season results and award teams that don't play great during that stretch.  Eventually the playoffs will be expanded and the best two loss teams might sneak in.  But until that point....it's just not going to happen....nor should it.
Blindly ranking teams by record leads to poor playoff matchups and encourages scheduling OOC cupcakes. Check out the Sagarin ranking of Alabama and Cincy and then compare it to the illogical AP and Coaches polls.  There's a reason for the disparity.  Would Cincy be undefeated right now if they played Alabama's schedule?  It's not black and white.

Suggesting that Alabama and OSU receive the benefit of the doubt as if it's unwarranted is a little disingenuous.  They are literally two of only three programs that have displayed multiple years of dominance with no other school being close.

Go back and check out the results when Washington, MSU and Notre Dame made the playoffs.  They had good seasons, but they were all predictably run off the field.  Did they deserve the right to get manhandled or would they have been better off playing in a more competitive New Year's Bowl game?

Since there's only four spots to fill you have to place the most competitive teams.  The most competitive teams don't always win their conference and finish the season undefeated.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on October 25, 2021, 12:49:35 AM
You guys are acting like OSU has never been left out of the playoffs with only one loss before. 

Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Temp430 on October 25, 2021, 07:06:51 AM
1) OSU

2-14) LOL

It's just like every other year where the rest of the conference is pedestrian. College football is broken.  It was laughable that Iowa got to spend a week ranked #2.  Every other major conference is basically the same 9 times out of 10.  It wouldn't bother me if OSU or Alabama made the playoff with two losses.  It would be criminal if they were left out.  They're still better than any other team you could slide in there.  Let the best teams play and we can quit pretending that teams like Cincy have any business in the discussion.

If you somehow disagree watch the movie Groundhog Day then just hang in there for a few more weeks until OSU gets the chance to murder PSU, MSU, UM and the West champion.  OSU is saving their biggest beatdown for UM to make up for not getting the chance last year.  Harbaugh will stand on the sidelines with a dumbfounded look on his face and in the post game interview try he'll try to pretend he's Bo and speak as if he teleported here from the 1960's.  Then they'll lose their bowl game and he'll coach again next year.

Save this post, re-read it in early December and ask yourself how could this man have possibly so accurately foretold the future?
Some of us have been putting the Buckeyes at #1 since week 1.  Don't agree with the idea of beat downs.  OSU is not quite as dominate on defense as past years but could get there eventually.  No one in the Big Ten has recruited as well as Ohio State for like 15 years.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: NorthernOhioBuckeye on October 25, 2021, 10:26:28 AM


Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 25, 2021, 11:57:07 AM


Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 25, 2021, 12:00:44 PM
Rankings preview, votes through me, 13 voters:


Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: ELA on October 25, 2021, 12:02:04 PM
Last week in parenthesis

Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on October 25, 2021, 12:05:09 PM
    PURDUE (6) - if Purdue's best team in 15 years can't win at home against Wisconsin's worst in that time, will they ever?
Barry will eventually retire, his replacement will decide to get cute and bring in an air raid guy or something, and then Purdue might have a shot.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 25, 2021, 12:05:59 PM
A VERY interesting weekend coming up.  This weekend's matchups per the tentative rankings posted above:



All 14 teams playing league games, four of the seven games involve teams adjacent in the rankings, and none involve teams separated by more than six spots.  I see this as seven games that could each realistically go either way.  
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: 847badgerfan on October 25, 2021, 01:47:45 PM
Barry will eventually retire, his replacement will decide to get cute and bring in an air raid guy or something, and then Purdue might have a shot.
Eventually, as in June 2021?
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: MrNubbz on October 25, 2021, 01:52:49 PM
That's what I thought but maybe missed BA changing his mind
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: TyphonInc on October 25, 2021, 02:08:07 PM
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 25, 2021, 04:21:11 PM
  • Michigan
  • Michigan State
  • Iowa
  • Ohio State
We get it, you are not a homer.  You don't need to be out-and-out ridiculous to prove it.  

I guess I can see Michigan and MSU because they are undefeated but Iowa lost to freaking Purdue.  Ok, Ohio State lost to Oregon and you may not think Oregon is all that good but 6-1 and #7 Oregon is most certainly better than 4-3 and unranked Purdue.  

Common opponents for tOSU and the three teams that you have ranked ahead of them:

Eventually Ohio State will probably have at least one game in which they don't do quite as well against that opponent as at least one of the teams that you rank ahead of them but for now what are you looking at?  

Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 25, 2021, 04:30:29 PM
Common opponent comparison for all teams:


Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Cincydawg on October 25, 2021, 04:55:01 PM
I've had OSU #1 from the beginning, and still do.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: RestingB!tchFace on October 25, 2021, 06:18:49 PM
Blindly ranking teams by record leads to poor playoff matchups and encourages scheduling OOC cupcakes. Check out the Sagarin ranking of Alabama and Cincy and then compare it to the illogical AP and Coaches polls.  There's a reason for the disparity.  Would Cincy be undefeated right now if they played Alabama's schedule?  It's not black and white.

Suggesting that Alabama and OSU receive the benefit of the doubt as if it's unwarranted is a little disingenuous.  They are literally two of only three programs that have displayed multiple years of dominance with no other school being close.

Go back and check out the results when Washington, MSU and Notre Dame made the playoffs.  They had good seasons, but they were all predictably run off the field.  Did they deserve the right to get manhandled or would they have been better off playing in a more competitive New Year's Bowl game?

Since there's only four spots to fill you have to place the most competitive teams.  The most competitive teams don't always win their conference and finish the season undefeated.

"Blindly ranking teams"!?  Teams are blindly ranked to begin every season.  This Alabama team doesn't hold a candle to the last few Alabama teams.  They get a free pass to the playoffs over other teams with only one or zero losses because of historic results?  Get real.  Georgia appears to be the best team in the nation.  Alabama can prove they belong by beating them.  If they don't.....they just lost to a playoff team.  Good bye.

OSU has a clear path to the CFP.  The way they're playing....nobody us standing in their way.  I think Michigan is playing great and will give them a game.....but if they are a national title contender.....they will sweep the floor on the way to the playoffs.  If they slip up?....well.....they aren't one of the best teams in the nation.  Games get played on the field....not paper.  Results matter.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 26, 2021, 12:53:47 PM
Results posted, votes through @TyphonInc (https://www.cfb51.com/index.php?action=profile;u=8) , 15 voters.  

Here are the things that at least half of us agree on:



Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 26, 2021, 01:03:34 PM
Ranking each team based on relative performance against league opponents so far:


Method:

Examples:
Ohio State:
Wisconsin:

Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on October 26, 2021, 01:33:18 PM
A two loss Alabama or OSU would destroy an undefeated Cincy, SMU, WF, UTSA, and San Diego St.  They would also beat an undefeated MSU, UM and Oklahoma 8 times out of 10.  There is years of data to support this.  College football is a small handful of haves and a shitload of have nots.

If you want to watch competitive games during the playoff then you have to leave the have nots at home. 
@um1963 (https://www.cfb51.com/index.php?action=profile;u=1882) First of all, welcome to CFB51! Always good to see new faces here.

As someone new here, the debate we're having is essentially something that has been rehashed back and forth here over many years, and is a microcosm of the same debate being rehashed across the college football world over the years...

Should the BCS/CFP teams be the "best teams" in the country, or should they be the "most deserving teams" in the country?

I agree with you that a 2-loss Alabama or OSU is the "better" team than any even undefeated G5 team, and is a "better" team than quite a few 1-loss conference champions. That doesn't mean they "deserve" a slot in a 4-team playoff. 

The CFP is a balance between best and most deserving. Losing twice means you don't deserve entry to such a rarified field. Even if you're one of the 4 best in the country. 
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 26, 2021, 05:12:36 PM
@um1963 (https://www.cfb51.com/index.php?action=profile;u=1882) First of all, welcome to CFB51! Always good to see new faces here.

As someone new here, the debate we're having is essentially something that has been rehashed back and forth here over many years, and is a microcosm of the same debate being rehashed across the college football world over the years...

Should the BCS/CFP teams be the "best teams" in the country, or should they be the "most deserving teams" in the country?

I agree with you that a 2-loss Alabama or OSU is the "better" team than any even undefeated G5 team, and is a "better" team than quite a few 1-loss conference champions. That doesn't mean they "deserve" a slot in a 4-team playoff.

The CFP is a balance between best and most deserving. Losing twice means you don't deserve entry to such a rarified field. Even if you're one of the 4 best in the country.
FWIW, I think that a 2-loss tOSU, Bama, or ANY other P5 Champion should absolutely go to the CFP ahead of an undefeated Cincy.  Lets look at Cincy and since this is a B1G board I'll start with the B1G team that they played, Indiana. 

Cincy won the game 38-24. 

Compare to the B1G teams that the Hoosiers have played:


The Cincy/IU game was competitive and either team could have won.  The IU/MSU game was similarly competitive and either team could have won.  Indiana's games against tOSU, Iowa, and Penn State were one-sided blowouts in which tOSU, Iowa, and PSU were obviously vastly superior teams. 

Now you could argue that tOSU faced a depleted IU to which I'd say ok, ignore tOSU and explain Iowa/PSU. 

If you want an illustration of the EVERY YEAR gap between the top of the G5 and the top of the P5 simply look at Cincy two years ago.  The 2019 Bearcats were one of the best teams in all of the G5.  Memphis was that year's AAC Champion and G5 rep in the CFP Bowls.  Cincy played Memphis twice both in Memphis and both were competitive games with Memphis winning by 10 and 5 points. 

What would have happened if Cincy had played a top P5 school that year?  Well, you don't need to speculate, they did.  Cincy played Ohio State on September 7 and got absolutely annihilated.  The Buckeyes led 28-0 at halftime and cruised to a 42-0 win.  The Buckeyes outgained Cincy 508-273 and had more first downs 31-13.  These stats were even more slanted while the game was still plausibly in doubt.  Cincy had six possessions in the first half.  One of them went for 12 plays and 66 yards and resulted in a blocked 32 yard FG.  The other five:

Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: MaximumSam on October 26, 2021, 05:23:16 PM
FWIW, I think that a 2-loss tOSU, Bama, or ANY other P5 Champion should absolutely go to the CFP ahead of an undefeated Cincy.  Lets look at Cincy and since this is a B1G board I'll start with the B1G team that they played, Indiana. 

Cincy won the game 38-24. 
  • Indiana led 7-0 at the end of the first quarter. 
  • In the second quarter Indiana scored another TD while Cincy scored a TD and a FG. 
  • Indiana led 14-10 at the half. 
  • Cincy took their first lead late in the third quarter at 17-4 then Indiana scored on the ensuing drive to regain the lead 21-17. 
  • Cincy regained the lead by returning the kickoff after IU retook the lead but missed the XP and thus led 23-21. 
  • Cincy took the lead for good in the fourth quarter at 30-24. 
  • Cincy scored a late TD to ice the game and won 38-24 after getting the 2pt conversion. 

Compare to the B1G teams that the Hoosiers have played:
  • Ohio State won by 33 more points, scoring 16 more and giving up 17 less.  Ohio State never trailed, took the lead for good in the first quarter, and led 44-7 at halftime. 
  • Iowa won by 14 more points, scoring 4 less and giving up 18 less.  Iowa never trailed, took the lead for good in the first quarter, and led 31-3 at halftime. 
  • Penn State won by 10 more points, scoring 14 less but giving up 24 less.  Penn State never trailed, took the lead for good in the second quarter, and led 14-0 at halftime. 
  • MSU won by 9 less, scoring 18 less and giving up 9 less.  MSU took the lead for good in the third quarter. 


The Cincy/IU game was competitive and either team could have won.  The IU/MSU game was similarly competitive and either team could have won.  Indiana's games against tOSU, Iowa, and Penn State were one-sided blowouts in which tOSU, Iowa, and PSU were obviously vastly superior teams. 

Now you could argue that tOSU faced a depleted IU to which I'd say ok, ignore tOSU and explain Iowa/PSU. 

If you want an illustration of the EVERY YEAR gap between the top of the G5 and the top of the P5 simply look at Cincy two years ago.  The 2019 Bearcats were one of the best teams in all of the G5.  Memphis was that year's AAC Champion and G5 rep in the CFP Bowls.  Cincy played Memphis twice both in Memphis and both were competitive games with Memphis winning by 10 and 5 points. 

What would have happened if Cincy had played a top P5 school that year?  Well, you don't need to speculate, they did.  Cincy played Ohio State on September 7 and got absolutely annihilated.  The Buckeyes led 28-0 at halftime and cruised to a 42-0 win.  The Buckeyes outgained Cincy 508-273 and had more first downs 31-13.  These stats were even more slanted while the game was still plausibly in doubt.  Cincy had six possessions in the first half.  One of them went for 12 plays and 66 yards and resulted in a blocked 32 yard FG.  The other five:
  • 3 plays, 2 yards, punt
  • 4 plays, 15 yards, punt
  • 3 plays, 2 yards, punt
  • 4 plays, 19 yards, punt
  • 4 plays, 19 yards, punt


Gotta say, the logic is poor on this post. You compare 2019 OSU, one of the most statistically dominant teams in college football history, to a good but not great Cincy team that finished 11-3. OSU that year beat every single team they played (besides Clemson) by double digits.  You then use that to say any P5 champ deserves a bid over Cincy. So you are saying Pitt, or Wake Forest, automatically deserve a nod over what may be a superior Cincy team, solely because they are in a "superior" conference. Further, OSU won a national championship with a very hairy win over Cincinnati, so even using just those two teams, not sure the comparison holds.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Cincydawg on October 26, 2021, 05:34:57 PM
Is there a team in the AP Top Ten that would not be favored over Cincy?  Maybe Ole Miss, Iowa?  Michigan State?  

I think any of the top 7 would be favored by 7 points or more, the top two by double digits.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: MaximumSam on October 26, 2021, 05:42:00 PM
Feel confident they would be underdogs to Georgia, Bama, OSU, and Michigan. Uncertain on Oklahoma. Probably favored over Oregon, MSU, Iowa, and Ole Miss.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Abba on October 26, 2021, 05:56:19 PM
1) Ohio State - still not sure about the defense
2) Michigan - when will JJ play?
3) Michigan State - bye
4) Iowa - bye
5) Wisconsin - best defense in the league, running game warming up
6) Penn State - do they care anymore?
7) Minnesota - looking solid
8) Purdue - same old same old
9) Nebraska - bye
10) Maryland - still could get 2 more wins
11) Illinois - showed some life
12) Indiana - defense looked bad, where were the creative blitzes?
13) Northwestern - hung in there for a half
14) Rutger - bye
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on October 26, 2021, 05:59:26 PM
Always fun to watch folks start with a conclusion, then work backwards. 
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on October 26, 2021, 07:02:58 PM
FWIW, I think that a 2-loss tOSU, Bama, or ANY other P5 Champion should absolutely go to the CFP ahead of an undefeated Cincy.  Lets look at Cincy and since this is a B1G board I'll start with the B1G team that they played, Indiana. 

Cincy won the game 38-24. 
  • Indiana led 7-0 at the end of the first quarter. 
  • In the second quarter Indiana scored another TD while Cincy scored a TD and a FG. 
  • Indiana led 14-10 at the half. 
  • Cincy took their first lead late in the third quarter at 17-4 then Indiana scored on the ensuing drive to regain the lead 21-17. 
  • Cincy regained the lead by returning the kickoff after IU retook the lead but missed the XP and thus led 23-21. 
  • Cincy took the lead for good in the fourth quarter at 30-24. 
  • Cincy scored a late TD to ice the game and won 38-24 after getting the 2pt conversion. 

Compare to the B1G teams that the Hoosiers have played:
  • Ohio State won by 33 more points, scoring 16 more and giving up 17 less.  Ohio State never trailed, took the lead for good in the first quarter, and led 44-7 at halftime. 
  • Iowa won by 14 more points, scoring 4 less and giving up 18 less.  Iowa never trailed, took the lead for good in the first quarter, and led 31-3 at halftime. 
  • Penn State won by 10 more points, scoring 14 less but giving up 24 less.  Penn State never trailed, took the lead for good in the second quarter, and led 14-0 at halftime. 
  • MSU won by 9 less, scoring 18 less and giving up 9 less.  MSU took the lead for good in the third quarter. 


The Cincy/IU game was competitive and either team could have won.  The IU/MSU game was similarly competitive and either team could have won.  Indiana's games against tOSU, Iowa, and Penn State were one-sided blowouts in which tOSU, Iowa, and PSU were obviously vastly superior teams. 

Now you could argue that tOSU faced a depleted IU to which I'd say ok, ignore tOSU and explain Iowa/PSU. 

If you want an illustration of the EVERY YEAR gap between the top of the G5 and the top of the P5 simply look at Cincy two years ago.  The 2019 Bearcats were one of the best teams in all of the G5.  Memphis was that year's AAC Champion and G5 rep in the CFP Bowls.  Cincy played Memphis twice both in Memphis and both were competitive games with Memphis winning by 10 and 5 points. 

What would have happened if Cincy had played a top P5 school that year?  Well, you don't need to speculate, they did.  Cincy played Ohio State on September 7 and got absolutely annihilated.  The Buckeyes led 28-0 at halftime and cruised to a 42-0 win.  The Buckeyes outgained Cincy 508-273 and had more first downs 31-13.  These stats were even more slanted while the game was still plausibly in doubt.  Cincy had six possessions in the first half.  One of them went for 12 plays and 66 yards and resulted in a blocked 32 yard FG.  The other five:
  • 3 plays, 2 yards, punt
  • 4 plays, 15 yards, punt
  • 3 plays, 2 yards, punt
  • 4 plays, 19 yards, punt
  • 4 plays, 19 yards, punt


Don't care.

It's not like Cincy is a flash in the pan. Their last 3 seasons prior to 2021: 11-2 with a narrow bowl win over VT, 11-3 with a bowl blowout over BC, and 9-1 with their only loss being a 3 point loss to UGA. 

If you want to argue a 12-1 P5 conference winner over an undefeated Cincy? Ok. I'll entertain the argument. Cincy's argument for "deserve to be there" is somewhat predicated on there not being "more deserving" teams to be there. 

But if you want to argue an 11-2 P5 conference winner over an undefeated Cincy? No. An 11-2 conference winner over a 1-loss Cincy? Sure. But not over an undefeated Cincy. 

I admit a top P5 school is BETTER than Cincy. But if you don't even let them in at that point? Just break it into two divisions and officially block them out of ever appearing in the CFP. Because you'll NEVER let them in if you don't let them in over a 2-loss P5 helmet.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: um1963 on October 26, 2021, 10:52:33 PM
@um1963 (https://www.cfb51.com/index.php?action=profile;u=1882) First of all, welcome to CFB51! Always good to see new faces here.

As someone new here, the debate we're having is essentially something that has been rehashed back and forth here over many years, and is a microcosm of the same debate being rehashed across the college football world over the years...

Should the BCS/CFP teams be the "best teams" in the country, or should they be the "most deserving teams" in the country?

I agree with you that a 2-loss Alabama or OSU is the "better" team than any even undefeated G5 team, and is a "better" team than quite a few 1-loss conference champions. That doesn't mean they "deserve" a slot in a 4-team playoff.

The CFP is a balance between best and most deserving. Losing twice means you don't deserve entry to such a rarified field. Even if you're one of the 4 best in the country.
Honestly I don't believe deserving should be part of the conversation, I only wrote that in response to a previous comment.  As long as it is call the FBS Playoff Rankings then I expect the best teams to make the playoffs.  If they want to veer into deserving then just rename it the FBS Playoff Standings and be done with it.  Come the end of the season there is enough data for the committee to look at the teams and ask if a team is really talented enough to play a competitive game in the playoffs.

Schedules are greatly unbalanced, this absolutely has to be taken into consideration.  A two loss Alabama or OSU with their schedules in the two toughest divisions is much more impressive than an undefeated Cincy all day every day.

For a mid major to be taken seriously for the playoffs they need a killer OOC schedule and come out on top because their conference schedule is mostly garbage.  But at best they schedule one helmet school then whine if they run the table and get left out.  That's on their athletic director, not the P5 schools that out perform everyone else year after year, to play a schedule challenging enough to show that they are in fact one of the top four teams in the nation.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 26, 2021, 10:52:45 PM
I added @Abba (https://www.cfb51.com/index.php?action=profile;u=65) 's vote, doesn't change anything.  
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 26, 2021, 11:15:34 PM
Honestly I don't believe deserving should be part of the conversation, I only wrote that in response to a previous comment.  As long as it is call the FBS Playoff Rankings then I expect the best teams to make the playoffs.  If they want to veer into deserving then just rename it the FBS Playoff Standings and be done with it.  Come the end of the season there is enough data for the committee to look at the teams and ask if a team is really talented enough to play a competitive game in the playoffs.

Schedules are greatly unbalanced, this absolutely has to be taken into consideration.  A two loss Alabama or OSU with their schedules in the two toughest divisions is much more impressive than an undefeated Cincy all day every day.

For a mid major to be taken seriously for the playoffs they need a killer OOC schedule and come out on top because their conference schedule is mostly garbage.  But at best they schedule one helmet school then whine if they run the table and get left out.  That's on their athletic director, not the P5 schools that out perform everyone else year after year, to play a schedule challenging enough to show that they are in fact one of the top four teams in the nation.
This. 

If you want to be included, do what FSU did back in the day and take an "anyone, anywhere" approach to scheduling.  Cincy's schedule this year:
That is absolute garbage.  Even if ND is REALLY good it is only one game.  Upsets happen, how do we know that wasn't just a really bad day for Notre Dame or a really good day for Cincy or both?  We don't and can't because their next best opponent is complete garbage.  I have no idea if this ranking (http://www.mikedesimone.com/top25.htm) is any good but it looks credible enough so I'll use it, here is Cincy's schedule then I'll compare tOSU's:
Ohio State:
Purdue is considered an easy week for Ohio State, it is a game that would be embarrassing to lose (ask Iowa).  They are the 5th toughest team Ohio State will play this year and roughly equivalent to Cincy's second toughest game. 

On top of this, assuming that both Cincy and tOSU make their respective CCG's, tOSU's opponent is likely to be #11 Iowa while Cincy's is likely to be #36 SMU.  So with 13 games in the Buckeyes would have played five ranked higher than Cincy's second toughest opponent and two ranked higher than Cincy's toughest opponent.  Going 11-2 in the B1G (or SEC or any other P5 league for that matter) is a LOT tougher than going 13-0 against Cincy's schedule. 

As pointed out above, this is partially Cincinnati's fault.  They chose to schedule an FCS school and a MAC school OOC.  Then they chose a historically awful B1G school for their #3 OOC game and only scheduled one OOC game against a team with a pulse. 

Want to be included, schedule like you mean it.  In 1981 independent FSU went on a five-game road trip of:
They wanted to be included in the NC discussion so they made a contender schedule.  They beat tOSU, ND, and LSU but lost to Nebraska and Pitt.  At least they tried.  When your second best game is against #36 you don't have an argument. 

Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 26, 2021, 11:22:32 PM
Gotta say, the logic is poor on this post. You compare 2019 OSU, one of the most statistically dominant teams in college football history, to a good but not great Cincy team that finished 11-3. OSU that year beat every single team they played (besides Clemson) by double digits.  You then use that to say any P5 champ deserves a bid over Cincy. So you are saying Pitt, or Wake Forest, automatically deserve a nod over what may be a superior Cincy team, solely because they are in a "superior" conference. Further, OSU won a national championship with a very hairy win over Cincinnati, so even using just those two teams, not sure the comparison holds.
Gotta say you just don't like the facts.  

2019 tOSU was really good because the top P5 teams are really good.  2002 tOSU had a lot of close games, so what.  

You didn't bother to address the current year fact that when Cincy played IU it was a dogfight.  If you watched IU all season you probably shut the tOSU, IA, and PSU games off at halftime when the Hoosiers trailed 44-7, 31-3, and 14-0 respectively.  In the Cincy game they led 14-10 at the half.  IU is currently 0-4 in the B1G and Cincy is roughly at their level.  If Cincy were a B1G team they wouldn't even be ranked.  Instead they are fat on cupcakes and idiots rank them #2.  

Why were Ohio State, Penn State, and Iowa all able to wipe the floor with Indiana and play backups in the second half while Cincy didn't take their first lead until the third quarter and trailed in the fourth?  The answer is obvious if you allow yourself to see it.  
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 26, 2021, 11:29:38 PM
I admit a top P5 school is BETTER than Cincy. But if you don't even let them in at that point? Just break it into two divisions and officially block them out of ever appearing in the CFP. Because you'll NEVER let them in if you don't let them in over a 2-loss P5 helmet.
If it were up to me they wouldn't be locked out forever and always but they would HAVE to play a decent schedule to be considered.  Playing one top-35 team and winning just doesn't prove anything to me for two reasons:

I obviously cherry-picked "top-35" because Cincy's #2 opponent is #36 but look at the comparison above.  It doesn't matter where you make the cut-off:

I'm only using tOSU here because that is how the conversation started before I got involved.  The same would apply to Michigan, Michigan State, Iowa, whatever.  

Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: MaximumSam on October 27, 2021, 06:22:02 AM
Gotta say you just don't like the facts. 

2019 tOSU was really good because the top P5 teams are really good.  2002 tOSU had a lot of close games, so what. 

You didn't bother to address the current year fact that when Cincy played IU it was a dogfight.  If you watched IU all season you probably shut the tOSU, IA, and PSU games off at halftime when the Hoosiers trailed 44-7, 31-3, and 14-0 respectively.  In the Cincy game they led 14-10 at the half.  IU is currently 0-4 in the B1G and Cincy is roughly at their level.  If Cincy were a B1G team they wouldn't even be ranked.  Instead they are fat on cupcakes and idiots rank them #2. 

Why were Ohio State, Penn State, and Iowa all able to wipe the floor with Indiana and play backups in the second half while Cincy didn't take their first lead until the third quarter and trailed in the fourth?  The answer is obvious if you allow yourself to see it. 
Speaking of facts:


Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: TyphonInc on October 27, 2021, 07:12:59 AM
Ahh, I love this 'post truth' era, where everyone can cherry pick stats to prove their version of truth is right.

Didn't Cincinnati beat up the Hoosiers? Wasn't that Penix's last game? Maybe full strength Indiana gives the B1G teams a better run for their money?

I think the current system needs to evolve, right now the CFP is the only way for a G5 team to win a national championship. If we effectively bar them from even participating, the system is broken. This Bearcat team has one 3 point loss to a top 10 Georgia team in the last two years. They are really good.

Cincinnati has done everything they can do to deserve inclusion in the CFP. And they scheduled one of the toughest OOC schedules to try and show they were one of the best teams as well.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: MaximumSam on October 27, 2021, 07:29:08 AM
And btw, I'm not one that thinks Cincy automatically deserves a bid. At the end of the season, you see who the best teams have been. Tough to do that midstream. But I just think it is crazy to say Cincy or any other team can't be considered, no matter what the results on the field are.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: FearlessF on October 27, 2021, 09:20:12 AM
I don't consider Miami-Ohio, Murray, Indiana, and ND to be one of the toughest non-con schedules

ND is solid
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 27, 2021, 12:56:13 PM
Cincinnati has done everything they can do to deserve inclusion in the CFP. And they scheduled one of the toughest OOC schedules to try and show they were one of the best teams as well.
This would be a really good argument if it were true but as you know, it is false.  You can't schedule an FCS team in your OOC then argue that you scheduled a tough OOC.  

Cincy's OOC included an FCS team (Murray State), a bad MAC school (Miami, OH), a mediocre (at best) B1G school (IU) and Notre Dame.  Per the rankings that I posted above, their OOC was:
By way of comparison, tOSU's OOC was:

I'm not even sure that Cincy's OOC is better overall than Ohio State's.  ND and Oregon are roughly equivalent.  Indiana is better than Tulsa and Miami, OH is better than Akron but Cincy also has that FCS team and Murray State isn't even a good FCS team, they are 3-4 with the other three losses coming to BGSU, UT-Martin, and Austin Peay.  

Even if I simply concede that UC's OOC is vastly better than Ohio State's it OBVIOUSLY is not anywhere near enough to make up for the fact that their best league opponent is #36.  Ohio State has three league opponents in the top-15.  

I don't vouch for this link (https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/guides/resources/ncaaf-strength-schedule-rankings/), it was simply the first thing that came up when I googled "fbs sos rankings" but using their SOS rankings, here is the current AP Top-25 with each team's SoS ranking:


Since you excel at not seeing things you don't want to see I'll reorganize that list by SoS ranking:

Open your eyes and you shall see.  NONE of the ranked G5 schools play decent schedules and the gap between their schedules and even a mediocre P5 schedule is humongous.  
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: um1963 on October 27, 2021, 01:01:42 PM
This. 

If you want to be included, do what FSU did back in the day and take an "anyone, anywhere" approach to scheduling.  

In 1981 independent FSU went on a five-game road trip of:
  • @ Nebraska on 9/19
  • @ Ohio State on 10/3
  • @ Notre Dame on 10/10
  • @ Pitt on 10/17 (this was when Pitt was good)
  • @ LSU on 10/24
They wanted to be included in the NC discussion so they made a contender schedule.  They beat tOSU, ND, and LSU but lost to Nebraska and Pitt.  At least they tried.  When your second best game is against #36 you don't have an argument.
I wasn't aware of this, thanks for sharing Medina.  Guess I was still a little too young to see this play out.  I would like to see more up and coming schools take this approach.  A limited four team playoff just isn't the platform to find out if a team is any good.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: 847badgerfan on October 27, 2021, 01:07:14 PM
There really is no incentive for G5 schools to schedule like that today.

UC might be in this year, without the killer schedule. That will become the model.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: FearlessF on October 27, 2021, 01:20:37 PM
until a G5 team gets in with an easy schedule.. 1981 independent FSU is the model
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: MaximumSam on October 27, 2021, 01:33:21 PM

Quote
Open your eyes and you shall see.  NONE of the ranked G5 schools play decent schedules and the gap between their schedules and even a mediocre P5 schedule is humongous.  
*ack*



Quote
  • 63 Wake Forest
  • 66 Pitt
  • 69 Oregon
  • 70 Kentucky
  • 75 SMU
  • 79 Cincy

Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 27, 2021, 01:34:04 PM
Fundamentally, this is a fairness issue.  

When a typical G5 team beats a mediocre P5 team like Indiana by 2 TD's in a hard fought game with multiple lead changes that could have gone either way, we pat that G5 team on the head and say "nice job".  

When a typical NC Contender beats a mediocre P5 team like Indiana by 2 TD's in a hard fought game with multiple lead changes that could have gone either way, we drop that P5 team multiple spots in the rankings and say "WTF is wrong with (insert NC Contender here)".  

Cincinnati can't have it both ways:  


Now it is true that SOME legitimate (ie, non-Cincy) NC Contenders will have and have had losses and unimpressive wins similar to Cincy's win over IU but there is a difference.  When we look at the Buckeyes and say "hey, they 'only' beat Minnesota by 14 and they lost to Oregon" the answer to that criticism is that Ohio State's schedule is tough enough that they will have an opportunity to show us that the less impressive performances were outliers.  

Cincinnati simply doesn't have that chance because they didn't schedule the quality OOC that they need to make up for their crappy league.  Indiana is the 4th toughest team that they will face before the bowls.  For comparison Indiana is the 8th toughest team that tOSU will face before the bowls.  Cincinnati needed to shine in that game to show that they belonged with the big boys and they didn't.  Instead they looked like they don't belong at all.  


Here is a comparison of the score differential in Indiana's game against tOSU, Iowa, PSU, and Cincy:
(https://i.imgur.com/COblSGD.png)
The bolded positions are when Indiana was within two scores.  Someone upthread argued that Penix was full strength against Cincy.  Ok, then ignore the tOSU results but Penix was full strength in game #1 against Iowa and he was for at least most of the game against PSU IIRC.  

To be fair, MSU also had a very unimpressive performance against Indiana.  Personally, I have them ranked lower than most everybody else here in part for that reason.  The difference between MSU and Cincy is that MSU has multiple opportunities to prove me wrong, Cincy doesn't.  If MSU really is a NC Contender then they'll beat Michigan this weekend, they'll beat Ohio State on 11/20, and they'll beat PSU on 11/27.  Cincinnati doesn't have any opponents left that even compare to M, tOSU, and PSU.  
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 27, 2021, 01:35:41 PM
There really is no incentive for G5 schools to schedule like that today.

UC might be in this year, without the killer schedule. That will become the model.
And that is NOT something the sport should promote.  That encourages a minimization of quality games as everyone tries to get the best W/L record they can since SoS is apparently irrelevant.  
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: MaximumSam on October 27, 2021, 01:37:12 PM
I would say, Cincy needs to win their games and look good doing it. They've had one single digit win, against a bad Navy team. Can't have too many of those. However, the idea that they *need* a better schedule is wrong. If they beat the crap out of the teams they play, that's worth something too.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: FearlessF on October 27, 2021, 01:39:19 PM
they need a better schedule imo

Murray st and Miami of Ohio are not enough

it shows they aren't trying by having those teams on the schedule
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: MrNubbz on October 27, 2021, 01:39:28 PM
 If we effectively bar them from even participating, the system is broken. This Bearcat team has one 3 point loss to a top 10 Georgia team in the last two years. They are really good.

Cincinnati has done everything they can do to deserve inclusion in the CFP. 
Last January 24-21 to Georgia
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: FearlessF on October 27, 2021, 01:40:06 PM
that was last year
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: RestingB!tchFace on October 27, 2021, 01:41:25 PM
This would be a really good argument if it were true but as you know, it is false.  You can't schedule an FCS team in your OOC then argue that you scheduled a tough OOC. 

Cincy's OOC included an FCS team (Murray State), a bad MAC school (Miami, OH), a mediocre (at best) B1G school (IU) and Notre Dame.  Per the rankings that I posted above, their OOC was:
  • #8 Notre Dame
  • #57 Indiana
  • #95 Miami, OH
  • FCS
By way of comparison, tOSU's OOC was:
  • #10 Oregon
  • #71 Tulsa
  • #119 Akron

I'm not even sure that Cincy's OOC is better overall than Ohio State's.  ND and Oregon are roughly equivalent.  Indiana is better than Tulsa and Miami, OH is better than Akron but Cincy also has that FCS team and Murray State isn't even a good FCS team, they are 3-4 with the other three losses coming to BGSU, UT-Martin, and Austin Peay. 

Even if I simply concede that UC's OOC is vastly better than Ohio State's it OBVIOUSLY is not anywhere near enough to make up for the fact that their best league opponent is #36.  Ohio State has three league opponents in the top-15. 

I don't vouch for this link (https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/guides/resources/ncaaf-strength-schedule-rankings/), it was simply the first thing that came up when I googled "fbs sos rankings" but using their SOS rankings, here is the current AP Top-25 with each team's SoS ranking:
  • Georgia - 29
  • Cincy - 78
  • Bama - 50
  • Oklahoma - 38
  • Ohio State - 33
  • Michigan - 13
  • Oregon - 69
  • Michigan State - 40 
  • Iowa - 12
  • Ole Miss - 10
  • Notre Dame - 9
  • Kentucky - 70
  • Wake Forest - 63
  • aTm - 17
  • OkSU - 5
  • Baylor - 6
  • Pitt - 66
  • Auburn - 3
  • SMU - 75 <- best G5
  • Penn State - 26
  • SDSU - 115
  • Iowa State - 20
  • UTSA - 126
  • CCU - 121
  • BYU - 81


Since you excel at not seeing things you don't want to see I'll reorganize that list by SoS ranking:
  • 3 Auburn
  • 5 OkSU
  • 6 Baylor
  • 9 Notre Dame
  • 10 Ole Miss
  • 12 Iowa
  • 13 Michigan
  • 17 aTm
  • 20 Iowa State
  • 26 Penn State
  • 29 Georgia
  • 33 Ohio State
  • 38 Oklahoma
  • 40 Michigan State
  • 50 Bama
  • 63 Wake Forest
  • 66 Pitt
  • 69 Oregon
  • 70 Kentucky
  • 75 SMU
  • 79 Cincy
  • 81 BYU
  • 115 SDSU
  • 121 CCU
  • 126 UTSA

Open your eyes and you shall see.  NONE of the ranked G5 schools play decent schedules and the gap between their schedules and even a mediocre P5 schedule is humongous. 

SEC teams still schedule FCS opponents.  And I don't think anyone expected Indiana to be this poor.  Not saying that this makes Cincy's schedule good.  But let's take a quick look at the semifinal games since the playoff began in 2015:

2015: 39 and 7 point wins
2016: 20 and 38 point wins
2017: 17 and 31 point wins
2018: 6 and 18 point wins (the prior being a double OT game)
2019: 27 and 9 point wins
2020: 35 and 6 point wins
2021: 17 and 31 point wins

Let's not act like the playoffs have been super competitive.  There have been a ton of blowouts.  Give a team that has been perfect on the year a shot....rather than shoehorning a Notre Dame in.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: MrNubbz on October 27, 2021, 01:42:47 PM
that was last year
Both teams have the majority of those rosters returning from 9 months previous
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 27, 2021, 01:45:50 PM
*ack*
I might have missed a P5 team or two but by my quick reading of the link I shared, the WORST P5 schedules are:

These are not "mediocre" P5 schedules, they are the seven worst P5 schedules in the country.  Furthermore, the ranked teams ARE being punished for their weak SoS:

Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: RestingB!tchFace on October 27, 2021, 01:46:21 PM
Last January 24-21 to Georgia

And Georgia is easily the #1 team in the nation right now.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: MaximumSam on October 27, 2021, 01:53:00 PM
I might have missed a P5 team or two but by my quick reading of the link I shared, the WORST P5 schedules are:
  • #88 ASU
  • #70 Kentucky
  • #69 Oregon
  • #68 WSU
  • #67 BC
  • #66 Pitt
  • #63 Wake

These are not "mediocre" P5 schedules, they are the seven worst P5 schedules in the country.  Furthermore, the ranked teams ARE being punished for their weak SoS:
  • #70 Kentucky is ranked #12 despite a 6-1 record with the loss at the hands of #1. 
  • #69 Oregon is ranked #7 despite owning a win over 5-1 #5 tOSU. 
  • #66 Pitt is ranked #17 despite only having one loss.  They are the lowest ranked 1-loss P5. 
  • #63 Wake is only ranked #13 despite being undefeated.  That is five spots behind the next lowest ranked undefeated P5. 
But your argument is that it simply isn't fair to say, Arizona State, that they could be left out of the playoffs as a P5 champ in favor of Cincinnati. How can that be justified given these numbers?
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on October 27, 2021, 01:57:15 PM
Is the 12 team Playoff still going to happen? Or did it get derailed by SEC expansion? 
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 27, 2021, 02:02:32 PM
SEC teams still schedule FCS opponents.
I'm not in favor of FCS opponents for anybody but at least when a P5 team does it their league schedule makes up for it.  Bama played Mercer but their league schedule included Florida, Ole Miss, aTm, and Auburn.  Cincy played Murray State and their league schedule included . . . crickets.  
Give a team that has been perfect on the year a shot....rather than shoehorning a Notre Dame in.
Nobody is arguing that Notre Dame should be included.  They don't look remotely like a Playoff caliber team.  They have a FG win over a horrible FSU, a FG win over a MAC school, a two TD win over Purdue, a good win over UW but that game was closer than the final score, a two score loss to some crappy G5 team, a FG win over a horrible VaTech team, and a two score win over a USC team so bad that they are in the midst of a coaching search.  Nothing about that says "Playoffs" to me or anyone else outside the city of South Bend.  

The problem with making a gift to UC is that the gift doesn't materialize out of thin air.  In order to gift a spot to the tallest midget and giving them an opportunity to get run off the field by a legitimate power you have to deprive a legitimate team of that spot.  Right now the team so deprived (per AP rankings) would be tOSU but it doesn't matter if it is tOSU, Michigan, Oregon, Michigan State, Iowa, or Ole Miss.  Any one of those teams would wipe the floor with Cincy and have their starters in street clothes kicking back watching the fourth quarter.  

There is also another fairness issue.  Lets say for the sake of argument that UGA wins out and is #1 while Oregon and Ohio State win out and finish #2 and #3 respectively then the committee decides to gift midget Cincy a spot with the Big Boys at #4.  That is ridiculously unfair to the tOSU/Oregon winner because while they are playing each other in a legitimate match-up in one semi-final, their NCG opponent gets a ridiculously easy tune-up game.  Beating Georgia is going to be tough for anyone, we don't need to make it THAT much tougher by giving them a scrimmage for their semi-final.  
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 27, 2021, 02:17:04 PM
But your argument is that it simply isn't fair to say, Arizona State, that they could be left out of the playoffs as a P5 champ in favor of Cincinnati. How can that be justified given these numbers?
Arizona State is 5-2/3-1 with a divisional loss to Utah and an embarrassing OOC loss to BYU so:
I'm not saying that the G5 should be excluded by rule but I am saying that if you want in the discussion and the best team on your league schedule is #36 then you can't have an OOC that includes Murray State and Miami, OH.  See above example of FSU's 1981 road-trip through Lincoln, Nebraska; Columbus, Ohio; South Bend, Indiana; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania; and Baton Rouge, Louisiana.  

Schedule like you want it or don't complain when you get relegated to the kids table.  

Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: FearlessF on October 27, 2021, 02:50:54 PM
Schedule like you want it or don't complain when you get relegated to the kids table. 
this goes for any team left out of the 4 team playoff

Notre Dame or any one-loss P5 as well as any G5 team
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on October 27, 2021, 02:57:19 PM
The problem with making a gift to UC is that the gift doesn't materialize out of thin air.  In order to gift a spot to the tallest midget and giving them an opportunity to get run off the field by a legitimate power you have to deprive a legitimate team of that spot.  Right now the team so deprived (per AP rankings) would be tOSU but it doesn't matter if it is tOSU, Michigan, Oregon, Michigan State, Iowa, or Ole Miss.  Any one of those teams would wipe the floor with Cincy and have their starters in street clothes kicking back watching the fourth quarter. 
Well, it all depends on who you're excluding.

We've been talking about excluding 2-loss teams. I'm not saying that you exclude a 1-loss P5 conference champ or even a 1-loss P5 team that narrowly missed its CCG in order to reward a tallest midget who doesn't have the SOS to justify their spot. 

I'm saying that if you get through three spots and you've run out of viable 1-loss P5 teams, I'm taking an undefeated G5 over a 2-loss helmet for that 4th spot. I don't believe a 2-loss team has proven they deserve to be there, even if they're better. 
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on October 27, 2021, 03:11:46 PM
But your argument is that it simply isn't fair to say, Arizona State, that they could be left out of the playoffs as a P5 champ in favor of Cincinnati. How can that be justified given these numbers?
Arizona State is 5-2/3-1 with a divisional loss to Utah and an embarrassing OOC loss to BYU so:
This is where I get hung up. We'll gladly take a 2-loss conference champion OSU with one OOC and one conference loss and toss them in the playoff. But we won't take a 2-loss conference champion Arizona State, ever. 

Yet another reason for 5+1+2 (or 6+2).
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: MaximumSam on October 27, 2021, 03:23:27 PM

Quote
This is completely irrelevant because they aren't going to win their league.
They are in first place! But you could pick any of these teams. Wake Forest plays a bit tougher schedule, and is also undefeated. Do they really deserve it over Cincinnati solely because of that, even if Cincy is much more impressive in their games?
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: MrNubbz on October 27, 2021, 03:29:50 PM
This is where I get hung up. We'll gladly take a 2-loss conference champion OSU with one OOC and one conference loss and toss them in the playoff. But we won't take a 2-loss conference champion Arizona State, ever.

Yet another reason for 5+1+2 (or 6+2).
Where is it stated they'd take a 2 Loss Buckeye squad? I wouldn't provided everyone else won out or has one loss
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on October 27, 2021, 03:38:10 PM
They won't even take a one loss Buckeye squad half the time. 
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on October 27, 2021, 03:47:20 PM
Where is it stated they'd take a 2 Loss Buckeye squad? I wouldn't provided everyone else won out or has one loss
I'm saying that if we have three undefeated or 1-loss conference champions, no other 1-loss teams, and a 2-loss B1G champ OSU and a 2-loss PAC champ Arizona State, no matter what the actual scores of any of the games are, OSU will get the benefit of the doubt 100% of the time, and Arizona State 0% of the time. Because we all "know" that Ohio State is better. 

You'll give some teams a mulligan, but others will never get the same treatment. Because of a big shiny helmet.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 27, 2021, 03:49:23 PM
Well, it all depends on who you're excluding.

We've been talking about excluding 2-loss teams. I'm not saying that you exclude a 1-loss P5 conference champ or even a 1-loss P5 team that narrowly missed its CCG in order to reward a tallest midget who doesn't have the SOS to justify their spot.

I'm saying that if you get through three spots and you've run out of viable 1-loss P5 teams, I'm taking an undefeated G5 over a 2-loss helmet for that 4th spot. I don't believe a 2-loss team has proven they deserve to be there, even if they're better.
I guess my main problem with this argument is that if you are flat out admitting (even if just for the sake of argument) that the 2-loss P5 Champion IS better than the undefeated G5 then to go and argue that the better team should be excluded is just ridiculous to me.  

I think in general that SoS should be given more weight than it generally is and not just to exclude cupcake-fattened tallest midgets but also to differentiate P5 teams.  

I want to make this example NOT my team.  Lets say that Penn State had scheduled Pitt (a not atypical OOC opponent for them), Auburn (whom they actually played this year), and Georgia as their OOC instead of Auburn, BallSt, and Villanova.  Penn State's SoS is already #26.  If you made those changes then their schedule would be:
That is insane, but I'd love it!  I want to see teams schedule like this or at least more like this and the push from a bunch of you on this board to reward teams for going 13-0 against the little sisters of the poor is counter-productive to that goal.  The sport should encourage Cincy to schedule like FSU circa 1981 because those match-ups were great to see.  

If W's and L's are treated as infinitely more important than whom you beat or lost to then we can expect teams to respond by scheduling trash so as to maximize their chances of getting to 13-0.  

I'd rather reward teams that play a tough SoS so that teams will respond by scheduling quality matchups.  

Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: MrNubbz on October 27, 2021, 03:51:27 PM
OSU will get the benefit of the doubt 100% of the time, and Arizona State 0% of the time. Because we all "know" that Ohio State is better.

You'll give some teams a mulligan, but others will never get the same treatment. Because of a big shiny helmet.
Well if they have 2 losses I'd rather see someone else get creamed than get the Spoiler treatment 😎
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 27, 2021, 04:04:11 PM
This is where I get hung up. We'll gladly take a 2-loss conference champion OSU with one OOC and one conference loss and toss them in the playoff. But we won't take a 2-loss conference champion Arizona State, ever.

Yet another reason for 5+1+2 (or 6+2).
This sounds like you are assuming that a 2-loss conference champion OSU would actually make it but lets look at tOSU's rankings each year of the CFP:
So in the seven years of the CFP the Buckeyes have finished undefeated twice and with one loss five times.  That has resulted in four CFP appearances and three near-misses.  The Buckeyes have been:
People act like the Buckeyes get some massive favoritism that gets them a spot automatically but they've only made the CFP 40% of the time when they had one loss.  

I definitely think that a 2-loss P5 Champion will be deserving eventually but we haven't seen it yet.  It might not happen until we have a crazy year where everybody loses and the CFP committee has no choice but to take a 2-loss team.  

And just to clarify, my stance here isn't to exclude ASU because they are ASU it is to exclude them because they scheduled an OOC so ridiculously bad that their overall SoS is even worse than some G5 schools.  

Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on October 27, 2021, 04:17:40 PM
I definitely think that a 2-loss P5 Champion will be deserving eventually but we haven't seen it yet.  It might not happen until we have a crazy year where everybody loses and the CFP committee has no choice but to take a 2-loss team. 
And my point is that if that 2-loss team is OSU or Alabama, and everyone else loses, they'll be picked over say an undefeated G5 Cincinnati, or an undefeated G5 UCF in their prime, or an undefeated G5 Boise State in their prime. 

It'll always be "but if the G5 did this", or "but if the G5 did that", we'd totally let them in. But it doesn't happen. It won't happen. 

Because there is a G5 glass ceiling. 
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 27, 2021, 04:20:02 PM
They are in first place! But you could pick any of these teams. Wake Forest plays a bit tougher schedule, and is also undefeated. Do they really deserve it over Cincinnati solely because of that, even if Cincy is much more impressive in their games?
The problem is that Cincy hasn't been "much more impressive" in their games.  They have:

Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: FearlessF on October 27, 2021, 04:22:05 PM
And my point is that if that 2-loss team is OSU or Alabama, and everyone else loses, they'll be picked over say an undefeated G5 Cincinnati, or an undefeated G5 UCF in their prime, or an undefeated G5 Boise State in their prime.

It'll always be "but if the G5 did this", or "but if the G5 did that", we'd totally let them in. But it doesn't happen. It won't happen.

Because there is a G5 glass ceiling.
unless the undefeated G5 team scheduled all four non-cons from the P5 including a couple that ere ranked at the end of the season
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 27, 2021, 04:23:16 PM
I'm saying that if we have three undefeated or 1-loss conference champions, no other 1-loss teams, and a 2-loss B1G champ OSU and a 2-loss PAC champ Arizona State, no matter what the actual scores of any of the games are, OSU will get the benefit of the doubt 100% of the time, and Arizona State 0% of the time. Because we all "know" that Ohio State is better.

You'll give some teams a mulligan, but others will never get the same treatment. Because of a big shiny helmet.
See history:
This sounds like you are assuming that a 2-loss conference champion OSU would actually make it but lets look at tOSU's rankings each year of the CFP:
  • #4 in 2014 as a 1-loss B1G Champion. 
  • #7 in 2015 as a 1-loss non-Champion*. 
  • #3 in 2016 as a 1-loss non-Champion*. 
  • #5 in 2017 as a 1-loss B1G Champion. 
  • #6 in 2018 as a 1-loss B1G Champion. 
  • #2 in 2019 as an undefeated B1G Champion. 
  • #3 in 2020 as an undefeated B1G Champion. 
So in the seven years of the CFP the Buckeyes have finished undefeated twice and with one loss five times.  That has resulted in four CFP appearances and three near-misses.  The Buckeyes have been:
  • Included as an undefeated B1G Champion twice. 
  • Included as a 1-loss B1G Champion once. 
  • Excluded as a 1-loss B1G Champion twice. 
  • Included as a 1-loss non-Champion once. 
  • Excluded as a 1-loss non-Champion once. 
People act like the Buckeyes get some massive favoritism that gets them a spot automatically but they've only made the CFP 40% of the time when they had one loss. 

I definitely think that a 2-loss P5 Champion will be deserving eventually but we haven't seen it yet.  It might not happen until we have a crazy year where everybody loses and the CFP committee has no choice but to take a 2-loss team. 

And just to clarify, my stance here isn't to exclude ASU because they are ASU it is to exclude them because they scheduled an OOC so ridiculously bad that their overall SoS is even worse than some G5 schools. 
When is Ohio State going to start getting all these free passes and mulligans?  
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: FearlessF on October 27, 2021, 04:25:38 PM
better quit putting stickers all over the helmet and shine it up a bit
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 27, 2021, 04:30:32 PM
And my point is that if that 2-loss team is OSU or Alabama, and everyone else loses, they'll be picked over say an undefeated G5 Cincinnati, or an undefeated G5 UCF in their prime, or an undefeated G5 Boise State in their prime.

It'll always be "but if the G5 did this", or "but if the G5 did that", we'd totally let them in. But it doesn't happen. It won't happen.

Because there is a G5 glass ceiling.
I agree with @FearlessF (https://www.cfb51.com/index.php?action=profile;u=10) :
unless the undefeated G5 team scheduled all four non-cons from the P5 including a couple that ere ranked at the end of the season
And I'll add this:

What I think the G5 should do is create a scheduling alliance where one or preferably two of their OOC games are reserved to the end of the season then scheduled against comparable G5 teams.  That way the high-end G5 teams could add an SOS boosting game because the practical problem of scheduling is that most of it is done years in advance.  When Cincy made their OOC schedule of Miami, OH, MurraySt, Indiana, and Notre Dame their AD probably wasn't think about the CFP at all.  He was probably trying to make some money and keep the chances of bowl eligibility reasonably high.  Thus, he scheduled Miami, OH and MurraySt which he figured would be two easy wins.  Then he scheduled IU which he probably figured was a weak enough B1G team that the Bearcats might have a chance at knocking them off and Notre Dame for money/exposure.  

Fast forward from years or a decade ago when the schedule was made to 2021 and all of a sudden the Bearcats are preseason top-10 and they REALLY need a better schedule to prove that they belong but it is too late they are stuck with MiamiOH and MurraySt and now they really have no way to make up for looking pretty lackluster against IU and Navy.  
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Cincydawg on October 27, 2021, 04:48:12 PM
A factor in scheduling for UC of course is who among the G5 wants to play them.  They might have tried to schedule say UK and got turned down of course.

It helps I think that they were competitive with UGA in their bowl game last year.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on October 27, 2021, 04:56:54 PM
unless the undefeated G5 team scheduled all four non-cons from the P5 including a couple that ere ranked at the end of the season
Yeah, I can see it now... "Well they beat then #15 Florida who finished unranked, and they beat unranked Indiana, and they beat Virginia Tech and Kentucky, but they finished the season at #21 and #24. Maybe they should schedule a few better teams than that, but those rankings aren't good enough compared to Alabama who beat 4 top 20 teams and only lost to #1 UGA and #10 OU out of conference."

What I think the G5 should do is create a scheduling alliance where one or preferably two of their OOC games are reserved to the end of the season then scheduled against comparable G5 teams.  That way the high-end G5 teams could add an SOS boosting game because the practical problem of scheduling is that most of it is done years in advance.  When Cincy made their OOC schedule of Miami, OH, MurraySt, Indiana, and Notre Dame their AD probably wasn't think about the CFP at all.  He was probably trying to make some money and keep the chances of bowl eligibility reasonably high.  Thus, he scheduled Miami, OH and MurraySt which he figured would be two easy wins.  Then he scheduled IU which he probably figured was a weak enough B1G team that the Bearcats might have a chance at knocking them off and Notre Dame for money/exposure. 

Fast forward from years or a decade ago when the schedule was made to 2021 and all of a sudden the Bearcats are preseason top-10 and they REALLY need a better schedule to prove that they belong but it is too late they are stuck with MiamiOH and MurraySt and now they really have no way to make up for looking pretty lackluster against IU and Navy. 

That's the problem. Schedules made MANY years in advance, so a team like Cincinnati can either schedule 4 P5 teams and have scheduled 4 losses before the season starts, or they can make a mixed schedule that has wins and a tough team or two. 

Honestly I think this idea, though, is something that should be done for ALL of college football, not just G5. It was an idea a coworker (Boise State fan who knew the glass ceiling existed) came up with. Last two weeks of the regular season are out of your control. You get one home game and one away OOC game, chosen by someone [the CFP committee?] to match up top teams with top teams. 

If you really think G5 can't compete (as I do), then they'll play themselves out of contention over those two weeks. See what Cincinnati does playing two high-profile P5 teams. If they really think they can contend, well then it gives them the chance to prove it on the field. 

This idea, of course, was back in the BCS era where you were trying to select two teams, not four. But either way, it separates the pretenders from the contenders. 
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: FearlessF on October 27, 2021, 05:00:19 PM
did UC get a check for traveling to South Bend???

how about the trip to Bloomington?

one way to help scheduling is travel w/o $$$
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on October 27, 2021, 05:02:08 PM
A factor in scheduling for UC of course is who among the G5 wants to play them.  They might have tried to schedule say UK and got turned down of course.

It helps I think that they were competitive with UGA in their bowl game last year.
It should help. 

But that was always the argument for Boise State. One undefeated year wasn't enough. Pretty much you'd need two consecutive undefeated years even to be considered. 

But I'm increasingly of the opinion that G5 won't ever be considered. 
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on October 27, 2021, 05:06:26 PM
did UC get a check for traveling to South Bend???

how about the trip to Bloomington?

one way to help scheduling is travel w/o $$$
Yeah, fun...

"We schedule 5-10 years out. There's a chance we might be good at some point, so let's financially destroy our football program to schedule four P5 teams where 9 years out of 10 we'll start 0-4 without even getting a paycheck, in the hopes that maybe, someday, we'll be good enough that the SOS and going undefeated will get us in the playoff. If there are fewer than four 1-loss P5 conf champs (or non-champ) Alabama. That's a great bet."

I love how the answer is always "well they should just do something that's horrifically stupid to overcome this rigged game" instead of fixing the rigged game. 
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Cincydawg on October 27, 2021, 05:06:50 PM
I think if UC wins out in decent style, they get the four spot, but that depends on who else is a plausible alternative.  They might get to play UGA again. a fully loaded UGA team.  I suspect a 12-1 Ohio State makes the cut and a 13-0 OU if they go 13-0.  A key for UC could be whether a 12-0 UGA beats a 11-1 Bama, if that happens.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: FearlessF on October 27, 2021, 05:12:24 PM
Yeah, fun...

"We schedule 5-10 years out. There's a chance we might be good at some point, so let's financially destroy our football program to schedule four P5 teams where 9 years out of 10 we'll start 0-4 without even getting a paycheck, in the hopes that maybe, someday, we'll be good enough that the SOS and going undefeated will get us in the playoff. If there are fewer than four 1-loss P5 conf champs (or non-champ) Alabama. That's a great bet."

I love how the answer is always "well they should just do something that's horrifically stupid to overcome this rigged game" instead of fixing the rigged game.
what's rigged about earning respect on the field of play?

the same issue exists for the PAC and to a certain extent, the Big 12 and could this season for the ACC

their conference schedules don't stack up and they get left out some seasons
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on October 27, 2021, 05:37:29 PM
what's rigged about earning respect on the field of play?

the same issue exists for the PAC and to a certain extent, the Big 12 and could this season for the ACC

their conference schedules don't stack up and they get left out some seasons
A PAC, B12, or ACC team will not get left out at 13-0. Cincinnati probably will. 

I'm saying is that in the world in which we live, you can't say "Oh I'm projected to be really good next year. Let me go schedule 4 P5 teams OOC for free so I have a resume." You have to be planning half a decade or more ahead. So do you schedule 4 P5 teams without a paycheck 5-10 years ahead when you hope to catch lightning in a bottle ONE of those 5-10 years? Which means most years you're scheduling 4 losses before you even get into conference play the other 9 out of 10 years. And if you do it without a paycheck, you're financially crippling your program. Paycheck games these days are probably close to $1M each, and Cincinnati team generates somewhere around $10M per year from football. 

You say "just schedule more P5 OOC!" Well, they have to plan their schedule year-in year-out when every team knows you need 6+ wins to get to a bowl, winning records to keep positive perception of your program and recruiting, etc. If you're a G5 and you're starting in a 0-4 hole most years before you get to conference play, well then you're never going to get the recruits you need to push through that glass ceiling, because you need to go 6-2 in conference just to hit .500 ball. 

You say "well if you have trouble scheduling P5, play them for free!" Well, in a world where football and [occasionally] men's basketball are the only revenue-generating sports for most schools, and men's basketball is probably questionable for most G5, you're asking them to turn away the revenue that is the lifeblood of their entire athletic department. 

The net effect is that G5 is always going to be a glass ceiling, and there will ALWAYS be reasons to justify why a G5 in any given year should be kept outside the velvet ropes. The reasons will change as needed; the result will be the same. 

Either fix the system, or make the glass ceiling a real ceiling and split off the P5. 
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: FearlessF on October 27, 2021, 09:13:03 PM
I'm just saying that your resume to qualify for the top 4 teams in the nation after the reg season is what you have accomplished on the field of play

you need to be very impressive to make the top 4

a G5 schedule is tough to overcome

maybe impossible, but whiners are not well received 
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on October 27, 2021, 09:33:58 PM
I'm just saying that your resume to qualify for the top 4 teams in the nation after the reg season is what you have accomplished on the field of play

you need to be very impressive to make the top 4

a G5 schedule is tough to overcome

maybe impossible, but whiners are not well received
I get that.

But what got this started was the idea that OSU or Alabama should be in there with two losses. That ain't exactly an ideal "resume". They may have the best team; they don't have a deserving resume. 
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: FearlessF on October 27, 2021, 09:45:08 PM
2 losses is unacceptable

not many programs have done that, regardless of resume

I would also go undefeated UC over a 2 loss tOSU or Bama
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: um1963 on October 28, 2021, 12:11:59 AM
2 losses is unacceptable

not many programs have done that, regardless of resume

I would also go undefeated UC over a 2 loss tOSU or Bama
I've watched Cincy, Bama and OSU play.  I'm fairly confident that Cincy wouldn't beat either of them if they played this year.  I think the majority of others who posted here would agree with this assessment.  There will be nothing special in Cincy's body of work if they run the table.  I'm also fairly confident both OSU and Bama could win out playing Cincy's schedule.  So knowing this why bother placing Cincy?

Or look at it this way, if you were the one seed and could somehow choose the 4 seed to play in the first round between an undefeated Cincy or a two loss Bama/OSU who would you pick?  We'd do the logical thing and take the easy win over Cincy.

Could Cincy win the Big Ten or SEC if they were in one of these conferences this year?

It just bothers me that we're somehow not allowed to watch teams play over a 12 game season and maybe come to the conclusion that a team with a lesser record from a much stronger conference/division and tougher schedule could possibly be better than a team with a better record from a shit conference and a red carpet schedule when it literally happens every single season.

And while the focus has been on Cincy, I've felt the same way in past seasons about undefeated and one loss teams coming out of P5 conferences and Notre Dame.  The SEC and Big Ten almost always have someone worth considering (typically Bama and OSU), but there are years where I look at what's coming out of the PAC, Big 12, anyone not named Clemson in the ACC and Notre Dame and I'm thinking to myself why is this team in the discussion?
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Hawkinole on October 28, 2021, 02:40:38 AM
I've watched Cincy, Bama and OSU play.  
In person, or on TV? 
It makes a difference. On television especially in general you cannot see developing pass contentions between receivers and defenders. You can see pass defense in person. On TV I see weakness in Alabama. And I see strength in GA. I am guessing Alabama ranks 6-8 by season end. And GA conquers Alabama as #1.
There was obvious weakness in OSU defense in the first few games. The weakness seems to be resolved with weak opponents. Penn State has good defense and when health has a decent offense. There is a 75% chance Ohio State defeats Penn State. I cannot exclude the somewhat less likely scenario.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: MaximumSam on October 28, 2021, 07:00:09 AM
The problem is that Cincy hasn't been "much more impressive" in their games.  They have:
  • A 35 point win over a bad MAC school, Miami, OH:  Good win but nothing to write home about for a NC contender. 
  • A 35 point win over an FCS school, Murray State:  I don't care if you beat an FCS team, particularly a BAD FCS team like Murray State by 150 points it is still just a win over an FCS school and I'm not impressed. 
  • A 14 point win over IU:  I covered this at length above but this is clearly NOT impressive for an NC contender.  Legitimate power teams that have played IU did MUCH better even before the injury to IU's QB. 
  • A 9 point win over ND:  Ok, I guess this is their big impressive win and it came against a team that barely beat FSU, Toledo, and VaTech. 
  • A 49 point win over Temple:  For comparison, Rutgers beat Temple by 47.  Like the win over Miami, OH it is good but nothing to hang your hat on. 
  • A 35 point win over UCF:  I actually think this one is probably more impressive than their win over ND.  The 56 points that UC scored is the most given up by UCF all year and the 21 given up to UCF was within a point of the fewest scored by UCF all year. 
  • A 7 point win over Navy:  This is NOT impressive at all.  These are not Roger Staubach's Midshipmen.  Navy is 1-6 with a 42 point loss to Marhsall, a 20 point loss to Air Force, an 18 point loss to Memphis, an 8 point loss to Houston, and a seven point loss to SMU.  If Ohio State had beaten Navy by only a TD they'd have dropped in the polls and SportsCenter would have devoted entire segments to "what is wrong with the Buckeyes".  If UC is going to be treated like a legitimate NC contender then that should apply across the board and they should have dropped from #2 to at least #4 for this unimpressive win then had "what is wrong with Cincy" as a major discussion topic of the week.  Instead they seem to be given a pass because they are "just Cincy".  Like I said upthread it should be one or the other.  Either they are a NC contender or they aren't.  If they are then dock them for the close win over Navy like you would any other NC contender or they aren't in which case they shouldn't be taking a spot from a legitimate team in the top-10. 
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Cincydawg on October 28, 2021, 07:15:13 AM
Bama does have some issues on defense this year.  I think they'd still manhandle UC handily.  The same and more is true for Wake, who in any event will get beat a couple times from here.  Ohio State would beat UC by 3 TDs I suspect.  I have respect for what Fickell is doing at UC and if they make the playoff, fine with me, he's doing a remarkable job coaching there even if they get whomped, IMHo.  Kelly got them pretty good back in the day and Fickell has built them back up after whoever was coach in between.

Right now, the four "best teams" in my book would be Ohio State, the two SEC guys, and I guess Oklahoma at 4, who has not impressed.  I'd rather see more diversity though.  Fortunately we have more upsets to come.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: MaximumSam on October 28, 2021, 08:16:18 AM
I don't know how anyone could say Bammer and OSU would definitely go undefeated on Cincy's schedule, considering they haven't gone undefeated on their own schedule, and TAMU and Oregon aren't any better than Notre Dame.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: um1963 on October 28, 2021, 09:54:11 AM
I don't know how anyone could say Bammer and OSU would definitely go undefeated on Cincy's schedule, considering they haven't gone undefeated on their own schedule, and TAMU and Oregon aren't any better than Notre Dame.
You give Bama and OSU one somewhat challenging game and a cakewalk the rest of the season and they'll role right through that schedule.  I'm good with the debate but let's not glorify Cincy's path.  It's ok to call a spade a spade.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Cincydawg on October 28, 2021, 10:02:48 AM
Yes, they could lose to ND, no doubt, but they likely would win that game, and then roll.

On the other hand, every team has pastries out there, as well as wins over teams that look good at the time and later not so much, like beating Clemson.

Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 28, 2021, 11:07:46 AM
    But compare to Wake!
      • A 32 point win over Old Dominion. Old Dominion has 1 win, over Hampton
      • A 25 point win over Norfolk State. FCS school
      • A 21 point win over Florida State. FSU is 3-4 and lost to Jacksonville State.
      • A 20 point win over Virginia. Virginia is 4-2, and this is easily their best win.
      • A 3 point win over Louisville. Louisville is roughly on the level with UCF, who they beat by 7.
      • A 3 point win over Syracuse in OT. Syracuse lost by 10 to Rutgers.
      • A 14 point win over Army. Army is not a garbage team, though giving up 56 to Army seems humanly impossible. Army lost to Ball State and scored more against Wake than they did against UConn.
    In any event, I don't know how anyone could look at that and conclude it would be "unfair" to poor Wake Forest if they had to run through that murderer's row of opponents and be left out of the playoffs.
The difference, obviously, is what they have left and thus what they will have proven by the end of the season.  

As I outlined above, UC only plays one team in the top-35 in the nation (ND) and they already played them.  The toughest remaining game on their schedule is #36 SMU and that is also their strongest likely CG opponent.  UC's remaining games:
Wake:

We have three more opportunities to see Wake against decent teams before the CG and only one for UC.  Then in the CG (assuming both teams make it) UC's likely opponent is #36 SMU while Wake's is #25 Pitt.  

You are right that Wake is a not very impressive 7-0 but note that they are ranked only #13.  Cincinnati is a similarly unimpressive 7-0 and they are #2 because people aren't treating them like a legitimate contender.  Legitimate contenders get dinged when they have unimpressive wins like UC's one score win over a flat awful Navy team or a dogfight against Indiana.  If Ohio State did either of those things we would all expect them to drop at least a couple spots in the rankings.  I don't get why the AP voters are giving them a free pass and hopefully the CFP committee will be smarter and have them down around #10 or so which is more realistic for the Bearcats.  

FWIW:
I think part of the problem is that ND is insanely overrated at #11.  

Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: MaximumSam on October 28, 2021, 11:23:26 AM
Who deserves to be ranked above Cincy?



Honestly I have a very difficult time seeing much difference at all, if you take results on the field and not recruiting rankings.

Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Cincydawg on October 28, 2021, 11:54:57 AM
In a power ranking, I'd take 7 teams in the top ten over Cincy, easily, and I think they'd all be favored, often by 10+ points.

And these teams have been playing and beating top 50 caliber teams usually handily.  I don't draw a line at 25.  The 30th best team is dangerous.

The 90th ranked team isn't.

Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: MaximumSam on October 28, 2021, 12:02:13 PM
In a power ranking, I'd take 7 teams in the top ten over Cincy, easily, and I think they'd all be favored, often by 10+ points.

Georgia, Bammer, OSU...after that? Who?
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Abba on October 28, 2021, 12:52:55 PM
Who deserves to be ranked above Cincy?


  • Alabama has the same number of wins over ranked teams and a loss to TAMU
  • Oklahoma has struggled with nearly everyone and has no wins over ranked teams
  • Ohio State has zero wins over ranked teams and a home loss to Oregon
  • Michigan might have the best case, as they are undefeated, though they again have no wins over ranked teams and struggled with Rutgers and Nebraska
  • Oregon easily has the best win at OSU, but lost to Stanford and struggled with Fresno State, Cal, and UCLA. If a 14 point win against Indiana is a problem, losing to Stanford is a bigger one
  • MSU is also undefeated, but is easily behind Cincy in that they have no wins over ranked teams and struggled with the Hoosiers more than Cincy did
  • Iowa certainly in the convo, because they have two wins over ranked teams and whipped Indiana. But they also got whipped by Purdue
  • Ole Miss possibly. No wins over ranked teams, and very close wins over Arkansas and Tennessee, and they were blown out by Bama.

Honestly I have a very difficult time seeing much difference at all, if you take results on the field and not recruiting rankings.



This is fine if the season ends today.  The problem is that all of those other teams have a big opportunity to improve their resume, while Cincinnati will not.  You can play w/ the 538 playoff predictor to see who needs to lose for Cincy to make it.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on October 28, 2021, 12:56:09 PM
Rather than schedule 4 P5s OOC, they ought to simply join a better Conference. Like the Big 12, for example. 
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 28, 2021, 03:10:46 PM
This is fine if the season ends today.  The problem is that all of those other teams have a big opportunity to improve their resume, while Cincinnati will not.  You can play w/ the 538 playoff predictor to see who needs to lose for Cincy to make it.
Exactly.  Per my extensive review of Cincy's schedule above (page 4 of this thread if you want to have a look), here are Cincy's opponents with their rankings taken from some random site I found on a quick google that ranks all the FBS teams:

Then, assuming they win out they'll play an AAC team in the CG.  At this point that is most likely #67 Houston or #36 SMU.  

Cincinnati has already played their only serious test all season (ND) and they've played three of their toughest four opponents.  That doesn't leave much.  

For a legitimate NC contender #71 Tulsa is a payday game that you are expected to win by at least 3TD's.  Ohio State, for example, played Tulsa, beat them by 3 TD's and the win feels like a bad mark on tOSU's resume because it was "only" a 21 point win over Tulsa.  As a practical matter Cincy can barely prove anything against Tulsa and they really can't prove anything against Tulane, USF, and ECU.  That leaves only SMU.  Even SMU, Cincy's second best opponent all year is approximately equivalent to #39 Purdue, which is tOSU's 5th best opponent.  Ohio State will be expected to beat Purdue handily and if UC is a legitimate NC contender then they should be expected to beat a roughly equivalent SMU team by a roughly equivalent margin.  

Now compare to tOSU (and this same thing would apply to a somewhat greater or lesser extent to most P5 teams):

Then, assuming they qualify they'll play a B1G-W team in the B1GCG.  At this point that is most likely #11 Iowa, #31 Wisconsin, or #51 Minnesota.  While Minnesota is currently ranked behind SMU, they will not be if they make the B1GCG.  

Ohio State has only played one of their toughest five games.  Granted they lost and that is an issue RIGHT NOW but if Ohio State wins out or even finishes 11-2 they'll have a slew of quality wins compared to Cincy which has a win over ND and not much else.  

So yes, right now UC's best win (ND) is better than tOSU's (UMD) but that will change.  Even if it turns out that Ohio State isn't all that good and they lose to Penn State and the Michigan schools that doesn't really help UC because some team will win each of those games.  At least one out of M/MSU/tOSU/PSU will finish with a pretty good record and that team will have a VASTLY more impressive resume than Cincinnati.  

The B1GCG winner, even if it is a 2-loss team will have a VASTLY more impressive resume than Cincinnati.  
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on October 28, 2021, 03:33:44 PM
And fergawdsakes, bring back the "Keg of Nails" rivalry with Louisville! 

(https://s3media.247sports.com/Uploads/College/25/24668.jpg)
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: MaximumSam on October 28, 2021, 04:10:24 PM
This is fine if the season ends today.  The problem is that all of those other teams have a big opportunity to improve their resume, while Cincinnati will not.  You can play w/ the 538 playoff predictor to see who needs to lose for Cincy to make it.
Sure, but you can't rank teams based on who they hypothetically might beat in the future. 
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 28, 2021, 04:24:36 PM
Sure, but you can't rank teams based on who they hypothetically might beat in the future.
Ranking Cincy now based on accomplishments so far they are, at best, about #10.  Their wins over horrible MiamiOH, MurraySt, and Temple prove nothing because those teams are horrible. Their win over IU is better than MSU's but MUCH worse than tOSU's, Iowa's, and PSU's.  Their seven point win over a horrible Navy team is a flat out embarrassment if you are treating them as a legitimate NC contender.  All that leaves is a 35 point win over UCF which is pretty good but not anything to hang your hat on and then an 11 point win over Notre Dame.  

I guess a lot of this hinges on what you think of Notre Dame and I think they are massively overrated.  Their only impressive win based on score is the 28 point win over Wisconsin but even there the Badgers had a fourth quarter lead and the game was within one score until less than 10 minutes remained.  

If you view Notre Dame the way I view Notre Dame then UC doesn't really have any significant accomplishments so all you are left with is comparing scores against crappy teams and they don't stack up very well there.  
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: MaximumSam on October 28, 2021, 04:31:06 PM
Ranking Cincy now based on accomplishments so far they are, at best, about #10.  Their wins over horrible MiamiOH, MurraySt, and Temple prove nothing because those teams are horrible. Their win over IU is better than MSU's but MUCH worse than tOSU's, Iowa's, and PSU's.  Their seven point win over a horrible Navy team is a flat out embarrassment if you are treating them as a legitimate NC contender.  All that leaves is a 35 point win over UCF which is pretty good but not anything to hang your hat on and then an 11 point win over Notre Dame. 

I guess a lot of this hinges on what you think of Notre Dame and I think they are massively overrated.  Their only impressive win based on score is the 28 point win over Wisconsin but even there the Badgers had a fourth quarter lead and the game was within one score until less than 10 minutes remained. 

If you view Notre Dame the way I view Notre Dame then UC doesn't really have any significant accomplishments so all you are left with is comparing scores against crappy teams and they don't stack up very well there. 
But, again, who is better? OSU well behind Cincinnati on the metric of who have you beat. Same for a lot of teams.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Cincydawg on October 28, 2021, 04:34:48 PM
Sure, but you can't rank teams based on who they hypothetically might beat in the future.
Why not?  I think you can rank teams based on whatever you want.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: MrNubbz on October 28, 2021, 04:36:00 PM
I LOVE Football Season
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Cincydawg on October 28, 2021, 04:36:13 PM
[th]RK[/th]
[th]TEAM[/th]
[th]REC[/th]
[th]PTS[/th]
[th]
TREND
[/th]
1
(https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/ncaa/500/61.png&w=40&h=40) (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/61/georgia-bulldogs)
Georgia (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/61/georgia-bulldogs)(63)
7-01575
-
2
(https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/ncaa/500/2132.png&w=40&h=40) (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2132/cincinnati-bearcats)
Cincinnati (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2132/cincinnati-bearcats)
7-01477
-
3
(https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/ncaa/500/333.png&w=40&h=40) (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/333/alabama-crimson-tide)
Alabama (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/333/alabama-crimson-tide)
7-11417
1
4
(https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/ncaa/500/201.png&w=40&h=40) (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/201/oklahoma-sooners)
Oklahoma (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/201/oklahoma-sooners)
8-01383
1
5
(https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/ncaa/500/194.png&w=40&h=40) (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/194/ohio-state-buckeyes)
Ohio State (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/194/ohio-state-buckeyes)
6-11311
-
6
(https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/ncaa/500/130.png&w=40&h=40) (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/130/michigan-wolverines)
Michigan (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/130/michigan-wolverines)
7-01270
-
7
(https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/ncaa/500/2483.png&w=40&h=40) (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2483/oregon-ducks)
Oregon (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2483/oregon-ducks)
6-11165
3
8
(https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/ncaa/500/127.png&w=40&h=40) (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/127/michigan-state-spartans)
Michigan State (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/127/michigan-state-spartans)
7-01160
1
9
(https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/ncaa/500/2294.png&w=40&h=40) (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2294/iowa-hawkeyes)
Iowa (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2294/iowa-hawkeyes)
6-11035
2
10
(https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/ncaa/500/145.png&w=40&h=40) (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/145/ole-miss-rebels)
Ole Miss (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/145/ole-miss-rebels)
6-11034
2

I think every team down to Michigan State would be a 7-14 point favorite over Cincinnati.  The last three would be close.

Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: MaximumSam on October 28, 2021, 04:36:30 PM
Why not?  I think you can rank teams based on whatever you want.
Well sure, we could rank them alphabetically. But the idea that it is outrageous to rank Cincy #2 certainly hasn't been backed up by much.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: MaximumSam on October 28, 2021, 04:40:32 PM

I think every team down to Michigan State would be a 7-14 point favorite over Cincinnati.  The last three would be close.
Oregon was a 2 point dog at UCLA, got the upset and won by 3. Have a hard time seeing them getting more than a couple against Cincinnati.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Cincydawg on October 28, 2021, 05:03:13 PM
I'm fine with Cincy at #2.  But, I don't think they are the second best team out there obviously.

In any POWER ranking, they would be, and are, 7-8-9.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: MaximumSam on October 28, 2021, 05:06:39 PM
I'm fine with Cincy at #2.  But, I don't think they are the second best team out there obviously.

In any POWER ranking, they would be, and are, 7-8-9.
They are fourth in the computer composite


https://masseyratings.com/cf/compare.htm
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: FearlessF on October 28, 2021, 05:16:06 PM
ESPN Power index ranking


Georgia Bulldogs

Alabama Crimson Tide

Ohio State Buckeyes

Michigan Wolverines

Oklahoma Sooners

Pittsburgh Panthers

Florida Gators

Iowa State Cyclones

Cincinnati Bearcats

Clemson Tigers

Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: ELA on October 28, 2021, 09:46:47 PM
Composite computer rankings - 87 computers (last week in parentheses)



Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: um1963 on October 28, 2021, 11:47:59 PM
Ranking Cincy now based on accomplishments so far they are, at best, about #10.  Their wins over horrible MiamiOH, MurraySt, and Temple prove nothing because those teams are horrible. Their win over IU is better than MSU's but MUCH worse than tOSU's, Iowa's, and PSU's.  Their seven point win over a horrible Navy team is a flat out embarrassment if you are treating them as a legitimate NC contender.  All that leaves is a 35 point win over UCF which is pretty good but not anything to hang your hat on and then an 11 point win over Notre Dame. 

I guess a lot of this hinges on what you think of Notre Dame and I think they are massively overrated.  Their only impressive win based on score is the 28 point win over Wisconsin but even there the Badgers had a fourth quarter lead and the game was within one score until less than 10 minutes remained. 

If you view Notre Dame the way I view Notre Dame then UC doesn't really have any significant accomplishments so all you are left with is comparing scores against crappy teams and they don't stack up very well there. 
ND barely beat FSU, Toledo and VT yet they're the cornerstone for the Cincy dynasty in this thread.  
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: MrNubbz on October 28, 2021, 11:55:03 PM
Composite computer rankings - 8 computers (last week in parentheses)
That's and effed up computer to have Oregon at 19 and tOSU @ 5 with the same W/L record.And M at no 2 ahead of Bama..Lucy is about to pull the football from in front of Charie Brown
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: um1963 on October 29, 2021, 12:14:27 AM
That's and effed up computer to have Oregon at 19 and tOSU @ 5 with the same W/L record.And M at no 2 ahead of Bama..Lucy is about to pull the football from in front of Charie Brown
That #2 ranking has been a disaster all season.  We've had Oklahoma, Clemson, Iowa, Cincy and Michigan in that spot.  Who gets to be the fake #2 next?
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on October 29, 2021, 01:17:19 AM
That's and effed up computer to have Oregon at 19 and tOSU @ 5 with the same W/L record.


Not really. 

OSU lost to a top ten team, while Oregon lost to a team with a losing record. 
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: MrNubbz on October 29, 2021, 01:33:05 AM
BFD they lost in OT to Stanford,who has played a tougher schedule than tOSU - to date,we'll see later
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: Hawkinole on October 29, 2021, 02:38:40 AM
Massey Composite Rankings

1 Georgia
2 Michigan
3 Alabama
4 Cincy
5 Ohio St
6 Iowa
7 Oklahoma
8 Notre Dame
9 Mississippi
10 Wake Forest
11 MSU
I think it is the same as ELA's 8 computers, but Massey has 40 computers.
In the top 5 I think Michigan and Alabama  should move down a bit and let Ohio State move up. We will find out if Iowa belongs in the upper crust this weekend. Iowa's QB wears boots and is raking damp cement; he has had little protection; and his coordinator is protected by nepotism.
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: ELA on October 29, 2021, 07:35:16 AM
Massey Composite Rankings

1 Georgia
2 Michigan
3 Alabama
4 Cincy
5 Ohio St
6 Iowa
7 Oklahoma
8 Notre Dame
9 Mississippi
10 Wake Forest
11 MSU
I think it is the same as ELA's 8 computers, but Massey has 40 computers.
In the top 5 I think Michigan and Alabama  should move down a bit and let Ohio State move up. We will find out if Iowa belongs in the upper crust this weekend. Iowa's QB wears boots and is raking damp cement; he has had little protection; and his coordinator is protected by nepotism.
It was a typo, supposed to be 87 computers
Title: Re: B1G Power Rankings, week 8
Post by: FearlessF on October 29, 2021, 08:27:52 AM
That #2 ranking has been a disaster all season.  We've had Oklahoma, Clemson, Iowa, Cincy and Michigan in that spot.  Who gets to be the fake #2 next?
Michigan State?