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The Power Five => Big Ten => Topic started by: iahawk15 on August 28, 2019, 06:57:39 PM

Title: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: iahawk15 on August 28, 2019, 06:57:39 PM
UnderdogHome/AwayOpponentSpread
Thursday, 8/29
UCLA@Cincinnati3
FIU@Tulane2.5
Ga. Tech@Clemson36.5
Texas St.@Texas A&M33.5
Kent St.@Arizona St.25
BYUUtah6.5
Friday, 8/30
Rice@Army22.5
S. FloridaWisconsin12.5
Tulsa@Michigan St.23
UMASS@Rutgers15.5
Utah St.@Wake Forest3.5
NevadaPurdue11
Colorado St.@Colorado13.5
Oregon St.Oklahoma St.14
Saturday, 8/31
Akron@Illinois18
Ball StatevsIndiana17
S. Alabama@Nebraska36.5
FAU@Ohio St.27.5
Toledo@Kentucky11.5
Ole Miss@Memphis5.5
LouisianavsMiss. St.20
E. Carolina@NC St.17
C. CarolinaE. Michigan6
N. CarolinavsS. Carolina10
Georgia St.@Tennessee26
DukevsAlabama34.5
Northwestern@Stanford6.5
Boston CollegeVa. Tech4.5
LibertySyracuse18
SMU@Arkansas St.3
Boise St.vsFlorida St.5
VanderbiltGeorgia22
OregonvsAuburn3.5
Ga. Southern@LSU27.5
WyomingMissouri18
Miami (OH)@Iowa21.5
M. Tennessee@Michigan34.5
PittVirginia2.5
La. Tech@Texas20.5
New Mexico St.@Washington St.31.5
Fresno St.@USC13.5
Sunday, 9/1
Houston@Oklahoma23
Monday, 9/2
LouisvilleNotre Dame19

Rules refresher

1) Your pick must be posted prior to kickoff for that game.
2) As always, if you see a mistake please let me know.
3) If you chose a pick that was entered correctly, I'll be terribly sorry! But also, the pick will be invalid and I will PM you to make a new choice.
4) Do not edit your post. Declare that you're changing your pick in a new post. This keeps timestamps intact and all that.
5) Thanks and have fun

Past Winners
2018 - jhetfield99 (53 points on 5 correct picks)
2017 - Honestbuckeye (44.5 points on 5 correct picks)
2016 and prior - I don't have the data...
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: Honestbuckeye on August 28, 2019, 10:19:56 PM
Oregon State
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: Benthere2 on August 28, 2019, 10:28:26 PM
Nevada
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: MarqHusker on August 28, 2019, 10:39:30 PM
Toledo.

I'm pretty sure I won 2015 or '14, (one of those).
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: jhetfield99 on August 28, 2019, 11:19:10 PM
Liberty.

There's an easy sub 7 pter out there for the taking but I want to start out with a bang.
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: Temp430 on August 29, 2019, 09:23:09 AM
UCLA
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: grillrat on August 29, 2019, 09:38:27 AM
NERDS!!!!!!!  (Gimme Northwestern  :))
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: Riffraft on August 29, 2019, 10:05:20 AM
Ball State

BTW I won it in 2016. 
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: FearlessF on August 29, 2019, 10:30:39 AM
Boston College
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: rolltidefan on August 29, 2019, 10:32:40 AM
oregon/auburn game is backwards. au favored 3/3.5 on most books.

i'll take:

ole miss +5.5
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: LetsGoPeay on August 29, 2019, 10:44:00 AM
Ole Miss +5.5 @ Memphis
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: GopherRock on August 29, 2019, 11:14:58 AM
Colorado State
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: FearlessF on August 29, 2019, 11:22:40 AM
Colorado State
Ralphie is a COW!
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: ALA2262 on August 29, 2019, 11:52:41 AM
Boise State
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: iahawk15 on August 29, 2019, 11:54:33 AM
oregon/auburn game is backwards. au favored 3/3.5 on most books.

i'll take:

ole miss +5.5
Updated. Thanks!
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: ALA2262 on August 29, 2019, 11:57:40 AM
oregon/auburn game is backwards. au favored 3/3.5 on most books.

Yep. Surprised someone hasn't taken the barn.
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on August 29, 2019, 11:57:50 AM
Nevada please.  

(Not rooting for this, I want to see the B1G do well OOC but it looks like a good pick for this game).  
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: Drew4UTk on August 29, 2019, 12:05:19 PM
Northwestern outright, looking at you @nuwildcat (https://www.cfb51.com/index.php?action=profile;u=28) ...

 
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: ALA2262 on August 29, 2019, 12:47:39 PM
WTH! STUPID Upset Picks! Right!? Probably regret it because Boise State is the Underdog Lock of the Week. Florida State is a dumpster fire.

But WTH, I'm going with the other FSU. Gimmie Fresno State and the 13 1/2 over USC.
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: ncbuck71 on August 29, 2019, 01:16:54 PM
BYU
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: iahawk15 on August 29, 2019, 02:31:44 PM
Nevada is so tempting but...

Boise St. +5 over Florida St.
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: ALA2262 on August 29, 2019, 03:47:35 PM
Nevada is so tempting but...

Boise St. +5.5 over Florida St.
"With the news of the expected relocation to Tallahassee, the betting line at Caesars Sportsbook moved to Florida State as a 6.5-point favorite. The Seminoles were a 5-point favorite earlier Thursday morning, when the game was still scheduled for neutral site Jacksonville."

https://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/27491624/hurricane-threat-moves-fsu-boise-tallahassee


 (https://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/27491624/hurricane-threat-moves-fsu-boise-tallahassee)
VI Consensus is at 6.5


http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/odds/las-vegas/ (http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/odds/las-vegas/)
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: iahawk15 on August 29, 2019, 04:36:18 PM
"With the news of the expected relocation to Tallahassee, the betting line at Caesars Sportsbook moved to Florida State as a 6.5-point favorite. The Seminoles were a 5-point favorite earlier Thursday morning, when the game was still scheduled for neutral site Jacksonville."

https://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/27491624/hurricane-threat-moves-fsu-boise-tallahassee


 (https://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/27491624/hurricane-threat-moves-fsu-boise-tallahassee)
VI Consensus is at 6.5


http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/odds/las-vegas/ (http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/odds/las-vegas/)
I saw that, but listed odds for the game are a snapshot of when I put the list together.
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: ALA2262 on August 29, 2019, 04:40:32 PM
I saw that, but listed odds for the game are a snapshot of when I put the list together.
You have it on the list at 5. Your pick is at 5.5. If you go to 6.5, I want Boise State back. :)
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: ALA2262 on August 29, 2019, 04:46:44 PM
Seriously, you need to change the venue and the spread because IRL they both have been changed. I don't see why you nor anyone else on here would have a problem with that.
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: iahawk15 on August 29, 2019, 05:00:15 PM
Seriously, you need to change the venue and the spread because IRL they both have been changed. I don't see why you nor anyone else on here would have a problem with that.
If you'd like to take over the reigns, I'd be happy to send over the spreadsheets. I'm only running the game because the previous owner (slugsrbad?) couldn't do it anymore.

Otherwise, the game is what it is. I don't have time to monitor and update lines, regardless of a particular change's magnitude.
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: ALA2262 on August 29, 2019, 05:08:47 PM
If you'd like to take over the reigns, I'd be happy to send over the spreadsheets. I'm only running the game because the previous owner (slugsrbad?) couldn't do it anymore.

Otherwise, the game is what it is. I don't have time to monitor and update lines, regardless of a particular change's magnitude.
Got it! Loud and clear! You can change Auburn-Oregon because it's wrong, but you can't change BSU-FSU because it's wrong. You can pick BSU at 5.5 but leave it listed at 5. Got it!
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: iahawk15 on August 29, 2019, 05:09:24 PM
You have it on the list at 5. Your pick is at 5.5. If you go to 6.5, I want Boise State back. :)
My pick should be +5. I didn't double-check the list before posting.
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: iahawk15 on August 29, 2019, 05:10:15 PM
Got it! Loud and clear! You can change Auburn-Oregon because it's wrong, but you can't change BSU-FSU because it's wrong. You can pick BSU at 5.5 but leave it listed at 5. Got it!
So you done bitching now, or do you want the spreadsheets?
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: ELA on August 29, 2019, 05:24:13 PM
Having just picked Utah to make the CFP, I'll take BYU +6.5 over them in the Holy War tonight
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: Badger1969 on August 29, 2019, 06:20:12 PM
BYU
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: ALA2262 on August 29, 2019, 09:22:33 PM
So you done bitching now, or do you want the spreadsheets?
I'm done and done. Please delete my pick. Don't want you to have to process it in your tabulations.
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: ohio1317 on August 30, 2019, 01:59:12 AM
Nevada
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: MichiFan87 on August 30, 2019, 07:01:35 PM
Akron

Edit: Fresno State (somehow missed how high this spread is)
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: ohio1317 on August 31, 2019, 01:59:29 AM
Well I'm out of the elimination pick'em but got points here.  Those early season west coast games always seem dangerous.
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: hawkeyegold on August 31, 2019, 08:24:10 AM
Boise State
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: jhetfield99 on September 03, 2019, 11:09:29 PM
Nevada please. 

(Not rooting for this, I want to see the B1G do well OOC but it looks like a good pick for this game). 




youuuuuuu bastard

You are fully to blame for our all-timer of a choke job
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on September 04, 2019, 10:30:10 AM
youuuuuuu bastard

You are fully to blame for our all-timer of a choke job
LoL, I'm sorry but happy to get on the board early in the Stupid Upset Picks game!
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: rolltidefan on September 04, 2019, 03:56:16 PM
i know you don't have week 2 up yet, but please use this line...

i'll take bama +55.5. :)

(https://i.imgur.com/806w4gD.png)

link to oddshark screw up (they haven't fixed as of this post) (https://www.oddsshark.com/ncaaf/odds)
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: jhetfield99 on September 04, 2019, 09:44:42 PM
i know you don't have week 2 up yet, but please use this line...

i'll take bama +55.5. :)

(https://i.imgur.com/806w4gD.png)

link to oddshark screw up (they haven't fixed as of this post) (https://www.oddsshark.com/ncaaf/odds)


lol

On obvious errors can a sports book take it back ee\ven if someone locked it in?
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on September 04, 2019, 09:56:18 PM
There are games tomorrow . . .
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: MarqHusker on September 04, 2019, 09:58:31 PM
LoL, I'm sorry but happy to get on the board early in the Stupid Upset Picks game!
Heard you on the coaches show tonight Hetfield. Good question.
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: jhetfield99 on September 04, 2019, 10:15:10 PM
Heard you on the coaches show tonight Hetfield. Good question.

thanks.

I wasn't trying to be a wise ass either.  Many of his quotes from post game about needing to be aggressive and it was bad to take the foot off the gas were verbatim replays after the EMU debacle.  

He said never again would they go conservative, and starting with Blough throwing for almost 600 the next week vs Mizzou he was serious.  Ever since the painful 11 pt choke vs Wisc last year when we should have ended that flipping losing streak he's turned gun shy again.

In other news, any interest in going to the Vandy-Purdue game?  I have 1 extra at the moment in our section and there is likely a pair in front of me plus parking pass also avail.
Title: Re: Stupid Upset Picks - Week 1
Post by: MarqHusker on September 04, 2019, 10:45:13 PM
Nice of you to think about me, but I'm coaching 5th/6th volleyball again, and I have a match to coach (and it is picture day).  My opportunity to attend college games is now limited to the later half of the year, since we play until about the 20th of Oct.