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The Power Five => Big Ten => Topic started by: Temp430 on January 02, 2020, 07:09:56 AM

Title: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Temp430 on January 02, 2020, 07:09:56 AM
Senior Michigan OT Stephen Spanellis has entered the transfer portal.  Good luck to him wherever he ends up.  Given the graduation of LT Runyan and OG Bredeson I would characterize this as a serious loss.

https://www.detroitnews.com/story/sports/college/university-michigan/2020/01/01/michigan-wolverines-offensive-lineman-stephen-spanellis-transfer/2793516001/ (https://www.detroitnews.com/story/sports/college/university-michigan/2020/01/01/michigan-wolverines-offensive-lineman-stephen-spanellis-transfer/2793516001/)

Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MaximumSam on January 03, 2020, 07:39:28 AM
2020 schedule

@Washington
Ball St.
Arkansas St.
Wisconsin
PSU
@ MSU
@ Minny
Purdue
BYE
Maryland
@ Rutgers
Indiana
@ OSU
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Cincydawg on January 03, 2020, 07:47:58 AM
Interesting seeing a BYE before playing Maryland.  UDubb is a credible OOC game.  The slate sets up well until ....
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: ELA on January 03, 2020, 09:18:44 AM
Senior Michigan OT Stephen Spanellis has entered the transfer portal.  Good luck to him wherever he ends up.  Given the graduation of LT Runyan and OG Bredeson I would characterize this as a serious loss.

https://www.detroitnews.com/story/sports/college/university-michigan/2020/01/01/michigan-wolverines-offensive-lineman-stephen-spanellis-transfer/2793516001/ (https://www.detroitnews.com/story/sports/college/university-michigan/2020/01/01/michigan-wolverines-offensive-lineman-stephen-spanellis-transfer/2793516001/)


Yeah, linemen, on either side of the ball, are always a hit, no matter how much they were expected to play.  MSU had Dimitri Douglas transfer to EMU so he could play, whereas he was probably never seeing the field in East Lansing anytime soon, and I'd still call that a bigger hit than Conor Heyward leaving.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Big Beef Tacosupreme on January 03, 2020, 10:00:12 AM
My biggest question marks for 2020 Michigan, in order:

I would like to know what Michigan's plan is at the QB position.  A mobile QB is vital in the Gattis/Moorhead offense. 

Where are all of the "Best Wide Receivers in the B1G" going?  Are they turning pro?

It seems like UM is graduating all of their linebackers.  How is that position looking for 2020?

Anything I missed?



Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Temp430 on January 03, 2020, 10:54:49 AM
My biggest question marks for 2020 Michigan, in order:

I would like to know what Michigan's plan is at the QB position.  A mobile QB is vital in the Gattis/Moorhead offense. 

Where are all of the "Best Wide Receivers in the B1G" going?  Are they turning pro?

It seems like UM is graduating all of their linebackers.  How is that position looking for 2020?

Anything I missed?





Michigan's QB will be Dylan McCaffery barring the unforeseen.  He's taller and faster than Patterson.  He needs to learn to properly slide feet first when running the ball.  He got a season ending injury in 2018 for failing to do so and a concussion for not sliding soon or low enough this year.  The backup QB will likely be Milton who is big, fast, and has a cannon arm.  Looks like Cam Newton but passing accuracy has been rumored to be an ongoing project.  If not Milton the #2 would be McNamara, also very talented.  Michigan is set for QBs for the foreseeable future.

WR Black will transfer and while there is no official word yet WR Collins is almost certainly gone and I would guess WR DPJ sticks around.  Michigan has some great younger WRs as well. 

Hudson is graduating and Uche is going to the NFL.  Tough losses but I think Michigan will be fine LB wise.  McGrone will be back as will Ross after an injury red shirt and there is lots of young talent.

The OL maybe an issue given the graduation of Bredeson, Runyan and Spanellis.  Again, there is a lot of young talent and I'm somewhat optimistic given the OL coach. 

I maybe getting out over my skis but I think Michigan will be good in 2020.
 
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Big Beef Tacosupreme on January 03, 2020, 02:24:30 PM
Michigan's QB will be Dylan McCaffery barring the unforeseen.  He's taller and faster than Patterson.  He needs to learn to properly slide feet first when running the ball.  He got a season ending injury in 2018 for failing to do so and a concussion for not sliding soon or low enough this year.  The backup QB will likely be Milton who is big, fast, and has a cannon arm.  Looks like Cam Newton but passing accuracy has been rumored to be an ongoing project.  If not Milton the #2 would be McNamara, also very talented.  Michigan is set for QBs for the foreseeable future.

WR Black will transfer and while there is no official word yet WR Collins is almost certainly gone and I would guess WR DPJ sticks around.  Michigan has some great younger WRs as well. 

Hudson is graduating and Uche is going to the NFL.  Tough losses but I think Michigan will be fine LB wise.  McGrone will be back as will Ross after an injury red shirt and there is lots of young talent.

The OL maybe an issue given the graduation of Bredeson, Runyan and Spanellis.  Again, there is a lot of young talent and I'm somewhat optimistic given the OL coach. 

I maybe getting out over my skis but I think Michigan will be good in 2020.
 
Thanks!

Penn State should be slightly better than this year, but playing in Ann Arbor is really the key game of the season.  I was hoping Michigan would need a rebuilding year.  
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: 847badgerfan on January 03, 2020, 02:33:14 PM
Thanks!

Penn State should be slightly better than this year, but playing in Ann Arbor is really the key game of the season.  I was hoping Michigan would need a rebuilding year. 
I think they will be rebuilding. UW has to go there too - early on.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MichiFan87 on January 03, 2020, 09:53:17 PM
I don't get Ruiz's departure, but so it goes. Supposedly Spanellis had already been passed by the freshmen who were redshirting this year, which explains his departure. Time will tell on that, but they were all highly rated, though that means less for OL than any other position, to be sure.

I would be surprised by any other departures amongst starters or significant contributors. Even Collins and Peoples-Jones will apparently return at receiver.

At this point it would definitely be a plus to get a proven grad-transfer for the OL, but I have bigger concerns for DL and CB/NB, where they're apparently looking at grad-transfer options. Even so, I expect the defense to be pretty good, regardless, as it has been the past 5 years.

Otherwise, Michigan under Harbaugh has proven that they'll beat everyone except Ohio State at home and beat anyone else outside the top 25 anywhere, so 10-2 is a reasonable early prediction (@Minnesota being the most likely second loss)..... Washington in Seattle will be dangerous, too, of course, but they'll also have a new starting QB and other new starters in addition to replacing Peterson (though I realize they'll return most of their assistants by promoting Lake to HC).
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: 847badgerfan on January 03, 2020, 11:46:08 PM
UW will beat the snot out of the Wolverfailers next year. Just like this year.

Book it.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Cincydawg on January 04, 2020, 08:15:34 AM
I'm pondering what Michigan's goals are in football, next season and beyond.  I really don't know.  And yes, just about every team states some goal to win the NC etc.  I think a lot of teams can realistically say their main goal is to win their conference (other things usually accrue from that).  If we presume that is their main goal, they have one large obstacle in their way, along with playing teams like PSU and Wisconsin and even MSU at times.

Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on January 04, 2020, 09:06:18 AM
Penn State should be slightly better than this year, but playing in Ann Arbor is really the key game of the season. 
Now you've done it I'm e-mailing this to Ryan Day and mighty fine bulletin board material it'll make
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MaximumSam on January 04, 2020, 04:30:13 PM
Peoples Jones says sayanora
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MaximumSam on January 05, 2020, 05:30:45 PM
But Collins is back
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: ELA on January 05, 2020, 09:44:32 PM
But Collins is back
Weird, assumed vice versa
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on January 06, 2020, 09:20:02 AM
Really?Ya what ELA said,could be a mistake,seeing as the O-Line and QB will prolly be weaker because of NFL/Grads.Collins avg of 20+ YPC lead the conference I believe.Hard to see his stock getting higher if they can't get him the ball.But who knows maybe the opposite could develop,hope he stays healthy
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Big Beef Tacosupreme on January 06, 2020, 10:16:25 AM
Really?Ya what ELA said,could be a mistake,seeing as the O-Line and QB will prolly be weaker because of NFL/Grads.Collins avg of 20+ YPC lead the conference I believe.Hard to see his stock getting higher if they can't get him the ball.But who knows maybe the opposite could develop,hope he stays healthy
I can only guess he did not get a 1st or 2nd round draft grade.  That's not necessarily due to his talent level; there are a TON of ultra talented receivers going pro this year.  

I also think he has a lot of room for improvement as far as route running goes.  
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on January 06, 2020, 10:33:46 AM
The Big Ten alone is stoked with Sunday WRs.Nico graded out well from PFF as to hanging onto the ball.Just saying from what i've seen Nico is at least a late 2nd early 3rd round pick.He could be one of those tweeners look what DK Metcalf did yesterday and they listed him as 6'4" he had like 900 yds as a rookie.Both are similar in physical size to Josh Gordon who unfortunately can't leave the hippy lettuce alone
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on January 06, 2020, 10:39:40 AM
I can only guess he did not get a 1st or 2nd round draft grade.  That's not necessarily due to his talent level; there are a TON of ultra talented receivers going pro this year. 

I also think he has a lot of room for improvement as far as route running goes. 
My general theory is that if you are 1st round you should go, if not you should stay.  That said, I think that @MrNubbz (https://www.cfb51.com/index.php?action=profile;u=17) makes some good points.  If it looks like the offense that you are a part of is going to regress, you might want to get out while the getting is good.  I'm not sure that applies here, but it might.  

My favorite example of this is Pepe Pearson of Ohio State:
In 1995 Eddie George rushed for 1,927 (5.9 per carry) yards and won the Heisman Trophy behind a stellar OL.  The following year Pepe Pearson took over the starting job and rushed for 1,484 (5.0 per carry) yards.  That SEEMED great, but in reality it wasn't.  Any random college RB would have had about what Pearson had because nearly all of that OL that had blocked for Eddie George's Heisman returned.  Any RB would have looked good behind that line.  

Pearson decided to return for the 1997 season but the OL was gone.  He only rushed for 869 (4.5 per carry) yards while splitting carries almost evenly with Michael Wiley who had 588 (5.6 per carry) yards.  

Pearson definitely should have left after the 1996 season and staying around for the 1997 season cost him a TON of money because it exposed the fact that he really wasn't that great of a RB, he was just in a REALLY great position in 1996.  
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: SuperMario on January 06, 2020, 06:26:59 PM
My general theory is that if you are 1st round you should go, if not you should stay.  That said, I think that @MrNubbz (https://www.cfb51.com/index.php?action=profile;u=17) makes some good points.  If it looks like the offense that you are a part of is going to regress, you might want to get out while the getting is good.  I'm not sure that applies here, but it might. 

My favorite example of this is Pepe Pearson of Ohio State:
In 1995 Eddie George rushed for 1,927 (5.9 per carry) yards and won the Heisman Trophy behind a stellar OL.  The following year Pepe Pearson took over the starting job and rushed for 1,484 (5.0 per carry) yards.  That SEEMED great, but in reality it wasn't.  Any random college RB would have had about what Pearson had because nearly all of that OL that had blocked for Eddie George's Heisman returned.  Any RB would have looked good behind that line. 

Pearson decided to return for the 1997 season but the OL was gone.  He only rushed for 869 (4.5 per carry) yards while splitting carries almost evenly with Michael Wiley who had 588 (5.6 per carry) yards. 

Pearson definitely should have left after the 1996 season and staying around for the 1997 season cost him a TON of money because it exposed the fact that he really wasn't that great of a RB, he was just in a REALLY great position in 1996. 
I actually thought the opposite situation may have kept both DPJ and Nico. Patterson was horrid throwing beyond 10 yard. Short routes, he definitely improved, but consistently missed open receivers down field over and over. Both DPJ and Nico had the advantage down field, one by speed and another by size so I think it would benefit them by having a an with better deep accuracy. That being said, there’s no guarantee the next up will improve, but I’m not sure how much worse qb1 could be compared to Patterson on the deep ball.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on January 06, 2020, 06:44:25 PM
Maybe M had a better passer but he wasn't played.I know Warriner can do a lot if he has some talent as I believe M will lose at least 2 maybe 3 O-Lineman
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: ELA on January 14, 2020, 12:15:23 PM
Anthony Campanile turns down DC offers from BC and Rutgers to stay LB coach at UM.  Big for them for a couple reasons.  If he left, they'd be on their 4th LB coach in 4 years, plus with Partridge leaving for Ole Miss, that would mean losing both of their NJ recruiters.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: ELA on January 14, 2020, 07:09:45 PM
Michael Dwumfor in the portal
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: ELA on January 15, 2020, 10:02:02 PM
Anthony Campanile turns down DC offers from BC and Rutgers to stay LB coach at UM.  Big for them for a couple reasons.  If he left, they'd be on their 4th LB coach in 4 years, plus with Partridge leaving for Ole Miss, that would mean losing both of their NJ recruiters.
Or Stephen Ross hired him away to the Dolphins
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: ELA on February 07, 2020, 02:40:38 PM
His son signed, played and left, his purpose is done

mlive.com/wolverines/2020/02/ole-miss-hires-devin-bush-sr-away-from-michigan.html
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: 847badgerfan on February 07, 2020, 02:52:56 PM
That smells funny.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on February 07, 2020, 03:58:16 PM
Nope jimmy gonna hire a prospective recruits coach/parent,have to make some room
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: FearlessF on February 07, 2020, 03:59:19 PM
yup, Jimmy either needs another recruit or a better coach
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: CatsbyAZ on April 22, 2020, 11:57:41 AM
Quietest Michigan offseason that I can remember during the Harbaugh tenure and well before that too. Maybe the usual coverage has just gotten bored or tired of spending so much time on Harbaugh’s first few seasons? 
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on April 22, 2020, 11:59:39 AM
Quietest Michigan offseason that I can remember during the Harbaugh tenure and well before that too. Maybe the usual coverage has just gotten bored or tired of spending so much time on Harbaugh’s first few seasons?
it's a sinking ship. the hype has worn off and Harbaugh has lost his luster. That's gonna happen when you continually get your dick kicked in by Ohio State. 0-5.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Big Beef Tacosupreme on April 24, 2020, 01:22:09 PM
it's a sinking ship. the hype has worn off and Harbaugh has lost his luster. That's gonna happen when you continually get your dick kicked in by Ohio State. 0-5.
To be fair, Ohio State is on a whole different level at the moment, so maybe that's not necessarily the best measuring stick.

And yes, Michigan is known as the team that always finishes 3rd in the Big 10 East.  I get it.

Let's look at this a different way.  Michigan has also consistently finished with 10 wins, and is on the verge of competing for the B1G.  Imagine if Michigan had Justin Fields and Chase Young last year.  What a difference just two players makes.

This is the same situation Penn State is in.  We need at least one Saquon Barkley in order to compete with a team that consistently has 2 or 3 on the roster.

Harbaugh will eventually find that player or two, and THAT is when Michigan will move up.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on April 24, 2020, 01:49:25 PM
To be fair, Ohio State is on a whole different level at the moment, so maybe that's not necessarily the best measuring stick.

And yes, Michigan is known as the team that always finishes 3rd in the Big 10 East.  I get it.

Let's look at this a different way.  Michigan has also consistently finished with 10 wins, and is on the verge of competing for the B1G.  Imagine if Michigan had Justin Fields and Chase Young last year.  What a difference just two players makes.

This is the same situation Penn State is in.  We need at least one Saquon Barkley in order to compete with a team that consistently has 2 or 3 on the roster.

Harbaugh will eventually find that player or two, and THAT is when Michigan will move up.
Not buying it. Jim whifs on so many recruiting “locks” that wind up being great for other teams. *COUGH* OT Isaiah Wilson....*COUGH* RB AJ Dillon. How much better would Michigan’s offense have been the last few years with a 1st round pick starting at RT in Isaiah Wilson and mauling, powerful 2nd-3rd rd pick starting at RB in AJ Dillon? Probably significantly. 

Jim isn’t developing his QB’s or his WR’s either at all. DPJ is a freak of nature that never developed. 5*, top 10 player Overall, #1 WR in 247Composite as a recruit. Prediction: he will get developed in the NFL and be way better in the NFL than he ever was in college. Urban flat out said on national tv that when he was coaching he wanted DPJ baaaad and thought he was a top 10 nfl draft pick in 3 years but he hasn’t been developed.

Defense has been pretty good at developing players- but that’s because of Don Brown. Jim isn’t too involved there. It still hasn’t gotten the absolute max out of its elite athletes with the exception of Devin Bush. Just look at Peppers, Uche, and Gary. Those dudes are all freakish athletes. And I’d argue that they all should’ve been better, more impactful players at Michigan and all would’ve been drafted higher had they gone to OSU. Gary should’ve been the #1 overall pick. He was that insanely gifted. Athletically he’s superior to someone like Chase Young- who just went #2 overall. Peppers should’ve been a top 10 pick. And Uche a 1st round pick. His usage by Brown was terrible. They made him a situational player instead of an every down pass rushing maniac. In another scheme with more development- all 3 of those guys are probably way more productive and drafted higher. Brown tries to get too cute. He needed to use and unleash his elite athletes more. Don’t make them think too much or ask them to do too much. Just let them go. 

There’s a QB on the roster that has huge potential in Joe Milton but he was raw as hell. Jim didn’t redshirt him and I doubt we will see him progress. Joe Milton with Ryan Day would probably be a 1st rd pick. He’s 6’5”+, 250 pounds, runs a legitimate verified 4.65 in the 40. And oh yeah he’s probably got the strongest arm in the entire Big 10. 

It’s not just recruiting. They are developing guys way better. 
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Big Beef Tacosupreme on April 24, 2020, 02:03:05 PM
Not buying it. Jim whifs on so many recruiting “locks” that wind up being great for other teams. *COUGH* OT Isaiah Wilson....*COUGH* RB AJ Dillon. How much better would Michigan’s offense have been the last few years with a 1st round pick starting at RT in Isaiah Wilson and mauling, powerful 2nd-3rd rd pick starting at RB in AJ Dillon? Probably significantly.

Jim isn’t developing his QB’s or his WR’s either at all. DPJ is a freak of nature that never developed. 5*, top 10 player Overall, #1 WR in 247Composite as a recruit. Prediction: he will get developed in the NFL and be way better in the NFL than he ever was in college. Urban flat out said on national tv that when he was coaching he wanted DPJ baaaad and thought he was a top 10 nfl draft pick in 3 years but he hasn’t been developed.

Defense has been pretty good at developing players- but that’s because of Don Brown. Jim isn’t too involved there. It still hasn’t gotten the absolute max out of its elite athletes with the exception of Devin Bush. Just look at Peppers, Uche, and Gary. Those dudes are all freakish athletes. And I’d argue that they all should’ve been better, more impactful players at Michigan and all would’ve been drafted higher had they gone to OSU. Gary should’ve been the #1 overall pick. He was that insanely gifted. Athletically he’s superior to someone like Chase Young- who just went #2 overall. Peppers should’ve been a top 10 pick. And Uche a 1st round pick. His usage by Brown was terrible. They made him a situational player instead of an every down pass rushing maniac. In another scheme with more development- all 3 of those guys are probably way more productive and drafted higher. Brown tries to get too cute. He needed to use and unleash his elite athletes more. Don’t make them think too much or ask them to do too much. Just let them go.

There’s a QB on the roster that has huge potential in Joe Milton but he was raw as hell. Jim didn’t redshirt him and I doubt we will see him progress. Joe Milton with Ryan Day would probably be a 1st rd pick. He’s 6’5”+, 250 pounds, runs a legitimate verified 4.65 in the 40. And oh yeah he’s probably got the strongest arm in the entire Big 10.

It’s not just recruiting. They are developing guys way better.
Well Gattis is a great WR coach, so that issue should be fixed.

IMO, Michigan is like Nebraska back in 2003.  Sure, you could get rid of Solich (Harbaugh) and Pellini (Brown), but you could end up with Bill Callahan and damage your program for a decade or more.

There's always room for improvement, but I don't think you should replace a consistent 10 win coach in one of the best divisions in college football. 
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on April 24, 2020, 02:12:05 PM
Well Gattis is a great WR coach, so that issue should be fixed.

IMO, Michigan is like Nebraska back in 2003.  Sure, you could get rid of Solich (Harbaugh) and Pellini (Brown), but you could end up with Bill Callahan and damage your program for a decade or more.

There's always room for improvement, but I don't think you should replace a consistent 10 win coach in one of the best divisions in college football.
Gattis has only been there 1 year. I think these WR guys will start to be developed, but it takes more than 1 year. Still doubt we will see any development at QB because: Jim. 

I’m not saying replace him. He’s a good coach. He’s just not what we thought he was. And Michigan is stuck with him right now. You don’t go replacing him just because.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Cincydawg on April 24, 2020, 05:16:43 PM
It all hinges on expectations of the Big Donors.  If they generally are content with the Citrus Bowl and a ten win season, JH will be around a long time, and he will get some teams into that 11-2 category probably.

Ohio State is going to be in the playoff every year or just on the fringe.  
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Big Beef Tacosupreme on April 26, 2020, 02:17:14 PM
This is a weird question -- you guys had a running back that I thought was pretty darn good, but I believe he ended up being academically ineligible last year.  (or part of last year?)

Is that kid back on the team, and does he pose a risk to Mr. Charbonett?
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on April 26, 2020, 02:28:31 PM
This is a weird question -- you guys had a running back that I thought was pretty darn good, but I believe he ended up being academically ineligible last year.  (or part of last year?)

Is that kid back on the team, and does he pose a risk to Mr. Charbonett?
Chris Evans is coming back, and I don’t think he poses a threat. They are completely different types of backs. They actually compliment each other extremely well. 

Losing 4 starters on the OL to the NFL draft is a bigger threat to Charbonett.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on April 26, 2020, 03:05:56 PM
It's hard to say oh just fire Harbaugh when you consider he's averaging about 10 wins per season over 5 seasons- and Michigan was a total dumpster-fire for almost an entire decade sans a flukish first Brady Hoke season when they went 11-2. Every other year under Hoke was not good- the team went backwards every year. And the Rodriguez years were a clown show.

Harbaugh era Michigan has sent 40 players to the NFL draft in his 5 years as coach. From 2005-2015, Michigan had sent 37 players to the NFL draft. So he's getting guys drafted at a way higher rate than previous coaches and he's averaging about 10 wins a season.

BUT...he's getting his ass kicked by Ohio State every year and losing about 1 game a year he shouldn't. Doubt that ever changes. Just it what it is. And you can't get rid of him- because you could easily go back to be a laughing stock if you get rid of him just because and wind up hiring the wrong guy.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on April 26, 2020, 03:26:15 PM

Harbaugh era Michigan has sent 40 players to the NFL draft in his 5 years as coach. From 2005-2015, Michigan had sent 37 players to the NFL draft. So he's getting guys drafted at a way higher rate than previous coaches and he's averaging about 10 wins a season.

That was the problem with Cooper - he'd loose the last 2 games of the season more often than not.But in the years he was in C-Bus the Buckeyes put the same amonut of guys in the League as UM - 64.Because of JHs contract he'll get prolly most of that.Cooper threatened to leave after going 1-4-1 vs M.And the idiots gave him an extension and raise.Not sure how I didn't end up in the ER
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: ELA on April 26, 2020, 03:33:12 PM
Harbaugh can't beat OSU and he can't win decent road games.  But he literally never loses bad  gets games.  What is his worst loss?  At home against a 10-3 MSU team?  A meaningless Outback Bowl against South Carolina.  He doesn't have blowout losses at Purdue or Iowa.  He doesn't have losses to Pitt and Syracuse.  That 9-11 wins per year with Michigan's talent.  If you bring in someone else, who gets the same results, but beats OSU occasionally, but then drops a game at Indiana or Minnesota, is that better?  That's basically Lloyd Carr, more big wins, more bad losses, solid end result.  And yet was Carrs seat ever hot?  Different times, WAY less scrutiny.  Maybe it's a product of the CFP or bust way college football is covered now, but I remember really enjoying Michigan's 10-3 Citrus Bowl 1998 season.  That season started 0-2 (so CFP gone), and ended with a loss at OSU.  That would be a disaster now.

/unfocusedrant
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Big Beef Tacosupreme on April 26, 2020, 04:06:02 PM
Chris Evans is coming back, and I don’t think he poses a threat. They are completely different types of backs. They actually compliment each other extremely well.

Losing 4 starters on the OL to the NFL draft is a bigger threat to Charbonett.
Wow, I just realized that Michigan had 10 players drafted.  This initially made me agree that Harbaugh is underperforming as well.  However, on second glance:

1.  Michigan lost to an Ohio State team that was one of the very few in the country that had more talent than UM.

2.  An Alabama team that was one of the very few in the country that had more talent than UM.

3.  A Penn State team with comparable talent, but away in a white out and a very close game.

The fourth loss was to Wisconsin.  Wisconsin only had 4 players taken in this draft, but I could see them having 10 (or even more) picks in next year's draft.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Cincydawg on April 26, 2020, 04:22:23 PM
I think it's frustrating for a fan base not to have a "break through year".  An NC will mask a lot of 8-5 years.  An 11-2 year with a loss to OSU is disheartening.  Grumbling starts.  Expectations and hopes and dreams etc.  

And yes, if you fire a pretty good coach in hopes of getting a great one, you risk getting a substandard coach etc.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on April 26, 2020, 04:31:26 PM
I think it's frustrating for a fan base not to have a "break through year".  An NC will mask a lot of 8-5 years.  An 11-2 year with a loss to OSU is disheartening.  Grumbling starts.  Expectations and hopes and dreams etc. 

And yes, if you fire a pretty good coach in hopes of getting a great one, you risk getting a substandard coach etc.
I honestly don’t think Harbaugh’s heart is in this for the long haul. He’ll be back in the NFL before long. 

Imagine him taking control of a team as talented as the Browns? No doubt in my mind he would make them a winner.  

I don’t think you fire a guy unless you know for sure you have a better guy replacing him. Saban ain’t walking through that door. Urban isn’t walking through that door. Lincoln Riley isn’t walking through that door. I mean who would you realistically replace him with that is for sure better if you fired him? 
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Cincydawg on April 26, 2020, 04:35:47 PM
This of course is the problem with firing a coach who really is doing pretty well.  Crap shoot, probably on some assistant from somewhere and FCS guy.

If you are Miss State, it can make some sense to hire The Pirate, but look at what Tennessee has gone through (and they aren't out of the woods yet), or USC, or Texas, or Nebraska.  My opinion is Dabo is the most "attractive" coach out there right now, youth, track record, recruiting, etc., and he MIGHT leave but not for Michigan.

Arkansas was a pretty decent program and has fallen so far off the map it's hard to remember that.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on April 26, 2020, 04:46:01 PM
And Michigan is returning a bunch of talent. They have to figure out the QB battle and rebuild the OL- but it’s not like they are gonna suck next year. Probably still gonna be a 9-10 win team.

It’s not like he’s not recruiting NFL talent and it’s not like he’s going 6-6 or 5-7 here. In 5 years he’s averaging about 10 wins a season and he’s had 40 players drafted by the NFL, including 6 1st rounders. From 2005-2015 drafts Michigan only had 37 players total drafted and 5 1st rounders.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on April 26, 2020, 04:56:55 PM
Harbaugh stabilized the program for the first time in a decade, right out of the gate. So that has to count for something.

The "big win" has eluded him obviously, as it took Juwan Howard only 3 games in order to rack up more wins vs top 10 teams than Harbaugh has in his entire Michigan coaching career. 

In order for him to be a "John Cooper" he'd need to go 2-4 vs OSU over the next six years. I suspect that most Wolverine fans would probably sign up for a guarantee of that result. As it stands Cooper had more wins in THE GAME than the last three Wolverine coaches combined. 
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: ELA on April 26, 2020, 06:39:50 PM
It’s not like he’s not recruiting NFL talent and it’s not like he’s going 6-6 or 5-7 here. In 5 years he’s averaging about 10 wins a season and he’s had 40 players drafted by the NFL, including 6 1st rounders. From 2005-2015 drafts Michigan only had 37 players total drafted and 5 1st rounders.
For more money and just as many CCGs appearances, let alone titles.:57:
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: bayareabadger on April 26, 2020, 08:14:37 PM
it's a sinking ship. the hype has worn off and Harbaugh has lost his luster. That's gonna happen when you continually get your dick kicked in by Ohio State. 0-5.
I've been on this board over a decade, back to the late Carr era, and I'll tell you, watching the rise and fall of Michigan hype cycles is among the most educations I've had about how people consume college football. 
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: bayareabadger on April 26, 2020, 08:36:41 PM
Harbaugh can't beat OSU and he can't win decent road games.  But he literally never loses bad  gets games.  What is his worst loss?  At home against a 10-3 MSU team?  A meaningless Outback Bowl against South Carolina.  He doesn't have blowout losses at Purdue or Iowa.  He doesn't have losses to Pitt and Syracuse.  That 9-11 wins per year with Michigan's talent.  If you bring in someone else, who gets the same results, but beats OSU occasionally, but then drops a game at Indiana or Minnesota, is that better?  That's basically Lloyd Carr, more big wins, more bad losses, solid end result.  And yet was Carrs seat ever hot?  Different times, WAY less scrutiny.  Maybe it's a product of the CFP or bust way college football is covered now, but I remember really enjoying Michigan's 10-3 Citrus Bowl 1998 season.  That season started 0-2 (so CFP gone), and ended with a loss at OSU.  That would be a disaster now.

/unfocusedrant
I think that's a part of it, but with no satisfaction of beating OSU. Getting that extra month of self satisfaction is worth a lot.

Obviously that second part is harder to help because OSU just went supernova. In spots, there were cracks. Michigan was a road favorite in 2018 (3.5-4.5 points), even if they were a terrible matchup. The were battling in 2017 despite trash QBs and went down to the wire in 2016. But never had that extra little bit and OSU is about at its full power

But even if the success is near a level that makes sense, the optics are just not ideal
-QBs that range from a mess to modestly inconsistent
-A running game than never really feels that in control 
-Offenses that always feel like kind of a chore (though the "non-modern scheme" stuff is mostly poppycock)
-Defense that is don't-bend-sometimes-break which seems to not have that top-end gear. 

Then again, you have all that and they still win 10 games a year. If they get that QB play like 10 percent better, maybe flip a game a season and it's acceptable to most. 

Then again, if he wins three more in five years, he's got the best win percentage of anyone but Crisler, Bo and Yost. Flip five games, and he's basically at the same level of Bo and Cisler.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Big Beef Tacosupreme on April 26, 2020, 08:39:18 PM
I've been on this board over a decade, back to the late Carr era, and I'll tell you, watching the rise and fall of Michigan hype cycles is among the most educations I've had about how people consume college football.
I've been off and on since 2002 ish.  Michigan absolutely blows every other team out of the water as far as "hype cycles" are concerned.  I have no idea why that is.  
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on April 26, 2020, 08:44:36 PM

What is a hype cycle?


(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EVcVceKWAAAdEgA?format=jpg&name=large)
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: bayareabadger on April 26, 2020, 09:00:28 PM
What is a hype cycle?


(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EVcVceKWAAAdEgA?format=jpg&name=large)
New coach: Just you wait
Early in the tenure: Just wait until he gets his guys/his style of guys in (this happens with a good start or bad)
Middle tenure as things are somewhere in terms of sliding/rising/holding at average: I don't like this thing this coach and his staff do. They need to fix that up. 
Years 4, 5 or 6: "It's a sinking ship. the hype has worn off ... (coach) has has lost his luster. He’s just not what we thought he was."

Sometimes its faster. It works with a lot of new hires at demanding programs (there are maybe 10-12 non-demanding programs, maybe less). Works super well with young QBs who play early too and sometimes other guys. 
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on April 26, 2020, 09:03:50 PM
I've been off and on since 2002 ish.  Michigan absolutely blows every other team out of the water as far as "hype cycles" are concerned.  I have no idea why that is. 
Notre Dame says hi.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on April 26, 2020, 09:07:43 PM
For more money and just as many CCGs appearances, let alone titles.:57:
Don’t get me wrong, I’m not happy about the way things are. And I do think he’s overpaid but they have to pay him that or he’d just go to the NFL. He’s not going to stay at Michigan out of the goodness of his heart. 

Michigan isn’t getting 5*’s out of Texas, California, and Florida. Ohio State is. Meyer is a recruiting machine. He can go anywhere and land 5*’s. Harbaugh can’t.  Meyer left and he handed Day the keys to a Pagani. Until Harbaugh starts recruiting at that level- he’ll never catch OSU. If he had better development of his talent he could close that gap a little bit. But I don’t think he ever will. 
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Cincydawg on April 27, 2020, 06:11:47 AM
I've been off and on since 2002 ish.  Michigan absolutely blows every other team out of the water as far as "hype cycles" are concerned.  I have no idea why that is. 
I think Texas, ND, USC are all in the same boat, e.g., Blue Bloods down on their "luck" right now, so every season promises Return to Greatness.  Unfortunately, I THINK they have been replaced by Clemson in effect, OSU and Alabama have retained their status, Oklahoma is right there, and LSU and UGA can on occasion get into the playoffs (ND has as well).  The space on the podium is limited.

We expect to see the same three teams in the playoffs each preseason and have now for a while.  They don't always make it but they have always been very close.

If you blindly pick Bama/Clemson/OSU/OU to be the Final Four in any year you have a pretty good shot at being right.



Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MaximumSam on April 27, 2020, 07:50:00 AM
Michigan has a fine program, but it's tough to see how they break into that top tier.  OSU's team was as good as I've ever seen them last year, and they lost in the semifinals.  It's a land of giants out there.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on April 27, 2020, 07:51:08 AM
I've been off and on since 2002 ish.  
we talk football not passionate relationships.Sounds like the rest of us
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on April 27, 2020, 08:01:59 AM
Michigan has a fine program, but it's tough to see how they break into that top tier.  OSU's team was as good as I've ever seen them last year, and they lost in the semifinals.  It's a land of giants out there.
How do you break into the top tier? I feel like it starts with the coaching. LSU wasn't going anywhere, even with Joe Burrow until Ed O decided to go out and hire Joe Brady and turn over the offense to him. We all saw Burrow's first year at LSU. Was nowhere near his last year. Burrow always had it in him, but it took the coaching to put it all together and show him the way.

Not sure Gattis is an elite OC #1 and not sure Harbaugh will ever completely relinquish total control and just keep his fingers out of the offense. If you ask me those are the two biggest issues plaguing Michigan. You start developing your talent better you win more games and you get better recruits. It all goes hand in hand. Top recruits want to win and get drafted high. Urban was the master of this. He won a shit-ton and his players got drafted high. You start doing that they come to you. It's a lot easier to recruit when you're doing those two things. You really think Mr. 5* QB or WR recruit really wants to come play at Michigan after seeing a 5* #1 QB and top 4 player go undrafted in Shea Patterson or a 5* #1 WR and #10 player go in the 6th round like DPJ? Hell no.

And you really think other coaches that Michigan recruits against won't point this out to 5* QB and WR recruits? They'd be fools not to.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Cincydawg on April 27, 2020, 08:34:00 AM
You break into the top tier in either of three ways, I think

1.  Everything comes together one year and your conference is bad so you go 12-0 and probably get whacked in round one (Washington).
2.  You are close year after year and suddenly that missing piece drops in your lap (LSU).
3.  You are Bama/Clemson/OSU and recruit at the top level year after year and reload despite heavy losses.

I think Michigan's shot is more Item 2 above.  They have to beat Ohio State, which might be possible after Fields moves on, and win the East and then beat Wisconsin/whoever.  At 12-1 they probably are in the dance.

Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on April 27, 2020, 08:55:23 AM
quick early snap shot of 2020 offense-

QB: RS Jr. Dylan McCaffrey vs. RS Soph. Joe Milton - McCaffrey most likely the guy. Milton is super talented, but super raw. If Harbaugh can't develop polished high-school QB's like Patterson- how the hell can he develop a raw one? This is going to be interesting battle because: who knows what the hell Harbaugh will do. I'd be very surprised if McCaffrey isn't the guy though.

RB: Soph. Zach Charbonnet, RS Soph. Hassan Haskins, and RS Sr. Chris Evans - 3 really good backs. Charbonnet best all-around with big NFL potential. Haskins is a between the tackles, physical battering ram with initial explosion but lacks top-end speed. Chris Evans is as shifty as they come and could probably play WR full-time- he's that good at running routes and catching the ball.

WR: leading receivers RS Jr. Nico Collins and Jr. Ronnie Bell return. The trio of frosh that played last year return as well in Cornelius Johnson, Giles Jackson, and Mike Sainistril. Freshman speedsters Roman Wilson (4.33-40) and AJ Henning (4.41-40) are coming in. Don't think the freshman will be depended on that much. Nico and Bell will get most of the targets. I expect Giles Jackson and Mike Sainistril to get a lot more time working the slot. - Even with the loss of DPJ and Tarik Black transferring- it's a talented WR room returning it's #1 and #2 statistical leaders.

TE: stat leader at TE RS Sr. Nick Eubanks returns. As does Soph. Erick All and RS Soph. Luke Schoonmaker. Lost #2 stat leading TE and #1 TE in terms of snaps on the roster- mainly because of his blocking ability in Sean McKeon. Still a decent group. Eubanks has a lot of potential.

OL: Replacing 4 starters. Going to be tough thing to do. But they do have experienced depth across the line though, so it's not like they'll be starting a bunch of true freshman and redshirt freshman out of necessity. RS Soph. Jalen Mayfield (6-5+, 315+) returns at RT after an excellent RS Frosh year, could possibly even switch over to LT. RS Soph. LT Ryan Hayes (6-7+, 300+) returns after a solid RS Frosh year in which he started 3 games and played snaps in all 13. Those are the starting tackles for sure, who plays what side- that remains to be seen. And it's a damn good young tackle tandem actually imo. Both of these guys have legitimate NFL potential.
Filling out G-C-G is where the real position battles will happen, but thankfully they'll have guys with experience battling for spots. RS JR's Chuck Filliaga (6-6, 340+) and Andrew Steuber (6-7, 330+) both have experience in the blocking scheme under Ed Warriner, both are massive human beings, and both have experience starting multiple games. Those are probably the starting guards, and probably the right choices if they want beef up front. RS Sr Andrew Vastardis and RS Jr Joel Hoeningford probably going to be the back-ups. Then there are about 5 RS Frosh that could push for back-up roles or even starting roles. RS Frosh OG/C Nolan Rumler, RS Frosh OT Trevor Keegan, RS Frosh OT/OG Trente Jones, RS Frosh OG/C Zach Carpenter, and RS Frosh OT/OG Karsen Barnhart. If Nolan Rumler can snap a football, I would love to see that dude starting at center. I think the ideal line-up would be...

LT- RS Soph. Jalen Mayfield (6-5, 315+) - best athlete of all the tackles and started every game last year
LG- RS Jr. Chuck Filiaga (6-6, 340+) - experienced, terrific run block. gigantic human being. he's started multiple games filling in for injured starters.
C- RS Fr. Nolan Rumler (6-3, 320+) - absolute mauler in HS. Got high praises from coaches and players but redshirted last year.
RG- RS Jr. Andrew Steuber (6-7, 330+) - experienced, he won the starting RT job last year until he got hurt and the RS Frosh Mayfield grabbed a hold of it. He's started multiple games filling in for injured starters.
RT- RS Soph. Ryan Hayes (6-7, 305+) - started a few games and graded out well at LT last year. Not as athletic as Mayfield but taller and longer. Might be a better fit on the right.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on April 27, 2020, 08:55:58 AM
OSU's team was as good as I've ever seen them last year, and they lost in the semifinals. 
As time goes by we forget but even ESPiN noted 3 things ALL going in Dabo's favor.Shaun Wade being ejected for a incidental collision.Next set of downs Clemson defender not getting called on a very flagrant helmet-helmet with Dobbins and the fumble returned for 6.After those 3 I couldn't watch the game again.Matters not as I think with a banged up Fields and Dobbins LSU at Home was prolly insurmountable
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on April 27, 2020, 09:01:54 AM
Ya O-Line relpacing 4 starters is a tall order I don't care who you are.As so many prospects there seem to boom or bust.Fortunately you have Warinner and I've honestly seen none better.Pretty sure DPJ saw the exodus and no reason to stay.If Collins continues on his trajectory he's a certain 1st rounder
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on April 27, 2020, 09:08:27 AM
Ya O-Line relpacing 4 starters is a tall order I don't care who you are.As so many prospects there seem to boom or bust.Fortunately you have Warinner and I've honestly seen none better.Pretty sure DPJ saw the exodus and no reason to stay.If Collins continues on his trajectory he's a certain 1st rounder
Warriner is as good as advertised. That dude is the real deal. He will get those guys ready. He made Jon Runyan Jr. a 1st team All-B1G LT. Dude was a low 3* recruit that is 6'3" with short arms and Warriner turned him into a 1st team All-B1G LT. Warriner turned a Guard into a 1st team All-B1G tackle and got him drafted by the NFL.

He'll turn Mayfield and Hayes into an excellent tackle duo. Those dudes both brimming with NFL potential and have the size and length that JR Jr. lacked, and they are both more athletic than he is too boot.

It'll take some time for them to gel, but he will get them playing right. Filliaga and Steuber are both massive humans with lot of experience and development in the system. I think they'll slide right in and be perfect fits at guard.

What concerns me most is center. There really isn't anyone there with any experience.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: bayareabadger on April 28, 2020, 01:13:50 PM

Not sure Gattis is an elite OC #1 and not sure Harbaugh will ever completely relinquish total control and just keep his fingers out of the offense. If you ask me those are the two biggest issues plaguing Michigan. You start developing your talent better you win more games and you get better recruits. It all goes hand in hand. Top recruits want to win and get drafted high. Urban was the master of this. He won a shit-ton and his players got drafted high. You start doing that they come to you. It's a lot easier to recruit when you're doing those two things. You really think Mr. 5* QB or WR recruit really wants to come play at Michigan after seeing a 5* #1 QB and top 4 player go undrafted in Shea Patterson or a 5* #1 WR and #10 player go in the 6th round like DPJ? Hell no.

Aesthetically/statistically what will be the tell on that front?
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: bayareabadger on April 28, 2020, 01:15:21 PM
Warriner is as good as advertised. That dude is the real deal. He will get those guys ready. He made Jon Runyan Jr. a 1st team All-B1G LT. Dude was a low 3* recruit that is 6'3" with short arms and Warriner turned him into a 1st team All-B1G LT. Warriner turned a Guard into a 1st team All-B1G tackle and got him drafted by the NFL.

He'll turn Mayfield and Hayes into an excellent tackle duo. Those dudes both brimming with NFL potential and have the size and length that JR Jr. lacked, and they are both more athletic than he is too boot.
I read a tweet that pointed this out, but despite all the picks, man that unit was not statistically impressive last year. Granted, they involved sack rate, which in the modern era isn't a great metric for OL play, but the run numbers were just ho-hum. 
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Big Beef Tacosupreme on April 28, 2020, 01:43:16 PM
I read a tweet that pointed this out, but despite all the picks, man that unit was not statistically impressive last year. Granted, they involved sack rate, which in the modern era isn't a great metric for OL play, but the run numbers were just ho-hum.
Part of that is simply because they didn't have a great running back.  Zach Charbonnet was only a freshman, and it showed.  Their best back, IMO, was sidelined with academic issues, and I believe they had another guy injured.

ZC  isn't a burner, but he's fast.  He isn't a bruiser, but he can hit the hole with force.  He isn't super shifty, but he's elusive.  He's...average.  Last year his offensive line was giving him plenty of room, and he took what he was given, but he lacked that extra something that all great backs have.

If you gave that Oline a guy like Jonathan Taylor, well, that's something scary to think about.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: bayareabadger on April 28, 2020, 04:18:44 PM
Part of that is simply because they didn't have a great running back.  Zach Charbonnet was only a freshman, and it showed.  Their best back, IMO, was sidelined with academic issues, and I believe they had another guy injured.

ZC  isn't a burner, but he's fast.  He isn't a bruiser, but he can hit the hole with force.  He isn't super shifty, but he's elusive.  He's...average.  Last year his offensive line was giving him plenty of room, and he took what he was given, but he lacked that extra something that all great backs have.

If you gave that Oline a guy like Jonathan Taylor, well, that's something scary to think about.
So these are stats that look at more things that happen around the LOS, so in theory, the OL had more hand in them. Not perfect because the RB needs to not eff it up, but ideally it shows if the line if giving in the "took what he was given" framework.

The three numbers I like best:
Opportunity rate: This shows how often a run gains 5 yards. Just a clean measure of efficiency that boosts with the line's push.
Michigan was 71st
Power success rate: This takes third and fourth down of 2 or fewer yards, plus most goal line carries that close and says how often a team converts.
Michigan was 31st
Stuff rate: Percentage of carries that gain zero yards and go for loss
Michigan was 41st

There's also a number called adjusted line yards per carry, which I trust a little less but it basically doles out average credit for different parts of a run (losses are on the line, plus some, the first three yards are credited to the line, and half of the next four). The adjustment is good for some things and not others. I like it less than the others because it's a bit more all-in-one and I thought it gave some extra credit to a so-so UW line, but I might be wrong looking back.
Anyway, Michigan was 49th. 

(FWIW, UW was 22nd, 27th, 9th and 15th in those metrics last season, which was a drop off from the year before)
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on April 28, 2020, 06:24:06 PM
They were starting a RS freshman at right tackle all season in Mayfield, and another RS freshman for 3 games at LT in Ryan Hayes. Their #1 RB Charbonnet was a true freshman that was dealing with injuries all-season, missed most of spring and fall and was playing hurt most of the season. So inexperience/youth was at play at both tackle spots and inexperience/injuries at RB. Charbonnet still set freshman rushing TD record with 11. He is going to become the best back that Michigan has had since Chris Perry imo. He’s got real NFL potential. 

LG Bredeson and C Ruiz were extremely good on the interior and at run blocking. Oddly enough seeing as he’s only 6’3” with short arms- LT Jon Runyan Jr was a better pass blocker than run blocker. RG Mike Onwenu could never keep his weight or conditioning in order his entire time at Michigan. Devastating run blocker when he got his hands on defender, but he consistently wore down in second half of games and during the season in his entire time at Michigan. 

I can’t say I’m thrilled about losing 4 starters on the o-line. Would’ve been a lot more ideal for the team had C Cesar Ruiz returned. No point in returning though if you’re a 1st rd pick. Take the money and run. 

Going to be interesting who they settle on at center and guard. They’ll have a really good, really promising young tackle tandem- probably the best, most NFL potential wise since they had Taylor Lewan/Mike Schofield. And they’ll have by far the best RB room in the Harbaugh era.

I really can’t wait to how the QB situation shakes out. McCaffrey v. Milton. Upside with Milton is almost unlimited. But so is the downside. Hindsight is 20/20, but they probably made the wrong move not pulling the plug on Patterson and seeing what they had in McCaffrey and Milton last year.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on April 28, 2020, 06:26:19 PM
Aesthetically/statistically what will be the tell on that front?
What will this look like? WHEN Michigan finally has a legitimate top tier offense and a QB that doesn’t suck ass and regress every single year- THEN we will know that Harbaugh has stopped meddling.

The dude needs to just stay the F out and go recruit. He was actually recruiting extremely well his first few years. His recruiting seems to have taken a major nose dive. Gee, wonder why.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Big Beef Tacosupreme on April 28, 2020, 10:14:41 PM
So these are stats that look at more things that happen around the LOS, so in theory, the OL had more hand in them. Not perfect because the RB needs to not eff it up, but ideally it shows if the line if giving in the "took what he was given" framework.

The three numbers I like best:
Opportunity rate: This shows how often a run gains 5 yards. Just a clean measure of efficiency that boosts with the line's push.
Michigan was 71st
Power success rate: This takes third and fourth down of 2 or fewer yards, plus most goal line carries that close and says how often a team converts.
Michigan was 31st
Stuff rate: Percentage of carries that gain zero yards and go for loss
Michigan was 41st

There's also a number called adjusted line yards per carry, which I trust a little less but it basically doles out average credit for different parts of a run (losses are on the line, plus some, the first three yards are credited to the line, and half of the next four). The adjustment is good for some things and not others. I like it less than the others because it's a bit more all-in-one and I thought it gave some extra credit to a so-so UW line, but I might be wrong looking back.
Anyway, Michigan was 49th.

(FWIW, UW was 22nd, 27th, 9th and 15th in those metrics last season, which was a drop off from the year before)
If I know Gattis, I think Evans will get the majority of the snaps next year.  He places a high value on a RB that is a great pass catcher.  

I agree that Zach C wasn't ready for the load he got as a true freshman.  Ideally he would have played about half the snaps he did and then maybe he could have stayed healthy.  I will be curious to see if ZC makes a big jump this year.  He'll be healthy, sharing the load, and have a full year of a big time college weight room training behind him.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: bayareabadger on April 29, 2020, 12:06:37 AM
They were starting a RS freshman at right tackle all season in Mayfield, and another RS freshman for 3 games at LT in Ryan Hayes. Their #1 RB Charbonnet was a true freshman that was dealing with injuries all-season, missed most of spring and fall and was playing hurt most of the season. So inexperience/youth was at play at both tackle spots and inexperience/injuries at RB. Charbonnet still set freshman rushing TD record with 11. He is going to become the best back that Michigan has had since Chris Perry imo. He’s got real NFL potential.

LG Bredeson and C Ruiz were extremely good on the interior and at run blocking. Oddly enough seeing as he’s only 6’3” with short arms- LT Jon Runyan Jr was a better pass blocker than run blocker. RG Mike Onwenu could never keep his weight or conditioning in order his entire time at Michigan. Devastating run blocker when he got his hands on defender, but he consistently wore down in second half of games and during the season in his entire time at Michigan.

I guess that's enough to drag all those line numbers down to being so-so with four draft picks and a great OL coach. I dunno.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: bayareabadger on April 29, 2020, 12:15:53 AM
If I know Gattis, I think Evans will get the majority of the snaps next year.  He places a high value on a RB that is a great pass catcher. 

I agree that Zach C wasn't ready for the load he got as a true freshman.  Ideally he would have played about half the snaps he did and then maybe he could have stayed healthy.  I will be curious to see if ZC makes a big jump this year.  He'll be healthy, sharing the load, and have a full year of a big time college weight room training behind him.
Sure, but ZC accounted for less than a third of the non-sack carries. And the point of those stats is to tease out some of the brilliance of a running back. 

Anyway, there's probably talent coming up, so we'll just have to see. 
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: bayareabadger on April 29, 2020, 12:32:59 AM
What will this look like? WHEN Michigan finally has a legitimate top tier offense and a QB that doesn’t suck ass and regress every single year- THEN we will know that Harbaugh has stopped meddling.

The dude needs to just stay the F out and go recruit. He was actually recruiting extremely well his first few years. His recruiting seems to have taken a major nose dive. Gee, wonder why.
OK, so this arrangement in essence means his meddling is meaningless to our understanding of what happens. 

The offense either gets better or worse. Behind the scenes meddling might be a factor, but if the OC just isn't that good, there could be no meddling and the offense won't be top tier. And if Harbs suddenly rediscovers his touch with QBs and scheming, well the offense could get better with him having a hand on it.

But the idea that his hand on the offense has an inverse impact in performance is more speculative than not and creates the illusion that Michigan's struggles don't come down to basic execution or the overrating of RPOs as a concept or players just not being all that good, but are in fact the result of a level of willful stubbornness. And that of course is an easy answer because it allows the satisfaction of simply being mad at someone for something they could easily fix. Whatever they do, the need to settle on a scheme they can install and execute and get a group of more than a few good players that are actually playing well. 

(I was looking back, when was the last top tier Michigan offense? Looking at SP+, they've not been top-10 as far back as the system goes. They were 11th and 12th in the last year of Rich Rod and the first with Hoke. Interestingly the 2018 offense was better than 2019 by some conventional measures and by FEI but a hair worse by SP+)
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on April 29, 2020, 03:42:49 PM
former Michigan WR Tarik Black transferring to Texas. I like that fit for him. Watch him be way more productive there than he ever was at Michigan. Sucks to see him go. He's super talented. Can't say I blame him for wanting to get the hell out.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on April 29, 2020, 03:50:06 PM
If I know Gattis, I think Evans will get the majority of the snaps next year.  He places a high value on a RB that is a great pass catcher. 

I agree that Zach C wasn't ready for the load he got as a true freshman.  Ideally he would have played about half the snaps he did and then maybe he could have stayed healthy.  I will be curious to see if ZC makes a big jump this year.  He'll be healthy, sharing the load, and have a full year of a big time college weight room training behind him.
Chris Evans is a great fit for the "speed in space" style. I think ZC and Evans will make a great combo. Can't sleep on Hassan Haskins either. He had a really solid RS Frosh year and the dude is strong as an ox. He reminds me of a bigger, more athletic version of De'Veon Smith. Like Smith he doesn't have the top-end speed to go the distance, but he's more explosive initially and he thrives on contact just like Smith. I really like all 3 of them.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MaximumSam on April 29, 2020, 03:59:04 PM
How crazy is it that Shea Patterson was the only combine invitee to not get drafted or signed as a free agent?
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on April 29, 2020, 04:05:00 PM
How crazy is it that Shea Patterson was the only combine invitee to not get drafted or signed as a free agent?
Not that crazy. He's been Harbaugh'D.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Big Beef Tacosupreme on April 29, 2020, 09:01:24 PM
How crazy is it that Shea Patterson was the only combine invitee to not get drafted or signed as a free agent?
There has to be more to this.  Was there some sort of kerfuffle at the senior bowl or something?
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Cincydawg on April 30, 2020, 03:03:41 PM
https://www.freep.com/story/sports/college/university-michigan/2020/04/30/michigan-football-shea-patterson-nfl-draft-quarterback/3053501001/ (https://www.freep.com/story/sports/college/university-michigan/2020/04/30/michigan-football-shea-patterson-nfl-draft-quarterback/3053501001/)

Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on April 30, 2020, 03:11:47 PM
LMAO,I'd rather not toot my own horn he says.Somebody needs to tell him the question wasn't meant as a compliment.Seriously he behaves sometimes like he has CTE or is on some meds
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on April 30, 2020, 03:48:19 PM
LMAO,I'd rather not toot my own horn he says.Somebody needs to tell him the question wasn't meant as a compliment.Seriously he behaves sometimes like he has CTE or is on some meds
Dude is certifiable whack-job. I’ve been saying for years he probably has CTE and is on meds to stabilize his crazy ass.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on April 30, 2020, 03:52:22 PM
https://www.freep.com/story/sports/college/university-michigan/2020/04/30/michigan-football-shea-patterson-nfl-draft-quarterback/3053501001/ (https://www.freep.com/story/sports/college/university-michigan/2020/04/30/michigan-football-shea-patterson-nfl-draft-quarterback/3053501001/)
Wow. That’s a huge indictment on Harbaugh. Gil Brandt is like the NFL Scout of NFL scouts. If he’s saying that Patterson looked like a high NFL draft pick after Brandt saw Patterson at a passing camp and then went to Michigan and fall off the face of the earth and regressed and that Brandt didn’t even have Patterson in his top 200 players. DAMN. 

Patterson literally cost himself millions by transferring to Michigan. 
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Cincydawg on April 30, 2020, 05:02:06 PM
Yup.  Maybe Patterson was injured ...
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on May 01, 2020, 10:59:11 PM
Yup.  Maybe Patterson was injured ...
I don’t think he was injured. I think Harbaugh is just a hard guy to play QB for. Takes a certain personality to be able to stomach him. Takes a tough guy that’s always even keeled like Andrew Luck where nothing fazes him. Not sure Patterson has ever been that type of kid. 

Harbaugh is a QB killer. 
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: bayareabadger on May 02, 2020, 01:13:16 AM
Wow. That’s a huge indictment on Harbaugh. Gil Brandt is like the NFL Scout of NFL scouts. If he’s saying that Patterson looked like a high NFL draft pick after Brandt saw Patterson at a passing camp and then went to Michigan and fall off the face of the earth and regressed and that Brandt didn’t even have Patterson in his top 200 players. DAMN.

Patterson literally cost himself millions by transferring to Michigan.
This would be some embellishment.

Patterson was always wild. He was always an improviser who pulled plays out of his backside but also sprayed balls. It's good Brandt thought highly of him, but I kind of doubt if he went somewhere else he would've just been fixed. Maybe a wonderful coach like Paul Chryst could've bought him to heel, but there's a not insignificant chance he was just not that good to begin with.

Maybe Harbaugh didn't help, but he also didn't drive the kid into a ditch. 

(And this wouldn't be the first time NFL talent evaluators see a glimpse of someone in shorts and think they're the bees knees. Shit, the Manning academy flops are the stuff of legend)
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: bayareabadger on May 02, 2020, 01:15:10 AM
I don’t think he was injured. I think Harbaugh is just a hard guy to play QB for. Takes a certain personality to be able to stomach him. Takes a tough guy that’s always even keeled like Andrew Luck where nothing fazes him. Not sure Patterson has ever been that type of kid.

Harbaugh is a QB killer.
Josh Johnson, Alex Smith, Jake Rudock and Colin Kaepernick are all noted even-keeled tough guys. 
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MaximumSam on May 02, 2020, 07:16:53 AM
He signed with the Giants
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on May 02, 2020, 07:58:56 AM
I agree with BAB some of these guys look like can't miss man/childs.And of course the evaluators can't point out perhaps they missed the mark.Hell I did on John O'korn who played at M a few years back.In HS he won a state championship in Florida.He transferred to Michigan from U of Houston.He'd have highlight reel plays,then turn around and kill drives.Had a cannon and could take off an run like the wind.At critical times he wasn't nearly consistent enough.Ryan Mallet(not a JH guy) was another guy.Wilton Spreight another guy with size and an arm.I never bought into the QB whisperer stuff but JH did a good job with Kapernick in SF.Luck at Stanford was plug in and play.Alex Smith Urbz had him already putting up big numbers in Utah.We'll see what Patterson does on sundays
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Big Beef Tacosupreme on May 02, 2020, 01:30:07 PM
I agree with BAB some of these guys look like can't miss man/childs.And of course the evaluators can't point out perhaps they missed the mark.Hell I did on John O'korn who played at M a few years back.In HS he won a state championship in Florida.He transferred to Michigan from U of Houston.He'd have highlight reel plays,then turn around and kill drives.Had a cannon and could take off an run like the wind.At critical times he wasn't nearly consistent enough.Ryan Mallet(not a JH guy) was another guy.Wilton Spreight another guy with size and an arm.I never bought into the QB whisperer stuff but JH did a good job with Kapernick in SF.Luck at Stanford was plug in and play.Alex Smith Urbz had him already putting up big numbers in Utah.We'll see what Patterson does on sundays
How many Offensive coordinators did Patterson have to learn under in his college career?  I wonder if starting over from scratch 3-4 times had an effect.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: bayareabadger on May 02, 2020, 01:36:13 PM
How many Offensive coordinators did Patterson have to learn under in his college career?  I wonder if starting over from scratch 3-4 times had an effect.
Four. 
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Big Beef Tacosupreme on May 02, 2020, 01:44:35 PM
Four.
Yikes.  Might prepare him for the NFL, though.  Learning a new playbook would be a snap I suppose.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Cincydawg on May 02, 2020, 03:56:10 PM
So, my general take on Harbaugh is he won't be fired any time soon short of for cause or a complete collapse.  If he can manage 9-4 and 10-3 seasons, he should stay as long as he wants, or for many years anyway.  And it is very possible they could break through in one year and win the conference.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on May 02, 2020, 04:08:51 PM
Yikes.  Might prepare him for the NFL, though.  Learning a new playbook would be a snap I suppose.
that's a good point,any coordinator would factor that in prolly.Were the shcemes overhauled or adjusted
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Big Beef Tacosupreme on May 03, 2020, 04:52:09 PM
that's a good point,any coordinator would factor that in prolly.Were the shcemes overhauled or adjusted
Well obviously it was a big change from Ole Miss to UM, and then he went from a pro style to read-option.  I'd say at least 3 overhauls.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on May 04, 2020, 12:44:28 PM
ESPN’s FPI predicts Michigan to win 7.4 games. 

Harbaugh’s seat gonna get white hot I think if they really only win 7 and take another ass beating by Ohio State.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Big Beef Tacosupreme on May 04, 2020, 12:49:03 PM
ESPN’s FPI predicts Michigan to win 7.4 games.

Harbaugh’s seat gonna get white hot I think if they really only win 7 and take another ass beating by Ohio State.
They have a super tough schedule, but I still think they get 9 wins.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Cincydawg on May 04, 2020, 01:04:43 PM
2020 Michigan Football Schedule
DateOpponentTime/TVTickets
Saturday
Sep. 5
(https://fbschedules.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/washington.png) (https://fbschedules.com/washington-football-schedule/)at Washington Huskies (https://fbschedules.com/washington-football-schedule/)Husky Stadium, Seattle, WATime TBA ETTV TBABuy Tickets (https://www.awin1.com/cread.php?awinmid=7219&awinaffid=586735&clickref=&p=https://www.stubhub.com/washington-huskies-football-tickets-washington-huskies-football-seattle-husky-stadium-9-5-2020/event/104554284/)
Saturday
Sep. 12
(https://fbschedules.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/ball-st.png) (https://fbschedules.com/ball-state-football-schedule/)Ball State Cardinals (https://fbschedules.com/ball-state-football-schedule/)Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MITime TBA ETTV TBABuy Tickets (https://www.awin1.com/cread.php?awinmid=7219&awinaffid=586735&clickref=&p=https://www.stubhub.com/michigan-wolverines-football-tickets-michigan-wolverines-football-ann-arbor-michigan-stadium-9-12-2020/event/104505053/)
Saturday
Sep. 19
(https://fbschedules.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/arkansas-st-helmet.png) (https://fbschedules.com/arkansas-state-football-schedule/)Arkansas State Red Wolves (https://fbschedules.com/arkansas-state-football-schedule/)Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MITime TBA ETTV TBABuy Tickets (https://www.awin1.com/cread.php?awinmid=7219&awinaffid=586735&clickref=&p=https://www.stubhub.com/michigan-wolverines-football-tickets-michigan-wolverines-football-ann-arbor-michigan-stadium-9-19-2020/event/104506059/)
Saturday
Sep. 26
(https://fbschedules.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/wisconsin-2019.png) (https://fbschedules.com/wisconsin-football-schedule/)Wisconsin Badgers (https://fbschedules.com/wisconsin-football-schedule/)Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MITime TBA ETTV TBABuy Tickets (https://www.awin1.com/cread.php?awinmid=7219&awinaffid=586735&clickref=&p=https://www.stubhub.com/michigan-wolverines-football-tickets-michigan-wolverines-football-ann-arbor-michigan-stadium-9-26-2020/event/104441586/)
Saturday
Oct. 3
(https://fbschedules.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/penn-st.png) (https://fbschedules.com/penn-state-football-schedule/)Penn State Nittany Lions (https://fbschedules.com/penn-state-football-schedule/)Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MITime TBA ETTV TBABuy Tickets (https://www.awin1.com/cread.php?awinmid=7219&awinaffid=586735&clickref=&p=https://www.stubhub.com/michigan-wolverines-football-tickets-michigan-wolverines-football-ann-arbor-michigan-stadium-10-3-2020/event/104441588/)
Saturday
Oct. 10
(https://fbschedules.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/michigan-st.png) (https://fbschedules.com/michigan-state-football-schedule/)at Michigan State Spartans (https://fbschedules.com/michigan-state-football-schedule/)Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MITime TBA ETTV TBABuy Tickets (https://www.awin1.com/cread.php?awinmid=7219&awinaffid=586735&clickref=&p=https://www.stubhub.com/michigan-state-spartans-football-tickets-michigan-state-spartans-football-east-lansing-spartan-stadium-michigan-10-10-2020/event/104440807/)
Saturday
Oct. 17
(https://fbschedules.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/minnesota-2.png) (https://fbschedules.com/minnesota-football-schedule/)at Minnesota Golden Gophers (https://fbschedules.com/minnesota-football-schedule/)TCF Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MNTime TBA ETTV TBABuy Tickets (https://www.awin1.com/cread.php?awinmid=7219&awinaffid=586735&clickref=&p=https://www.stubhub.com/minnesota-golden-gophers-football-tickets-minnesota-golden-gophers-football-minneapolis-tcf-bank-stadium-10-17-2020/event/104441727/)
Saturday
Oct. 24
(https://fbschedules.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/purdue-2019-05-10.png) (https://fbschedules.com/purdue-football-schedule/)Purdue Boilermakers (https://fbschedules.com/purdue-football-schedule/) (HC)Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MITime TBA ETTV TBABuy Tickets (https://www.awin1.com/cread.php?awinmid=7219&awinaffid=586735&clickref=&p=https://www.stubhub.com/michigan-wolverines-football-tickets-michigan-wolverines-football-ann-arbor-michigan-stadium-10-24-2020/event/104441590/)
Saturday
Oct. 31
OFF
Saturday
Nov. 7
(https://fbschedules.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/maryland.png) (https://fbschedules.com/maryland-football-schedule/)Maryland Terrapins (https://fbschedules.com/maryland-football-schedule/)Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MITime TBA ETTV TBABuy Tickets (https://www.awin1.com/cread.php?awinmid=7219&awinaffid=586735&clickref=&p=https://www.stubhub.com/michigan-wolverines-football-tickets-michigan-wolverines-football-ann-arbor-michigan-stadium-11-7-2020/event/104441592/)
Saturday
Nov. 14
(https://fbschedules.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/rutgers-2019-05-10.png) (https://fbschedules.com/rutgers-football-schedule/)at Rutgers Scarlet Knights (https://fbschedules.com/rutgers-football-schedule/)SHI Stadium, Piscataway, NJTime TBA ETTV TBABuy Tickets (https://www.awin1.com/cread.php?awinmid=7219&awinaffid=586735&clickref=&p=https://www.stubhub.com/rutgers-scarlet-knights-football-tickets-rutgers-scarlet-knights-football-piscataway-shi-stadium-11-14-2020/event/104439633/)
Saturday
Nov. 21
(https://fbschedules.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/indiana-2019-05-10.png) (https://fbschedules.com/indiana-football-schedule/)Indiana Hoosiers (https://fbschedules.com/indiana-football-schedule/)Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MITime TBA ETTV TBABuy Tickets (https://www.awin1.com/cread.php?awinmid=7219&awinaffid=586735&clickref=&p=https://www.stubhub.com/michigan-wolverines-football-tickets-michigan-wolverines-football-ann-arbor-michigan-stadium-11-21-2020/event/104441595/)
Saturday
Nov. 28
(https://fbschedules.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/ohio-st.png) (https://fbschedules.com/ohio-state-football-schedule/)at Ohio State Buckeyes (https://fbschedules.com/ohio-state-football-schedule/)Ohio Stadium, Columbus, OHTime TBA ETTV TBABuy Tickets (https://www.awin1.com/cread.php?awinmid=7219&awinaffid=586735&clickref=&p=https://www.stubhub.com/ohio-state-buckeyes-football-tickets-ohio-state-buckeyes-football-columbus-ohio-stadium-11-28-2020/event/104439617/)
Saturday
Dec. 5
(https://fbschedules.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/big-ten-230x230.png)Big Ten ChampionshipLucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, INTime TBA ETTV TBA


I see five plausible losses there.  If they start 2-4 ....
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on May 04, 2020, 01:33:51 PM
They have a super tough schedule, but I still think they get 9 wins.
I think the real unknown for me in regards to Michigan is the QB play. If McCaffrey is anything like his father or older brother in terms of the winning intangibles and football IQ- he could wind up being a massive upgrade over Shea Patterson. And if he is, it will really beg the question why the hell wasn't he getting an opportunity to start last year. McCaffrey just hasn't had any real opportunity to really play. There is just no way to gauge it. Complete question mark. The OL is the 2nd biggest ? mark after losing 4 starters to the NFL draft. They'll have a really good tackle duo in Ryan Hayes and Jalen Mayfield- the best they've ever had under Harbaugh yet- but filling in G-C-G is going to be tough. Ceasr Ruiz coming back for his senior year would've helped out there A LOT.

Michigan will still have a pretty good defense next year. Aidan Hutchinson and Kwity Paye is as good a DE duo as there is in the B1G conference. Both those dudes are future NFL draft picks. The biggest weakness they have on defense is the same one they had last year- DT. They need the DT's to develop. And fast. 5* true frosh Chris Hinton played OK for a freshman. But they needed more than OK last year, and that is just a stupidly hard position to play at a high level as a true frosh. DT takes a couple years of development typically. DT is by far their biggest question mark. They have to replace Josh Uche's situational pass rushing at OLB and Khaleke Hill at the Viper position, but they have a very good LB duo coming back in Josh Ross and Cam McGrone. Ross was hurt most of last year and McGrone became the breakout star of the defense in his first year as a starter. In the secondary they lost LaVert Hill at CB and Josh Metellus at safety, but Ambry Thomas will fill in just fine as the #1 CB and really he was better than Hill last year. Vincent Gray had an excellent RS Frosh season last year and at 6'2+ he has the size and length that LaVert Hill really lacked. And then at safety they will be replacing Metellus with Dax Hill. Dax Hill will go down as the best safety to play at Michigan in at least 30 years. And really he should've started last year imo. He was the best safety on that team as a true frosh imo.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on May 04, 2020, 02:02:34 PM
also: they need to get Giles Jackson way more involved in the offense in 2020. Jackson is a 5'9", 185ish pound speed merchant with moves ontop of moves- and we all saw his true frosh year last year on special teams and in very limited offensive reps. Nico Collins and Ronnie Bell are a really good 1-2 punch at WR. Jackson however is the kind of guy that can make things happen in space.

Chris Evans coming back at RB is huge too. His ability to catch the ball and play in space is something none of the other RB's at Michigan have. Evans brings experience and pass-catching and versatility to the RB position.

This offense will still have some weapons now. Even with DPJ graduating and Tarik Black transferring. Black was hurt every year and barely played last year, so not sure he's as big of a loss as say DPJ- who actually played a lot and produced the last couple years.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on May 04, 2020, 02:07:30 PM
ya Jackson is elusive watched him in some of Ms games he looked all that
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on May 04, 2020, 02:31:04 PM
ya Jackson is elusive watched him in some of Ms games he looked all that
He played mostly RB in HS. From Northern Cali. Track kid in HS too. He ran 4.39-40 at Nike combines and set the all-time record there for fastest shuttle time with a 3.85. Speed merchant for sure. Michigan needs more guys like this that can take the top off a defense and hit a home-run. Part of the reason why I wanted them to play Ambry Thomas at WR instead of CB his freshman year- that's another dude with elite speed and quickness. They brought in two freshman receivers in the 2020 class that are speed merchants in AJ Henning and Roman Wilson. Henning and Wilson both have elite top-end speed and short area quickness. Henning 4.42-40 and 4.08 shuttle- Wilson 4.37-40 and 3.96 shuttle.

Mike Sainistril is another guy that played some as a true frosh at WR- he's really quick and has the short area quickness you look for but maybe not the top end speed. Need to start getting more guys with both.

DPJ had the straight-line speed but maybe not the short area quickness. He was more of a Braylon Edwards type imo. Elite leaper with really good size/strength and great straight-line speed. That is who I was hoping DPJ would turn into. Never materialized.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Big Beef Tacosupreme on May 04, 2020, 02:43:28 PM
ya Jackson is elusive watched him in some of Ms games he looked all that
I really like Evans.  You really need breakaway speed at the tailback position these days, and Charbonnet doesn't have that.  Evans is really shifty and can make guy miss. 

I think Michigan linebacker play last year was average to above average, but you could see improvement from game to game.  I think they will be very good in 2020, especially that McGrone dude. 

There's a lot of love for Ambry Thomas, but he's a bit overrated, IMO.  He will need to step up his game to be even a second team All-Big selection.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on May 04, 2020, 03:27:21 PM
I really like Evans.  You really need breakaway speed at the tailback position these days, and Charbonnet doesn't have that.  Evans is really shifty and can make guy miss. 

I think Michigan linebacker play last year was average to above average, but you could see improvement from game to game.  I think they will be very good in 2020, especially that McGrone dude. 

There's a lot of love for Ambry Thomas, but he's a bit overrated, IMO.  He will need to step up his game to be even a second team All-Big selection.
Charbonnet was dealing with injuries for a big chunk of his freshman year. And he's got more speed than you think. Even with playing through the injuries- he ran for 726 yards and scored 11 TD's as a true frosh while splitting time with Hassan Haskins.

247Sports was on the verge of rating Charbonnet a 5* before injuries caused him to miss the HS All-Star season- which is where the final rankings on those 'crootin' sites are done- so instead of rising he just kind of stayed put. Even so, Charbonnet was rated 38th overall in their final rankings, just 5 spots away from the coveted "5 STARZ" status. 247Sports' projected him as a potential 1st round pick- citing his rare combination of size, strength, and speed. If there's one thing that worries me about Charbonnet it's the nagging injuries. He missed the tail end of his HS year and the HS All-Star season because of them- and he was dealing with injuries his entire true frosh year at Michigan.

Evans is very shifty and can make people miss, and his pass catching ability is excellent, but I doubt he's much faster if at all straight-line than Charbonnet. Evans' straight-line speed is good, but isn't exactly elite. Still, I think getting him back will only make Charbonnet better because it will keep Charbonnet more fresh. And it will improve the Michigan offense as a whole.

LB play dipped last year mostly because they were replacing the best LB to ever play at Michigan imo in Devin Bush- because of ineffective DT play (it was horrible to be honest) and they also were down a starter in Josh Ross- his injury in the 2nd game of the season caused him to miss the rest of the entire season. He'll be back in 2020. Cam McGrone burst onto the scene as a RS Frosh and looks like a future high NFL draft pick to me. I like the Ross & McGrone combo- but not sure the LB play improves much if that DT play doesn't take a massive leap forward. DT is a huge weakness on that team. They need Chris Hinton and Mazi Smith to grow up in a hurry- and that's typically not a spot you want to be relying on younger players at.

Not sure where that line on Ambry Thomas is coming from- but it's wrong. Thomas was was by far the best defensive back on Michigan's team last year- and this was despite him missing all of spring and fall after contracting colitis and losing about 30 pounds. He rebounded from that in-time to start day 1 and have a great season. Pro Football Focus has rated Thomas as one of the 10 best players in the entire B1G going into 2020 by the way. They rated him #7 actually.

PFF:  “Thomas lined up in press man on over 81 percent of his coverage snaps, which was the fourth-highest rate in college football, and allowed just a 53.3 passer rating on targets thrown his way in that alignment. Among returning cornerbacks, Thomas is easily one of the top 10 press-man outside corners.”
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: ELA on May 04, 2020, 05:11:54 PM
Yeah, agreed, Hill was vastly overrated.  Thomas was the linchpin back there.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on May 04, 2020, 06:11:39 PM
Yeah, agreed, Hill was vastly overrated.  Thomas was the linchpin back there.
Hill had an awful senior season. He went from being a potential 3rd-4th rd pick as a junior to going undrafted because his senior year was so bad. He most definitely regressed. All anyone has to do is watch the clips from the OSU/Bama games. Basically all of the big passing plays were either on LaVert Hill or Josh Metellus. Thomas was playing at such a high level that teams were actually picking on LaVert Hill.

Hill didn't help himself at the combine when he didn't run a 40 and measured 5'10" - an inch shorter than his listed 5'11" - and only had 30 1/8" long arms. 5'10" CBs with short arms have a struggle to get drafted. Jourdan Lewis was also only 5'10"- but he had much longer arms and he was a significantly better player than LaVert- which is why he got drafted in the 3rd rd. Shoot if those domestic assault charges weren't hanging over Jourdan Lewis' head he might've gone late 1st or early 2nd rd. The domestic issue hanging over his head and a slower than expected 4.54-40 time caused him to slip to the 3rd.

Thomas is taller/longer and faster/quicker than Hill. AT will be an NFL draft pick. Depending on how much he develops this year and what he times that 40 in at the NFL combine- could wind up being a high draft pick. He's a legit 6-foot-ish- should measure right around there, don't know how long his arms are but he's a lanky looking dude and my guess is they are a lot longer than LH's. And the 40 time isn't even in question. He's a lot faster than LaVert Hill. I'd be absolutely shocked if Ambry isn't high 4.3's or low 4.4's at the NFL combine. Absolutely shocked.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on May 04, 2020, 08:59:57 PM
 Pro Football Focus has rated Thomas as one of the 10 best players in the entire B1G going into 2020 by the way. They rated him #7 actually.

PFF:  “Thomas lined up in press man on over 81 percent of his coverage snaps, which was the fourth-highest rate in college football, and allowed just a 53.3 passer rating on targets thrown his way in that alignment. Among returning cornerbacks, Thomas is easily one of the top 10 press-man outside corners.”
Nice write up does he still return kicks,I remember he went yard vs ND
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Big Beef Tacosupreme on May 04, 2020, 09:04:23 PM
Maybe Thomas is better than I think.  I kinda figured him as a second team All-Big talent, but not a first team or All-American.  
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on May 04, 2020, 10:06:53 PM
Nice write up does he still return kicks,I remember he went yard vs ND
Thomas was focused on defense only full-time for the first time in his career last year. They had true frosh WR Giles Jackson returning kickoffs and WR's DPJ & Ronnie Bell returning punts.

Thomas didn't get in on the return action last year or get reps at WR on offense like he did in 2017 & 2018- and his game on defense went to another level. I think that's the right move for him. Just let him focus on CB and CB only.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on May 04, 2020, 10:14:58 PM
Maybe Thomas is better than I think.  I kinda figured him as a second team All-Big talent, but not a first team or All-American. 
Thomas was 2nd team All-B1G on Pro Football Focus' All-B1G teams last year. 1st team CB's were Jeff Okudah from Ohio State and Michael Ojemudia from Iowa.

Thomas' game made a quantum leap from 2018 to 2019. He's got room to make another leap. Definitely has ton of talent in terms of speed and quickness, and nice height/length at a legit 6-foot-ish. Needs to put on some muscle though as he's only 180ish pounds.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on May 04, 2020, 11:19:46 PM
so...defense probably looking like this...

DE: Aidan Hutchinson, Jr.
DE: Kwity Paye, Sr.
DT: Carlo Kemp, RS Sr.
DT: Chris Hinton, Soph. 
WLB: Josh Ross, RS Jr.
ILB: Cam McGrone, RS Soph.
VIPER: Michael Barrett, RS Soph. or Anthony Solomon, Soph.
SAM OLB/DE: No idea here. Not one OLB pass rush specialist like Uche on the roster. Might just have to blitz more or rotate DE's more to generate more pass rush.
CB: Ambry Thomas, Sr.
CB: Vincent Gray, RS Soph.
NB: Could be one of about 10 players. No idea yet.
S: Daxton Hill, Soph.
S: Brad Hawkins, Sr.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on May 05, 2020, 09:14:56 AM
Thomas was focused on defense only full-time for the first time in his career last year. They had true frosh WR Giles Jackson returning kickoffs and WR's DPJ & Ronnie Bell returning punts.
Ya with Jackson back no reason to side track Thomas.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Cincydawg on May 05, 2020, 10:21:48 AM
So, it seems Michigan has a tough schedule and a wide range of possible season outcomes, is that fair?
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on May 05, 2020, 12:59:36 PM
So, it seems Michigan has a tough schedule and a wide range of possible season outcomes, is that fair?
Yup.

They have a solid base returning with 3 major questions imo. 

QB - who wins the job - McCaffrey or Milton - and can either guy be better than a very underwhelming Shea Patterson. Milton’s raw ability is so enticing but Michigan doesn’t have the coaching to nurture it imo. McCaffrey should be the guy imo.

Interior OL - tackles are set in stone with Hayes & Mayfield. Who replaces LG-C-RG. Tough sledding to replace an entire interior and all those starts and experience. Warriner has to earn his money this year. 

DT - Carlo Kemp and Chris Hinton should be the starters. Kemp is an average talent with a lot of experience and Hinton is very talented with little experience. The back-ups at DT are inexperienced as well. Donovan Jeter was finally healthy in 2+ years and got back-up minutes last year for first time in his career. Phil Paea switched from OL to DL and was just learning the position last year. Aubrey Solomon transferring is messing things up here. Wish he never did. Chris Hinton is going to have to take a big step forward as a true sophomore and Mazi Smith is going to have to be ready to contribute solid back-up minutes as a RS Frosh. Otherwise they’re in some trouble here.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Cincydawg on May 05, 2020, 01:02:48 PM
I can see 11-1 and 7-5 as possibilities.  
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on May 05, 2020, 01:16:51 PM
I can see 11-1 and 7-5 as possibilities. 
Only way they possibly get to 11-1 is if McCaffrey is the real deal Holyfield and the DT’s develop. 

And if McCaffrey is really just awesome than it will beg the question why the hell wasn’t he starting last year and why did they chase Patterson and have him transfer in and guarantee him a starting job in the first place.  
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Cincydawg on May 05, 2020, 01:31:46 PM
So, you're saying it's POSSIBLE?
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on May 05, 2020, 01:35:57 PM
So, you're saying it's POSSIBLE?
It’s possible. But unlikely. 
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: bayareabadger on May 05, 2020, 02:08:38 PM
Only way they possibly get to 11-1 is if McCaffrey is the real deal Holyfield and the DT’s develop.

And if McCaffrey is really just awesome than it will beg the question why the hell wasn’t he starting last year and why did they chase Patterson and have him transfer in and guarantee him a starting job in the first place. 
The fact he's stayed around so long is impressive. Also the fact they don't list redshirts is annoying. 
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on May 05, 2020, 02:50:03 PM
JH's not exactly a shirt guy
(https://i.imgur.com/GL754IJ.png)
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: CWSooner on May 05, 2020, 03:01:14 PM
Dang, MrNubbz!  That picture is blinding me!
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Cincydawg on May 05, 2020, 03:02:44 PM
So, if 7-5 is possible and 11-1 is possible, as outliers, then one might figure 9-3 is the sweet spot.

I'd put a very slight possibility at the 6-6/12-0 pair.  

I wish UGA would schedule them again.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on May 05, 2020, 03:49:11 PM
So, if 7-5 is possible and 11-1 is possible, as outliers, then one might figure 9-3 is the sweet spot.

I'd put a very slight possibility at the 6-6/12-0 pair. 

I wish UGA would schedule them again.
9-3 sounds about right. Harbaugh gonna Harbaugh.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on May 06, 2020, 10:07:54 AM
Dang, MrNubbz!  That picture is blinding me!
He tans better than i do and apparently is in better shape also
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: CWSooner on May 06, 2020, 01:33:58 PM
He tans better than i do and apparently is in better shape also
So, you're even a brighter white than Harbaugh is?
You must live in northern Ohio, then, eh?
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on May 06, 2020, 06:31:50 PM
2 miles to the Lake,70 to Bob and Doug McKenzie's
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: CWSooner on May 06, 2020, 08:17:08 PM
2 miles to the Lake,70 to Bob and Doug McKenzie's
The Lake?  Lake of the Ozarks?  Lake in the Woods?  Lake Champlain?
Oh, Lake Erie?!
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on May 06, 2020, 10:49:35 PM
The Lake?  Lake of the Ozarks?  Lake in the Woods?  Lake Champlain?
Oh, Lake Erie?!
One clue where did/does Bob & Doug Live?Take off Eh,
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: CWSooner on May 06, 2020, 10:54:50 PM
One clue where did/does Bob & Doug Live?Take off Eh,
I had to look 'em up, eh?
Were they on SCTV or something?
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on May 06, 2020, 11:26:10 PM
Ya the Canadian affiliation - take off to the great white north - that doesn't ring a bell with assistence from RUSH
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: 847badgerfan on May 07, 2020, 08:27:26 AM
Ya the Canadian affiliation - take off to the great white north - that doesn't ring a bell with assistence from RUSH
That was a Geddy Lee song on another band's album, actually.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on May 26, 2020, 03:10:47 PM
If Michigan even has a season- seeing as how the president of the school put that into question- CBS Sports names Dylan McCaffrey a very dark horse Heisman candidate.

Excerpt from the article:

“Michigan's receiving corps had a drop rate of 12.6% last season. That ranked 121st nationally. Even worse, Michigan receivers had an on-target catch rate of 75.2% last year, according to Sports Info Solutions. That ranked 129th nationally, with only Buffalo being worse at 73.5%.

This tells me two things. One is that Patterson was better than you thought. His on-target rate last season of 75.2% wasn't elite, but did rank No. 32 in the country. It was also a full 19% higher than his 56.2% completion rate. The second is that it will be hard for Michigan receivers to be worse in 2020.“

I seem to recall Ronnie Bell and DPJ dropping quite a few catchable passes. But I also question how they came up with this drop rate #. Shea Patterson threw a lot of bad, off target passes.

If a WR gets his hands on a poorly thrown ball but doesn’t come down with it, is that still considered a drop? I consider a drop a completely on target pass that hits a receiver in both hands and he just drops it. Ronnie Bell had quite a few of those.

Having said all that I would be very surprised if McCaffrey became a legitimate Heisman contender. Because either a) he wasn’t good enough to beat out a mediocre QB in Shea Patterson or b) his coach was too stupid to play him over a mediocre QB. Neither of those scenarios are good. If you’re not good enough to beat out a mediocre QB then you probably aren’t that level of player. OR if you’re coach is so dumb and oblivious in personnel decisions that he decides to go with a mediocre player over a superior player- well that means you have poor coaching- and guys with bad coaches don’t win Heismans.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: 847badgerfan on May 26, 2020, 03:40:07 PM
What's going on with the old team doctor who worked under Bo?
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on May 26, 2020, 04:09:15 PM
What's going on with the old team doctor who worked under Bo?
no idea
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: 847badgerfan on May 26, 2020, 04:44:33 PM
no idea
You haven't heard about it?


https://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/college/ct-nw-nyt-michigan-football-sex-abuse-20200525-nfrr2oe64navnnhromeokfhfqq-story.html


 (https://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/college/ct-nw-nyt-michigan-football-sex-abuse-20200525-nfrr2oe64navnnhromeokfhfqq-story.html)
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on May 26, 2020, 04:45:20 PM
Offense and defense 2020 signee most anxious to see...if there is even a season.

Offense: WR/RB/KR AJ Henning (5'10, 180)
Defense: Rush OLB/DE Braiden McGregor (6'5, 250)

Don't know how realistic it is for either to get a lot of minutes as true freshman, but both those guys are A+ athletes for their positions. Both of them saw their HS recruit rankings get greatly affected by serious injuries, and probably would've both been ranked much higher without the injuries. McGregor seems like Aidan Hutchinson 2.0. McGregor isn't nearly as refined as Aidan Hutchinson was coming out of high school, but he's about the same size and just looks way more athletic. McGregor's athleticism for a guy his size really jumps off the screen.

AJ Henning is a verifiable speed demon. I think he'll have more of an impact as a true frosh just because they can put him at KR/PR and give him some snaps on offense at slot WR or RB and get the football in his hand and let him use his speed. I would love to see Henning and Giles Jackson on the field together- a lot. When they go 4 Wide, Nico and Ronnie Bell on the out-side and Giles Jackson and AJ Henning in the slot- that's a ton of speed on the field at once- with Nico being the slow guy in that circumstance.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on May 26, 2020, 04:47:38 PM
You haven't heard about it?


https://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/college/ct-nw-nyt-michigan-football-sex-abuse-20200525-nfrr2oe64navnnhromeokfhfqq-story.html


 (https://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/college/ct-nw-nyt-michigan-football-sex-abuse-20200525-nfrr2oe64navnnhromeokfhfqq-story.html)
link won't let me read. asking me to sign up to pay for Chicago Tribune. No thanks.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: 847badgerfan on May 26, 2020, 05:04:53 PM
Probably because the article is from the New York Times to start with. But, it's not good.

Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on May 26, 2020, 05:08:22 PM
2020 Breakout player on defense: Safety Dax Hill (6-0, 190)

ILB Cam McGrone was the breakout player on the defense in 2019, and in 2020 that guy should be Dax Hill.

Hill got his beak wet as a true frosh, although he wasn't a starter at safety with veterans Josh Mettellus and Brad Hawkins ahead of him. Posted 36 Tackles, 3 TFL's, 4 Pass Break Ups, 1 INT, and 2 Fumble Recoveries in rotation playing Nickel/Safety as a true frosh. He was the top rated safety recruit and a 5 STARZ in the 2019 class, and his 4.30 in the 40 and his 43.6" Vertical at The Opening Finals combine were both the top marks at the event.

He should slide into a starting safety role in 2020. Will be a shocker if he doesn't make a big jump as a sophomore. He has has 1st round NFL potential.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fe1LCBK9pNk
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MichiFan87 on May 26, 2020, 05:09:39 PM
My parents and I were recently talking about this. Apparently my dad even met him once and Anderson said something that made him feel very uncomfortable.

Apparently there are legal concerns that are making this whole process take so long, but hopefully it will get resolved as soon as possible.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: 847badgerfan on May 26, 2020, 07:14:29 PM
As much vitriol as M fans spewed on MSU's thing... It better not be that bad.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: CWSooner on May 26, 2020, 07:16:54 PM
Quote
“Michigan's receiving corps had a drop rate of 12.6% last season. That ranked 121st nationally. Even worse, Michigan receivers had an on-target catch rate of 75.2% last year, according to Sports Info Solutions. That ranked 129th nationally, with only Buffalo being worse at 73.5%.

This tells me two things. One is that Patterson was better than you thought. His on-target rate last season of 75.2% wasn't elite, but did rank No. 32 in the country. It was also a full 19% higher than his 56.2% completion rate. The second is that it will be hard for Michigan receivers to be worse in 2020.“
Is "on-target catch rate" a different stat than "on-target rate"?  If so, what a coincidence that both were 75.2%.  (Maybe a typo in there?)  If not, how was one 129th nationally and the other 32nd nationally?
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Cincydawg on May 27, 2020, 02:34:25 PM
On target catch rate would be percentage of balls thrown "on target" that were caught. 

On target rate would simply be about how well the ball was thrown.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: CWSooner on May 29, 2020, 01:47:31 PM
Yes, that's what I was thinking was probably the case.  Just a coincidence I guess that both rates were identical.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: FearlessF on May 29, 2020, 08:39:42 PM
Jim Harbaugh has delivered many memorable football guy quotes in his day, enough to fill up a book (“Attack the day with an enthusiasm unknown to mankind” is a personal favorite). But this latest quote, one that’s created a number of unfavorable headlines, is one Harbaugh is going to wish everyone forgets.

But it’s going to be hard to forget for college football fans who have been paying attention to his Michigan tenure. During a Q&A with 247sports.com, the topic of the Wolverines winning a National Championship came up. Here’s what Harbaugh had to say:

“I mean, just look back over the last the last years that we've been here last five years. About as close as you can possibly be. But you got to put it over the top. That’s what drives us.”

Hoooo boy Jim. Jim. Jim. Jim. “As close as you can possibly be” ? Before I try to (sort of) defend him, it should be pointed out that Harbaugh has never won more than 10 games in Ann Arbor, and never lost less than three. He’s lost four consecutive bowl games, the last two by three scores each. “Close” is the exact opposite of what the Wolverines have been to a National Championship.


https://www.golfdigest.com/story/jim-harbaugh-has-reached-a-new-level-of-delusional-with-this-quo?utm_medium=email&utm_source=052920&utm_campaign=hitlist (https://www.golfdigest.com/story/jim-harbaugh-has-reached-a-new-level-of-delusional-with-this-quo?utm_medium=email&utm_source=052920&utm_campaign=hitlist)

RELATED: Jim Harbaugh is not a fan of eating chicken for the most Jim Harbaugh reason ever (https://www.golfdigest.com/story/jim-harbaugh-is-not-a-fan-of-eating-chicken-for-the-most-jim-harbaugh-reason-ever)
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: bayareabadger on May 29, 2020, 08:58:16 PM
Jim Harbaugh has delivered many memorable football guy quotes in his day, enough to fill up a book (“Attack the day with an enthusiasm unknown to mankind” is a personal favorite). But this latest quote, one that’s created a number of unfavorable headlines, is one Harbaugh is going to wish everyone forgets.

But it’s going to be hard to forget for college football fans who have been paying attention to his Michigan tenure. During a Q&A with 247sports.com, the topic of the Wolverines winning a National Championship came up. Here’s what Harbaugh had to say:

“I mean, just look back over the last the last years that we've been here last five years. About as close as you can possibly be. But you got to put it over the top. That’s what drives us.”

Hoooo boy Jim. Jim. Jim. Jim. “As close as you can possibly be” ? Before I try to (sort of) defend him, it should be pointed out that Harbaugh has never won more than 10 games in Ann Arbor, and never lost less than three. He’s lost four consecutive bowl games, the last two by three scores each. “Close” is the exact opposite of what the Wolverines have been to a National Championship.


https://www.golfdigest.com/story/jim-harbaugh-has-reached-a-new-level-of-delusional-with-this-quo?utm_medium=email&utm_source=052920&utm_campaign=hitlist (https://www.golfdigest.com/story/jim-harbaugh-has-reached-a-new-level-of-delusional-with-this-quo?utm_medium=email&utm_source=052920&utm_campaign=hitlist)

RELATED: Jim Harbaugh is not a fan of eating chicken for the most Jim Harbaugh reason ever (https://www.golfdigest.com/story/jim-harbaugh-is-not-a-fan-of-eating-chicken-for-the-most-jim-harbaugh-reason-ever)
For some reason it both bothers me that the writers says less than three games instead of fewer. He also is bad at math as he has Michigan heading into an OSU game at 11-1. 

It's a mostly dumb statement from Jimbo as well obviously. He had two teams that were one game from Indy, one of which had a layup in the Big Ten title game (the other would've had a rematch with a team would've smothered at home). It is what it is. 
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on May 29, 2020, 09:00:34 PM
Jim Harbaugh has delivered many memorable football guy quotes in his day, enough to fill up a book (“Attack the day with an enthusiasm unknown to mankind” is a personal favorite). But this latest quote, one that’s created a number of unfavorable headlines, is one Harbaugh is going to wish everyone forgets.

But it’s going to be hard to forget for college football fans who have been paying attention to his Michigan tenure. During a Q&A with 247sports.com, the topic of the Wolverines winning a National Championship came up. Here’s what Harbaugh had to say:

“I mean, just look back over the last the last years that we've been here last five years. About as close as you can possibly be. But you got to put it over the top. That’s what drives us.”

Hoooo boy Jim. Jim. Jim. Jim. “As close as you can possibly be” ? Before I try to (sort of) defend him, it should be pointed out that Harbaugh has never won more than 10 games in Ann Arbor, and never lost less than three. He’s lost four consecutive bowl games, the last two by three scores each. “Close” is the exact opposite of what the Wolverines have been to a National Championship.


https://www.golfdigest.com/story/jim-harbaugh-has-reached-a-new-level-of-delusional-with-this-quo?utm_medium=email&utm_source=052920&utm_campaign=hitlist (https://www.golfdigest.com/story/jim-harbaugh-has-reached-a-new-level-of-delusional-with-this-quo?utm_medium=email&utm_source=052920&utm_campaign=hitlist)

RELATED: Jim Harbaugh is not a fan of eating chicken for the most Jim Harbaugh reason ever (https://www.golfdigest.com/story/jim-harbaugh-is-not-a-fan-of-eating-chicken-for-the-most-jim-harbaugh-reason-ever)
Well he was super close to getting to the B1G CG/playoff in 2016, and then he completely fall apart against OSU in the 2nd half. He pulls out that game either time he's in the B1G CG  and the favorite to win the CG and get into the playoff. And if not for a miracle fluke play with 8 seconds left in a game vs MSU in 2015 he's 11-2 in his rookie season.

I wouldn't say his statement is that far off. It's off. But not majorly off. 50% of his losses in 5 years have been two teams: Ohio State and the bowl opponent.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: FearlessF on May 29, 2020, 09:33:26 PM
it's a golf digest writer

not great, just thought it interesting

typical Harbaugh quote
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on May 29, 2020, 09:47:41 PM
it's a golf digest writer

not great, just thought it interesting

typical Harbaugh quote
He hasn't been as close as you can possibly be. He's been two rungs below that.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: FearlessF on May 29, 2020, 10:06:39 PM
better at coaching than he is at press conferences and interviews
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on May 30, 2020, 12:11:32 AM
Most defensive players drafted by the NFL last 4 years...

1) Alabama - 25
2) Ohio State - 19
3) Michigan - 18
4) Florida - 16
5) LSU - 15
6) Miami - 13
7t) Clemson - 12
7t) Utah - 12
7t) Washington - 12
10) Auburn - 11

LaVert Hill regressing terribly and falling off the map his senior year kept Michigan from tying for #2 imo. After his sophomore year, would've thought for sure he was on the trajectory to be drafted. Haven't seen a DB backslide like that at Michigan in....ever?

Don Brown sure knows how to recruit and develop defensive players and get them drafted by the NFL. If only he knew how to play less man to man coverage across the board and let his corners, safeties, and 'backers play more zone coverage against the faster more explosive teams. This is literally my only gripe with him. If he would just switch it up he'd be the perfect DC. But no, he's got to play press man across the board and blitz 99% of the time.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: CWSooner on May 30, 2020, 08:59:23 PM
For some reason it both bothers me that the writers says less than three games instead of fewer. He also is bad at math as he has Michigan heading into an OSU game at 11-1.

It's a mostly dumb statement from Jimbo as well obviously. He had two teams that were one game from Indy, one of which had a layup in the Big Ten title game (the other would've had a rematch with a team would've smothered at home). It is what it is.
It bothers you because it is incorrect English.  I try to correct this--getting "less" and "fewer," as well as "much" and "many," confused--in my students.  But it's tough.  They see and hear the wrong usage everywhere.  I'll bet that even their English teachers even use those words incorrectly as often as not.
I know that I can't get the English teachers at my school to even understand what I'm getting at when I say that there should be a comma between "Go" and "Team!"
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: CatsbyAZ on June 16, 2020, 03:29:47 PM
Any word on what to expect for Michigan's opener Vs Washington? 

Work is planning on having me up in the Northwest off and on this fall. Figured it might be worth paying the $200/ticket and attending but who knows what conditions they kickoff under? No fans? Season ticket holders only? Delayed?
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on June 23, 2020, 08:35:30 PM
this is a pretty interesting video. Every career snap of Dylan McCaffrey and Joe Milton at QB. This position battle will be the most important in terms of how Michigan does in 2020- if we even have a damn season. After that, it'll be the development of Chris Hinton at DT and the development of the DT back-ups Mazi Smith and Donovan Jeter.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fnbpbx6InhA&feature=youtu.be



After watching that, McCaffrey looks more polished and better at the read option stuff and reading blocks and running the ball. Milton is just a massive guy with an unbelievable arm. There's a throw he makes while he's getting hit at 17:34 on a line with just a flick of a wrist to Nico Collins into double coverage that must've traveled close to 60 yards in the air. Yeah, I don't think McCaffrey can make that kinda throw. And then the throw Milton makes at 21:03- what a textbook beautiful strike. The velocity on that was nuts. Must've went close to 40 yards in the air on a line in like a second or less. His zip is just so impressive. I'm getting sucked into the arm strength thing again. He looks like a god damn prototype built in a factory. His body type and size and arm is just way more impressive than McCaffrey. Part of me really wishes he can take a huge leap in development and win the job.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: FearlessF on June 23, 2020, 08:40:33 PM
who ya think Harbaugh likes?
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on June 23, 2020, 08:45:47 PM
who ya think Harbaugh likes?
Hard to tell. Jim has seemed enamored with Milton ever since day one just because of the dudes imposing size and powerful arm. Milton was super raw coming out of HS though. And I really don't think Harbaugh is the right guy to develop him. Milton could have become incredible playing for a QB guru like Lincoln Riley or Ryan Day or the former LSU QB guru Joe Brady. I'm enamored with his ability but have no clue if he'll ever be developed into something special.

McCaffrey had way more development coming into college, as he was going to private schools, had private QB coaches, and coming from a famous NFL football family.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on June 24, 2020, 09:31:22 PM
https://twitter.com/PFF_College/status/1275121462983229445
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 25, 2020, 01:07:51 PM
Good article on JJ McCarthy. 


https://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/college/ct-jj-mccarthy-football-recruit-transfer-coronavirus-20200625-db2s4szlc5dmfmgydxhbpxltge-story.html (https://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/college/ct-jj-mccarthy-football-recruit-transfer-coronavirus-20200625-db2s4szlc5dmfmgydxhbpxltge-story.html)

Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on June 26, 2020, 09:03:13 AM
Good article on JJ McCarthy.


https://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/college/ct-jj-mccarthy-football-recruit-transfer-coronavirus-20200625-db2s4szlc5dmfmgydxhbpxltge-story.html (https://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/college/ct-jj-mccarthy-football-recruit-transfer-coronavirus-20200625-db2s4szlc5dmfmgydxhbpxltge-story.html)
Thanks for the link. Hard not to get excited as a Michigan fan. I think he'll be the type of QB that is developed enough to not be ruined by Jim, and with thick enough skin and the personality to put up with Harbaugh's weirdness and other bullshit.

McCarthy reminds me of Shane Morris a little bit- similar size, arm strength, body type, and relentless recruiting of other prospects to Michigan at the same stage. Except McCarthy is a much more accurate passer and is actually good at football- not just 7 on 7 passing camps.

That move to IMG will be huge for him. That'll speed up his development and allow him to graduate early and enroll early- which he couldn't do at his school in Illinois bc they wouldn't allow it.

Have to be careful not to get too ahead here though, cause Harbaugh took Shea Patterson- a 5 STARZ, #1 QB in the nation, #4 player overall in the nation and Elite 11 MVP and did next to nothing with him. It could happen again.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on July 21, 2020, 12:36:49 PM
Bruce Feldman does his annual Freaks List - his ranking of the most freakishly athletically players in all of college football.

Feldman has Michigan DE Kwity Paye as the #1 FREAK of 2020.


https://theathletic.com/1938659/2020/07/21/bruce-feldmans-freaks-list-2019-college-football-top-athletic-performances-2/
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Temp430 on July 28, 2020, 09:03:21 AM
As it stands now with the Big Ten only playing conference games this year Michigan's season opener will be Sept. 26th when they host Wisconsin.  Wisconsin, either through serendipity or use of a magic crystal ball had scheduled Indiana at home on Sept. 4th.  Having one game under their belt by the time they visit Ann Arbor is a huge advantage.  I'm hoping the Big Ten expands the schedule and adds additional games.  It would be good for Michigan to get a game with Nebraska or Illinois prior to the Wisconsin game.  A game at Iowa at night not so much.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: ELA on July 28, 2020, 09:34:51 AM
As it stands now with the Big Ten only playing conference games this year Michigan's season opener will be Sept. 26th when they host Wisconsin.  Wisconsin, either through serendipity or use of a magic crystal ball had scheduled Indiana at home on Sept. 4th.  Having one game under their belt by the time they visit Ann Arbor is a huge advantage.  I'm hoping the Big Ten expands the schedule and adds additional games.  It would be good for Michigan to get a game with Nebraska or Illinois prior to the Wisconsin game.  A game at Iowa at night not so much.
They have to, with the Big Ten adding conference games throughout the year.

MSU and Northwestern also open against each other.  I can't imagine them playing that game Labor Day weekend, then waiting a month and playing Game #2.

That said, I don't think there will be any games.  Just quarantine OSU, PSU, UW and Minnesota, and do a semifinals and BTCCG in Indy and call it a year.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on August 19, 2020, 09:58:41 PM
starting OT Jaylen Mayfield announces he's going to opt out of the 2020 season- if there is one- and that he is preparing for the 2021 NFL draft. 

Mayfield redshirted in 2018, started every game as a RS Frosh in 2019, and will be skipping 2020 entirely. 

Mel Kiper had him rated as a very high 1st round pick for the 2021 draft. I'm guessing the feedback Mayfield got from NFL teams was pretty good as well and that's why he's announced this.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: ELA on August 19, 2020, 10:54:54 PM
starting OT Jaylen Mayfield announces he's going to opt out of the 2020 season- if there is one- and that he is preparing for the 2021 NFL draft.

Mayfield redshirted in 2018, started every game as a RS Frosh in 2019, and will be skipping 2020 entirely.

Mel Kiper had him rated as a very high 1st round pick for the 2021 draft. I'm guessing the feedback Mayfield got from NFL teams was pretty good as well and that's why he's announced this.
Some speculation Paye is gone too.  Honestly there is no point in any NFL prospects playing in the spring.  If you are a top 3 round lock, which both guys are, don't risk it.

Thankfully, MSU has nobody like that
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MaximumSam on August 20, 2020, 07:55:58 AM
Some speculation Paye is gone too.  Honestly there is no point in any NFL prospects playing in the spring.  If you are a top 3 round lock, which both guys are, don't risk it.

Thankfully, MSU has nobody like that
If we do get some spring football it's going to be very interesting to see who plays or not.  The draft is scheduled for April 29th - completely possible college football is still going on.  While the stars would most likely sit out, there is that "trying to be a star" group that would have to way the benefits of playing.  And if they play, then get drafted midseason, do they stop playing?
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on August 20, 2020, 08:51:43 AM
If we do get some spring football it's going to be very interesting to see who plays or not.  The draft is scheduled for April 29th - completely possible college football is still going on.  While the stars would most likely sit out, there is that "trying to be a star" group that would have to way the benefits of playing.  And if they play, then get drafted midseason, do they stop playing?
Mayfield is just the first of many to sit and prep for the NFL draft. I’m sure Ohio State, Bama, Clemson, UGA, etc., etc. all have guys that will announce their intention to sit. 
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MaximumSam on August 20, 2020, 09:08:01 AM
Mayfield is just the first of many to sit and prep for the NFL draft. I’m sure Ohio State, Bama, Clemson, UGA, etc., etc. all have guys that will announce their intention to sit.
I would assume so. I'm more talking about the guys like maybe Josh Ross, who wants to show he's an NFL guy but may need some games to show it. 
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on August 20, 2020, 09:27:33 AM
I would assume so. I'm more talking about the guys like maybe Josh Ross, who wants to show he's an NFL guy but may need some games to show it.
I would imagine most guys like that will be playing. And anyone who has already gotten 1st or 2nd round grades from mock experts or nfl scouts will probably be sitting. 
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on August 20, 2020, 09:38:17 AM
I'm guessing the feedback Mayfield got from NFL teams was pretty good as well and that's why he's announced this.
This is why the talk of expanding the play offs fell on deaf ears to me.Even before COVID - NFL/CFL bound kids aren't going to extend their chance of injury.If this debacle ever clears up play off expansion will just dilute the pool IMO.It'll be strange when the '20 & '21 Draft guyswill be rookies at the same time
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on August 20, 2020, 09:41:03 AM
If we do get some spring football it's going to be very interesting to see who plays or not.  The draft is scheduled for April 29th - completely possible college football is still going on.  While the stars would most likely sit out, there is that "trying to be a star" group that would have to way the benefits of playing.  And if they play, then get drafted midseason, do they stop playing?
Currently. The NFL is holding a hard line right now not talking about changing their draft date, but I could easily see them moving it and the combine back if all hell breaks loose with this thing.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on August 20, 2020, 09:45:45 AM
Thankfully, MSU has nobody like that
HA!
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: ELA on August 20, 2020, 09:46:03 AM
The NFL likes having a free minor league system, but by that point, I don't think they have any interest in moving their schedule just to allow potential draft picks to injure themselves.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on August 20, 2020, 08:07:28 PM
Michigan star CB Ambry Thomas follows Mayfield’s lead, announces he is skipping the 2020 season if there is one in order to prep for 2021 NFL draft.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on August 20, 2020, 08:08:10 PM
Currently. The NFL is holding a hard line right now not talking about changing their draft date, but I could easily see them moving it and the combine back if all hell breaks loose with this thing.
They aren’t moving the draft back for shit, and this thing isn’t that bad. It’s overblown media bullshit hype. 
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: CWSooner on August 20, 2020, 08:39:20 PM
They aren’t moving the draft back for shit, and this thing isn’t that bad. It’s overblown media bullshit hype.
The number of American COVID deaths is 58 times the number of deaths in the 9/11 attacks.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on August 20, 2020, 08:46:24 PM
The number of infections and pneumonia that get tagged for it seems more than abit creepy.Either Hospitals or big pharma jockeying for Gov't coin.People die of stage 4 cancer,guess what?
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on August 20, 2020, 11:16:00 PM
The number of American COVID deaths is 58 times the number of deaths in the 9/11 attacks.
Oh Jesus Christ give me a break with this dramatic bullshit will you. 

If we’re going to compare a minor flu like disease that only kills old, sick, and fat people to random acts of terrorism- then how many deaths in comparison to the two nuclear bombs the US dropped on Japan? Hint- like 100,000+ less!
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: CWSooner on August 20, 2020, 11:45:50 PM
We're 200,000 deaths over where our death toll should be.  The notion that COVID deaths have been overcounted doesn't hold water.

The number of Japanese we killed during WWII at Hiroshima, Hiroshima and Nagasaki, Hiroshima, Nagasaki and Tokyo (in firebombings), or in the entire war has nothing to do with the Coronavirus pandemic.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: FearlessF on August 21, 2020, 08:48:47 AM
neither does the number of deaths in the 9/11 attacks
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on August 21, 2020, 06:58:53 PM
neither does the number of deaths in the 9/11 attacks
No shit. Lmao. You’d think he’d have gotten that point. 
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on August 21, 2020, 07:02:22 PM
We're 200,000 deaths over where our death toll should be.  The notion that COVID deaths have been overcounted doesn't hold water.
Last I checked official US count was 177k. So negative 23,000 people should have died? Wtf are you even saying. 

COVID deaths have been overcounted, this thing has been politicized, it’s nowhere near as lethal as idiots in media or hype would have you believe- and I literally personally know 15 people who have had it and not one of them has died and only a couple of them were actually very sick. 
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MaximumSam on August 21, 2020, 07:50:03 PM
(https://i.imgur.com/l6wWKUj.jpg)
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: CWSooner on August 21, 2020, 09:26:13 PM
neither does the number of deaths in the 9/11 attacks
Yes, it does, because that was something that hit us, not us hitting the Japanese.
It's the comparison that's interesting.
19 years ago, we went to war, one we are still fighting, over 2,996 deaths.  We have lost about 7,000 American lives in the process.
Now, 177,000 dead Americans?  Meh.  Only cowards and cucks care about that.
Real men want college football!  It's unfair if we can't have what we want!
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: CWSooner on August 21, 2020, 09:30:23 PM
Last I checked official US count was 177k. So negative 23,000 people should have died? Wtf are you even saying.

COVID deaths have been overcounted, this thing has been politicized, it’s nowhere near as lethal as idiots in media or hype would have you believe- and I literally personally know 15 people who have had it and not one of them has died and only a couple of them were actually very sick.
Your comprehension is better than that.
In annual expected deaths by natural causes, we have had over 200,000 more than were projected.  177,000 of them are attributed to COVID.  23,000+ of them are attributed to other causes or are unknown.
If anything, we are undercounting COVID deaths, not overcounting them.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on August 22, 2020, 07:38:07 AM
I'm not a conspiracy theorist however I personally know of 4 people who signed up to get tested.Had yet to be tested but received positive results.That tells me something smell in Denmark,I've heard other people state this but was like meh,until I became aware of it.Either Hospitals or big pharma seem to be angling for some reimbursement or research coin IMHO.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Cincydawg on August 22, 2020, 09:03:26 AM
My GUESS is the testing facilities are not always very well organized with respect to data.  They may confuse samples, confuse results, report incorrectly, etc., just like everything else in life.  I'd say this is incompetence, not some dark conspiratorial plan.

Incompetence is easy to expect and understand with millions of tests being conducted, if even 0.01% are messed up, it's a lot.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on August 22, 2020, 09:50:37 AM
I'm not a conspiracy theorist however I personally know of 4 people who signed up to get tested.Had yet to be tested but received positive results.That tells me something smell in Denmark,I've heard other people state this but was like meh,until I became aware of it.Either Hospitals or big pharma seem to be angling for some reimbursement or research coin IMHO.
This exact thing happened to my father. They are over-counting the shit out of these positive cases. And just because someone tests positive doesn't mean they died or even got sick. Both of my sisters were positive, one was sick for a week with flu-like symptoms- and the other- all she got was headaches and a runny nose for a couple days. This whole f'n thing has been blown out of proportion.

This is not a disease that is indiscrimantely wiping out the young and healthy and killing a high % of people who get infected and killing millions of people. There are 350 million people in this country. You're talking about a disease that has killed .0005 % of the population- if you believe the inflated death toll numbers- which I do not. And of that .0005% - VAST MAJORITY WERE OLD AS SHIT, SICK AS SHIT, OR FAT, OBESE AND DIABETIC AND WERE PRONE TO GET KILLED BY ANY DISEASE.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: FearlessF on August 23, 2020, 08:35:36 AM
Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds defended the state's reporting of coronavirus data on Thursday, a day after the Iowa Department of Public Health made substantial changes to those numbers because of a technical problem that had skewed them.

"The credibility and the accuracy of our data is a top priority," the governor said at a news conference. She described the reporting efforts as "a work in progress over time."

The health department Wednesday changed data reported on its coronavirus website. Department leaders said they were fixing a computer problem that had backdated recent coronavirus test results and made them appear to have happened months ago. The mix-up happened with both positive and negative test results, they said.

Reynolds said she learned about the problem last week. The state's medical director, Dr. Caitlin Pedati, said she learned of the problem in late July.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: bayareabadger on August 23, 2020, 08:53:13 AM
This exact thing happened to my father. They are over-counting the shit out of these positive cases. And just because someone tests positive doesn't mean they died or even got sick. Both of my sisters were positive, one was sick for a week with flu-like symptoms- and the other- all she got was headaches and a runny nose for a couple days. This whole f'n thing has been blown out of proportion.

This is not a disease that is indiscrimantely wiping out the young and healthy and killing a high % of people who get infected and killing millions of people. There are 350 million people in this country. You're talking about a disease that has killed .0005 % of the population- if you believe the inflated death toll numbers- which I do not. And of that .0005% - VAST MAJORITY WERE OLD AS SHIT, SICK AS SHIT, OR FAT, OBESE AND DIABETIC AND WERE PRONE TO GET KILLED BY ANY DISEASE.

It wouldn’t be the precision expected of this board if it wasn’t pointed out that % sign makes that statement off by a factor of 100. So either 0.0005 of the population or 0.05 percent of the population. Thank you for your time.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: FearlessF on August 23, 2020, 08:58:00 AM
it's the thought that counts

details are just details
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: ELA on September 17, 2020, 12:23:59 AM
McCaffrey transferring?
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Temp430 on September 17, 2020, 08:03:18 AM
McCaffrey transferring?

That's the news.  Where he's transferring to I have not heard.  Nico Collins has signed with an agent and is going to the NFL too.  When it rains it sucks big time.

McCaffrey was one of the players lobbying the administration to re-start the Big Ten football season.  So the day they announce its on again he's says he's gone?  I don't get it.  There were rumors that Milton would start if they were playing now but there are always rumors like that in camp.  McCaffry was way ahead of Milton last year.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: bayareabadger on September 17, 2020, 09:21:36 AM
That's the news.  Where he's transferring to I have not heard.  Nico Collins has signed with an agent and is going to the NFL too.  When it rains it sucks big time.

McCaffrey was one of the players lobbying the administration to re-start the Big Ten football season.  So the day they announce its on again he's says he's gone?  I don't get it.  There were rumors that Milton would start if they were playing now but there are always rumors like that in camp.  McCaffry was way ahead of Milton last year.
I mean, he's in camp and sees how good Milton is. Maybe he just knows.

Plus with a free year, he can opt out, finish his degree, grad transfer and get a shot starting somewhere smaller next year. Too bad.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on September 17, 2020, 09:43:11 AM
That's the news.  Where he's transferring to I have not heard.  Nico Collins has signed with an agent and is going to the NFL too.  When it rains it sucks big time.
I was surprised Nico didn't bolt last year.His ability to hang onto the ball is incredible at least from what I've seen and evidently Pro Football Focus bore this out last season
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on September 17, 2020, 10:18:49 AM
LOL. When it rains it pours. I'm not buying the Milton hype bullshit. Worlds of talent, but he was super inconsistent and had serious bouts of inaccuracy. That just doesn't get fixed overnight. Especially in a weird year like this with zero off-season because of COVID. And especially with piss poor coaching like Michigan has.

So McCaffrey is jumping ship, along with Michigan's best offensive player in Nico, it's best OL in Mayfield and it's best DB in Ambry. Oh and there is a real good chance Kwity Paye- their best DL might opt out as well. 

Has Ohio State had any of these opt outs? How come I feel like it's only Michigan.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Honestbuckeye on September 17, 2020, 09:26:27 PM
Wyatt Davis and Shaun Wade held out for a long time, but gave up hope and opted out last week.  

However- nether signed with an agent and are both coming back.  
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on September 18, 2020, 07:00:21 AM
Damn it seems like those two just signed their LOIs - where the hell does the time go
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: FearlessF on September 18, 2020, 09:39:06 AM
fast track to the NFL
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on September 18, 2020, 12:19:30 PM
(https://i.imgur.com/ECzYntm.jpg)
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Temp430 on September 22, 2020, 07:43:31 AM
Michigan OT Mayfield will be back this year after all.  Collins and Thomas remain gone.  Its sounding more and more like it was his competition that drove McCaffrey to opt out and transfer.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on September 22, 2020, 08:06:08 AM
Hopefully they come back,Collins is prolly my favorite M player since Taco.Just 2 years ago their revieving corp had so much promise between Collins,DPJ and Tarik Black - deep and talented.Would have liked to see them in full form together,would have been tough to Defense that
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Honestbuckeye on October 15, 2020, 10:51:20 AM
Sharing with UM thread because I think it’s credible:


RAMZY: BEWARE THE WOLVERINES

Michigan is going to be a legitimate pain in the ass this season because it has finally been knocked far enough off of the arrogance perch that has kept its self-defeating culture weaponized for the better part of the millennium. No one is going out of their way to overrate them in 2020. COVID has humbled everyone to a degree, which only benefits the B1G program in most need of humbling, And there’s no anointed savior on the roster; just a bunch of guys accustomed to winning the least when it matters the most.

They remind me of Brian Griese’s 1997 Wolverines, minus - and it’s a sizable minus - Charles Woodson. They’ll give everyone their best shot and for the first time in forever, should lack that entitlement chip that’s predictably and consistently knocked them back to earth.




Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: bayareabadger on October 15, 2020, 11:00:57 AM
Sharing with UM thread because I think it’s credible:


RAMZY: BEWARE THE WOLVERINES


Michigan is going to be a legitimate pain in the ass this season because it has finally been knocked far enough off of the arrogance perch that has kept its self-defeating culture weaponized for the better part of the millennium. No one is going out of their way to overrate them in 2020. COVID has humbled everyone to a degree, which only benefits the B1G program in most need of humbling, And there’s no anointed savior on the roster; just a bunch of guys accustomed to winning the least when it matters the most.


They remind me of Brian Griese’s 1997 Wolverines, minus - and it’s a sizable minus - Charles Woodson. They’ll give everyone their best shot and for the first time in forever, should lack that entitlement chip that’s predictably and consistently knocked them back to earth.






I'm getting all the reverse jinx vibes. 

Also interesting, Jim's contract is running short, which is unheard of. Found this interesting: https://sports.yahoo.com/in-contract-limbo-does-jim-harbaugh-need-to-justify-his-salary-235436731.html
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on October 15, 2020, 01:09:43 PM
I'm getting all the reverse jinx vibes.

Also interesting, Jim's contract is running short, which is unheard of. Found this interesting: https://sports.yahoo.com/in-contract-limbo-does-jim-harbaugh-need-to-justify-his-salary-235436731.html
My two cents- he’s going back to the nfl very soon. Meyer/Day will have kicked his ass out of the conference. 
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on October 15, 2020, 01:49:16 PM
If Biden loses the election maybe he'll take over for JH if he bolts
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: 847badgerfan on October 15, 2020, 02:02:52 PM
I don't know that the NFL wants guys like him anymore. They seem to like people who play nice with their bosses.

Were I a GM, I'd steer clear.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: FearlessF on October 15, 2020, 02:04:34 PM
GMs get desperate 
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on October 15, 2020, 02:28:36 PM
An Owner would have to be an absolute idiot to sign him for 7 mil or more per.And JH would be an idiot not to sit back and enjoy whatever time he has left.IMHO
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: FearlessF on October 15, 2020, 02:59:31 PM
I'm not a fan of Jimmy H., but he'd be better than more than a couple current NFL coaches

and if things don't improve in AA, it won't be very enjoyable for him there
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on October 15, 2020, 03:48:09 PM
I don't know that the NFL wants guys like him anymore. They seem to like people who play nice with their bosses.

Were I a GM, I'd steer clear.
Jim wouldn’t go anywhere that he wasn’t on at least equal footing with the GM if not above imo.


Owners are desperate to win. Someone will hire him.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on October 15, 2020, 03:50:39 PM
I'm not a fan of Jimmy H., but he'd be better than more than a couple current NFL coaches

and if things don't improve in AA, it won't be very enjoyable for him there
This.

An NFL owner will hire him. People acting like Jim sucks at Michigan. He’s putting out NFL players and winning 9-10ish games a season. He can’t beat Ohio State (who can honestly)- and he’s losing maybe 1 game a year he shouldn’t- it’s not exactly like he’s going 5-7 every year.

With his track record of turnarounds at San Diego, Stanford, 49ers, and even Michigan- some NFL owner is going to hire him.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on October 15, 2020, 04:04:33 PM
This.

An NFL owner will hire him. People acting like Jim sucks at Michigan.
Well we only heard out of you how many times? :cheer:
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on October 15, 2020, 04:23:16 PM
Well we only heard out of you how many times? :cheer:
He’s a big disappointment and I’m tired of his weird bullshit- don’t get me wrong- but it’s not like he’s Brady Hoke or RichRod. He is a good coach. Maybe just not the elite one we all thought he was. And hey- who knows- maybe he is a better fit in the nfl? 
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: MrNubbz on October 15, 2020, 04:26:27 PM
Did Collins come back to the team?
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: FearlessF on October 15, 2020, 04:30:03 PM
He’s a big disappointment and I’m tired of his weird bullshit- don’t get me wrong- but it’s not like he’s Brady Hoke or RichRod. He is a good coach. Maybe just not the elite one we all thought he was. And hey- who knows- maybe he is a better fit in the nfl?
his expectations were high coming in
not helping him today
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: 847badgerfan on October 16, 2020, 07:40:54 AM
Hopefully Jerry Jones takes the gamble. That would be fun to watch.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: Mdot21 on October 16, 2020, 12:02:49 PM
Hopefully Jerry Jones takes the gamble. That would be fun to watch.
I actually think that might work out better than we all think. Dallas has a great RB and good QB already there.
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on October 16, 2020, 01:08:39 PM
I actually think that might work out better than we all think. Dallas has a great RB and good QB already there.
Andy Dalton? 

Prescott didn't get his long term deal and he won't be back in Dallas after this season as he'll be a free agent. Unless Jerry Jones pays up long term or tries to pull the franchise tag for a second straight year, which will be expensive as hell. 
Title: Re: 2020 Michigan Offseason Thread
Post by: FearlessF on October 16, 2020, 01:16:54 PM
Andy might be better than Dak