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The Power Five => Big Ten => Topic started by: MaximumSam on October 22, 2017, 09:21:32 AM

Title: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: MaximumSam on October 22, 2017, 09:21:32 AM
Biggest B1G game of the regular season on Saturday at 3:30.  Not a night game?  Correct, not a night game.  An actual gigantic game being played in the afternoon.  It's like Christmas.
Title: Re: Penn State at Ohio State
Post by: PSUinNC on October 23, 2017, 10:58:12 AM
Do Bucks fans actually wish this was at night, for the atmosphere purposes?  Buckeyes are (and pretty much always will be) the White Out game every other year @ PSU, kinda think they'd like to return the favor. 
Title: Re: Penn State at Ohio State
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on October 23, 2017, 11:10:47 AM
Pretty nervous about this one.

Even though last year's loss was kinda fluky, it completely turned around the Penn St FB program. 

They have been playing at an elite level ever since. 
Title: Re: Penn State at Ohio State
Post by: MaximumSam on October 23, 2017, 11:21:58 AM
Do Bucks fans actually wish this was at night, for the atmosphere purposes?  Buckeyes are (and pretty much always will be) the White Out game every other year @ PSU, kinda think they'd like to return the favor.
In the past, yes, but now that night games are so frequent it feels pretty nice to have a huge game in the daytime.  They've already had four night games this year.
Title: Re: Penn State at Ohio State
Post by: PSUinNC on October 23, 2017, 02:05:38 PM
Should be a wild atmosphere regardless.  Really looking forward to Saturday.  Bucks being -7 should give the fellas in White a ton of motivation.

That said, I really wish PSU was wearing Blue Saturday to offset the gray OSU uniforms.  
Title: Re: Penn State at Ohio State
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 23, 2017, 03:05:41 PM
Bucks being -7
I just don't get that.  The Buckeyes have looked great lately but in our current power rankings the teams they have defeated are ranked #8, #9, #10, and #13 in the league.  Basically, on the year, the Buckeyes have played Oklahoma and not much else.  Until I see this offense look competent against a decent defense I'm not going to believe the hype.  
Points given up by Oklahoma:
It would be one thing if Oklahoma had an elite defense that was holding everybody to <20 but they obviously don't.  
Title: Re: Penn State at Ohio State
Post by: MrNubbz on October 23, 2017, 03:42:01 PM
Good Point MB.Last season I became an advocate of the 2 QB's after watching Joe Burrow thread the needle.Still believe that Burrow can go over the top and in tight windows.Not sure what happened to the aggressive chance taking Urban.We've seen JT body of work.If anything imo tOSU has been propping him up.Don't care about the records JT is 5 yrs in he should have accumulated something.We have home field and great DLine depth.Got a feeling the Lions leave C-Bus with the "W"
Title: Re: Penn State at Ohio State
Post by: Mdot21 on October 23, 2017, 03:56:51 PM
this is going to be the game of the year in the B1G. Can't wait.

I think Penn State probably *should* win. McSorley has been playing at a high level all year- he's a great college QB. And Barkley is just a freak. Biggest weapon in college football just because of how versatile he is as wide receiver. That guy is really like the next Marshall Faulk. Forget Reggie Bush. That's who I've seen people compare him too- but Bush wasn't physical. At all. Bush really was a complete whimp of a runner and couldn't run between the tackles- and that's why he was an NFL failure. Barkley is low to the ground, and powerful. Kid has a lower body like Barry Sanders- those humongous thighs and legs- hard to get a clean shot on him. He'll run you over, juke you out, run around you, and run by you. He is the best college RB that I have seen in a long time. Apologies to Zeke Elliot and Leonard Fournette- but I think this guy is better. He's a more complete back.

But it's at The Horseshoe, and Ohio State is a proud program with a great coach, a veteran QB and an offense that has started to get back on track.

I think it'll be really close, but I think Penn State pulls it out in the end off the back of Barkley. Just ride that horse all game long and he'll take you to victory.
Title: Re: Penn State at Ohio State
Post by: bayareabadger on October 23, 2017, 04:48:38 PM
I just don't get that.  The Buckeyes have looked great lately but in our current power rankings the teams they have defeated are ranked #8, #9, #10, and #13 in the league.  Basically, on the year, the Buckeyes have played Oklahoma and not much else.  Until I see this offense look competent against a decent defense I'm not going to believe the hype.  
Points given up by Oklahoma:
  • 41 to Baylor
  • 35 to Kansas State
  • 31 to Iowa State
  • 24 to Texas
  • 16 to Ohio State
  • 14 to Tulane
  • 7 to UTEP
It would be one thing if Oklahoma had an elite defense that was holding everybody to <20 but they obviously don't.  
Vegas lines are always gonna be set more on predictive indicators than raw wins. OSU's dominance has been pretty silly and is probably weighting things. I've seen a couple predictions with larger spreads, so it will be interesting.
It may well be wrong, but whenever I think of the power of predictors, I think back of 2014 MSU (well, and JT hitting passes MSU's coaches didn't believe he could)
Title: Re: Penn State at Ohio State
Post by: MaximumSam on October 23, 2017, 05:39:57 PM
Vegas lines are always gonna be set more on predictive indicators than raw wins. OSU's dominance has been pretty silly and is probably weighting things. I've seen a couple predictions with larger spreads, so it will be interesting.
It may well be wrong, but whenever I think of the power of predictors, I think back of 2014 MSU (well, and JT hitting passes MSU's coaches didn't believe he could)
OSU's S+P point margin at 29.2 while PSU's is at 22.1 for a 7.1 difference. 
Anyways, should be a fun game.  The narrative all week here in Columbus is "can JT Barrett complete a pass against a good team?"  I think he will be fine.  My bigger worry is how the defense holds up.  OSU likes to play man, and they will play Cover 4 which often turns into man.  But PSU feasts on man defense so I wonder how they will try to play.  Iowa is the team that looked best defensively against PSU, and they love their keeping everything in front of them.
Anyways, I have a feeling PSU will score a lot of points, but I also think OSU will score a lot of points.  PSU has been strong defensively, but they've played a lot of garbage offenses.  *I don't think* OSU is a garbage offense any longer.
Title: Re: Penn State at Ohio State
Post by: bayareabadger on October 24, 2017, 12:36:33 AM
OSU's S+P point margin at 29.2 while PSU's is at 22.1 for a 7.1 difference.
Anyways, should be a fun game.  The narrative all week here in Columbus is "can JT Barrett complete a pass against a good team?"  I think he will be fine.  My bigger worry is how the defense holds up.  OSU likes to play man, and they will play Cover 4 which often turns into man.  But PSU feasts on man defense so I wonder how they will try to play.  Iowa is the team that looked best defensively against PSU, and they love their keeping everything in front of them.
Anyways, I have a feeling PSU will score a lot of points, but I also think OSU will score a lot of points.  PSU has been strong defensively, but they've played a lot of garbage offenses.  *I don't think* OSU is a garbage offense any longer.
I think S&P officially has OSU by 9.6. Seems highly high. 
Also, S&P has OSU as No. 2 O and No. 7 D, with PSU at 10 and 9. So we're in for a treat. 
Title: Re: Penn State at Ohio State
Post by: TyphonInc on October 24, 2017, 07:48:58 AM
My gut says this game will play out like Clemson/OU and OSU is going to get embarrassed (again.) 
Title: Re: Penn State at Ohio State
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on October 24, 2017, 07:53:03 AM
(https://i.ytimg.com/vi/2yNfxMYWMj8/hqdefault.jpg)
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: ELA on October 24, 2017, 09:37:45 AM
Do Bucks fans actually wish this was at night, for the atmosphere purposes?  Buckeyes are (and pretty much always will be) the White Out game every other year @ PSU, kinda think they'd like to return the favor.
I don't think it matters much anymore.  Night games are such commonplace, I don't think they phase visiting teams anymore.  MSU played a night game at Minnesota, and Minnesota has one coming back next week at Michigan.  Georgia State at Penn State was a night game.  It's fun for the fans in the stands for big night games (I know a lot of ticket holding fans who hate them for non event games), but for opposing teams, I think it's old hat.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on October 24, 2017, 10:53:35 AM
Urbs has backtracked on his night game stance. 

This one couldn't be a night game because the network has MLB playoff commitments or some such
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: PSUinNC on October 24, 2017, 11:57:14 AM
Wow, this one's a dandy...

http://www.cleveland.com/livingston/index.ssf/2017/10/ohio_state-penn_state_big_ten.html
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Roaddawg on October 24, 2017, 12:34:58 PM
I am glad it is not a night game, leaves to much time for this team to lose focus.  Two huge concerns are the DB coverage in the passing game, run support will not be an issue, they close fast and can hit.  Can we cover the TE, which I expect PSU to use to open the deep ball, well enough to avoid allowing the deep ball to really hurt.  No blaming the coaches, or this young group, it is what happens to a secondary when you loose so many players in a short span.  Second concern is JT Barret.  I like the kid, but he reached his peak two years ago has not really seemed to be able to move anywhere.  Not going to nit pick records, leadership, etc., his performance the past three weeks is what should have happened given the teams.  Even with his great numbers, he still missed wide open guys, had trouble hitting the touch passes, and even though he had all day, he still seemed lost.  He will not have the time he has had the past three week as Prince will not be able to just use his athletic ability to be better than the man across from him.  I am hoping Urban lets go and allows the offense to play.  IF Dobbins is playing better, then run him, who cares if Weber gets pissed.  We need to score and score big, but also need to use the clock to our advantage as well, and not just the huge one hit plays.  Give our defense some help.

This is the defining game for this years Buckeye team, I hope they are ready!  
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 24, 2017, 12:46:12 PM
This is the defining game for this years Buckeye team, I hope they are ready!  
I think this cannot be overstated.  If the Buckeyes lose then it would be highly unlikely for them to get to Indianapolis and thus probable that they will not play another high-end team this year except perhaps in a bowl.  Even if they beat all of the others, they'll be remembered as a team that couldn't compete with the big dogs.  If they win, the sky is the limit.  
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Roaddawg on October 24, 2017, 12:55:09 PM
I think this cannot be overstated.  If the Buckeyes lose then it would be highly unlikely for them to get to Indianapolis and thus probable that they will not play another high-end team this year except perhaps in a bowl.  Even if they beat all of the others, they'll be remembered as a team that couldn't compete with the big dogs.  If they win, the sky is the limit.  
WIN THE EAST!  That should be the only thing these kids are thinking.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: TresselownsUM on October 24, 2017, 01:02:06 PM
don't let penn st score a TD in the last 2 minutes of the half, they seem to have a bit of a knack at getting that late 2nd quarter TD.

I don't know, this Ohio State team is pretty good, but in the grand scheme of things other than the defensive line, the other positions aren't dominant. I still think last year's defense was better than the current version. that secondary was the best I've ever seen at Ohio State and the D line was virtually the same. I also think the LB play this year has been just ok.

offensively I like our RB's better this year, and I think JT is playing more comfortably the last few weeks, but it's pretty easy to be comfortable when your playing outmatched opponents.

Penn St is explosive, I wasn't sure after watching the Iowa game, but maybe that was just their 1 fluke game of the year. Barkley will run for 125 minimum, although I will admit I have no idea how that guy only got 12 carries on us last year, that doesn't make sense to me. The Penn St TE's and WR's are better than our secondary guys, so can the defense get pressure on Mcsorely to help them out? When they did against Baker Mayfield he killed us with his legs and hit a bunch of passes that our LB's were unable to cover.

I had more confidence playing Clemson last year than I do in this game, and that's because our defense was better. Don't be fooled by that 31-0 score, the defense played it's heart out until they realized somewhere late in the 3rd quarter that it was over.

I don't believe our offense or defense can "win" a game by itself this year, not against a top 5 squad anyways.

I sort of expect Penn St to have a 10 point lead, somewhere middle of the second quarter and then hold on. The Bucks won't quit at home, not with their backs against the wall, but they just don't have the individual playmakers that Penn St does this year.

Urban's obviously won BIG games, but he's not the invincible man anymore. 0-for-2 against Dabo, Dantonio has rung him up twice, James Franklin got him last year. The Aura is slowly fading. Not that I want another coach, but all good things come to an end eventually.

I think Penn St wins 31-17.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: FearlessF on October 24, 2017, 02:27:52 PM
I'm going with the Buckeyes

pretty sure Urban wants this one

(probably the kiss of death)  I haven't picked many correctly this season
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: MrNubbz on October 24, 2017, 02:57:08 PM
My gut says this game will play out like Clemson/OU and OSU is going to get embarrassed (again.)
Me too,Urbans refusal to work in Burrow/Haskins to supplement JT's short comings is a head scratcher.Hope Barrett shakes the bogies on the Big Stage
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Honestbuckeye on October 24, 2017, 03:13:04 PM
Me too,Urbans refusal to work in Burrow/Haskins to supplement JT's short comings is a head scratcher.Hope Barrett shakes the bogies on the Big Stage
I still crack up when you post this opinion.  Haskins and Burrow are good players- with potential, but JT gives them their best chance to win and the margin is wide.
Haskins throws into coverage, and needs to develop some touch.
Football Scores & Stats
Big Ten Passing Leaders
 

QB Rating
RankPlayerTeamGQBRatAtt (http://bigtennetwork.stats.com/cfb/leaders.asp?cat=4&lg=4)Comp (http://bigtennetwork.stats.com/cfb/leaders.asp?cat=5&lg=4)Comp % (http://bigtennetwork.stats.com/cfb/leaders.asp?cat=17&lg=4)Pass Yds (http://bigtennetwork.stats.com/cfb/leaders.asp?cat=6&lg=4)Yds/Att (http://bigtennetwork.stats.com/cfb/leaders.asp?cat=18&lg=4)TD (http://bigtennetwork.stats.com/cfb/leaders.asp?cat=7&lg=4)Int (http://bigtennetwork.stats.com/cfb/leaders.asp?cat=8&lg=4)Long (http://bigtennetwork.stats.com/cfb/leaders.asp?cat=26&lg=4)
1J. Barrett (http://bigtennetwork.stats.com/cfb/players.asp?id=225823)OhioSt7173.820713866.718388.921174
2A. Hornibrook (http://bigtennetwork.stats.com/cfb/players.asp?id=251340)Wisc7166.11499865.814359.613761
3T. McSorley (http://bigtennetwork.stats.com/cfb/players.asp?id=243269)PSU7155.022014766.818798.514585
4N. Stanley (http://bigtennetwork.stats.com/cfb/players.asp?id=268048)Iowa7144.220111657.715137.516370
5D. Blough (http://bigtennetwork.stats.com/cfb/players.asp?id=238696)Purdue7143.81057066.77457.18462
6B. Lewerke (http://bigtennetwork.stats.com/cfb/players.asp?id=257176)MSU7129.420212059.413626.710340
7C. Rhoda (http://bigtennetwork.stats.com/cfb/players.asp?id=225774)Minn6126.61095954.18397.75467
8T. Lee (http://bigtennetwork.stats.com/cfb/players.asp?id=226183)Neb7124.424013255.017097.1131080
9P. Ramsey (http://bigtennetwork.stats.com/cfb/players.asp?id=269827)Ind7121.916410362.89735.97445
10C. Thorson (http://bigtennetwork.stats.com/cfb/players.asp?id=240723)NW7117.226315860.116886.48958
(https://static-hosted.stats.com/config/statsLogo.png) (http://www.stats.com/)© 2017 by STATS.

And please-don't hit me with the "competition" because everyone has played a bunch of nobodies with maybe one exception.   OSU also has the back with the highest YPC- Dobbins.

I like Penn State in the game because as I have been saying since pre-season- they are the best in the Big and a playoff caliber team. But I think Ohio State is a good team too and will give them a solid battle.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: FearlessF on October 24, 2017, 03:34:44 PM
the game vs the defenseless blackshirts in Lincoln inflated Barrett's stats
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: PSUinNC on October 24, 2017, 03:39:03 PM
PSU had a lot of issues with containing O'Korn on Saturday up the middle (a ton of overpursuit on the edges by the young DE's). Barrett will feast on this if it's not cleaned up.

If they can force him to throw, and maybe they just lay back a bit like last year, I don't see him doing nearly as much.  PSU's CB's this year have been universally the best at opponents passer ratings when being targeted (Haley and Oruwariye led the conference, I believe).  His QBR in last year's game was sub 50.  His QBR against OU was 20.  
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: TresselownsUM on October 24, 2017, 03:47:03 PM
JT threw the ball very well in Lincoln, and from what I can tell, that was a fairly windy/cold night.

what Ohio St can't do, which is what we've seemed to do lately in big games is try to throw the ball sideline to sideline, sure you might catch it, but it's a 1-3 yard gain, and when you got JK and Weber in the backfield it makes a helluva lot more sense to me to give it to one of those studs.

JT gets hate for the BIG games he's lost, well, I gotta tell you, I don't know too many QB that go undefeated against BIG time competition. JT had a phenomenal game against MSU in 2014, was playing well against UM b/f he got his ankle snapped off. he played well at Oklahoma, at Penn St and at Wisconsin last year. they might not have been the greatest performances ever but all were good enough to win. so he looked bad against Clemson and against Oklahoma, both of those teams are "playoff" type teams, it happens.

Mcsorely threw some bad picks in the Rose Bowl, Mayfield threw a couple picks against Ohio St last year, Deshaun Watson threw like 17 picks in 2017. QB is a tough position, and sometimes the people around you can make you look better or worse. Do I think JT is the best QB in the nation? No. Do I think he's good enough to win a BIG title with? Yes. He's talented enough, I just hope all the hate he's received hasn't killed his confidence, which I do think was a problem for him at times earlier this season, we'll see if he's over it on Sat.

But it'd also help if Urban doesn't abandon the run in the 2nd half like he has so many times in big games for some reason.  
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Honestbuckeye on October 24, 2017, 06:24:23 PM
the game vs the defenseless blackshirts in Lincoln inflated Barrett's stats
He got all 21 of his TD passes versus one Interception, in that one game?
Look at that list.  Pick any QB on there and I challenge you to find less than 4 shit teams each has played.   
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Honestbuckeye on October 24, 2017, 06:30:19 PM
JT threw the ball very well in Lincoln, and from what I can tell, that was a fairly windy/cold night.

what Ohio St can't do, which is what we've seemed to do lately in big games is try to throw the ball sideline to sideline, sure you might catch it, but it's a 1-3 yard gain, and when you got JK and Weber in the backfield it makes a helluva lot more sense to me to give it to one of those studs.

JT gets hate for the BIG games he's lost, well, I gotta tell you, I don't know too many QB that go undefeated against BIG time competition. JT had a phenomenal game against MSU in 2014, was playing well against UM b/f he got his ankle snapped off. he played well at Oklahoma, at Penn St and at Wisconsin last year. they might not have been the greatest performances ever but all were good enough to win. so he looked bad against Clemson and against Oklahoma, both of those teams are "playoff" type teams, it happens.

Mcsorely threw some bad picks in the Rose Bowl, Mayfield threw a couple picks against Ohio St last year, Deshaun Watson threw like 17 picks in 2017. QB is a tough position, and sometimes the people around you can make you look better or worse. Do I think JT is the best QB in the nation? No. Do I think he's good enough to win a BIG title with? Yes. He's talented enough, I just hope all the hate he's received hasn't killed his confidence, which I do think was a problem for him at times earlier this season, we'll see if he's over it on Sat.

But it'd also help if Urban doesn't abandon the run in the 2nd half like he has so many times in big games for some reason.  
Great post.  JT has won many huge games.  Lost a few, but how do you blame him when the offense 
Has no structure and can't protect him (last season). Even with that, he won some big games, like UM. 
We ( at least I ) openly discussed the challenge both Indian and Oklahoma would present.  Breaking in 4 new starters at DB, plus an entirely different group at LB, if you consider they are playing different positions, and mostly, no experienced WRs.
And still, it was a dead heat deep into third Q.   
The offense has a identity and some rhythm -  not going to look great versus any great defense, but whose does consistently?
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: MaximumSam on October 24, 2017, 06:53:28 PM

what Ohio St can't do, which is what we've seemed to do lately in big games is try to throw the ball sideline to sideline, sure you might catch it, but it's a 1-3 yard gain, and when you got JK and Weber in the backfield it makes a helluva lot more sense to me to give it to one of those studs.

*Football Nerd Alert*
OSU started getting more into screens after the Oklahoma game, and a parade of Buckeye fans went on and on about how that stuff works against little teams but will never work against good teams.  But the screen game in this offense is not the goal of the offense.  The entire point of the screen passes to wide receivers is to get the defense to commit to defend them.  When the safeties and linebacker are thinking screen, they have to run hard towards the receiver.  If they are running toward the receiver, that (1) allows OSU fake and throw the ball down field and more importantly (2) run the ball up the middle, where now fewer defenders are.
This is in stark contrast to last year, where we didn't do much of anything in the pass game to move defenders out of the box or punish them for committing to stopping the run.  The spread works by literally spreading out the defense, and the screen is an important part of spreading out the defense.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Roaddawg on October 24, 2017, 07:06:04 PM
*Football Nerd Alert*
OSU started getting more into screens after the Oklahoma game, and a parade of Buckeye fans went on and on about how that stuff works against little teams but will never work against good teams.  But the screen game in this offense is not the goal of the offense.  The entire point of the screen passes to wide receivers is to get the defense to commit to defend them.  When the safeties and linebacker are thinking screen, they have to run hard towards the receiver.  If they are running toward the receiver, that (1) allows OSU fake and throw the ball down field and more importantly (2) run the ball up the middle, where now fewer defenders are.
This is in stark contrast to last year, where we didn't do much of anything in the pass game to move defenders out of the box or punish them for committing to stopping the run.  The spread works by literally spreading out the defense, and the screen is an important part of spreading out the defense.
The QB has to be able to make that throw, and when he does, he can not throw the ball 5 yrds behind the open guy, or throw it in a manner as to disrupt his stride, which Barrett does A LOT.  Even in these last three games, where he has loaded his stat margin, he has missed some very easy throws.  I have been to two games, which allows you to see a lot more than what the TV camera does, and it is not the WR's.  The issue of does tOSU have an offensive identity is a huge question.  Urban seems to be his own worst enemy on that front.  I hope he can get away from the death grip control he seems to have on the offense and let Wilson do his job. 
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: MrNubbz on October 24, 2017, 07:40:56 PM
The QB has to be able to make that throw, and when he does, he can not throw the ball 5 yrds behind the open guy, or throw it in a manner as to disrupt his stride, which Barrett does A LOT.  
Stop it RD or you'll have to answer to HB.Barrett has lost his mojo and I really hope I eat crow but it's maddening.We've seen him mop the floor vs competition he should but shrinks on the big stage.Joe Burrow went 22-28 in 2016 vs same players and lead receivers and in tight windows.Burrow  threw for 11,400 yds in HS.I really,really hope the 2014 JTB shows up.The Coordinator/lineman/Receivers have turned over just Urbs & JT left to answer - hope they show up big
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Honestbuckeye on October 24, 2017, 08:06:32 PM
He has the highest completion rate in the conference ( or tied for it). He is not missing many, and certainly not as many as just about everyone else.

The identity is obvious to me. Route patterns are completely different and the play selection is too.  Clearly, Wilson is making a huge impact.  

Now will it be enough to beat PSU?  I doubt it, but they are an excellent team that is incredibly balanced on both sides of the ball.   
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Roaddawg on October 24, 2017, 08:10:31 PM
The only excuse I give Barrett is the turn stile on right tackle.  The last three games have been a good showing only because he has been able to physically out man the guy across from him.  I expect to see PSU do the samething OU did, load the line against the run and the short screen throws in the backfield, and force Barrett to throw in 3rd and long while bringing the pressure-which he can not do, and thus will try and run his way out of the play.  I would love to see Urban come out throwing the ball all over the field, but........won't happen.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Honestbuckeye on October 24, 2017, 08:12:18 PM
Yeah, let's turn over to a guy that was great in HS.  

Barrett is far from perfect, but he has won way more big games then he has lost, leads the conference in QBR, TDs, least interceptions, yards per pass, and is 2nd in total yards.  
But I will take your word for it, as opposed to Meyer's and Wilsons.    LOL. 
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Honestbuckeye on October 24, 2017, 08:15:37 PM
The only excuse I give Barrett is the turn stile on right tackle.  The last three games have been a good showing only because he has been able to physically out man the guy across from him.  I expect to see PSU do the samething OU did, load the line against the run and the short screen throws in the backfield, and force Barrett to throw in 3rd and long while bringing the pressure-which he can not do, and thus will try and run his way out of the play.  I would love to see Urban come out throwing the ball all over the field, but........won't happen.
Where teams have given him trouble is by dropping 7-8 into a zone.  All that leaves is the short stuff, and mostly to the side as it clogs the middle.  It is common, although you can't blame them. Teams that have gone mostly Man against Ohio State have paid dearly for it. 
It's what Iowa did, and Michigan didn't do, to Penn State.  
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Roaddawg on October 24, 2017, 08:30:21 PM
Where teams have given him trouble is by dropping 7-8 into a zone.  All that leaves is the short stuff, and mostly to the side as it clogs the middle.  It is common, although you can't blame them. Teams that have gone mostly Man against Ohio State have paid dearly for it.
It's what Iowa did, and Michigan didn't do, to Penn State.  
Exactly and from a 5th year guy, who has played in several huge games against several different defenses, he should be able to see that and does not seem to be able to adjust. Would you not agree that a guy with is experience and stats, should be able to make those adjustments? 
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: MrNubbz on October 24, 2017, 08:34:46 PM
Yes I would OH,you weren't talking to me ;)
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Honestbuckeye on October 24, 2017, 08:36:34 PM
Stop it RD or you'll have to answer to HB.Barrett has lost his mojo and I really hope I eat crow but it's maddening.We've seen him mop the floor vs competition he should but shrinks on the big stage.Joe Burrow went 22-28 in 2016 vs same players and lead receivers and in tight windows.Burrow  threw for 11,400 yds in HS.I really,really hope the 2014 JTB shows up.The Coordinator/lineman/Receivers have turned over just Urbs & JT left to answer - hope they show up big
Shrinks on a big stage?   Let's look at that.
What is he, 37-4 as a starter.  He is 3-0 versus Michigan.   2-1 versus MSU. 2-1 versus Penn State. 1-0 versus Notre Dame in Bowl. 1-1 versus Oklahoma. 2-0 versus Wisconsin 
And 0-1 against the NC Clemson team. Not only did he not shrink in most of those games, in many cases he took them over and was the reason OSU won.
In my view, he has had two bad games on a big stage out of 15 games I would label as Big.
And in both of those two- he got no help from the OC, or the offensive line, or the receivers.
His biggest fault to me is that he usually doesn't throw guys open.  That costs some TDs but also eliminates interceptions.  
This year, he has improved in that category- completing passes to guys who are covered well. 
We will see how he does Saturday, but the only stat I will care about is can he win. Nobody has been better at that stat than him. 
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Honestbuckeye on October 24, 2017, 08:40:02 PM
Exactly and from a 5th year guy, who has played in several huge games against several different defenses, he should be able to see that and does not seem to be able to adjust. Would you not agree that a guy with is experience and stats, should be able to make those adjustments?  
No. His Offensive coaches never had to deal with that issue consistently, and did virtually nothing effective to adjust, until they hired Wilson. 
You all forget, defenses have caught up with the zone read. It's not like his freshman year where that was unstoppable and he only needed to pass 10-12 times a game.
It wasn't until Late last season that teams started this tactic.  
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Roaddawg on October 24, 2017, 08:44:47 PM
No. His Offensive coaches never had to deal with that issue consistently, and did virtually nothing effective to adjust, until they hired Wilson.
You all forget, defenses have caught up with the zone read. It's not like his freshman year where that was unstoppable and he only needed to pass 10-12 times a game.
It wasn't until Late last season that teams started this tactic.  
No, I think everyone is well aware that defensive units have rapidly caught up to the zone read, I think that is why a lot of folks have been on Urban the last few years to mix things up-which he does at times, but seems to fall back to his zone read stubbornness.  Last season, I will give you the coaching, this season-the ONLY coach I blame is the head coach. 
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Honestbuckeye on October 24, 2017, 08:47:06 PM
No, I think everyone is well aware that defensive units have rapidly caught up to the zone read, I think that is why a lot of folks have been on Urban the last few years to mix things up-which he does at times, but seems to fall back to his zone read stubbornness.  Last season, I will give you the coaching, this season-the ONLY coach I blame is the head coach.  
I am confused at what your blaming him for? For having the leading offense in the Big? 
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: MrNubbz on October 24, 2017, 08:50:22 PM
Yeah, let's turn over to a guy that was great in HS.  

Barrett is far from perfect, but he has won way more big games then he has lost, leads the conference in QBR, TDs, least interceptions, yards per pass, and is 2nd in total yards.  
But I will take your word for it, as opposed to Meyer's and Wilsons.    LOL.
We don't know he's Wilson's pick he's playing who he's told.Last year was not High School Burrow went 22-28 vs the same cup cakes Barrett fattened his stats against.Actually leading receivers and throwing into tight windows and stretching the field.That opens things up keeping a defense honest.Cardale Jones never sniffed a snap until Urban ran out of options.How did that work out ?
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Honestbuckeye on October 24, 2017, 08:55:49 PM
We don't know he's Wilson's pick he's playing who he's told.Last year was not High School Burrow went 22-28 vs the same cup cakes Barrett fattened his stats against.Actually leading receivers and throwing into tight windows and stretching the field.That opens things up keeping a defense honest.Cardale Jones never sniffed a snap until Urban ran out of options.How did that work out ?
In 2015, with no deep threat, the cardale experiment didn't work out well at all. It was great when Urban was forced to go to a Pro- style offense, and Use Zeke to bring the safeties up, and Smith to get deep.  But once everybody knew that plan, Barrett was clearly the better choice. 
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: MrNubbz on October 24, 2017, 09:07:15 PM
In 2015, with no deep threat, the cardale experiment didn't work out well at all. It was great when Urban was forced to go to a Pro- style offense, and Use Zeke to bring the safeties up, and Smith to get deep.  But once everybody knew that plan, Barrett was clearly the better choice.
2015 they had plenty of deep threats.Corey Smith/Noah Brown/Jalen Marshall last but not least Michael Thomas(who led all NFL rookie receivers in receptions and ydg last year)Problem was Cardale's play had regressed - just like JT's has since 2014.Dinking & dunking vs over matched opponents doesn't work vs the Big Boys
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Honestbuckeye on October 24, 2017, 09:23:59 PM
2015 they had plenty of deep threats.Corey Smith/Noah Brown/Jalen Marshall last but not least Michael Thomas(who led all NFL rookie receivers in receptions and ydg last year)Problem was Cardale's play had regressed - just like JT's has since 2014.Dinking & dunking vs over matched opponents doesn't work vs the Big Boys
Agree about the dinking and dunking  and dunking.   That has nothing to do with Barrett.  
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: MrNubbz on October 24, 2017, 09:41:28 PM
It most certainly does he's not going deep.Not with any degree of  authority when he does.Like when Noah Brown has to pick a ball off the DB's back.And JT did not beat Michigan last year the defense and Wilton Speight did.The point stands whether it's arm strength or confidence he hasn't been good in tight games vs top opponents.However I'm looking forward to a face full of humble pie if he can serve it up
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Honestbuckeye on October 25, 2017, 06:56:51 AM
It most certainly does he's not going deep.Not with any degree of  authority when he does.Like when Noah Brown has to pick a ball off the DB's back.And JT did not beat Michigan last year the defense and Wilton Speight did.The point stands whether it's arm strength or confidence he hasn't been good in tight games vs top opponents.However I'm looking forward to a face full of humble pie if he can serve it up
The facts say otherwise, for a guy with an amazingly good record against ranked opponents- who is the highest rated QB in the conference, one of the top in the nation, and the greatest TD maker in the history of Big Ten football.  But you go ahead with your beliefs-  as funny as they are.
I suppose if he puts up 35 Saturday, but the Lions put up 38- you will blame him because the facts won't get in the way of your narrative.  
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: bayareabadger on October 25, 2017, 09:44:13 AM
No, I think everyone is well aware that defensive units have rapidly caught up to the zone read, I think that is why a lot of folks have been on Urban the last few years to mix things up-which he does at times, but seems to fall back to his zone read stubbornness.  Last season, I will give you the coaching, this season-the ONLY coach I blame is the head coach.  
If everyone is aware of this, they don't understand football, or offense, or what the zone read actually is (an elegant solution to a longtime problem). If everyone caught up, it wouldn't be part of 70-plus percent of college offenses. It's status as magical, wonder-play was mostly overstated, and its "demise" has been the same. 
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 25, 2017, 09:52:41 AM
I've been watching this running debate between RD and HB with interest.  I think I fall somewhere between the two of them.  

Just how good is Ohio State's offense?  
With the exception of the Oklahoma game, the Buckeyes have scored more points against each of their opponents than those opponents have given up in any of their games:

I brought up comparative performances because obviously a good deal of Ohio State's recent offensive performance has been helped by playing weak opposition.  Using comparative performances negates that issue and suggests that Ohio State's offense is very good and that the Oklahoma game was simply a bad day.  Bad days happen.  Upsets happen.  The best team doesn't always win.  

That is one way to look at it and, I think, strongly supports HB's argument that this is a very good offense.  

It would be easy to look at the offense other than against Oklahoma and just assume that the OU disaster was a fluke but I'm not ready to do that because I haven't seen Ohio State's offense look good against a competent defense in a long time.  
Against OU:
Against Clemson:
Against Michigan:
Against Michigan State:

Ordinarily an offense that is one of the best against bad defenses will also be one of the best against good defenses.  However, that is not always the case.  Some offenses are REALLY good at beating the tar out of bad defenses without being correspondingly good against good defenses.  That is what I am worried about.  Maybe Ohio State is simply REALLY good at embarrassing bad defenses.  It has been a long time since we have seen Ohio State's offense look good against a good defense and I'm not going to assume it will happen.  I'll believe it when I see it.  
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: ELA on October 25, 2017, 09:56:28 AM
If everyone is aware of this, they don't understand football, or offense, or what the zone read actually is (an elegant solution to a longtime problem). If everyone caught up, it wouldn't be part of 70-plus percent of college offenses. It's status as magical, wonder-play was mostly overstated, and its "demise" has been the same.
And until refs call illegal men downfield with any level of consistency, the RPO as a part of it will continue to exist.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: bayareabadger on October 25, 2017, 10:00:05 AM
Stop it RD or you'll have to answer to HB.Barrett has lost his mojo and I really hope I eat crow but it's maddening.We've seen him mop the floor vs competition he should but shrinks on the big stage.Joe Burrow went 22-28 in 2016 vs same players and lead receivers and in tight windows.Burrow  threw for 11,400 yds in HS.I really,really hope the 2014 JTB shows up.The Coordinator/lineman/Receivers have turned over just Urbs & JT left to answer - hope they show up big
So that this point, we can agree the point is academic. If there was to be a change, it would have had to happen several games ago. Throwing out a first-time starter against PSU's defense is not a smart idea in 99 percent of spots (Cardale is the other percent).

When push comes to shove, chances are Burrow or Haskins will not be as good a college football player as JT was, just because JT was really, really good. If those guys are that good and ace passers, they'll win titles, as OSU's surrounding talent shows no sign of falling. And we probably won't be looking back after the titles and lamenting that one title that didn't happen. It's also interesting the pattern. Braxton was up and coming, but people tired of his passing (same as Pryor). JT set the world on fire, then Cardale. But then we got used to Jones, and he was persona non grata. They clamored for JT, got him, and now tire of him as well. Perhaps it's a weird pattern. Perhaps QBs start promising and regress. Or perhaps it's part of the human condition, we see the good early when there's promise early, then harp on the bad when it doesn't change and gets more damming in our eyes.

The best argument against is that Urban lost the most talented player he ever coached in part because he stuck with one of the best players the sport has ever seen. It's a weird one to thing about.

(And this HS stats stuff, it seems silly. Kid played small-school ball. Looking at the numbers, I'm not sure he played in a division with schools larger than 700 or 800 kids, and that's generous. JT is the top career passer in OSU history and if healthy/playing, the top 10 is within reach. HS numbers, that stuff)
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: bayareabadger on October 25, 2017, 10:02:29 AM
And until refs call illegal men downfield with any level of consistency, the RPO as a part of it will continue to exist.
RPOs and zone read have just about nothing to do with one another. Their adoptions came in separate waves and are for the most part schematically distinct. One could argue they are similar in that they can be construed as tags on the back side of plays, but that's a wide category that encompasses a ton of football tactics. 
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: MaximumSam on October 25, 2017, 10:14:56 AM
Also the NFL with their 1 yard rule is quickly adopting RPO's too.  Many (most?) RPO's are pretty quick slants on the pass option so it doesn't matter a ton what the rule is.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: ELA on October 25, 2017, 10:40:26 AM
RPOs and zone read have just about nothing to do with one another. Their adoptions came in separate waves and are for the most part schematically distinct. One could argue they are similar in that they can be construed as tags on the back side of plays, but that's a wide category that encompasses a ton of football tactics.
They have plenty to do with the type of quarterbacks teams build their systems around
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: ELA on October 25, 2017, 10:41:25 AM
Also the NFL with their 1 yard rule is quickly adopting RPO's too.  Many (most?) RPO's are pretty quick slants on the pass option so it doesn't matter a ton what the rule is.
I definitely agree as far as the NFL goes.  Defense are too fast for the longer developing option routes.  College seems to still miss the call plenty.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: ELA on October 25, 2017, 10:49:58 AM
Either way, I'm speaking more to the pop pass, which is really just a second read off the read option, as used most notably by Auburn, but grew pretty heavily a couple years ago until the NCAA decided to start enforcing the rule at least a little.

Speaking of illegal men downfield, I've never understood why the NFL doesn't adopt the NCAA exception for passes behind the line of scrimmage.  A well executed screen pass is one of the most exciting plays, and the NFL just says, nah.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: bayareabadger on October 25, 2017, 10:50:18 AM

It would be easy to look at the offense other than against Oklahoma and just assume that the OU disaster was a fluke but I'm not ready to do that because I haven't seen Ohio State's offense look good against a competent defense in a long time.  
Against OU:
  • 19/35 passing for 183 yards (9.6 per completion, 5.2 per attempt), 0TD, 1INT
  • 34 rushes for 167 yards (4.9 per), 1 TD.  Dobbins (13 for 72) and Weber (3 for 29) averaged 5.5 and 9.7 per carry which is great but the problem was that they combined for only 16 carries while Barrett got 18.  Barrett's carries were much less effective gaining only 66 yards on his 18 carries (3.7 per)
Against Clemson:
  • 19 of 33 passing for 127 yards (6.7 per completion, 3.8 per attempt), 0TD, 2INT
  • 23 rushes for 88 yards (3.8 per), 0TD.  Like the Oklahoma game, the RB's actually did ok.  Samuel had 6 carries for 67 yards and Weber had 5 for 24.  Samuel's 64 yard scamper accounts for about 3/4 of the yardage but the bigger issue is that Barrett got as many carries (11) as the two RB's combined and had negative yardage.  
Against Michigan:
  • 15/32 passing for 124 yards (8.3 per completion, 3.9 per attempt), 0TD, 1INT
  • 50 rushes for 206 yards (4.1 per), 3TD.  Once again, Barrett got the bulk of the carries (30 of 50).  
Against Michigan State:
  • 10 of 22 passing for 86 yards (8.6 per completion, 3.9 per attempt), 1TD, 0INT
  • 45 rushes for 224 yards (5.0 per), 1TD.  Once again, Barrett got the bulk of the carries (24 of 45) despite the presence of a RB who was doing better (Weber had 14 carries for 111 yards

Ordinarily an offense that is one of the best against bad defenses will also be one of the best against good defenses.  However, that is not always the case.  Some offenses are REALLY good at beating the tar out of bad defenses without being correspondingly good against good defenses.  That is what I am worried about.  Maybe Ohio State is simply REALLY good at embarrassing bad defenses.  It has been a long time since we have seen Ohio State's offense look good against a good defense and I'm not going to assume it will happen.  I'll believe it when I see it.  
So here's the thing, that list is a compilation of big name teams with recent success. But that's not a list of competent defenses. 

Here's where those defenses rank
Oklahoma: 85
Clemson: 6
Michigan: 2
MSU: 41

That MSU one is worse than the Nebraska defense OSU savaged (33rd) two games earlier. Right now the IU defense OSU was OK against for a half and then destroyed in the final two quarters is No. 20. 

This is all to say, the collection of performances above is less about "competent defenses," and more about days where OSU's offense didn't look good. And yes, four days they didn't look good don't look good. Four such games in the past 10 is not ideal, though there were some circumstances in two. Just thought it worth clarifying. Things are quite THAT bad, while not being as good as many hope. 
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: TresselownsUM on October 25, 2017, 02:23:32 PM
Max,

I get the nerd alert on "why" throw those quick hitters on the outside, but I guess maybe my point was we just over rely and or don't do it well enough. It's what got Paris Campbell killed, and I've seen us get so many negative plays on it. Good CB's eat that up. And with the downfield passing attack the Bucks have shown lately, it's not keep good CBs on their heels, they are just flying up and killing our WRs b/c there's been no threat to offset it.

Now that's changed the past few weeks, but if I'm Penn St, I go and kill that WR screen play and see what happens.

I'd much rather see Dobbins or Weber get a sideline pass and spread it out that way vs what we've run in the past.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: TresselownsUM on October 25, 2017, 02:25:38 PM
early forecast is for some pretty crappy weather in Columbus. that will most likely put a damper on gameday festivities.

I'm not totally sure who that favors. Might make it easier for OSU to focus on stopping Barkley run if the wind/rain eliminates some of the passing game.

Meanwhile OSU runs JK, Weber, Barrett all equally, maybe that's a slight edge vs Barkley the best overall runner on the field? maybe a push, not sure.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 25, 2017, 02:32:11 PM
So here's the thing, that list is a compilation of big name teams with recent success. But that's not a list of competent defenses.

Here's where those defenses rank
Oklahoma: 85
Clemson: 6
Michigan: 2
MSU: 41

That MSU one is worse than the Nebraska defense OSU savaged (33rd) two games earlier. Right now the IU defense OSU was OK against for a half and then destroyed in the final two quarters is No. 20.

This is all to say, the collection of performances above is less about "competent defenses," and more about days where OSU's offense didn't look good. And yes, four days they didn't look good don't look good. Four such games in the past 10 is not ideal, though there were some circumstances in two. Just thought it worth clarifying. Things are quite THAT bad, while not being as good as many hope.
IIRC the MSU game was played in terrible weather so that might explain a lot of that one.  OTOH, MSU's offense had to play in the same weather and they won.  
Of the other three, OU is the obvious outlier.  I don't like my team's offense being crappy against top-6 defenses but I do understand it.  Being crappy against a defense ranked #85 is another thing entirely.  That is a lot more troubling.  
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Geolion91 on October 25, 2017, 02:41:07 PM
early forecast is for some pretty crappy weather in Columbus. that will most likely put a damper on gameday festivities.

I'm not totally sure who that favors. Might make it easier for OSU to focus on stopping Barkley run if the wind/rain eliminates some of the passing game.

Meanwhile OSU runs JK, Weber, Barrett all equally, maybe that's a slight edge vs Barkley the best overall runner on the field? maybe a push, not sure.
McSorley isn't a bad runner, either.  I think rain ends up being a push, hard cuts are tougher in wet conditions, but harder on defenses that have to react to those cuts.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: MrNubbz on October 25, 2017, 03:31:32 PM
So that this point, we can agree the point is academic. If there was to be a change, it would have had to happen several games ago. Throwing out a first-time starter against PSU's defense is not a smart idea in 99 percent of spots (Cardale is the other percent).

When push comes to shove, chances are Burrow or Haskins will not be as good a college football player as JT was, just because JT was really, really good. If those guys are that good and ace passers, they'll win titles, as OSU's surrounding talent shows no sign of falling. And we probably won't be looking back after the titles and lamenting that one title that didn't happen. It's also interesting the pattern. Braxton was up and coming, but people tired of his passing (same as Pryor). JT set the world on fire, then Cardale. But then we got used to Jones, and he was persona non grata. They clamored for JT, got him, and now tire of him as well. Perhaps it's a weird pattern. Perhaps QBs start promising and regress. Or perhaps it's part of the human condition, we see the good early when there's promise early, then harp on the bad when it doesn't change and gets more damming in our eyes.

The best argument against is that Urban lost the most talented player he ever coached in part because he stuck with one of the best players the sport has ever seen. It's a weird one to thing about.
In JT's last 3 marquee matchups  his QBR  vs Michigan 38.2,vs Clemson 15.2,vs Ok 21.1.He waterboards the bottom feeders and stumbles against the studs.After the Clemson curb stomping Urban said things would change and there would be open competition.Yet after 3 pedestrian series in the spring game JT was awarded the starting position.Buckeye Boards were on fire - really.Working Haskins or Burrow in for specific situations was the popular preference.Didn't happen Urban stood by his pet project..Burrow did break his hand at the end of fall camp.It's healed now but only him & Haskins will stretch the field
Take a look

2016                                                                         2017                          


tOSU beat Rutgers 58-0                                                   56-0


" " " "  " " "Indy 38-17                                                        49-21


" " " " " " " Nebraska 62-3                                                   56-14


" " " " " " "Maryland 62-3                                                    62-14


For a total of        220-23                                                  223-48


Factoring in we lost to OU this season and won last where is this drastic difference ?.So why should one be confident - asking for a friend
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: ELA on October 25, 2017, 04:17:56 PM
By the time the whistle blew to end the game last week in Happy Valley, it became clear that the Big Ten's marquee regular season event would not wait until the final week of the season, but take place just a week later.  It's refreshing to hear Urban Meyer say of course revenge is a factor this week.  There's a difference between letting that help you, and letting it drive you, and so long as Meyer can make sure his players keep the Lion in the cage til kickoff, I think it will pay off.  The game last year changed the trajectory of James Franklins' program at Penn State.  It was in fairness the third game of what is now Penn State's 16 game regular season winning streak, but spiraling towards another middle of the pack finish and December bowl game, that was the game that turned the tides.  Ohio State had a 21-7 4th quarter lead, and was shutting Penn State's offense down.  By win probability, Ohio State entered the 4th quarter with a 97.2% chance to win.  Then the Nittany Lions got back to back 35 yard plays to cut it to 7.  Then a blocked punt set up a field goal.  And finally a blocked punt won the game.  Even still, Trace McSorley completed only 33% of his passes, for 154 yards, and they were entirely dependent on big plays, with 5 plays of over 20 yards, including 3 over 35, and still were outgained 413-276.  McSorley has become more comfortable in the offense since, and last week may have been his finest performance yet, and he picked apart the previously vaunted Michigan defense for 42 points.  Now Ohio State needs their "show me" game.  They had one chance, and Baker Mayfield ripped them apart, and put himself atop the Heisman list.  Since then they've been rolling everybody, but this is the first chance to prove it against real competition.  Penn State's offense has been great, but it's been the defense that's been the real surprise.  Is it for a real, or a product of the opposition?  The Nittany Lions rank 2nd in the Big Ten in scoring defense, and 4th in total defense, but their four opponents have been Iowa, Indiana, Northwestern and Michigan.  When Northwestern is the most statistically potent offense you've faced, questions are fair.  The Buckeye offense is a whole other monster, leading the conference in every major statistical category, by a wide margin.  55.8 ppg is 21 ppg better than #2 Penn State.  610.3 ypg is 150 ypg more than #2 Penn State.  281.8 rushing ypg is 40 ypg more than #2 Wisconsin.  328.5 passing ypg is 35 ypg more than #2 Penn State.  When a segment of the Ohio State fan base is still criticizing J.T. Barrett, as he leads the conference's top passing attack, while leading the conference in passing efficiency, and is 4th in the nation in Total QBR, it tells me things on offense must be going pretty well to get that nitpicky.
OHIO STATE 31, PENN STATE 30
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: MrNubbz on October 25, 2017, 04:38:40 PM
I'm holding you to it ELA and take my beating from HB later
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Honestbuckeye on October 25, 2017, 04:55:19 PM
I'm holding you to it ELA and take my beating from HB later
HAHA. No beatings Mr. Nubbz.
If I had to guess- it will be a super game and PSU pulls it out.   Barrett will not be a star, but against this, how many QBs would be: (from Eleven Warriors)


    -     Penn State sent extra rushers on 62% of first down plays (https://pennstate.247sports.com/Article/Penn-State-football-Tale-of-the-Tape-Defense-vs-Michigan-109332052) versus Michigan.
       

        Sometimes the better thing to do against that is actually to run the QB. Sometimes. But If the play calling does its job, which is to keep the defense honest, JT will be as OK as any QB would be against that.

Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 25, 2017, 05:38:44 PM
I think Nubbz makes a good point, specifically:

The Ohio State offense has been no better this year against bad teams than it was last year and we all know how that turned out.  

The question is this:  Is Ohio State's offense actually really good, or are they just unusually good at destroying overmatched opponents like they were last year?
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: bayareabadger on October 25, 2017, 07:38:18 PM
They have plenty to do with the type of quarterbacks teams build their systems around
Am I reading this correctly that the implication is the rash of mobile, lower-ceilinged passing QBs is a problem for the sport?
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: ELA on October 25, 2017, 07:50:08 PM
No, Im not saying it's a problem, aside from the refs not calling the rule correctly.  But I do think the RPO, particularly on those pop passes has extended the life of those types of QBs, along with the 3 yard rule, even if correctly called has extended the life of those style QBs in the college game, for better or worse.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: bayareabadger on October 25, 2017, 08:10:17 PM
In JT's last 3 marquee matchups  his QBR  vs Michigan 38.2,vs Clemson 15.2,vs Ok 21.1.He waterboards the bottom feeders and stumbles against the studs.After the Clemson curb stomping Urban said things would change and there would be open competition.Yet after 3 pedestrian series in the spring game JT was awarded the starting position.Buckeye Boards were on fire - really.Working Haskins or Burrow in for specific situations was the popular preference.Didn't happen Urban stood by his pet project..Burrow did break his hand at the end of fall camp.It's healed now but only him & Haskins will stretch the field
Take a look

2016                                                                         2017                          




tOSU beat Rutgers 58-0                                                   56-0




" " " "  " " "Indy 38-17                                                        49-21




" " " " " " " Nebraska 62-3                                                   56-14




" " " " " " "Maryland 62-3                                                    62-14




For a total of        220-23                                                  223-48




Factoring in we lost to OU this season and won last where is this drastic difference ?.So why should one be confident - asking for a friend


I'll try to hit all the points, so this will be disjointed. 

Three marquee matchups: This is true, and he might eat it Saturday. But CFB is a sport of small samples and if he has two good ones in a row, y'all are back in the playoff. They're bad, but not rending of garments bad.

Spring game: Spring practices are 15 or so practices. Three series does not a performance make. Maybe Burrow was beating JT the whole time, but spring games don't mean much. 

Rotating QBs: Not a lot of folks do it. Maybe it works. I dunno. I know sating angry people who are not very expert is not a way to run things. It's also weird calling JT a "pet project." He is by any measure a very good football player. Is he 99th percentile great? Probably not. But he's probably at least 90th percentile. 

Stretching the field: Do we know they can? Neither has faced a defense JT couldn't whip. I'm not going to dig deep to start analyzing exactly how good the passes against overmatched defenses looked. If someone can point me to a compilation, I'd love to. 

You last asked about being confident looking back a year, and push comes to shove, I'm not telling you that you should be. But if the answer is punting Saturday, then have at I guess, but don't expect a coach will do it. If OSU's defense holds, do you trust a novice over JT to not lose you the game with mistakes? Probably not. If PSU is scoring, chances are the stop-and-start of a first-year guy isn't getting it done. Maybe in some unlikely world, you get the glory of 59-0, but much like every inside zone can go the distance, you're not counting on it doing so. 

(Look at Clemson for this. Kelly Bryant is fine. His backup was a top-250 player. His backup was bad, bad, bad at Syracuse. New isn't always better, and there's often, but not all the time, a reason starters start)
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Geolion91 on October 26, 2017, 08:18:40 AM
Nice write-up, ELA.  You made one mistake, the game winning TD last year was on a blocked FG, not a punt.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: PSUinNC on October 26, 2017, 08:41:30 AM
For the first time in maybe 20 years (1996 or so), I am actually confident in my Nits going into the Shoe.  One thing I am certain of is that this team will not be intimidated by the aura and hostilities that this venerable atmosphere presents.  

31-24 Penn State.  
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: PSUinNC on October 26, 2017, 08:43:30 AM
HAHA. No beatings Mr. Nubbz.
If I had to guess- it will be a super game and PSU pulls it out.   Barrett will not be a star, but against this, how many QBs would be: (from Eleven Warriors)


    -     Penn State sent extra rushers on 62% of first down plays (https://pennstate.247sports.com/Article/Penn-State-football-Tale-of-the-Tape-Defense-vs-Michigan-109332052) versus Michigan.
  • Michigan quarterback John O'Korn was sacked at least once on every second half possession.
  • Eight of 11 Michigan possessions featured at least one Penn State TFL.
  • Penn State sits No. 1 nationally at 3.54 sacks per game.
  • The Nittany Lions rank No. 8 nationally with 8.15 TFL per game.
     

        Sometimes the better thing to do against that is actually to run the QB. Sometimes. But If the play calling does its job, which is to keep the defense honest, JT will be as OK as any QB would be against that.


I firmly believe PSU will try and rely solely on its front 4 to get pressure and maintain/contain Barrett (which may or may not work given OSU's talented OL).  I think they will force him to win the game with his arm.  They may run blitz, but I don't see Pry making a gameplan that sends 5-6 guys and lets JT just step up and make plays with his legs.  
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Honestbuckeye on October 26, 2017, 09:51:28 AM
I firmly believe PSU will try and rely solely on its front 4 to get pressure and maintain/contain Barrett (which may or may not work given OSU's talented OL).  I think they will force him to win the game with his arm.  They may run blitz, but I don't see Pry making a gameplan that sends 5-6 guys and lets JT just step up and make plays with his legs.  
Probably true, and if true, a departure from their tendency. PSU defense has been predicated on winning first down by bringing pressure. They work to get theopponent behind schedule on early downs.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Geolion91 on October 26, 2017, 09:52:12 AM
I agree.  Pry is going to have to keep the LB's behind the DL to contain Barrett.  He may even keep someone like Farmer behind the line to spy Barrett.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Geolion91 on October 26, 2017, 09:53:27 AM
Probably true, and if true, a departure from their tendency. PSU defense has been predicated on winning first down by bringing pressure. They work to get theopponent behind schedule on early downs.
I would still expect some blitzes, but probably fewer than typical.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 26, 2017, 09:57:03 AM
For the first time in maybe 20 years (1996 or so), I am actually confident in my Nits going into the Shoe.  
I was at that game and I hope this one turns out like that one!  My dad and I got tickets and took my brother for his 16th birthday.  It was supposed to be a great game.  The Buckeyes were #3 and the Nittany Lions #4.  Ohio State was 3-0 and coming off of beating the previously undefeated Irish in South Bend.  Penn State was 5-0.  The game was a complete dud.  LA Times article on it (http://articles.latimes.com/1996-10-06/sports/sp-51247_1_ohio-state).  
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: PSUinNC on October 26, 2017, 10:08:09 AM
Probably true, and if true, a departure from their tendency. PSU defense has been predicated on winning first down by bringing pressure. They work to get theopponent behind schedule on early downs.
Correct, PSU's defensive success is predicated on forcing long 2nd and 3rd downs, but I think they'll have to achieve that in a different way than rushing 6 automatically.
PSU will definitely show wrinkles on defense that OSU doesn't have on film, I'm positive of that.  
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: MaximumSam on October 26, 2017, 12:14:42 PM
The focus has been on whether OSU's offense is for real.  I think the bigger question is whether PSU's defense is for real.  They've been solid, but by S+P have faced the following offense by rank:

Akron: 112
Pitt: 80
Georgia State: 113
Iowa: 91
Indiana: 106
Northwestern: 92
Michigan: 85

OSU is currently ranked #2, and I think will challenge PSU in a lot of ways.  I know weather may come, but I'm going to be surprised if both teams don't score a lot of points.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: TresselownsUM on October 26, 2017, 04:12:59 PM
interesting sam,

I think PSU had 7 tackles for loss against UM? But UM really has not had a serious passing threat for weeks.

I know everyone is talking about JT, but I'm more interested in the OSU WR's and TE's. They dropped some big passes against OU.

Will they block well on the outside to help spring a big JK or Weber run? Will they run the correct routes, make the right reads on a blitz etc.

I'm still not really sold on this collection, Dixon has probably impressed me the most lately, I'm still not sure there's a "go to guy" on this squad.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: TyphonInc on October 26, 2017, 05:03:36 PM
The 3 predictions I found on ESPN all had the Lions winning.  :16:
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Honestbuckeye on October 26, 2017, 05:49:51 PM
Correct, PSU's defensive success is predicated on forcing long 2nd and 3rd downs, but I think they'll have to achieve that in a different way than rushing 6 automatically.
PSU will definitely show wrinkles on defense that OSU doesn't have on film, I'm positive of that.  
Every team shows new wrinkles against OSU.   That's just the deal.  
My curiosity for this game, and the thing that it turns on, is the Buckee defense. 
PSU has so much weaponry between ,Barkley, McSorley, Gisecki and Hamilton.
Your not going to shut them down.   But can you slow them down?
My bet is, not enough. PSU has confidence and momentum, so does OSU.  But I sense an institutional, embedded hunger from PSU that can't be faked, duplicated or manufactured.  It is these non-physical, non Xs and Os that tend to be the difference. 
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: TyphonInc on October 26, 2017, 08:42:11 PM
The 3 predictions I found on ESPN all had the Lions winning.  :16:
WTF?!?! I didn't add a shopping link to my post. "Lions winning." was underlined like a link, and lead to a Nordstroms site to purchase a Lion Baby book????
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 27, 2017, 04:51:24 PM
Ten years ago today my dad, brother, and I traveled to Happy Valley for the 2007 tOSU/PSU game.  We got our picture with the JoPa statue and got to see the legend in his own environment.  

We also got to see the Buckeyes dominate the Lions in a game in which Ohio State never punted and won easily.  
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: MaximumSam on October 27, 2017, 08:51:50 PM
Thinking back, I was at the 2002 OSU-PSU game, where Chris Gamble got the INT TD return that won the game.  I was sitting in good seats, but far away from his return, so I had no idea what was happening other than everyone was cheering.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: MrNubbz on October 28, 2017, 01:04:43 AM
Oh don't give me that far away crap.You were smashed
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: MarqHusker on October 28, 2017, 01:08:16 AM
I keep thinking the point spread is a misprint.   I like Urban
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: MaximumSam on October 28, 2017, 07:43:20 AM
Oh don't give me that far away crap.You were smashed
Well you know it was law school I was frequently smashed
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: FearlessF on October 28, 2017, 09:19:44 AM
I keep thinking the point spread is a misprint.   I like Urban
ed zachery
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: TyphonInc on October 28, 2017, 09:54:54 PM
O M Goodness! What a game.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Mdot21 on October 28, 2017, 10:54:28 PM
Barkley had a huge 1st half. Kinda disappeared in the 2nd.

JT put OSU on his back in that 2nd half. Or arm I should say. JT showed up BIG TIME in the 2nd half. Barkley didn't. That's the difference in the game to me. OSU's best player on offense showed up in the clutch. Penn State's didn't. 
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Hawkinole on October 29, 2017, 01:51:32 AM
We have two outstanding teams in the Big Ten, and others that are incomplete, but competitive.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: bayareabadger on October 29, 2017, 08:59:34 AM
Man, just imagine what those backups who've only seen garbage time could've done. :)

In some ways, this feels like the MSU game in 2014. Crushing garbage "doesn't impress" but it's an indicator of something. I'm not going to lie, in most spots I would have been rooting for PSU because I like the change up. But seeing Barrett, he of the "big game failures" who "can't beat good defenses," lead a comeback from down 18 (15 at the start of the fourth) brings a warmth to my heart.

I guess I would've been OK in both cases, since it was an over-criticized QB vs. a coach who once faced the same thing.

(I'm sorry I'm hammering on something like this, but JT is really one of the most accomplished players in the history of a great program, and it always seems weird to see folks want to toss him off like last month's magazine)
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: TresselownsUM on October 29, 2017, 09:45:05 AM
Bravo JT , Bravo 
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: TresselownsUM on October 29, 2017, 09:57:16 AM
phenomenal 4th quarter

1) going in, tons of talk about how Ohio States offense beefed up on cupcakes and wasn't for real. but it actually turns out the Penn St defense beefed up it's stats on weak offenses and was exposed on Saturday. 529 total yard of offense for the Buckeyes, the only thing that stopped them was self inflicted fumbles, dropped passes, false start penalties. Without those they probably could have scored 50 points. 
2) Barkley is still a beast, but other than the 30yardish run for a TD he was completely ineffective. 44 yards on 21 carries. He's still going to New York, i'm just not sure he's carrying the trophy away. crazy how much 1 quarter can change that, because at halftime I had all but given him the trophy. 
3) I gotta give James Franklin credit, I truly believe he outcoached Urban in this game. Ohio State was abused in special teams, PSU took advantage of some short fields and what I think was a pretty questionable PI call against Arnette/Webb for a TD. Every time OSU made a mistake, PSU capitalized. Urban needs to give JT a big sloppy kiss today, he saved his butt from a lot of 2nd guessing. 
4) Max/Sam. Did I not say before the game the sideways WR screen passes would be killed in this game? If I never see a sideways pass again from OSU I won't be upset. I felt like there were roughly 7 for a total of -11 yards. 
5) JT Barret, what a game. 33-39 passing and I think he had at least 3 drops on very catchable balls from WRs. 95 more yards on the ground. This was the 2014 MSU game all over, he completely dominated and I think now is staring down his 3rd consecutive silver football trophy. unbelievable game, what a career as well.
6) The Buckeye defense is for real. You don't normally say that after giving up 38 points, but they held Barkely in check, gave up less than 100 yards rushing and less than 200 passing to what I think is a very electric PSU offense. they have a couple of interception calls not go their way, mcsorely really hurt them with his feet. but overall outstanding performance.
7) ironically, was PSU just 1 punt away from winning this game? that blocked punt sparked this team, and if it's not blocked I'm not sure OSU has enough time to make the comeback. they scored I think 3 plays after that. for as bad as the OSU special teams were, there was the 1 bright spot on special teams all night.  
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: MaximumSam on October 29, 2017, 10:01:11 AM
Man, just imagine what those backups who've only seen garbage time could've done. :)

In some ways, this feels like the MSU game in 2014. Crushing garbage "doesn't impress" but it's an indicator of something. I'm not going to lie, in most spots I would have been rooting for PSU because I like the change up. But seeing Barrett, he of the "big game failures" who "can't beat good defenses," lead a comeback from down 18 (15 at the start of the fourth) brings a warmth to my heart.

I guess I would've been OK in both cases, since it was an over-criticized QB vs. a coach who once faced the same thing.

(I'm sorry I'm hammering on something like this, but JT is really one of the most accomplished players in the history of a great program, and it always seems weird to see folks want to toss him off like last month's magazine)
All facts. 
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: MaximumSam on October 29, 2017, 10:08:57 AM

4) Max/Sam. Did I not say before the game the sideways WR screen passes would be killed in this game? If I never see a sideways pass again from OSU I won't be upset. I felt like there were roughly 7 for a total of -11 yards.

They were getting killed on them BUT:
Go back and look at the game winning play.  The running back and a wide receiver set up like they might get a screen pass.  The linebacker hesitates - should he be running to them?  And as he hesitates Baugh runs past him and JT pitches a touchdown pass.  OSU screens are run with one purpose - to get the other team's back seven thinking about running themselves out of the middle of the field.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Honestbuckeye on October 29, 2017, 10:33:07 AM
They were getting killed on them BUT:
Go back and look at the game winning play.  The running back and a wide receiver set up like they might get a screen pass.  The linebacker hesitates - should he be running to them?  And as he hesitates Baugh runs past him and JT pitches a touchdown pass.  OSU screens are run with one purpose - to get the other team's back seven thinking about running themselves out of the middle of the field.
Well close.  They actually gained 6-12 yards on 4 or 5 of them.
For an offensive coordinator they serve 3 distinct purpose:
1. It is considered an extension of your running game. The defense has to put people out there to account for it, and it is relatively safe
2. It puts your best athletes out in space immediately allowing the potential for big plays. See Paris Cambell who has taken several for 30-40 yards and one for a long TD.
3. Bingo Sam. The game winning TD happened because the LB and DB over there had to respect it..they both took their first step over that way which allowed Baugh to slip behind them.
It cracks me up that the offense is popping 500 yards a game, and that is a part of why.
It clearly creates space around the box for the backs, and eventually leads to vertical opportunities- yet we stil, question it.  It created the wide open Dixon play that almost went for a TD- one one of the few passes JT under threw.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: MrNubbz on October 29, 2017, 11:21:15 AM
(I'm sorry I'm hammering on something like this, but JT is really one of the most accomplished players in the history of a great program, and it always seems weird to see folks want to toss him off like last month's magazine)
Never wanted to bench him wanted to get some relief for specific situations.There were plenty of times he appeared opposite of last nite.Against UM/Clem/OU he had 0 TD's & 4 int's.Since OU Day & Wilson seemed to have eliminated the hesitation & yips.He got his groove back and it's paid off,he looks like 2014.Hope it continues
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on October 29, 2017, 11:57:24 AM
OSU fans did nothing but crap on JT Barrett this whole year.  Now he's good again, after one game.  C'mon guys.  

What I said a month ago still holds true, looking at the stats, the case for Barrett being the best QB in B10 history is a very easy one.  True today, true 2 days ago.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: TyphonInc on October 29, 2017, 12:22:02 PM
This did have the feel of poetic justice from last year:
'16 OSU takes a 1st half lead on Special teams / '17 PSU takes 1st half lead off special teams.
'16 PSU comes back off 2 great special tems plays / '17 OSU starts come back off blocked punt.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Mdot21 on October 29, 2017, 12:24:05 PM
OSU fans did nothing but crap on JT Barrett this whole year.  Now he's good again, after one game.  C'mon guys.  

What I said a month ago still holds true, looking at the stats, the case for Barrett being the best QB in B10 history is a very easy one.  True today, true 2 days ago.
JT is great, and I never got the OSU fan base ragging on him, but stats don't tell the entire story. 


I don't think he was better than Brees. Or Kerry Collins. Or Jeff George. Or Troy Smith. Pretty close to most of those guys, but not better. 

And call me a homer all you want but the Drew Henson I saw start those 8-9 games as a Jr was the best I've ever seen a B1G QB. His best was better than anyone in the conference I've ever seen play QB. That guy literally had it all. You want to talk about the next Elway? Forget Andrew Luck. It was Drew Henson. He would've been the #1 pick in the NFL draft had his headcase of a father hadn't pressured him to quit football and sign a huge contract with the Yankees. He was a great baseball prospect obviously. He was an otherworldly NFL QB prospect though. 6'4, 230 ran a legit 4.6- that boy could really run and he just had ridiculous arm strength but he knew how to use it. Threw that ball with great natural touch and accuracy but also just had that cannon and could use it when appropriate. He wasn't one of those big armed QBs who threw everything 100mph. 

JT is great but I think it's silly to call him easily the best QB in B1G history. 
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on October 29, 2017, 12:39:46 PM
I didn't call him easily the best QB in B1G history, I said the statistical case was easy.  

He just passed Brees in some stat.  Plus the rushing numbers.  Stats don't tell us everything, but they happened on the field.  Plus part of the whole point is that the B1G hasn't had very impressive QBs in its history, statistically speaking.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: TresselownsUM on October 30, 2017, 08:15:18 AM
3. Bingo Sam. The game winning TD happened because the LB and DB over there had to respect it..they both took their first step over that way which allowed Baugh to slip behind them.
It cracks me up that the offense is popping 500 yards a game, and that is a part of why.
It clearly creates space around the box for the backs, and eventually leads to vertical opportunities- yet we stil, question it.  It created the wide open Dixon play that almost went for a TD- one one of the few passes JT under threw.


I question it, because it almost cost us the game, and it clearly contributed to us being down 21-3 and 28-10. I don't argue that it sets up other plays, but it ruined at least 2 series in the first half because it put us at 2-and-15 or so which we couldn't overcome. you can run that against the Maryland's of the world, but against top 10 competition it's dumb, to run that much.

meanwhile you got JK Dobbins averaging 12.5 yards a carry in the first half and he gets 4 touches.

the first 3-4 series it was OU all over again, ultra conservative, no imagination and it put us in an 18 point hole that we almost didn't overcome.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Geolion91 on October 30, 2017, 08:16:13 AM
Barkley had nothing to work with in the second half.  The PSU o-line couldn't even slow down the D-line long enough for Barkley to receive the handoff and decide where to run.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: TresselownsUM on October 30, 2017, 08:30:25 AM
I've always liked JT, when he hasn't played well I think it's been more a combination of poor play calling and lack of experience around him in the O-line and WRs.

he's not the most physically gifted in terms of arm strength, he's a good runner but he's not blazing fast etc.

but the dude might go down as one of the best leaders in conference history, definitely a gamer. it's gotta take a guy with a lot of confidence and big stones to take all the crap he's received and come out and just shove it up everyone's arse.

best qb's in conference history?
in no particular order Brees, R Wilson (albeit 1 season), K Collins, Griese, I think JT is getting very close to Troy though, with or without the Heisman trophy. Troy was good his Soph and Jr seasons, but not great. Then he had the monster senior year.

JT was great his freshman year, good but not great his Soph/JR years and looking great again this year. 31 TDS (25 passing) and 1 pick. 270 yds passing/game this year. that's nuts.

I didn't see Chuck Long play, but what about antwan randle el, that guy was a beast and made a bad team decent.  
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: TresselownsUM on October 30, 2017, 09:24:06 AM
anyone else starting to question Urban's game management? Don't freak out ,I'm not saying the dude's not a good coach, he's probably tied for 2nd with Dabo behind Saban.

but, a lot of weird decisions. Kicking off to Barkley, then 8 more kickoffs where we don't know if we should pooch it, squib it etc. The last kickoff was possibly the worst, allowing Penn St to have the ball on the 41 yard line.

Going for it on 4th-and-8 vs trying a FG.

Declining a hold which allowed PSU to get a first down on 2-and-10.

only running Dobbins 4 times in the first half. (Ala Zeke and Hyde games where he abandons the run)

I also thought it was strange to call timeout when hubbard had the amazing tackle on mcsorely/barkley. there were still 4 mins left at that point, with PSU facing 2nd and 17 or whatever. I would have thought holding those made more sense. you would have gotten the ball back with at least 2 1/2 mins and if you had a quick 3 and out it would have given you one more chance.

not sure what to think of his demeanor where he looks like he's going to vomit the entire first half. it plays well on TV, but I wonder if that's a good look for the team? guys might negatively feed off that.

I did think it was smart to move Arnette to cover the slot when Hamilton was there, even though he caught a TD. Although that's probably more of Schiano's decision.

and I did like both 2 point conversion tries, even though they didn't work.

Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: Geolion91 on October 30, 2017, 09:31:04 AM
The 2 pt tries were the smart move, but some of his decisions were head scratchers.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: MaximumSam on October 30, 2017, 09:40:32 AM
I thought the 4th 8 try was a little weird.  Though I imagine he was tired of his special teams.  I'm not sure why Dobbins missed some series.  Other than that, I thought he was great.  When there are no good options you can't criticize someone for taking the least bad option.  You can't simultaneously criticize him for kicking to Barkley and not kicking to Barkley.  
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: Mdot21 on October 30, 2017, 10:38:55 AM
anyone else starting to question Urban's game management? Don't freak out ,I'm not saying the dude's not a good coach, he's probably tied for 2nd with Dabo behind Saban.
Lmao. What!? You OSU fans are silly. On no planet is Dabo Swiney remotely on the same level as Urban Meyer. Meyer is tied with Saban for 1. I happen to think he's better than Saban. Saban is great. But 99% of his roster is blue chip recruits. Literally. There's only 85 scholarships. Something like 78 of them are 5* or 4* recruits. And he's signed by far more 5*'s than anyone. I understand that's a big part of being a college coach, and Urban is a great recruiter as well- but damn man. Saban stacks the roster deck unlike any coach in this modern era of CFB. 
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-0, 7-0) at #6 Ohio State (4-0, 6-1) Game Week
Post by: Mdot21 on October 30, 2017, 10:49:11 AM
best qb's in conference history?
in no particular order Brees, R Wilson (albeit 1 season), K Collins, Griese, I think JT is getting very close to Troy though, with or without the Heisman trophy. Troy was good his Soph and Jr seasons, but not great. Then he had the monster senior year.
Best I ever saw - cannon arm with touch and accuracy, great deep ball, elite size and strength and athletic ability for the position. Just had it all. 
https://youtu.be/gQcTo-cefm4
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: bayareabadger on October 30, 2017, 11:19:49 AM

And call me a homer all you want but the Drew Henson I saw start those 8-9 games as a Jr was the best I've ever seen a B1G QB. His best was better than anyone in the conference I've ever seen play QB. That guy literally had it all. You want to talk about the next Elway? Forget Andrew Luck. It was Drew Henson. He would've been the #1 pick in the NFL draft had his headcase of a father hadn't pressured him to quit football and sign a huge contract with the Yankees. He was a great baseball prospect obviously. He was an otherworldly NFL QB prospect though. 6'4, 230 ran a legit 4.6- that boy could really run and he just had ridiculous arm strength but he knew how to use it. Threw that ball with great natural touch and accuracy but also just had that cannon and could use it when appropriate. He wasn't one of those big armed QBs who threw everything 100mph.

If we get to talk small samples, Russell Wilson would like a word. 
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: bayareabadger on October 30, 2017, 11:25:26 AM
anyone else starting to question Urban's game management? Don't freak out ,I'm not saying the dude's not a good coach, he's probably tied for 2nd with Dabo behind Saban.

but, a lot of weird decisions. Kicking off to Barkley, then 8 more kickoffs where we don't know if we should pooch it, squib it etc. The last kickoff was possibly the worst, allowing Penn St to have the ball on the 41 yard line.

Going for it on 4th-and-8 vs trying a FG.

Declining a hold which allowed PSU to get a first down on 2-and-10.

only running Dobbins 4 times in the first half. (Ala Zeke and Hyde games where he abandons the run)

I also thought it was strange to call timeout when hubbard had the amazing tackle on mcsorely/barkley. there were still 4 mins left at that point, with PSU facing 2nd and 17 or whatever. I would have thought holding those made more sense. you would have gotten the ball back with at least 2 1/2 mins and if you had a quick 3 and out it would have given you one more chance.

not sure what to think of his demeanor where he looks like he's going to vomit the entire first half. it plays well on TV, but I wonder if that's a good look for the team? guys might negatively feed off that.

I did think it was smart to move Arnette to cover the slot when Hamilton was there, even though he caught a TD. Although that's probably more of Schiano's decision.

and I did like both 2 point conversion tries, even though they didn't work.


While I'm not particularly doing it, people have been for years. There are about 3 coaches who don't get questioned, and even they sometimes do, because people wonder if Paul Johnson going fullback dive on 4th and 1 from his 35 is fine.
If you were closely watching most other teams, you'd see those same small ticks, because when things don't work (or don't work all the time) there's always questions. 
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: PSUinNC on October 30, 2017, 11:30:56 AM
Barkley had nothing to work with in the second half.  The PSU o-line couldn't even slow down the D-line long enough for Barkley to receive the handoff and decide where to run.
I give Schianno a ton of credit for the adjustments he made after the half.  His D flat out wore PSU's line down and out and by the 4Q, they were dominating.  Kudos to the Bucks for a strong second half in the whole, specifically that 4Q.  
All in all, heck on an entertaining game and two really good football teams essentially played to a draw.  Looks good for the conference as a whole, and I think PSU is still very much in this thing in the long run as long as a few chips fall the right way.  Either way, awesome example of how much fun this game is.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: TresselownsUM on October 30, 2017, 11:32:27 AM
Lmao. What!? You OSU fans are silly. On no planet is Dabo Swiney remotely on the same level as Urban Meyer. Meyer is tied with Saban for 1. I happen to think he's better than Saban. Saban is great. But 99% of his roster is blue chip recruits. Literally. There's only 85 scholarships. Something like 78 of them are 5* or 4* recruits. And he's signed by far more 5*'s than anyone. I understand that's a big part of being a college coach, and Urban is a great recruiter as well- but damn man. Saban stacks the roster deck unlike any coach in this modern era of CFB. 

well, Dabo is 2-0 vs Urban including a woodshed beatdown last year.

I personally think Dabo is as good as anyone in the country other than Saban.

I would take Urban the recruiter vs anyone in the country, but I think it's safe to say you can question a team's coaching when it has 10 penalties, 2 turnovers, no clue on special teams. I think that's fair.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: TresselownsUM on October 30, 2017, 11:35:50 AM
and I think PSU is still very much in this thing in the long run as long as a few chips fall the right way

Penn St's OOC scheduling is going to kill them this year. No quality wins. They aren't out, but they are going to need losses from Georgia or Bama (prior to the SEC title game, then a 2nd in the title game), Clemson to lose, a 2 loss BIG 12 champ, need Wisconsin and Ohio St to lose prior to big 10 title game, ND to lose, Miami to lose, Clemson to lose, probably a 2 loss PAC 12 team as well and that's just off the top of my head.

it's not impossible, the year OSU got waxed by LSU everyone in the country had 2 losses except for the bucks. maybe we're in for some crazy again. seems a couple top 10 squads losing every week now.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: Geolion91 on October 30, 2017, 11:40:11 AM


Penn St's OOC scheduling is going to kill them this year. No quality wins.
You say that like Penn State knew Pitt would suck this year.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: TresselownsUM on October 30, 2017, 12:37:25 PM
You say that like Penn State knew Pitt would suck this year

lol, Pitt sucks most years. the last 10 years they have wins of 8, 8, 6, 7, 6, 6, 8, 10 (2009), 9, 5. so based on wins I'm guessing they were top 25 once in the last 10 years. maybe twice with that 9 win season.

Akron and Georgia St suck every year.

I get why you play Pitt, power 5 school in state, it's not a horrible game. but when you schedule like that, you got 2 ways to get in the playoff. Win the Big 10 with zero or 1 loss. or have a lot of chaos.

I give Penn St credit starting in 2020, you got some games with Va Tech, Auburn, West Virginia. If you had beaten a Va Tech or Auburn this year I think you'd have a much better argument as a non conference champion. it's just unfortunate there's not much else there, and you don't get Wisconsin in a cross divisional game which could of helped if you beat them.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: MaximumSam on October 30, 2017, 12:41:43 PM
It helps to have a big win on the schedule.  But MSU or Michigan could be that big win if one of them beats OSU
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: TresselownsUM on October 30, 2017, 01:31:50 PM
not to flame, but if any penn st fan is dumping their downtown Indy hotel room I'd be willing to pick it up.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: TyphonInc on October 30, 2017, 01:38:02 PM
anyone else starting to question Urban's game management? Don't freak out ,I'm not saying the dude's not a good coach, he's probably tied for 2nd with Dabo behind Saban.

but, a lot of weird decisions. Kicking off to Barkley, then 8 more kickoffs where we don't know if we should pooch it, squib it etc. The last kickoff was possibly the worst, allowing Penn St to have the ball on the 41 yard line.

Going for it on 4th-and-8 vs trying a FG.

Declining a hold which allowed PSU to get a first down on 2-and-10.

only running Dobbins 4 times in the first half. (Ala Zeke and Hyde games where he abandons the run)

I also thought it was strange to call timeout when Hubbard had the amazing tackle on Mcsorely/Barkley. there were still 4 mins left at that point, with PSU facing 2nd and 17 or whatever. I would have thought holding those made more sense. you would have gotten the ball back with at least 2 1/2 mins and if you had a quick 3 and out it would have given you one more chance.

not sure what to think of his demeanor where he looks like he's going to vomit the entire first half. it plays well on TV, but I wonder if that's a good look for the team? guys might negatively feed off that.

I did think it was smart to move Arnette to cover the slot when Hamilton was there, even though he caught a TD. Although that's probably more of Schiano's decision.

and I did like both 2 point conversion tries, even though they didn't work.


I'm a Sunday morning arm chair coach, so of course I question everything...

1st Kick off, Meyer said and thought our Kick return issues had been corrected. Barkely proves they had not. so he made a change. Positive coaching points for Meyer.

The 2nd kick off coverage was great, but offsides: prior to the redue, I watched Barkley tell the linebacker he was going to block and directed him to go to the right, and son of a pumpkin they burned us again. He pulled our guys to the side and reminded them harshley to stay in their lanes. Positive coaching points for Meyer.

Last kick off was a great adjustment by PSU, we found that squib kick was keeping them inside the 30 (a win for our maligned team.) Their tight end moved over to stop the squib short and got lucky he was able to cover it. Great adjustment for PSU agasint something that had been working for the Bucks. Not Meyers fault.

OSU going for it on 4th and 8 at the 26; head scratcher. I would have taken the points. Could have been, fear of another special teams error; or a sentiment that we can't trade field goals against their touchdowns.
Of note here; PSU ensuing touchdown came of this turnover on downs meaning PSU's first 21 points came off special teams and turnovers... I would have coached differently.

Declining the the holding penalty made it 3rd and 12, instead of 2nd and 20. I agree with coach here, they get 1 shot to make a big play then punt and with our D playing so well I was argued for this move. (Both coach and I looked dumb since Mcsorely was able to convert.) I'll say good move coach, poor execution by OSU (or properly great execution by PSU.)

I believe the 4 minute time out was called because we were confused on D. We had three guys start to run on to the field, and I didn't see anyone start to move away, it was a big party in the back field and we still had to take care of business for 2 more plays. That time out came so quick it could have been a time saver, but I'm not sure. I'm also a fan of using 2 of the timeouts on D to save those 40 seconds, and only keeping 1 for offense since they have multiple ways to slow/stop the clock and D does not. Not sure if this was good or bad.

I think I looked/felt like Meyer did with all the mistakes we were making, I do prefer the more reserved look for a coach, but as long as he isn't making an @ss of himself on the sidelines I'm not too mad showing some emotion. Not a big negative in my book.

Your last 2 comments I can't really comment on 'cept I agreed with the 2 point attempts as well. Good aggressive moves by Meyer, poor execution.

Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: TyphonInc on October 30, 2017, 01:39:11 PM
not to flame, but if any penn st fan is dumping their downtown Indy hotel room I'd be willing to pick it up.
LOL. 
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: bayareabadger on October 30, 2017, 03:11:07 PM

well, Dabo is 2-0 vs Urban including a woodshed beatdown last year.

I personally think Dabo is as good as anyone in the country other than Saban.

I would take Urban the recruiter vs anyone in the country, but I think it's safe to say you can question a team's coaching when it has 10 penalties, 2 turnovers, no clue on special teams. I think that's fair.
I was gonna be all snarky, but after a reread realized there was more pumping of Dabo and maybe overblown complaints about Urby than purely pushing one over the other. That said, this is a good reminder of a useful adage: your problems are a big deal to you because they're YOUR'S. Other people's are not for the same reason. 

The complaints are highly small potatoes. I promise you, Clemson has bigger ones. Clemson has the No. 1 overall QB in last year's class on the bench and is starting a low-ceiling, injured dual-threat game manager who has a QB rating of 136. Clemson lost to a .500 team and got slowed down by a bad defense. Everyone's got problems 

Comparing the two is tricky. By accomplishment, Urby leads. By the moment, Dabo is the defending national champion. And by qualities it's tricky because they're different types.

Urbs
Pro
Offensive innovator (I know if you watch it enough, it feels stale, but CFB had seen it 10 years before the came to Columbus and his offenses have ranks 16, 2, 1, 14, 23, 3)
Hell for leather recruiter
Good eye for defensive coaches
Wins a damn lot
Cons
Offense can get too QB heavy
Some specials and game management concerns, I guess
Passing game rarely spectacular

Dabo
Pro
Great recruiter, maybe better than Urbs (He's recruited a top-10 talent team in a spot that far harder than OSU)
Good eye in two coordinator hires and solid eye in hiring caretakers when one left
Great sense of program management/PR
Took a program up a level, which is no easy feat.
Cons
Pure football bonafides only so-so. Has often been characterized as a cheerleader, which is harsh, but not without a grain of truth.
Tends to meddle with his O, though that went away with Morris and might be back now
Is only at this level because of a perhaps generational player, and will have to prove that wasn't just the cause
(Does not closely watch Clemson games to determine management, but considering he's not praised for it, I'll assume it's average football coach, which means fans are often not happy)
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 30, 2017, 03:50:31 PM
You say that like Penn State knew Pitt would suck this year.
I don't think he meant that at all and even if he did, I would say it and not mean that Penn State knew Pitt would suck.  
Look, this isn't 4yr old T-ball.  We don't grade on effort.  If Ohio State schedules Bama next year and it turns out that Bama sucks next year then Ohio State should be judged based on playing a bad team not based on scheduling a juggernaut.  
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: TresselownsUM on October 30, 2017, 04:39:51 PM
I didn't mean it like Pitt is awful, but when you schedule Pitt, Akron and Georgia St, even a casual football fan looks at that and can tell it's not a murderer's row. but Pitt last year was pretty decent, but the prior decade just "meh"

I might be alone on this, but I do think when you schedule big boy teams and they don't pan out, I'm more willing to give a pass on that. For instance, I don't downgrade Alabama playing FSU a ton. That's still a talented roster, and while FSU is below average this year, I give them more credit for that than say scheduling Wake Forest for example.

Wake forest is probably a better team, but if FSU finishes 2-10 and Wake 8-4, I'm not penalizing Alabama a ton for a weak OOC schedule, they tried, it didn't work out. I would penalize Washington however for having a schedule who's toughest OOC might be Rutgers, that's ridiculous and should be punished. Who cares if you go 3-0 vs nobody, it means very little. For example if Notre Dame finishes 11-1 because it lost to Georgia and I know Washington has a loss now, but if hypothetically Washington was 12-0 I'd put ND in over Washington for losing a tough game vs playing patsies, assuming the other measurables are similar
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: Honestbuckeye on October 30, 2017, 07:17:31 PM
3. Bingo Sam. The game winning TD happened because the LB and DB over there had to respect it..they both took their first step over that way which allowed Baugh to slip behind them.
It cracks me up that the offense is popping 500 yards a game, and that is a part of why.
It clearly creates space around the box for the backs, and eventually leads to vertical opportunities- yet we stil, question it.  It created the wide open Dixon play that almost went for a TD- one one of the few passes JT under threw.


I question it, because it almost cost us the game, and it clearly contributed to us being down 21-3 and 28-10. I don't argue that it sets up other plays, but it ruined at least 2 series in the first half because it put us at 2-and-15 or so which we couldn't overcome. you can run that against the Maryland's of the world, but against top 10 competition it's dumb, to run that much.

meanwhile you got JK Dobbins averaging 12.5 yards a carry in the first half and he gets 4 touches.

the first 3-4 series it was OU all over again, ultra conservative, no imagination and it put us in an 18 point hole that we almost didn't overcome.
Huh?  What game were you watching?  They were down because they gave up a kick return for 7, another that gave PennState the ball at the OSU 35, and another because the very play your talking about, Paris Cambell picked up a quick 15-20 yards but fumbled, and they returned that fumble to the OSU 22.   And even with that, they scored from far out when McSorley threw a perfect pass to Hamilton, as he was covered like a blanket by Arnette.  
OSU stopped themselves a couple of times with false starts, and one huge drop on a perfect throw, by Baugh.  

Check out this film:

https://www.elevenwarriors.com/ohio-state-football/2017/10/87244/film-study-how-the-buckeyes-game-plan-for-penn-state-could-lay-the-foundation-for-future-success

https://www.elevenwarriors.com/ohio-state-football/film-study/2017/09/85550/film-study-how-the-buckeyes-built-an-entire-game-plan-around-bubble-screen-action

Why do you think Dobbins has 12 yards a carry?  
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: TresselownsUM on October 31, 2017, 09:14:22 AM
 Even as the defense began to recognize the tactic, blowing up a few quick screens,

from your story, except it should say blowing up all 7 quick screen passes. and I don't know how a defense wouldn't recognize it, we do it every game.

I get how you say we need these to spread the ball out, but I don't understand why we have to sacrifice 5-10 plays per game. there has to be a better way to spread the field than by using a pass play that averages a net loss against good competition. a screen to a RB maybe?
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: TresselownsUM on October 31, 2017, 09:15:04 AM
Why do you think Dobbins has 12 yards a carry?  

he's a freak athlete?
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: PSUinNC on October 31, 2017, 01:07:53 PM
Let's not forget when schedules are made - 5-10 years in advance.  Anyone remember what PSU's situation was when the Pitt series was put under contract?  PSU had a chance to just barely be crawling out from under the rock right now, and this non-con schedule directly reflects that.  
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: MaximumSam on October 31, 2017, 01:20:40 PM
Let's not forget when schedules are made - 5-10 years in advance.  Anyone remember what PSU's situation was when the Pitt series was put under contract?  PSU had a chance to just barely be crawling out from under the rock right now, and this non-con schedule directly reflects that.  
I'm not really judging them for it, but at the end of the day OOC schedules have to be compared for what they are.  BTW, I think everyone is giving the SEC a pass.  They only play 8 conference games and often include a layup - Alabama plays Mercer and Georgia played Samford. 
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 31, 2017, 01:34:57 PM
Let's not forget when schedules are made - 5-10 years in advance.  Anyone remember what PSU's situation was when the Pitt series was put under contract?  PSU had a chance to just barely be crawling out from under the rock right now, and this non-con schedule directly reflects that.  
I get that and other teams, including Ohio State have had similar problems in the past.  Example, in 2007 Ohio State's schedule started out with:
It was a running joke that the schedule started out with a big "YAWN".  The problem was that Washington sucked.  That wasn't Ohio State's fault.  Washington had been a PAC contender for most of the 90's, won an NC in 1991, and as late as 2000 they were a very serious NC contender as the only team to beat Miami that year.  That was what Ohio State expected when they scheduled Washington.  Instead, by the time the game happened, Washington had gone four straight years without finishing above .500 and went 4-9 that year.  

It happens.  I'm not criticizing Penn State, I just don't grade SoS on a curve.  If Ohio State schedules Alabama next year and then Alabama ends up a 4-8 trainwreck I'll judge Ohio State's SoS on the basis of playing a crappy 4-8 team, not on the basis of Ohio State's effort to schedule a really tough game.  

To me, SoS is about reality not effort or expectations.  Next year Penn State has ApSt, Pitt, and Kent.  That sounds like a soft OOC but if Appalachian State wins the Sun Belt, Pitt wins the ACC, and Kent wins the MAC then I'll credit PSU with playing a pretty tough OOC.  To me it is about actuality not expectations.  
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: TresselownsUM on October 31, 2017, 02:25:05 PM
To me, SoS is about reality not effort or expectations.  Next year Penn State has ApSt, Pitt, and Kent.  That sounds like a soft OOC but if Appalachian State wins the Sun Belt, Pitt wins the ACC, and Kent wins the MAC then I'll credit PSU with playing a pretty tough OOC.  To me it is about actuality not expectations

if Pitt wins the ACC, I would agree, but Appy St and Kent St are layups, even if they win their conference, that is an absolute layup for anyone wanting to get into the playoffs.

I understand the scheduling softer while you are down, it's just unfortunate you came out of it while you were really good.

If I were on the committee though, I'm giving more credence to someone that would schedule Alabama, Wake Forest, and Navy, even if they all finish below .500. I would say to myself "that AD and coach/program whatever did everything in their power to schedule tough." Now if that team were compared to another team that had highly ranked wins I'd say they lose out, that's luck of the draw. But if they are compared to someone that played Pitt, App St and Kent and those 3 programs were middling like they are this year, well, I'm voting for the team that scheduled Alabama but was unlucky they stunk the year they got them.

That's the beauty and curse of the committee I guess, we all value different things, perceived or not.

I also agree the SEC scheduling for the most part is a Joke, however, this year I can't complain with their title contenders Bama playing FSU and Georgia playing ND. They scheduled up.

The 8 conference games vs 9 is an issue, but your not going to find many SEC fans thinking 9 conference games is a big deal, especially this year when Wisconsin might play an entire 9 game conference slate against 0 ranked opponents. Michigan more than likely won't be ranked at the end of the year, if they lose to Wiscy anyways.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on October 31, 2017, 02:50:55 PM
I'm not nearly as big a fan of the 9-game slate as most on here and for that exact reason:
Ohio State's three non-divisional opponents are Nebraska, Iowa, and Illinois.  If the "extra" game is Iowa then it is pretty good and better than two of tOSU's three OOC's but if the "extra" game is Illinois then Ohio State probably would have had a tougher schedule with four OOC games.  

Wisconsin's three non-divisional opponents are Maryland, Indiana, and Michigan.  Frankly, Wisconsin's OOC was so bad that all of them are probably better than any of UW's OOC opponents but all appear likely to finish unranked and if the "extra" game is either Maryland or Indiana then it wouldn't have been difficult at all for Wisconsin to schedule a better OOC opponent.  

At this juncture most P5 teams are scheduling one and only one "marquee" OOC opponent.  The problem with that, of course, is that it puts all of your OOC SoS points in one basket.  If that one team tanks you are left with nothing.  This is what happened to Wisconsin and Bama.  The last six years BYU went 8-5 or better every year.  This year they are 2-7.  Thus UW's OOC is terrible.  Bama's isn't much better.  FSU was supposed to be a potential playoff-preview but then the Seminoles tanked and Bama's OOC is soft.  
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: Honestbuckeye on October 31, 2017, 07:44:57 PM
Even as the defense began to recognize the tactic, blowing up a few quick screens,

from your story, except it should say blowing up all 7 quick screen passes. and I don't know how a defense wouldn't recognize it, we do it every game.

I get how you say we need these to spread the ball out, but I don't understand why we have to sacrifice 5-10 plays per game. there has to be a better way to spread the field than by using a pass play that averages a net loss against good competition. a screen to a RB maybe?
The screens in those videos were not blown up at all.  Big gains. 
Again, it is an extension of the run game. You could just actually run the ball ...and a number of those would get blown up as well.  But there would be no additional benefit.
The comeback could never have happened without those plays having to be accounted for, and being in the defenses head.  
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: MaximumSam on November 02, 2017, 01:15:56 PM
(https://www.elevenwarriors.com/sites/default/files/c/2017/11/yuaFAnJ.jpg)
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: ELA on November 02, 2017, 01:42:17 PM
Well designed screen pass to the wide side of the field?
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: TyphonInc on November 02, 2017, 02:24:46 PM
Well designed screen pass to the wide side of the field?
Nope. That's the "Game over McSorely, your 4th and 15 prayer will fall hopelessly incomplete" play.
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: ELA on November 02, 2017, 02:36:36 PM
/sarcasm
Title: Re: #2 Penn State (4-1, 7-1) at #6 Ohio State (5-0, 7-1) Post Game
Post by: TyphonInc on November 02, 2017, 03:12:35 PM
(https://www.elevenwarriors.com/sites/default/files/c/2017/11/yuaFAnJ.jpg)
" Meyer wants a picture of the Penn State's final play framed to hang in his office (via BTBuckeye (https://www.elevenwarriors.com/ohio-state-football/2017/11/87417/urban-meyer-coachs-show-iowa#comment-3155131)):"