CFB51 College Football Fan Community
The Power Five => Big Ten => Topic started by: grillrat on November 06, 2017, 02:45:19 PM
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7:00PM game this weekend.
David Blough out for the rest of the season with a dislocated ankle. At least Sindelar has already gotten a ton of reps already this season, so it's not a complete trial-by-fire.
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David Blough out for the rest of the season with a dislocated ankle. At least Sindelar has already gotten a ton of reps already this season, so it's not a complete trial-by-fire.
I prefer Blough to Sindelar, but have been feeling like this "ride the hot hand" has somewhat been a detriment to the offense. At least we know Sindelar is going to play 4 quarters on Saturday, as there's nobody behind him, so he can at least try to find a rhythm.
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Hopefully we can repeat what we did in 2010 in a similar setting. Bowl life depends on it.
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NU Press Conference (11/6)
NOTES:
https://www.insidenu.com/2017/11/6/16613306/northwestern-wildcats-week-11-press-conference-notes-purdue-fitzgerald-larkin
VIDEO (Fitz)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dfdsyOkhn4w
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I like Northwestern's chances in this one.
(https://media.giphy.com/media/cOo3aeD9Jzxh6/giphy.gif)
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Hopefully we can repeat what we did in 2010 in a similar setting. Bowl life depends on it.
Elijah Sindelar is no Rob Henry :57:
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3 things to know about the Purdue Boilermakers
https://www.insidenu.com/2017/11/8/16618864/purdue-boilermakers-northwestern-preview-jeff-brohm-blough-sindelar
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Footballs have funny shapes and take funny bounces. Purdue is a couple late blown games against Rutgers and Nebraska away from being 6-3 themselves, while Northwestern has needed three straight overtime victories, or they could easily be 3-6. Instead the Wildcats are ranked, although their Indianapolis hopes are all but dashed, save a shocking Wisconsin collapse. Now they are playing for bowl positioning, and the thought of already being bowl eligible after the way they started the season is impressive itself, although considering bad Septembers have been their MO recently, maybe it shouldn't be. Playing meaningful games in November is not something Purdue fans have gotten to enjoy in some time. They haven't beaten ranked team since 2011, and that was an overrated Illinois early, before they had time to slide out. They haven't beaten a ranked team in November since toppling #10 Iowa in 2003, the week before losing to Ohio State in overtime, which cost them a share of the Big Ten title. So it's not hyperbole to say this would be the program's biggest win since 2003. It would also prevent a likely tougher game in Iowa City from being a must win. I agree with the Purdue poster who felt that David Blough was the better of the two options under center for Purdue, but Sindelar alone is better than the constant rotation. Granted if the receivers keep up with their dropsies, it won't matter. But the way Northwestern is gritting out wins right now, it might not matter anyway. Perhaps the biggest reason for their turnaround has been offensive line play, aided by better play calling. They were giving up the most sacks in the Big Ten, but over the last two weeks, they've given up a total of 1. Clayton Thorson has shown much more comfort in the offense too, dinking and dunking defenses to death. Purdue might be more equipped to defend that, surrendering more deep passes than consistent short passes, but the way Northwestern is playing right now, as they seem to every year as the season gets later, it's tough to pick against them. Particularly if Justin Jackson can build on his 154 yard rushing day from last week, after getting held down by Iowa and Michigan State in the previous two games.
NORTHWESTERN 28, PURDUE 17
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the real question is: Can Northwestern force and win another overtime this week?
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Very good write up ELA. But no overtime predicted? Man I dunno if I can trust the last part without that.
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Opponent Q&A with Travis Miller of the Purdue SB Nation site, Hammer and Rails
https://www.insidenu.com/2017/11/10/16633888/northwestern-purdue-preview-blough-sindelar-brohm-q-and-a-hammer-rails
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Vegas has NU as 3.5 or 4 point favorites, depending on casino... For an NU home game, that's closer than I expected it would be...
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my bookie had it at 6 on Tuesday
what changed?
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my bookie had it at 6 on Tuesday
what changed?
Good question. Who's your bookie? I know private bookies don't always follow Vegas lines if they don't want to, as it's their own money on the line...
At my office I can't really log into any sites that would show me the line movements over the course of the week (IT restrictions). So I only got what was on ESPN, and ESPN doesn't show what the lines opened at.
That said, I can't imagine that there was so much pro-Purdue money in this one to move the line >=2 points, so I'm guessing your bookie might have been quoting his own number rather than the Vegas consensus...
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nah, he's a slacker that copies the Vegas line
vegasinsider.com says it opened at 5 and is now at 3.5
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Purdue's defense has kept them in every game, it's understandable why Vegas would keep the spread close. Purdue has probably become a popular bet this year amongst other fans, not really Boiler faithful. I know my BIL was picking them often in the front half of the season, and winning.
For the game, it's really hard to tell at this point. The offense is obviously scaled way back, especially to Brohms liking. I don't think he's comfortable calling it like that. Looks like they want to give Burgess a go at WR. If he pans out, it relieves Anthrop and should open up Herdman, the latter 2 seem to be the most reliable pass catchers.
The defense should keep it close as always.
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Why NU will / won't beat Purdue
https://www.insidenu.com/2017/11/11/16632614/northwestern-wildcats-purdue-boilermakers-winning-reasons-victory-fitzgerald-brohm
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Final score:
Purdue 13
Northwestern 23
go 'Cats!